ManpowerGroup (MAN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.79 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Human Resource & Employment Services
ManpowerGroup (MAN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.79Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Human Resource & Employment Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -35% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -134% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 77% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 4.1% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.7% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work. Themes include Workforce Transformation, Talent Acquisition & Management, and Upskilling & Reskilling. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -35% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 4.1% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work. Themes include Workforce Transformation, Talent Acquisition & Management, and Upskilling & Reskilling. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -134% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 77% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.7% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MAN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The search results provide ManpowerGroup's Q3 2025 earnings reported on October 16, 2025, Q2 2025 earnings reported on July 17, 2025, and Q1 2025 earnings reported on April 17, 2025. There is no information indicating a 30.4% stock drop for ManpowerGroup (MAN) between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. The Q3 2025 report mentions an increase in revenues of 2% from the prior year period, and organic constant currency revenue growth after 11 consecutive quarters of decline. The net earnings per diluted share for Q3 2025 were $0.38, compared to $0.47 in the prior year period, with restructuring costs and Argentina hyperinflationary related non-cash currency translation losses reducing EPS by $0.45 in Q3 2025. Excluding these charges, EPS was $0.83, a 39% decrease in constant currency.
Given that the requested period is in the future, and there is no information in the search results to suggest a 30.4% stock drop for ManpowerGroup (MAN) during the specified timeframe, I cannot provide reasons for such a movement.
1. No significant stock drop information available for the specified period.
2. ManpowerGroup reported Q3 2025 earnings with a 2% increase in revenues year-over-year.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MAN Return | -5% | 11% | -12% | -1% | -24% | -48% | -64% |
| Peers Return | -10% | 24% | -6% | 18% | 4% | 2% | 32% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MAN Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 69% | 46% | 58% | 56% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MAN Max Drawdown | -47% | -4% | -33% | -16% | -25% | -53% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -8% | -23% | -13% | -15% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BCO, MGRC, KW, ELCG, ADP. See MAN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MAN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 91.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 92.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 350 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -54.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -75.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 302.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2458 days | 1480 days |
Compare to BCO, MGRC, KW, ELCG, ADP
In The Past
ManpowerGroup's stock fell -47.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -47.8% loss requires a 91.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MAN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for ManpowerGroup
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 104.42 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.6 |
| Rev LTM | 5,146 |
| Op Inc LTM | 233 |
| FCF LTM | 59 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 104 |
| CFO LTM | 212 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 235 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.6 |
| P/S | 2.2 |
| P/EBIT | 10.3 |
| P/E | 28.7 |
| P/CFO | 13.6 |
| Total Yield | 5.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -12.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -7.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -12.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -22.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -26.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -65.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staffing and Interim | 16,529 | 17,358 | 18,206 | 15,792 | 18,486 |
| Outcome-Based Solutions and Consulting | 1,412 | 1,438 | 1,598 | 1,440 | 1,462 |
| Permanent Recruitment | 615 | 758 | 623 | 435 | 578 |
| Other | 444 | 354 | 335 | 334 | 338 |
| Intercompany Eliminations | -86 | -80 | -38 | ||
| Total | 18,914 | 19,828 | 20,724 | 18,001 | 20,864 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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