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Indie Semiconductor (INDI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.35 | Market Cap: $867.1 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Indie Semiconductor (INDI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.35
Market Cap: $867.1 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -146 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -67%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.3
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.5%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 109%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22%
5   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.3
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -146 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -67%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.5%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 109%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

INDI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**1. Downward Revision of FY2025 Revenue Expectations.** The market revised its revenue expectations for Indie Semiconductor (INDI) for fiscal year 2025 downward by 2.53% over the three months preceding December 2025, a period that largely overlaps the requested timeframe. This downward adjustment in forecasts contributed to a broader stock price change of -12.16% during the same three-month period.

**2. Missed Q3 2025 Earnings Estimates.** On November 6, 2025, Indie Semiconductor reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results. The company posted a Non-GAAP loss per share of $0.07, which missed the consensus analyst estimate of $0.06 by $0.01.

**3. Continued Operating Losses in Q3 2025.** In its Q3 2025 results, Indie Semiconductor reported a GAAP operating loss of $38.3 million and a Non-GAAP operating loss of $11.3 million. While these figures showed progress compared to the previous year, they indicate ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.

**4. UBS Initiates Neutral Rating Citing Supply Issues.** On November 10, 2025, UBS resumed its coverage of Indie Semiconductor with a "Neutral" rating and set a price target of $5.00. The analyst firm noted that the company's earnings fell short of expectations due to supply issues that impacted its December revenue guidance.

**5. General Stock Volatility.** Indie Semiconductor's share price has experienced notable volatility over the three months leading up to December 2025 when compared to the broader U.S. market. This inherent volatility can contribute to fluctuations such as the reported -4% movement within the specified period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
INDI Return---51%39%-50%-5%-68%
Peers Return46%48%-27%47%4%65%302%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
INDI Win Rate-67%42%58%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate50%53%32%52%40%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
INDI Max Drawdown---56%-19%-61%-60% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-3%-41%-2%-7%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Q, LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, TER.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventINDIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven233.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to Q, LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, TER


In The Past

Indie Semiconductor's stock fell -70.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/17/2021. A -70.0% loss requires a 233.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Indie Semiconductor (INDI)

Better Bets than Indie Semiconductor (INDI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to INDI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Indie Semiconductor

Peers to compare with:

Financials

INDIQLRCXAMATKLACTERMedian
NameIndie Se.Qnity El.Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne  
Mkt Price4.3580.28159.75268.631,211.75195.08177.42
Mkt Cap0.9-202.0214.4159.730.9159.7
Rev LTM2174,37419,59228,61312,5242,8608,449
Op Inc LTM-1468636,4668,6235,2315393,047
FCF LTM-656585,5505,8233,8734572,265
FCF 3Y Avg-89-4,9646,4573,4134273,413
CFO LTM-499166,3847,7054,2486752,582
CFO 3Y Avg-75-5,5317,7883,7376113,737

Growth & Margins

INDIQLRCXAMATKLACTERMedian
NameIndie Se.Qnity El.Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne  
Rev Chg LTM-5.0%-25.7%6.6%22.1%4.5%6.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg36.8%-4.0%4.4%8.7%-4.3%4.4%
Rev Chg Q-0.5%-27.7%7.7%13.0%4.3%7.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%-6.3%1.9%3.0%1.1%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM-67.2%19.7%33.0%30.1%41.8%18.8%24.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-70.3%-30.2%29.4%38.9%19.4%29.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.7%-1.0%0.5%0.5%-0.4%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-22.8%20.9%32.6%26.9%33.9%23.6%25.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-36.5%-32.5%28.5%34.0%22.0%28.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-29.7%15.0%28.3%20.4%30.9%16.0%18.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-43.5%-29.3%23.7%31.1%15.4%23.7%

Valuation

INDIQLRCXAMATKLACTERMedian
NameIndie Se.Qnity El.Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne  
Mkt Cap0.9-202.0214.4159.730.9159.7
P/S3.7-8.65.111.37.67.6
P/EBIT-5.9-25.315.927.541.625.3
P/E-5.6-29.121.433.549.329.1
P/CFO-16.4-26.519.033.532.326.5
Total Yield-17.8%-4.1%5.6%3.7%2.4%3.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.7%0.9%0.7%0.4%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.9%-4.4%4.4%3.6%2.2%3.6%
D/E0.5-0.00.00.00.00.0
Net D/E0.3--0.0-0.00.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

INDIQLRCXAMATKLACTERMedian
NameIndie Se.Qnity El.Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne  
1M Rtn-15.4%--0.8%13.2%-0.4%6.6%-0.4%
3M Rtn0.9%-64.0%72.3%43.8%63.4%63.4%
6M Rtn49.0%-89.6%66.7%55.5%138.1%66.7%
12M Rtn7.9%-106.4%48.1%83.6%69.7%69.7%
3Y Rtn-46.7%-261.5%158.6%220.3%113.2%158.6%
1M Excs Rtn-15.3%--0.7%13.3%-0.4%6.7%-0.4%
3M Excs Rtn-3.7%-54.3%64.7%33.6%58.3%54.3%
6M Excs Rtn34.3%-74.9%52.0%40.8%123.4%52.0%
12M Excs Rtn-30.4%-105.3%41.7%75.3%64.6%64.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-117.5%-200.5%93.9%160.0%46.2%93.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity52,082,774
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.7%
Average Daily Volume4,607,832
Days-to-Cover Short Interest11.30
Basic Shares Quantity199,326,145
Short % of Basic Shares26.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022328202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021411202210-K 12/31/2021