Copart (CPRT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $38.94 | Market Cap: $37.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Diversified Support Services
Copart (CPRT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $38.94Market Cap: $37.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Diversified Support Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Circular Economy & Recycling, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Circular Economy & Recycling, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CPRT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Revenue Misses and Deceleration of Growth.
Copart's revenue performance disappointed investors during the period, with both Q3 CY2025 (reported in November 2025) and Q1 FY2026 (reported in November 2025) revenues falling short of analyst estimates. Q3 CY2025 revenue was $1.16 billion against analyst estimates of $1.18 billion. Similarly, Q1 FY2026 revenue came in at $1.16 billion compared to an anticipated $1.18 billion, marking a 1.69% shortfall. The growth rate also showed significant deceleration, with Q4 FY2025 revenue increasing 5.2% year-over-year, but Q1 FY2026 saw only a marginal 0.7% year-over-year revenue growth.
2. Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Cuts.
Throughout November 2025, multiple analyst firms downgraded Copart's stock or reduced their price targets, signaling reduced confidence in its future performance. Robert W. Baird trimmed its price target from $55 to $52, although maintaining an outperform rating. JPMorgan adjusted its price target down to $45 from $50, keeping a neutral rating. Barclays reissued an "underweight" rating with a $33 price target, and Stephens decreased their target price from $50 to $46. These downgrades contributed to negative market sentiment and downward pressure on the stock price.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CPRT Return | 40% | 19% | -20% | 61% | 17% | -32% | 71% |
| Peers Return | 54% | 34% | -29% | 224% | 70% | 14% | 823% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CPRT Win Rate | 75% | 50% | 42% | 75% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 65% | 35% | 55% | 67% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CPRT Max Drawdown | -35% | -18% | -32% | -1% | -5% | -32% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -6% | -46% | -6% | -13% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ORLY, AZO, CVNA, LAD, KMX. See CPRT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CPRT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 328 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 163 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -32.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 121 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -51.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 108.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1142 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ORLY, AZO, CVNA, LAD, KMX
In The Past
Copart's stock fell -35.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -35.4% loss requires a 54.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CPRT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 07312025 | CPRT | Copart | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.1% | -14.1% | -14.5% |
| 10312022 | CPRT | Copart | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 36.3% | 51.3% | -3.2% |
| 04302022 | CPRT | Copart | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.4% | 39.1% | -9.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 07312025 | CPRT | Copart | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.1% | -14.1% | -14.5% |
| 10312022 | CPRT | Copart | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 36.3% | 51.3% | -3.2% |
| 04302022 | CPRT | Copart | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.4% | 39.1% | -9.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Copart
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9262025 | 10-K 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6032025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 2262025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 11262024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9302024 | 10-K 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5232024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 2272024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11212023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9282023 | 10-K 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5252023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 2242023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 11182022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9272022 | 10-K 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5252022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3032022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 11192021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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