Robert Half (RHI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $27.0 | Market Cap: $2.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Human Resource & Employment Services
Robert Half (RHI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $27.0Market Cap: $2.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Human Resource & Employment Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 6.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.3%, FCF Yield is 7.0% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -113%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.5% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -36% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work. Themes include Talent Acquisition & Management, Gig Economy & Flexible Workforces, and Workforce Transformation. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 6.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.3%, FCF Yield is 7.0% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -36% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work. Themes include Talent Acquisition & Management, Gig Economy & Flexible Workforces, and Workforce Transformation. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -113%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RHI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Robert Half (RHI) experienced a significant stock decline of approximately 24.9% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors.
1. Robert Half's Q3 2025 Earnings Missed Revenue Estimates and Saw a Year-over-Year Decline. The company reported Q3 2025 revenues of $1.35 billion, falling short of the estimated $1.37 billion. This represented a 7.5% year-over-year decline in revenue, contributing to a negative market reaction. Net income also decreased to $43 million ($0.43 per share) from $65 million ($0.64 per share) in the prior-year quarter. This performance was attributed to challenges in a dynamic labor market and subdued hiring activity.
2. Negative Market Reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings. Following the Q3 earnings release on October 22, 2025, Robert Half's stock price dropped by 4.36% in aftermarket trading. This decline brought the stock closer to its 52-week low, reflecting investor concerns over the revenue shortfall and broader industry challenges.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RHI Return | 1% | 81% | -32% | 22% | -17% | -59% | -48% |
| Peers Return | 21% | 36% | -15% | -1% | 1% | -30% | -2% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RHI Win Rate | 42% | 83% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 70% | 65% | 43% | 48% | 50% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RHI Max Drawdown | -46% | -2% | -35% | -11% | -32% | -62% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -48% | -11% | -28% | -22% | -17% | -33% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADP, PAYX, PAYC, ASGN, NSP. See RHI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RHI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 91.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -33.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 791 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -65.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 188.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1753 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ADP, PAYX, PAYC, ASGN, NSP
In The Past
Robert Half's stock fell -47.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -47.8% loss requires a 91.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RHI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 07312023 | RHI | Robert Half | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.9% | -11.1% | -17.0% |
| 06302020 | RHI | Robert Half | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.2% | 71.9% | -7.0% |
| 05312019 | RHI | Robert Half | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.7% | -3.2% | -35.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 07312023 | RHI | Robert Half | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.9% | -11.1% | -17.0% |
| 06302020 | RHI | Robert Half | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.2% | 71.9% | -7.0% |
| 05312019 | RHI | Robert Half | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.7% | -3.2% | -35.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Robert Half
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 79.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.0 |
| Rev LTM | 5,515 |
| Op Inc LTM | 403 |
| FCF LTM | 337 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 379 |
| CFO LTM | 484 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 503 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.0 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/EBIT | 20.2 |
| P/E | 26.7 |
| P/CFO | 19.9 |
| Total Yield | 5.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -20.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -31.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -38.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -49.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -26.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -46.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -53.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -121.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2142022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Kempthorne Dirk A | 10292025 | Sell | 28.87 | 6,505 | 187,812 | 338,148 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |