Tearsheet

Mobileye Global (MBLY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.03 | Market Cap: $9.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Mobileye Global (MBLY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.03
Market Cap: $9.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -122%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -386 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -20%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 5.9x
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.5%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.1%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Technologies, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.5%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Technologies, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -122%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -386 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -20%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 5.9x
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MBLY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Mobileye Global (MBLY) stock moved by approximately -14.6% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025: 1. Market Reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings Report. Despite reporting third-quarter 2025 revenue that surpassed analyst estimates and non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) that met expectations, Mobileye's stock experienced moderate downward pressure in pre-market trading, declining approximately 2.4% following the October 23, 2025, release. This indicated that investors may have been anticipating stronger outperformance or reacted to other underlying concerns.

2. Gross Margin Compression. The company faced headwinds with declining gross margins in Q3 2025, with GAAP gross margin at 48% (down from 49% in Q3 2024) and adjusted gross margin at 67% (down from 68% in Q3 2024). This compression was primarily driven by lower Average Selling Prices (ASPs) for its EyeQ systems due to a product mix influenced by the China market and an increasing proportion of lower-margin IQ5 products.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MBLY Return---24%-54%-41%-66%
Peers Return37%9%-19%15%-25%14%18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MBLY Win Rate--100%58%33%40% 
Peers Win Rate63%53%38%47%35%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MBLY Max Drawdown----14%-76%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-63%-9%-41%-14%-37%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMBLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA


In The Past

Mobileye Global's stock fell -28.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/15/2023. A -28.1% loss requires a 39.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mobileye Global (MBLY)

Better Bets than Mobileye Global (MBLY)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MBLY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mobileye Global

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MBLYPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameMobileye.Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Mkt Price11.96108.33101.641.7278.0949.5063.80
Mkt Cap9.73.52.80.117.013.96.6
Rev LTM1,9383,8733,75967719,79441,7903,816
Op Inc LTM-386258341-42,0891,988300
FCF LTM628183366-221,6572,036497
FCF 3Y Avg390290258191,3411,133340
CFO LTM693301495-102,3423,526594
CFO 3Y Avg478372384372,1653,218431

Growth & Margins

MBLYPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameMobileye.Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Rev Chg LTM7.6%6.1%-4.0%-13.8%-1.0%-2.0%-1.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.1%-7.3%3.0%-11.0%7.7%4.0%3.5%
Rev Chg Q3.7%6.1%-6.4%-11.2%3.1%1.8%2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.9%1.5%-1.6%-3.1%0.8%0.4%0.6%
Op Mgn LTM-19.9%6.7%9.1%-0.6%10.6%4.8%5.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-14.9%7.2%7.9%2.3%9.8%4.6%5.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.3%0.1%-0.1%0.1%-0.0%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM35.8%7.8%13.2%-1.4%11.8%8.4%10.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.8%10.0%9.9%4.6%11.0%7.6%10.0%
FCF/Rev LTM32.4%4.7%9.7%-3.3%8.4%4.9%6.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.2%7.9%6.7%2.2%6.8%2.7%6.7%

Valuation

MBLYPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameMobileye.Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Mkt Cap9.73.52.80.117.013.96.6
P/S5.90.90.90.10.90.30.9
P/EBIT-3.814.38.8-19.89.67.18.0
P/E-34.227.810.6-1.518.512.911.8
P/CFO16.611.16.6-5.88.03.87.3
Total Yield-2.9%5.2%9.4%-68.2%5.4%11.8%5.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%4.1%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.8%13.3%8.0%-4.2%6.5%8.6%7.2%
D/E0.00.50.12.30.40.60.5
Net D/E-0.20.5-0.11.50.40.50.4

Returns

MBLYPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameMobileye.Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
1M Rtn-8.6%5.8%-4.7%8.2%-4.5%1.5%-1.5%
3M Rtn-12.7%-2.8%-16.9%3.0%-1.9%11.1%-2.4%
6M Rtn-28.7%25.7%23.4%22.9%18.5%39.5%23.1%
12M Rtn-31.8%23.2%7.4%-28.3%40.2%13.8%10.6%
3Y Rtn-62.6%198.4%-31.8%-76.5%-24.7%-8.8%-28.3%
1M Excs Rtn-8.6%5.9%-4.7%8.2%-4.5%1.5%-1.5%
3M Excs Rtn-24.8%-10.0%-24.1%-2.4%-8.3%4.9%-9.1%
6M Excs Rtn-43.4%11.0%8.7%8.1%3.8%24.7%8.4%
12M Excs Rtn-47.3%9.4%-4.1%-42.2%27.1%1.4%-1.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-129.9%143.7%-101.4%-146.0%-96.3%-79.2%-98.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mobileye2,0451,8431,363956879
Other342623110
Amounts not allocated to segments profit or loss00000
Total2,0791,8691,386967879


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mobileye477555499264241
Other-36-44-47-270
Amounts not allocated to segments profit or loss-474-548-509-450-327
Total-33-37-57-213-86


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity24,538,130
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120257.8%
Average Daily Volume3,723,013
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.59
Basic Shares Quantity814,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023511202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221207202210-Q 10/1/2022
1231202110272022424B4 12/25/2021