Tearsheet

Mobileye Global (MBLY)


Market Price (12/27/2025): $10.42 | Market Cap: $8.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Mobileye Global (MBLY)


Market Price (12/27/2025): $10.42
Market Cap: $8.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -122%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -150%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -386 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -20%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.4x
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42%
  Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
3 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.4%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.1%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Technologies, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
  Key risks
MBLY key risks include [1] its high customer concentration amid the growing trend of OEM vertical integration and [2] its dependency on a sole supplier for its critical EyeQ system-on-chips.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42%
3 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.4%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Technologies, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -122%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -150%
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -386 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -20%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.4x
8 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.1%
10 Key risks
MBLY key risks include [1] its high customer concentration amid the growing trend of OEM vertical integration and [2] its dependency on a sole supplier for its critical EyeQ system-on-chips.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MBLY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Mobileye Global (MBLY) experienced a significant stock decline of approximately 25.6% between August 31, 2025, and December 27, 2025, influenced by several factors.

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<b>1. Lowered 2025 Revenue Guidance and Competition in China:</b> In October 2025, Mobileye released its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 results, forecasting 2025 revenue between $1,690 million and $1,810 million, which fell below Wall Street's expectations. This conservative outlook was attributed to anticipated weaker shipments for assisted driving technology in China, facing stiff competition from local players and potential macroeconomic deterioration in the second half of 2025.

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<b>2. Bearish Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings:</b> Throughout the period, there was a prevailing bearish sentiment surrounding MBLY stock. By December 26, 2025, technical analysis indicators signaled a bearish outlook, with more bearish signals than bullish ones. Several analysts also lowered their price targets for Mobileye Global in September and October 2025, contributing to a consensus "Hold" rating with an average target price significantly higher than the then-current trading price.

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<b>3. Stock Price Decline and Sell Signals:</b> The stock experienced consistent declines, notably falling for six consecutive days leading up to December 18, 2025, resulting in an overall decline of 15.05% over a ten-day period. Sell signals were generated from both short and long-term moving averages, and a pivot top point in early December 2025 further indicated potential for continued declines.

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<b>4. Q3 2025 Earnings Reaction:</b> Despite Mobileye reporting better-than-expected Q3 2025 revenue and meeting EPS forecasts on October 23, 2025, the stock experienced a pre-market decline of 2.87%. This market reaction suggested cautious investor sentiment, possibly due to broader market trends or the stock's high revenue multiple.

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<b>5. New 52-Week Low:</b> Mobileye Global's stock hit a new 52-week low of $10.70 on December 15, 2025, reflecting a significant drop from its 52-week high of $22.51. This indicates a sustained downward trend and a significant erosion of investor confidence over the year.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -24.8% change in MBLY stock from 9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -25.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
926202512262025Change
Stock Price ($)13.8510.42-24.77%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1920.001938.000.94%
P/S Multiple5.864.38-25.28%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)812.00814.00-0.25%
Cumulative Contribution-24.77%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MBLY-24.8% 
Market (SPY)4.3%61.1%
Sector (XLY)1.8%55.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -43.2% change in MBLY stock from 6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -45.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
627202512262025Change
Stock Price ($)18.3410.42-43.18%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1853.001938.004.59%
P/S Multiple8.044.38-45.54%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)812.00814.00-0.25%
Cumulative Contribution-43.18%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MBLY-43.2% 
Market (SPY)12.6%48.7%
Sector (XLY)11.9%49.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -46.5% change in MBLY stock from 12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -50.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1226202412262025Change
Stock Price ($)19.4710.42-46.48%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1801.001938.007.61%
P/S Multiple8.774.38-50.08%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)811.00814.00-0.37%
Cumulative Contribution-46.48%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MBLY-46.5% 
Market (SPY)15.8%59.1%
Sector (XLY)5.2%57.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -69.6% change in MBLY stock from 12/27/2022 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -2.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
1227202212262025Change
Stock Price ($)34.3210.42-69.64%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1938.00
P/S Multiple4.38
Shares Outstanding (Mil)795.76814.00-2.29%
Cumulative Contribution

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/27/2023 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MBLY-76.3% 
Market (SPY)48.0%45.9%
Sector (XLY)37.0%46.3%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MBLY Return--21%24%-54%-49%-65%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MBLY Win Rate--67%58%33%33% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MBLY Max Drawdown---12%-14%-76%-50% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMBLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Mobileye Global's stock fell -28.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/15/2023. A -28.1% loss requires a 39.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Mobileye Global (MBLY)

Mobileye is a leader in the development and deployment of advanced driver assistance systems (“ADAS”) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions. We pioneered ADAS technology more than 20 years ago and have continuously expanded the scope of our ADAS offerings, while leading the evolution to autonomous driving solutions. Our portfolio of solutions is built upon a comprehensive suite of purpose-built software and hardware technologies designed to provide the capabilities needed to make the future of ADAS and autonomous driving a reality. These technologies can be harnessed to deliver mission-critical capabilities at the edge and in the cloud, advancing the safety of road users, and revolutionizing the driving experience and the movement of people and goods globally. While today ADAS is central to the advancement of automotive safety, we believe that the future of mobility is autonomous. However, mass adoption of autonomous vehicles is still nascent. Full autonomy — where a human is not actively engaged in driving the vehicle for extended periods of time — requires the autonomous driving solution to be capable of navigating any environment in any condition at any time. Additionally, developing a technology platform whose decision-making process and resulting actions are verifiable is critical to enabling autonomous driving solutions at scale. The ability to drive autonomously not only requires a substantial amount of data, but also a robust technology platform that can withstand the validation and audit process of global regulatory bodies. Finally, the autonomous driving solution needs to be produced at a cost that makes it affordable. We are building our technology platform to address these fundamental and significant challenges in order to enable the full spectrum of solutions, from ADAS to autonomous driving. We believe that our industry-leading technology platform, built upon over 20 years of research, development, data collection and validation, and purpose-built software and hardware design, gives us a differentiated ability to not only deliver excellent safety ratings and maintain a leadership position with our ADAS solutions, but also to make the mass deployment of autonomous driving solutions a reality. We also believe that the breadth of our solutions, combined with our global customer base, represents a significant market opportunity for us. Our platform is modular by design, and it is highly customizable, which allows our customers to benefit from our cutting-edge, verified, and validated core ADAS capabilities, while enabling our customers to augment and differentiate their offerings. We estimate the current total addressable market (“TAM”) to be approximately $16 billion, composed entirely of selected ADAS market opportunities. We expect the near-term TAM to be approximately $40 billion and the long-term TAM to be approximately $480 billion, as the value of ADAS functionality increases and as Autonomous Vehicle (“AV”) deployment, both in consumer-owned vehicles and fleet-owned vehicle networks, accelerates. We define the near-term TAM as the market size in or about 2026 and the long-term TAM as the market size in or about 2030. The TAM combines market opportunities in ADAS and AV, including Autonomous Mobility as a Service (“AMaaS”). --- As of October 1, 2022, our solutions had been installed in approximately 800 vehicle models (including local country, year, and other vehicle model variations), and our System-on-Chips (“SoCs”) had been deployed in over 125 million vehicles. We are actively working with more than 50 Original Equipment Manufacturers (“OEMs”) worldwide on the implementation of our ADAS solutions, and we announced over 40 new design wins in 2021 alone. In the nine months ended October 1, 2022, we shipped approximately 24.0 million of our SoCs. This represents an increase from the approximately 21.2 million of our SoCs that we shipped in the first nine months of 2021. In 2021, 2020, and 2019, we shipped approximately 28.1 million, 19.7 million, and 17.5 million, respectively, of our SoCs. We estimate, based on our existing design wins through October 1, 2022, that our ADAS solutions will be deployed in more than an additional 270 million vehicles by 2030, including approximately 54 million vehicles based on our 2022 design wins through October 1, 2022 and approximately 50 million vehicles based on our 2021 design wins. These estimates are based on projections of future production volumes that were provided by the OEMs at the time of sourcing our design wins with them for the models related to those design wins. These estimates may deviate from actual production volume (which may be higher or lower than the estimates) and do not include design wins after October 1, 2022. Mobileye was founded in Israel in 1999. Our principal executive offices are located at Har Hotzvim, 13 Hartom Street, Jerusalem.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Mobileye Global (MBLY):

  • NVIDIA for automotive vision and autonomous driving AI.
  • Qualcomm for the automotive world's smart vision and driver assistance systems.
  • Like Google's Waymo or Tesla's Autopilot, but as a technology supplier selling the 'brains and eyes' for self-driving to most major automakers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • EyeQ System-on-Chip (SoC) Family: These are specialized processors designed for real-time computer vision and machine learning tasks in vehicles, powering advanced driver-assistance systems and autonomous driving functions.
  • Advanced Driver-Assistance Systems (ADAS) Solutions: Comprehensive software and hardware packages that enable features like automatic emergency braking, lane-keeping assist, and adaptive cruise control for automakers.
  • Mobileye Drive (Autonomous Driving System): A full-stack solution encompassing hardware, software, mapping, and policy control designed for Level 4 autonomous vehicles.
  • Road Experience Management (REM™) Mapping Technology: A proprietary crowdsourced mapping solution that creates and updates high-definition, localized maps essential for autonomous driving.
  • Aftermarket Collision Avoidance Systems: Standalone camera-based systems that can be installed in existing vehicles to provide safety alerts and help prevent accidents.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Customers of Mobileye Global (MBLY)

Mobileye Global (MBLY) sells primarily to other companies, specifically global automotive manufacturers (OEMs) and, to a lesser extent, Tier 1 suppliers that integrate Mobileye's advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies into vehicles. This is a business-to-business (B2B) model.

While Mobileye's SEC filings indicate that a few major customers account for a significant portion of its revenue, the company does not typically disclose the names of these top customers directly in its public filings for competitive reasons. However, based on various public announcements, design wins, and industry partnerships, the following are widely recognized as major customers or significant partners:

  • Volkswagen Group (includes brands like Volkswagen, Audi, Porsche): VWAGY (OTC)
  • BMW Group (includes brands like BMW, MINI): BMWYY (OTC)
  • Ford Motor Company: F (NYSE)
  • General Motors: GM (NYSE)
  • Nissan Motor Co., Ltd.: NSANY (OTC)
  • Geely Automobile Holdings Limited (parent company of brands like Volvo, Zeekr, Polestar – with Zeekr being a significant partner for Mobileye's more advanced Drive systems): GELYF (OTC)
  • NIO Inc.: NIO (NYSE)

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Intel Corporation (INTC)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Professor Amnon Shashua, President and CEO

Professor Amnon Shashua co-founded Mobileye in 1999. The company went public in 2014, was acquired by Intel in 2017 for $15.3 billion, and then returned to the public markets in 2022. He is a professor of computer science at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. Shashua has a history of founding other companies, including OrCam Technologies (2010), AI21 Labs (2017), One Zero (Israel's first fully digital bank, 2019), Mentee Robotics (2021), and AAI Technologies (2024).

Moran Shemesh Rojansky, Chief Financial Officer

Moran Shemesh Rojansky joined Mobileye in 2016 and has held various positions, including Corporate Controller, Director of Finance, and Vice President of Finance. She was appointed acting CFO in June 2023 and then permanently as Chief Financial Officer in September 2023. Before Mobileye, she served as head of consolidation and reporting at Tnuva Ltd. from 2013 to 2016 and as a senior manager in the accounting consulting services and advisory group at PwC Israel.

Professor Shai Shalev-Shwartz, Chief Technology Officer

Professor Shai Shalev-Shwartz serves as Mobileye's Chief Technology Officer. He is also a professor.

Liz Cohen-Yerushalmi, Chief Legal Officer and General Counsel

Liz Cohen-Yerushalmi is Mobileye's Chief Legal Officer and General Counsel.

Nimrod Nehushtan, Executive Vice President, Business Development & Strategy

Nimrod Nehushtan holds the position of Executive Vice President, Business Development & Strategy at Mobileye.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key risks to Mobileye Global (MBLY) include intense competition, customer concentration coupled with the risk of vertical integration by original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and vulnerabilities within its supply chain.

  1. Intense Competition and In-house Development: Mobileye operates in a highly competitive market for advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies. Competitors such as Tesla, Waymo, Nvidia, and various Chinese EV manufacturers are significantly investing in research and development and intensifying their efforts. Mobileye must continuously innovate and differentiate its offerings to maintain its market position, especially as some OEMs increasingly opt to develop solutions internally or partner with local suppliers, particularly in China.
  2. Customer Concentration and Risk of Vertical Integration: Mobileye's financial performance is closely tied to a limited number of key customers. This makes the company vulnerable to fluctuations in these customers' purchasing patterns, production levels, or strategic decisions. A significant risk arises from the growing trend of OEMs, particularly in China, developing their own in-house ADAS and autonomous driving solutions, which could lead to a reduction in demand for Mobileye's products.
  3. Supply Chain Vulnerabilities: Mobileye has experienced past supply chain disruptions, and a significant risk stems from its reliance on a single supplier, STMicroelectronics, for its critical EyeQ system-on-chips (SoCs). Any future constraints or issues with this sole supplier could adversely affect Mobileye's ability to meet customer demands, impact operational efficiency, and consequently, its financial performance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The increasing trend among major automotive manufacturers to develop their advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) software and hardware stacks in-house or to partner exclusively with full-stack platform providers. This vertical integration directly challenges Mobileye's traditional business model of supplying modular vision-based solutions and chips, as automakers seek greater control, differentiation, and a unified architecture for their next-generation vehicles, potentially reducing reliance on third-party component suppliers like Mobileye.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Mobileye Global's main products and services are substantial and projected to grow significantly, primarily within the global Advanced Driver-Assistance Systems (ADAS) and Autonomous Vehicle (AV) sectors.

Currently, Mobileye estimates its total addressable market (TAM) to be approximately $16 billion, entirely derived from selected ADAS market opportunities. This market is expected to expand considerably, with a near-term TAM projected at approximately $40 billion around 2026. Looking further out, the long-term TAM for Mobileye is estimated to reach approximately $480 billion by 2030, driven by the increasing value of ADAS functionality and the acceleration of AV deployment, including Autonomous Mobility as a Service (AMaaS).

Specifically, the global ADAS market was valued at $42.9 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 17.8% between 2025 and 2034. Another estimate indicates the ADAS market will grow from $34.68 billion to $98.65 billion at a CAGR of 11.02% during 2025–2034. Mobileye is a dominant player in this space, holding approximately 65% to 70% of the global ADAS market share.

Beyond ADAS, the global autonomous vehicle market is also experiencing rapid growth. It was valued at $1921.1 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $13632.4 billion by 2030, demonstrating a robust CAGR of 32.3% during this period.

Mobileye's primary products, which contribute to these markets, include their EyeQ™ System-on-Chips (SoCs) for ADAS, and advanced solutions like Mobileye SuperVision™, Mobileye Chauffeur™, and Mobileye Drive™ for higher levels of autonomous driving.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Mobileye Global (MBLY) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key initiatives and market trends:

  1. Expansion of Advanced Driver-Assistance Systems (ADAS) Market Share: Mobileye aims to sustain and expand its presence in the ADAS market, particularly outside of China. The company has secured long-term ADAS design wins with its top ten customers, with many of these agreements extending into the early 2030s. This growth is anticipated to be fueled by increasing adoption of ADAS technologies.
  2. Ramp-up and Commercialization of Advanced Products: A significant driver will be the successful launch and scaling of Mobileye's advanced product portfolio, including SuperVision, Chauffeur, and Drive. The SuperVision system has already seen a successful launch in China and secured design wins with major automotive groups like Volkswagen. New product launches, particularly the Drive technology, are expected to become substantial growth contributors by 2027, complementing SuperVision. Additionally, the EyeQ6 High-based surround ADAS systems are developing as a next-generation standard for high-volume vehicle platforms.
  3. Increased Content Per Vehicle: Mobileye anticipates revenue growth from substantially increasing the content of its technology per vehicle within the ADAS segment. This is supported by regulatory changes expected by the end of the decade, which could pave the way for higher Average Selling Price (ASP) systems. The adoption of advanced EyeQ6 high-based surround ADAS programs in mass-market vehicles exemplifies this trend.
  4. New Customer Acquisitions and Market Penetration: The company is continuously expanding its customer base and market reach, evidenced by new customer additions such as Volvo and growing potential in markets like India. Mobileye consistently wins new programs and is engaged with numerous OEMs for advanced product solutions, indicating broad-based demand across various regions and automakers, including China-based OEMs.
  5. Scaling of Robotaxi and Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) Solutions: Mobileye is actively developing and testing its Mobileye Drive product for MaaS applications. Strategic partnerships with key players such as Volkswagen's Mobility arm MOIA, Japanese fleet manager Marubeni, Uber, and Lyft are crucial for scaling robotaxi deployments. The company is preparing for the commercial deployment of its autonomous technologies by 2027.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • On July 8, 2025, Mobileye Global announced an equity buyback program for $100 million worth of its shares.
  • The company completed this $100 million share repurchase, buying back 6,231,985 shares from Intel Overseas Funding Corporation, between July 9 and July 11, 2025.

Share Issuance

  • Mobileye Global went public for the second time in October 2022 through an IPO, offering 41 million shares and raising $861 million.
  • In July 2025, Intel Overseas Funding Corporation, a subsidiary of Intel Corporation, commenced a secondary public offering of 45 million shares of Mobileye's Class A common stock, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional 6.75 million shares.
  • Mobileye did not sell any shares in this secondary offering and did not receive any proceeds from Intel's sale of shares.

Inbound Investments

  • Mobileye was acquired by Intel Corporation in 2017 for $15.3 billion, becoming a wholly-owned subsidiary.
  • Following its re-listing in October 2022, Intel retained majority ownership, holding approximately 99.3% of the voting power as of December 31, 2022.
  • As of September 27, 2025, Intel maintained a significant stake, holding around 79.6% of Mobileye's outstanding common stock and 97.3% of its voting power.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2020, Mobileye acquired Moovit, a mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) company, for approximately $900 million to enhance its MaaS offerings.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures have remained moderate, averaging around $14-$26 million per quarter as of Q1 2025, primarily for investments in plant, property, and equipment.
  • Cash used for purchases of property and equipment totaled $52 million for the nine months ended September 27, 2025.
  • Mobileye has an operating expense budget of $1 billion for 2025, with $600 million specifically allocated to future investments in AI and advanced products.

Better Bets than Mobileye Global (MBLY)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to MBLY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.7%13.7%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.0%6.0%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.7%19.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Mobileye Global

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MBLYHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameMobileye.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price10.4223.2624.49305.0978.16273.4051.32
Mkt Cap8.521.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM1,93855,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM-3863,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM6282,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg3902,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM6933,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg4783,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

MBLYHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameMobileye.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM7.6%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.1%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q3.7%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.9%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-19.9%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-14.9%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM35.8%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%22.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.8%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM32.4%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%20.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.2%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%19.4%

Valuation

MBLYHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameMobileye.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap8.521.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S4.40.41.04.45.410.04.4
P/EBIT-2.86.819.925.122.531.321.2
P/E-25.28.6572.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO12.25.911.221.122.537.516.7
Total Yield-4.0%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.8%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%5.7%
D/E0.00.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E-0.20.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

MBLYHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameMobileye.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn-8.9%-1.8%14.4%0.6%2.7%-1.5%-0.4%
3M Rtn-24.8%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%4.9%
6M Rtn-43.2%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%10.9%
12M Rtn-46.5%-27.3%14.2%39.2%33.7%6.0%10.1%
3Y Rtn-69.6%-3.8%67.7%139.0%79.5%113.4%73.6%
1M Excs Rtn-9.8%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-3.0%
3M Excs Rtn-29.1%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn-55.4%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%-1.3%
12M Excs Rtn-59.7%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%-4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-150.4%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%-6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mobileye2,0451,8431,363956879
Other342623110
Amounts not allocated to segments profit or loss00000
Total2,0791,8691,386967879


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mobileye477555499264241
Other-36-44-47-270
Amounts not allocated to segments profit or loss-474-548-509-450-327
Total-33-37-57-213-86


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$10.42 
Market Cap ($ Bil)8.5 
First Trading Date10/26/2022 
Distance from 52W High-52.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$12.06$14.29
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-13.6%-27.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility43.8%59.1%
Downside Capture295.48220.60
Upside Capture100.36127.10
Correlation (SPY)61.1%58.9%
MBLY Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.852.092.222.221.801.67
Up Beta1.672.132.503.171.791.64
Down Beta0.702.272.282.461.881.70
Up Capture129%112%131%94%172%253%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days9203059119365
Down Capture239%241%246%221%143%111%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days11223366129382

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
null
Based On 5-Year Data
null
Based On 10-Year Data
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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21,707,996
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-11.4%
Average Daily Volume4,089,907
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.31
Basic Shares Quantity814,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/2025-1.5%-8.2%-24.7%
7/8/2025-7.1%-13.5%-25.4%
4/24/20259.8%10.5%21.1%
1/30/20251.9%0.9%-1.6%
10/31/20249.6%24.3%45.3%
8/1/2024-22.5%-28.6%-33.1%
4/25/2024-0.7%-7.2%-11.4%
1/4/2024-24.5%-22.9%-33.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive554
# Negative778
Median Positive7.2%10.5%24.7%
Median Negative-7.1%-13.5%-20.2%
Max Positive9.8%24.3%45.3%
Max Negative-24.5%-28.6%-33.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023511202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221207202210-Q 10/1/2022
1231202110272022424B4 12/25/2021