Tearsheet

Openlane (KAR)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $30.53 | Market Cap: $3.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Diversified Support Services

Openlane (KAR)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $30.53
Market Cap: $3.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Diversified Support Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Key risks
KAR key risks include [1] its high debt load and overleveraging, Show more.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Supply Chain Digitization.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Supply Chain Digitization.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
5 Key risks
KAR key risks include [1] its high debt load and overleveraging, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KAR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The analysis of Openlane (KAR) stock movement for the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025, is based on the most recent available financial results and company updates, as direct explanations for a specific 5.6% movement within this future timeframe cannot be provided. However, the company's performance leading into and within parts of this period, based on its Q4 2024 and Q3 2025 results, highlights factors that could influence stock valuation.

1. Openlane reported strong fourth quarter and full-year 2024 financial results. For the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2024, the company announced a 12% year-over-year increase in consolidated revenue and an 18% rise in consolidated Adjusted EBITDA. Full-year 2024 results also showed positive performance, with consolidated revenue growing by 5% and consolidated Adjusted EBITDA by 8%.

2. Significant growth was observed in the Marketplace business. Openlane's Marketplace segment achieved a 9% year-over-year growth in total volume, including a notable 15% increase in dealer volumes during Q4 2024. This marked the seventh consecutive quarter of year-over-year volume growth in this segment, contributing to a 30% increase in Marketplace Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KAR Return-13%-16%-16%13%34%50%38%
Peers Return38%24%-28%39%3%-24%34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KAR Win Rate50%42%33%50%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate70%58%42%53%50%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KAR Max Drawdown-56%-26%-28%-5%-7%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-8%-38%-6%-21%-38% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CPRT, LAD, AN, KMX, CRMT. See KAR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKARS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-46.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven808 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven144.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,887 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven176 days120 days

Compare to CPRT, LAD, AN, KMX, CRMT


In The Past

Openlane's stock fell -46.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2021. A -46.2% loss requires a 85.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Openlane (KAR)

Better Bets than Openlane (KAR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KAR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
KAR_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE03312020KAROpenlaneDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
19.4%25.0%-20.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
KAR_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE03312020KAROpenlaneDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
19.4%25.0%-20.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Openlane

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KARCPRTLADANKMXCRMTMedian
NameOpenlane Copart Lithia M.AutoNati.CarMax America'. 
Mkt Price30.5539.07343.89209.1238.4726.9238.77
Mkt Cap3.337.88.77.95.70.26.8
Rev LTM1,8954,65537,61127,91526,3681,38715,511
Op Inc LTM2081,7211,5481,284-23454746
FCF LTM2441,412-42-178685-11117
FCF 3Y Avg2141,103-28057517-60135
CFO LTM2991,8532951111,208-8297
CFO 3Y Avg2681,62031408991-53338

Growth & Margins

KARCPRTLADANKMXCRMTMedian
NameOpenlane Copart Lithia M.AutoNati.CarMax America'. 
Rev Chg LTM6.7%6.7%8.4%6.1%1.8%2.1%6.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.0%9.1%11.0%1.3%-7.4%1.9%4.9%
Rev Chg Q8.4%0.7%4.9%6.9%-6.0%0.8%2.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%0.2%1.2%1.6%-1.6%0.2%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM11.0%37.0%4.1%4.6%-0.9%3.9%4.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.6%37.5%4.7%5.2%-1.0%3.6%4.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.5%-0.1%-0.0%-0.3%-2.3%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM15.8%39.8%0.8%0.4%4.6%-0.6%2.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.1%37.2%0.0%1.5%3.8%-3.8%2.6%
FCF/Rev LTM12.9%30.3%-0.1%-0.6%2.6%-0.8%1.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.0%25.2%-0.9%0.2%2.0%-4.2%1.1%

Valuation

KARCPRTLADANKMXCRMTMedian
NameOpenlane Copart Lithia M.AutoNati.CarMax America'. 
Mkt Cap3.337.88.77.95.70.26.8
P/S1.78.10.20.30.20.20.3
P/EBIT13.522.04.55.93.64.65.2
P/E19.123.79.611.911.0-15.511.4
P/CFO10.920.429.470.74.8-26.515.7
Total Yield5.2%4.2%11.0%8.4%9.1%-6.4%6.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.3%2.5%-3.4%1.1%5.9%-12.9%1.8%
D/E0.00.01.71.23.34.31.5
Net D/E-0.0-0.11.71.23.23.81.4

Returns

KARCPRTLADANKMXCRMTMedian
NameOpenlane Copart Lithia M.AutoNati.CarMax America'. 
1M Rtn24.7%-4.8%19.6%5.5%14.8%46.5%17.2%
3M Rtn5.0%-14.8%3.6%-4.0%-34.2%-17.9%-9.4%
6M Rtn37.1%-18.6%3.9%6.4%-43.9%-47.5%-7.3%
12M Rtn50.6%-32.9%-3.8%22.9%-54.3%-49.3%-18.3%
3Y Rtn135.7%28.0%81.1%100.7%-35.2%-61.1%54.6%
1M Excs Rtn18.8%-8.5%14.0%1.9%9.6%45.1%11.8%
3M Excs Rtn3.6%-16.0%1.4%-6.8%-35.9%-20.1%-11.4%
6M Excs Rtn21.7%-31.6%-10.6%-7.9%-56.2%-61.3%-21.1%
12M Excs Rtn37.5%-48.6%-19.5%9.7%-66.7%-64.3%-34.0%
3Y Excs Rtn54.9%-46.0%-14.6%11.7%-114.2%-134.8%-30.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Marketplace1,2521,1441,1611,9202,429
Finance444376289268353
Total1,6961,5191,4512,1882,782


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Finance138258189139202
Marketplace-274-85-62-3112
Goodwill and other intangibles impairment   30 
Total-136174127166314


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Finance2,6612,8222,9092,2832,567
Marketplace2,0662,2982,5624,5154,014
Current assets of discontinued operations  213  
Non-current assets of discontinued operations  1,767  
Total4,7265,1207,4516,7986,581


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,402,488
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202510.0%
Average Daily Volume993,070
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.42
Basic Shares Quantity106,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-1.9%-5.7%-1.6%
8/6/202515.4%14.4%16.4%
5/7/202513.6%16.5%23.3%
2/19/20254.2%6.7%2.8%
11/6/202411.9%14.3%15.6%
8/7/2024-1.0%1.9%-1.4%
5/1/20240.7%1.3%-1.1%
2/20/20243.8%6.1%17.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161615
# Negative889
Median Positive6.6%9.1%15.0%
Median Negative-4.2%-9.3%-5.9%
Max Positive16.0%21.2%50.5%
Max Negative-13.7%-22.4%-35.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021