Tearsheet

ManpowerGroup (MAN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $29.48 | Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Human Resource & Employment Services

ManpowerGroup (MAN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $29.48
Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Human Resource & Employment Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -35%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -100%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 77%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.1%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.7%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
  Key risks
MAN key risks include [1] heavy revenue exposure to economic slowdowns in its core European markets, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Work. Themes include Workforce Transformation, Talent Acquisition & Management, and Upskilling & Reskilling.
  
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -35%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.1%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Work. Themes include Workforce Transformation, Talent Acquisition & Management, and Upskilling & Reskilling.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -100%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -129%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 77%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.7%
8 Key risks
MAN key risks include [1] heavy revenue exposure to economic slowdowns in its core European markets, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MAN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining ManpowerGroup's (MAN) stock movement of -28.6% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Disappointing Q3 2025 Earnings Report. ManpowerGroup reported a substantial decrease in net income for the third quarter of 2025, with net income falling to $18 million from $22.8 million in the prior year. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) was $0.38, missing analyst consensus estimates by 53.3%. The company also reported a net loss of $43.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to a net income of $122.6 million a year ago.

2. Persistent Margin Pressure. The company experienced margin pressure, with its gross profit margin declining to 16.6%. This was attributed to lower permanent recruitment activity, reduced outplacement services, and a shift in business mix towards enterprise clients, which typically command lower margins.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MAN Return-5%11%-12%-1%-24%-47%-63%
Peers Return12%55%-26%28%-14%-35%-8%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MAN Win Rate50%50%50%33%25%42% 
Peers Win Rate62%70%35%57%40%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MAN Max Drawdown-47%-4%-33%-16%-25%-53% 
Peers Max Drawdown-53%-5%-34%-12%-24%-45% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RHI, ASGN, KFY, NSP, TNET. See MAN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMANS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven91.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven350 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-54.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven117.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-75.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven302.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,458 days1,480 days

Compare to BCO, MGRC, KW, ELCG, ADP


In The Past

ManpowerGroup's stock fell -47.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -47.8% loss requires a 91.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ManpowerGroup (MAN)

Better Bets than ManpowerGroup (MAN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MAN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ManpowerGroup

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MANRHIASGNKFYNSPTNETMedian
NameManpower.Robert H.ASGN Korn Fer.InsperityTrinet  
Mkt Price29.5128.2348.7369.0539.3861.5144.05
Mkt Cap1.42.82.13.61.53.02.5
Rev LTM17,6445,4583,9852,8426,7575,0395,249
Op Inc LTM22611824836621236231
FCF LTM-9323728327351238237
FCF 3Y Avg10441034726099420304
CFO LTM-3529232635486307300
CFO 3Y Avg170462386325137494355

Growth & Margins

MANRHIASGNKFYNSPTNETMedian
NameManpower.Robert H.ASGN Korn Fer.InsperityTrinet  
Rev Chg LTM-2.4%-7.3%-4.9%3.7%3.2%-1.1%-1.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.7%-9.1%-3.8%-0.1%5.7%1.0%-1.9%
Rev Chg Q2.3%-7.5%-1.9%7.0%4.0%-1.6%0.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%-2.0%-0.5%1.7%0.9%-0.4%0.1%
Op Mgn LTM1.3%2.2%6.2%12.9%0.3%4.7%3.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.7%5.0%7.3%11.1%2.2%7.7%6.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%-0.8%-0.2%0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-0.2%5.4%8.2%12.4%1.3%6.1%5.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg0.9%7.5%9.1%11.6%2.1%9.8%8.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.5%4.3%7.1%9.6%0.8%4.7%4.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.5%6.6%8.2%9.3%1.5%8.3%7.4%

Valuation

MANRHIASGNKFYNSPTNETMedian
NameManpower.Robert H.ASGN Korn Fer.InsperityTrinet  
Mkt Cap1.42.82.13.61.53.02.5
P/S0.10.60.51.30.30.60.6
P/EBIT10.328.78.3-34.613.613.6
P/E-83.921.815.813.8110.024.118.8
P/CFO-49.811.66.310.221.710.510.3
Total Yield2.9%11.5%6.3%8.6%4.5%5.7%6.0%
Dividend Yield4.1%6.9%0.0%1.4%3.6%1.6%2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.0%6.8%10.8%-3.0%8.9%6.8%
D/E0.90.10.6-0.20.30.3
Net D/E0.8-0.00.5--0.00.20.2

Returns

MANRHIASGNKFYNSPTNETMedian
NameManpower.Robert H.ASGN Korn Fer.InsperityTrinet  
1M Rtn8.1%10.3%17.3%8.7%25.3%12.3%11.3%
3M Rtn-19.9%-16.9%-1.6%-4.0%-22.0%-9.3%-13.1%
6M Rtn-23.9%-29.1%-1.1%-1.5%-32.7%-17.5%-20.7%
12M Rtn-47.8%-59.6%-44.1%2.2%-48.5%-31.4%-46.0%
3Y Rtn-59.7%-56.6%-40.0%47.9%-61.8%-2.6%-48.3%
1M Excs Rtn7.3%9.6%16.5%7.9%24.6%11.6%10.6%
3M Excs Rtn-21.8%-19.2%-6.3%-6.7%-23.6%-10.5%-14.9%
6M Excs Rtn-36.3%-41.5%-13.5%-13.9%-45.1%-29.9%-33.1%
12M Excs Rtn-60.7%-71.7%-55.7%-10.0%-61.7%-45.7%-58.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-129.5%-126.1%-111.5%-26.3%-131.9%-75.7%-118.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Staffing and Interim16,52917,35818,20615,79218,486
Outcome-Based Solutions and Consulting1,4121,4381,5981,4401,462
Permanent Recruitment615758623435578
Other444354335334338
Intercompany Eliminations-86-80-38  
Total18,91419,82820,72418,00120,864


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,444,317
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.3%
Average Daily Volume1,058,795
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.14
Basic Shares Quantity46,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/16/2025-6.5%-12.2%-24.1%
7/17/20252.9%4.6%-4.4%
4/17/2025-19.1%-15.4%-11.2%
1/30/20250.5%-3.6%-4.6%
10/17/2024-9.8%-16.2%-15.0%
7/18/2024-1.1%-2.0%-5.0%
4/18/20245.7%10.0%10.2%
1/30/20240.7%-4.5%-4.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101111
# Negative141313
Median Positive3.9%4.5%10.2%
Median Negative-3.9%-4.5%-7.1%
Max Positive7.6%17.8%23.0%
Max Negative-19.1%-16.2%-24.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021