Tearsheet

Mobileye Global (MBLY)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $10.15 | Market Cap: $8.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Mobileye Global (MBLY)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $10.15
Market Cap: $8.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -118%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -138%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -386 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -20%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 5.9x
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.5%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.1%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Technologies, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
  Key risks
MBLY key risks include [1] its high customer concentration amid the growing trend of OEM vertical integration and [2] its dependency on a sole supplier for its critical EyeQ system-on-chips.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.5%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Technologies, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -118%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -138%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -386 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -20%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 5.9x
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.1%
8 Key risks
MBLY key risks include [1] its high customer concentration amid the growing trend of OEM vertical integration and [2] its dependency on a sole supplier for its critical EyeQ system-on-chips.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MBLY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Mobileye Global (MBLY) experienced a stock decline of 27.8% due to several key factors.

1. Weakening Demand and Customer Inventory Destocking, particularly in China. Mobileye faced a "multi-quarter reset in customer ordering" due to excess inventory buildup, especially among Chinese automotive manufacturers, leading to a fall in demand for its ADAS products. This situation was exacerbated by intense competition from local Chinese companies offering more affordable self-driving software.

2. Staff Reductions Amidst Demand Challenges. In December 2025, Mobileye announced a 5% reduction in its workforce, directly attributing it to the decline in demand and the need to cut costs. These layoffs signaled to investors that the company was facing significant operational challenges and a re-evaluation of its growth trajectory.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MBLY Return24%-54%-48%
Peers Return55%60%-48%68%21%33%250%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MBLY Win Rate100%58%33%33% 
Peers Win Rate65%60%33%58%48%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MBLY Max Drawdown-14%-76%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-8%-56%-16%-30%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NVDA, QCOM, APTV, INTC, AMBA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMBLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA


In The Past

Mobileye Global's stock fell -28.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/15/2023. A -28.1% loss requires a 39.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mobileye Global (MBLY)

Better Bets than Mobileye Global (MBLY)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MBLY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mobileye Global

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MBLYNVDAQCOMAPTVINTCAMBAMedian
NameMobileye.NVIDIA Qualcomm Aptiv Intel Ambarella 
Mkt Price10.11170.94172.3476.7536.0569.9873.37
Mkt Cap8.24,538.9185.816.7162.73.589.7
Rev LTM1,938187,14244,28419,79453,43937432,039
Op Inc LTM-386110,12212,3942,089-104-891,000
FCF LTM62877,32412,8201,657-8,418641,142
FCF 3Y Avg39050,46211,2771,341-11,22726866
CFO LTM69383,15914,0122,3428,574805,458
CFO 3Y Avg47853,65212,5042,16510,957386,561

Growth & Margins

MBLYNVDAQCOMAPTVINTCAMBAMedian
NameMobileye.NVIDIA Qualcomm Aptiv Intel Ambarella 
Rev Chg LTM7.6%65.2%13.7%-1.0%-1.5%48.1%10.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.1%91.6%1.2%7.7%-7.6%6.9%6.5%
Rev Chg Q3.7%62.5%10.0%3.1%2.8%31.2%6.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.9%13.3%2.4%0.8%0.7%7.4%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-19.9%58.8%28.0%10.6%-0.2%-23.9%5.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-14.9%55.8%25.9%9.8%-3.7%-44.4%3.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.8%-0.2%0.1%8.1%4.4%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM35.8%44.4%31.6%11.8%16.0%21.4%26.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.8%46.2%31.5%11.0%20.5%11.3%22.7%
FCF/Rev LTM32.4%41.3%28.9%8.4%-15.8%17.2%23.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.2%43.4%28.4%6.8%-20.9%7.3%13.8%

Valuation

MBLYNVDAQCOMAPTVINTCAMBAMedian
NameMobileye.NVIDIA Qualcomm Aptiv Intel Ambarella 
Mkt Cap8.24,538.9185.816.7162.73.589.7
P/S5.924.34.00.92.89.55.0
P/EBIT-3.8-13.59.653.0-11.5
P/E-34.245.832.418.5764.9-44.425.4
P/CFO16.654.612.88.017.744.217.1
Total Yield-2.9%2.2%5.2%5.4%0.1%-2.3%1.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.8%-7.0%6.5%-9.1%-4.7%
D/E0.0-0.10.40.3-0.2
Net D/E-0.2-0.00.40.1-0.1

Returns

MBLYNVDAQCOMAPTVINTCAMBAMedian
NameMobileye.NVIDIA Qualcomm Aptiv Intel Ambarella 
1M Rtn-14.5%-8.4%3.9%-0.1%3.9%-16.7%-4.3%
3M Rtn-29.1%0.4%4.8%-7.4%44.8%-12.2%-3.5%
6M Rtn-33.9%17.5%13.4%13.4%67.8%32.4%15.5%
12M Rtn-48.5%31.1%11.6%32.6%76.4%-5.2%21.4%
3Y Rtn-70.1%932.6%61.1%-17.9%38.9%-15.3%11.8%
1M Excs Rtn-15.3%-9.1%3.1%-0.9%3.1%-17.5%-5.0%
3M Excs Rtn-32.1%-4.4%1.7%-11.4%16.6%-16.7%-7.9%
6M Excs Rtn-46.3%5.1%1.0%1.1%55.4%20.0%3.1%
12M Excs Rtn-53.3%16.3%0.1%21.3%66.2%-14.6%8.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-137.8%807.4%-16.2%-88.6%-38.1%-80.9%-59.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mobileye2,0451,8431,363956879
Other342623110
Amounts not allocated to segments profit or loss00000
Total2,0791,8691,386967879


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mobileye477555499264241
Other-36-44-47-270
Amounts not allocated to segments profit or loss-474-548-509-450-327
Total-33-37-57-213-86


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity24,499,175
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.2%
Average Daily Volume4,478,363
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.47
Basic Shares Quantity814,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/2025-1.5%-8.2%-24.7%
7/8/2025-7.1%-13.5%-25.4%
4/24/20259.8%10.5%21.1%
1/30/20251.9%0.9%-1.6%
10/31/20249.6%24.3%45.3%
8/1/2024-22.5%-28.6%-33.1%
4/25/2024-0.7%-7.2%-11.4%
1/4/2024-24.5%-22.9%-33.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive554
# Negative778
Median Positive7.2%10.5%24.7%
Median Negative-7.1%-13.5%-20.2%
Max Positive9.8%24.3%45.3%
Max Negative-24.5%-28.6%-33.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023511202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221207202210-Q 10/1/2022
1231202110272022424B4 12/25/2021