Mobileye Global (MBLY)
Market Price (5/30/2026): $10.32 | Market Cap: $8.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Mobileye Global (MBLY)
Market Price (5/30/2026): $10.32Market Cap: $8.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -16% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.6% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Technologies, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -106%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -157% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -431 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -21% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.2x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -53% Key risksMBLY key risks include [1] its high customer concentration amid the growing trend of OEM vertical integration and [2] its dependency on a sole supplier for its critical EyeQ system-on-chips. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -16% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.6% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Technologies, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -106%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -157% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -431 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -21% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.2x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -53% |
| Key risksMBLY key risks include [1] its high customer concentration amid the growing trend of OEM vertical integration and [2] its dependency on a sole supplier for its critical EyeQ system-on-chips. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Mobileye Global (MBLY) stock has gained about 15% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Mobileye reported strong first-quarter 2026 financial results that exceeded analyst expectations and subsequently raised its full-year guidance. The company announced Q1 2026 earnings on April 23, 2026, with an EPS of $0.12, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.09 by $0.03. Revenue for the quarter reached $558 million, marking a 27.4% year-over-year increase and beating analyst estimates of approximately $519 million. Following this performance, Mobileye raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance midpoint by 2% to a range of $1.935 billion to $2.015 billion, citing stronger-than-expected demand. This robust financial performance and optimistic outlook contributed significantly to the stock's positive movement, including a 16.84% surge in pre-market trading after the announcement.
2. Increased demand for Mobileye's advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and EyeQ system-on-chip (SoC) products drove revenue growth. The 27% year-over-year revenue increase in Q1 2026 was primarily fueled by higher ADAS system shipments and a 28% increase in EyeQ SoC volumes. The company highlighted strong demand signals from Chinese OEMs and increased ADAS fitment rates among Western customers. Mobileye also secured major program wins with two large OEMs for its EyeQ6H chip and announced new design wins with Mahindra for SuperVision and Surround ADAS products.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 15.1% change in MBLY stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.98 | 10.34 | 15.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,938 | 2,014 | 3.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.8 | 4.2 | 11.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 814 | 817 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 15.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MBLY | 15.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.6% | 46.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.0% | 37.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -21.4% change in MBLY stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -24.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.15 | 10.34 | -21.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,938 | 2,014 | 3.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.5 | 4.2 | -24.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 814 | 817 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -21.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MBLY | -21.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.5% | 44.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.2% | 31.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -29.1% change in MBLY stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -34.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.58 | 10.34 | -29.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,853 | 2,014 | 8.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.4 | 4.2 | -34.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 812 | 817 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -29.1% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MBLY | -29.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 38.0% | 44.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 23.5% | 38.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -72.5% change in MBLY stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -74.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 37.64 | 10.34 | -72.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,869 | 2,014 | 7.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 16.1 | 4.2 | -74.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 802 | 817 | -1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -72.5% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MBLY | -72.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 89.0% | 43.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 67.5% | 42.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MBLY Return | - | 21% | 24% | -54% | -48% | -0% | -64% |
| Peers Return | 60% | -48% | 68% | 21% | 32% | 60% | 260% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 101% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MBLY Win Rate | - | 67% | 58% | 33% | 33% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 33% | 58% | 48% | 57% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MBLY Max Drawdown | - | - | -28% | -76% | -54% | -46% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -59% | -31% | -41% | -36% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NVDA, QCOM, APTV, INTC, AMBA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/29/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MBLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.1% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.4% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 16 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -18.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Mobileye Global's stock fell -35.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 54.0% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | MBLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.1% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 79 days |
In The Past
Mobileye Global's stock fell -35.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 54.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Mobileye Global (MBLY)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Mobileye Global (MBLY):
- Mobileye is like the **Intel or Qualcomm for self-driving cars**, providing the essential chips and software that car manufacturers integrate into their models.
- Mobileye is somewhat like the **Android operating system for autonomous vehicle technology**, offering a foundational platform of software and hardware that many car manufacturers build upon.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- ADAS Solutions: Comprehensive advanced driver assistance systems, integrating software and hardware, to enhance automotive safety and driver experience.
- Autonomous Driving (AV) Technologies: Advanced software and hardware platforms designed to enable full vehicle autonomy and revolutionize future mobility.
- System-on-Chips (SoCs): Purpose-built hardware components that power Mobileye's ADAS and autonomous driving solutions.
- Autonomous Mobility as a Service (AMaaS): A future service model leveraging Mobileye's autonomous driving technology to power fleet-owned vehicle networks for mobility services.
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Mobileye Global (MBLY) - Major Customers
Mobileye Global (MBLY) sells primarily to other companies, specifically Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) in the automotive industry.
The provided background information states that Mobileye is "actively working with more than 50 Original Equipment Manufacturers (“OEMs”) worldwide on the implementation of our ADAS solutions." However, the text does not name specific customer companies among these OEMs.
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Prof. Amnon Shashua, President and CEO
Prof. Amnon Shashua co-founded Mobileye in 1999, which later went public in 2014, was acquired by Intel in 2017 for $15.3 billion, and returned to the public markets in 2022. He holds the Sachs Chair in Computer Science at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. Beyond Mobileye, he founded CogniTens in 1995, which was sold to Hexagon AB in 2007. He has also co-founded other AI ventures including OrCam Technologies (2010), AI21 Labs (2017), Mentee Robotics (2021), and launched One Zero, Israel's first fully digital bank (2019). His latest venture, AAI Technologies, was co-founded in 2024.
Moran Shemesh Rojansky, Chief Financial Officer
Moran Shemesh Rojansky was appointed Chief Financial Officer in September 2023. She joined Mobileye in 2016 and has served in roles such as Corporate Controller, Director of Finance, and Vice President of Finance. Prior to Mobileye, she worked as Head of Consolidation and Reporting at Tnuva Ltd. and as a senior manager in PwC Israel's accounting consulting services and advisory group.
Prof. Shai Shalev-Shwartz, Chief Technology Officer
Prof. Shai Shalev-Shwartz is the Chief Technology Officer at Mobileye. He co-authored a mathematical model for safe self-driving cars with Mobileye CEO Amnon Shashua. In 2024, he co-founded AAI Technologies with Amnon Shashua, focusing on superintelligence.
Liz Cohen-Yerushalmi, Chief Legal Officer and General Counsel
Liz Cohen-Yerushalmi serves as Mobileye's Chief Legal Officer and General Counsel.
Nimrod Nehushtan, Executive Vice President, Business Development & Strategy
Nimrod Nehushtan is the Executive Vice President of Business Development & Strategy at Mobileye.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Mobileye Global (MBLY) faces several key risks to its business as it navigates the rapidly evolving advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AV) markets:
- Intensifying Competition and Potential Market Share Erosion: The market for ADAS and autonomous driving technology is highly competitive, with formidable players such as Tesla, Waymo, NVIDIA, Bosch, Continental, and Aptiv vying for market share. Chinese EV manufacturers, in particular, are rapidly advancing their ADAS technology, often opting for in-house development or partnerships with local suppliers, which has led to market share losses for Mobileye within Chinese OEMs. Additionally, traditional automotive manufacturers are increasingly developing their own in-house solutions rather than relying solely on third-party providers. This competitive landscape poses a significant threat to Mobileye's market position and its ability to secure new OEM partnerships.
- Uncertainty and Slow Pace of Autonomous Driving Adoption and Deployment: The mass adoption of autonomous vehicles remains nascent, and the rollout of self-driving cars has faced delays. Achieving full autonomy requires substantial technological advancements to navigate any environment in any condition, and the industry continues to grapple with significant technical hurdles, including ensuring verifiable decision-making processes and robust technology platforms. Furthermore, a lack of clear, reliable, and consistent global regulatory frameworks and safety standards for autonomous driving creates uncertainty and can hinder commercial deployment. Accidents involving autonomous vehicles have also led to a more cautious approach, emphasizing safety over rapid deployment timelines, which can prolong development and increase liability risks for technology providers. These factors contribute to high research and development costs for Mobileye, impacting its profitability in the near term.
- Reliance on Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) Relationships and Projections: Mobileye's future growth and revenue are heavily dependent on securing design wins with Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and their actual vehicle production volumes. The company's estimates for future deployments are based on OEM projections, which may deviate from actual production. Delays in OEM decision-making regarding autonomous driving partnerships can also slow Mobileye's growth. Moreover, a significant portion of Mobileye's current revenue is concentrated in its EyeQ™ System-on-Chips (SoCs), with approximately 91% of its revenue derived from this product line, posing a concentration risk if demand for these specific SoCs fluctuates or if new competing technologies emerge.
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Mobileye Global (MBLY) operates within addressable markets that span various stages of growth and technological advancement in Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving solutions. The company identifies these markets as global in scope due to its worldwide customer base and collaborations with Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs). The addressable markets for Mobileye's main products and services are:- Current Total Addressable Market (TAM): Approximately $16 billion. This market is composed entirely of selected ADAS opportunities.
- Near-term TAM: Approximately $40 billion. This is projected for around 2026 and combines market opportunities in ADAS and Autonomous Vehicles (AV), including Autonomous Mobility as a Service (AMaaS).
- Long-term TAM: Approximately $480 billion. This is projected for around 2030 and also combines market opportunities in ADAS and AV, including AMaaS.
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Mobileye Global (MBLY) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key areas:
- Increased Adoption and Higher Average Selling Prices (ASPs) of Advanced ADAS Solutions: Mobileye anticipates substantial growth from its higher-value advanced driver-assistance systems such as SuperVision and Chauffeur. These solutions command significantly higher average system prices compared to its base EyeQ SoCs. The company expects continued strong growth in SuperVision volumes in 2024 and is expanding these advanced products into a greater number of vehicle models.
- Growth in EyeQ SoC Shipments, Fueled by New Generations: The company's core EyeQ System-on-Chips (SoCs) remain a vital revenue stream. Despite a temporary inventory drawdown by Tier 1 customers, Mobileye reported its best-ever design win quarter for cloud-enhanced ADAS in Q1 2024, primarily driven by the introduction of its next-generation high-volume ADAS chip, the EyeQ6L.
- Expansion into Autonomous Driving (AV) and Autonomous Mobility as a Service (AMaaS) Markets: Mobileye is actively developing and deploying Level 4 and Level 5 autonomous driving systems. Strategic partnerships, such as the planned robotaxi service with Lyft launching no later than 2026 and an expanded roadmap for robotaxi services with Volkswagen, are expected to open new and significant revenue streams from autonomous driving solutions. The acquisition of Mentee Robotics also positions Mobileye to explore opportunities in humanoid robotics.
- Robust Future Revenue Pipeline from Design Wins: Mobileye has consistently secured significant design wins with Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs), building a strong backlog of future revenue. For instance, design wins secured in 2023 are projected to generate an estimated $7.4 billion in future revenue across 61 million units. This growing pipeline provides strong visibility for long-term revenue.
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Share Repurchases
- Mobileye repurchased approximately $100 million of its Class A shares from Intel Overseas Funding Corporation in July 2025, concurrently with a secondary offering by Intel.
- This repurchase involved 6,231,985 shares of Mobileye's Class A common stock.
Share Issuance
- Mobileye Global went public through an Initial Public Offering (IPO) on October 26, 2022, with 41 million Class A shares offered at $21.00 each, raising $861 million.
- As part of the $900 million acquisition of Mentee Robotics, completed in February 2026, Mobileye issued 26,279,824 shares of its Class A common stock.
Inbound Investments
- General Atlantic invested $100 million in Mobileye by purchasing 4,761,905 shares of Class A common stock at the IPO price during a private placement concurrent with the IPO in October 2022.
Outbound Investments
- Mobileye Global completed the acquisition of Mentee Robotics Ltd. in February 2026 for a total of $900 million.
- The Mentee Robotics acquisition was structured with approximately $612 million in cash and the issuance of 26.2 million shares of Mobileye Class A common stock.
- This acquisition expands Mobileye's strategy beyond automotive autonomy into the broader Physical AI market, including humanoid robotics.
Capital Expenditures
- Mobileye's capital expenditures averaged around $14-$26 million per quarter as of Q1 2025.
- Cash used for purchases of property and equipment amounted to $52 million for the nine months ended September 27, 2025.
- Total capital expenditures for the full year 2025 were approximately $79 million to $81.03 million, primarily focused on investments in plant, property, and equipment, and related to the development of next-generation products.
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| 04102026 | QCOM | Qualcomm | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 40.2% | 40.2% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | WHR | Whirlpool | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -0.8% | -0.8% | -4.8% |
| 02272026 | MBLY | Mobileye Global | Dip Buy | DB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % EquityBuying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation | 2.7% | 2.7% | -22.5% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 93.43 |
| Mkt Cap | 141.0 |
| Rev LTM | 32,573 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,514 |
| FCF LTM | 782 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 848 |
| CFO LTM | 5,874 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6,455 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 16.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -9.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 19.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 141.0 |
| P/S | 7.0 |
| P/Op Inc | 15.4 |
| P/EBIT | -3.8 |
| P/E | 12.5 |
| P/CFO | 29.8 |
| Total Yield | 1.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 17.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 34.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 59.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 10.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 7.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -3.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobileye | 1,613 | 2,045 | 1,843 | 1,363 | 956 |
| Other | 41 | 34 | 26 | 23 | 11 |
| Amounts not allocated to segments profit or loss | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 1,654 | 2,079 | 1,869 | 1,386 | 967 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobileye | 203 | 477 | 555 | 499 | 264 |
| Other | -10 | -36 | -44 | -47 | -27 |
| Share-based compensation | -279 | ||||
| Amortization of intangible assets | -444 | ||||
| Goodwill impairment | -2,695 | ||||
| Amounts not allocated to segments profit or loss | -474 | -548 | -509 | -450 | |
| Total | -3,225 | -33 | -37 | -57 | -213 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $10.34 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 8.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/26/2022 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -45.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $8.47 | $10.96 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 22.1% | -5.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 56.9% | 51.4% |
| Downside Capture | 186.15 | 265.77 |
| Upside Capture | 192.12 | 129.30 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 44.2% | 45.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.06 | 1.64 | 1.73 | 1.76 | 1.79 | 1.73 |
| Up Beta | 1.66 | 1.95 | 2.02 | 2.06 | 2.19 | 1.71 |
| Down Beta | 2.35 | 1.94 | 2.40 | 0.98 | 1.68 | 1.66 |
| Up Capture | 165% | 149% | 127% | 143% | 104% | 223% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 20 | 28 | 56 | 118 | 362 |
| Down Capture | -812% | 139% | 157% | 195% | 167% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 23 | 36 | 69 | 133 | 387 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MBLY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MBLY | -37.0% | 51.4% | -0.73 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.4% | 18.0% | 0.55 | 37.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 30.3% | 11.8% | 1.94 | 45.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 37.5% | 26.7% | 1.17 | 4.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 39.6% | 18.8% | 1.63 | -19.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.5% | 13.1% | 0.64 | 22.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -31.8% | 41.6% | -0.81 | 24.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MBLY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MBLY | -18.2% | 60.4% | -0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 8.4% | 23.7% | 0.31 | 42.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.3% | 17.0% | 0.66 | 43.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.8% | 18.0% | 0.85 | 4.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.2% | 19.4% | 0.41 | 5.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 22.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.6% | 54.6% | 0.46 | 16.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MBLY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MBLY | -9.6% | 60.4% | -0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.3% | 22.0% | 0.55 | 42.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.9% | 17.9% | 0.76 | 43.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 16.0% | 0.69 | 4.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 17.9% | 0.33 | 5.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 22.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.0% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 16.8% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated N/A/N/A/N/A| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/23/2026 | 10.1% | 10.5% | 24.1% |
| 1/22/2026 | -3.4% | -12.6% | -16.8% |
| 10/23/2025 | -1.5% | -8.2% | -24.7% |
| 7/24/2025 | -4.2% | -13.4% | -13.7% |
| 4/24/2025 | 9.8% | 10.5% | 21.1% |
| 1/30/2025 | 1.9% | 0.9% | -1.6% |
| 10/31/2024 | 9.6% | 24.3% | 45.3% |
| 8/1/2024 | -22.5% | -28.6% | -33.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| # Negative | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 6.6% | 10.5% | 22.6% |
| Median Negative | -4.2% | -10.4% | -14.0% |
| Max Positive | 10.1% | 24.3% | 45.3% |
| Max Negative | -22.5% | -28.6% | -33.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/23/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 12/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 424B4 |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 5/28/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/23/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 1.94 Bil | 1.98 Bil | 2.02 Bil | 1.8% | Raised | Guidance: 1.94 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Operating Income | 185.00 Mil | 210.00 Mil | 235.00 Mil | 7.7% | Raised | Guidance: 195.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Operating Loss | -4.33 Bil | -4.31 Bil | -4.28 Bil | ||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/22/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue Growth | 19.0% | ||||||
| 2026 Revenue | 1.90 Bil | 1.94 Bil | 1.98 Bil | 4.0% | Higher New | Actual: 1.86 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Operating Income | 170.00 Mil | 195.00 Mil | 220.00 Mil | -29.0% | Lower New | Actual: 274.50 Mil for 2025 | |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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