Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.2%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, CFO LTM is 4.8 Bil
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -45%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Electrification of Everything, Hydrogen Economy, Show more.
  Key risks
SRE key risks include [1] significant operational and financial liabilities from severe wildfires in California and [2] adverse regulatory and political shifts across its distinct operations in California, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, CFO LTM is 4.8 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Electrification of Everything, Hydrogen Economy, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -45%
8 Key risks
SRE key risks include [1] significant operational and financial liabilities from severe wildfires in California and [2] adverse regulatory and political shifts across its distinct operations in California, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SRE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**1. Strong Q3 2025 Adjusted Earnings:** Sempra reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.11 for the third quarter of 2025, a 24.7% increase year-over-year, significantly exceeding analyst expectations of $0.92 per share. This robust financial performance contributed to a positive market reaction, with the stock rising 2.18% in pre-market trading following the announcement.

**2. Strategic Simplification and Sale of Sempra Infrastructure Partners Stake:** Sempra announced strategic actions, including the agreement to sell a 45% equity interest in Sempra Infrastructure Partners for $10 billion. This move is part of a broader strategy to simplify its business model, reduce risk, and increase its focus on regulated U.S. utilities, with a goal of achieving approximately 95% of earnings from this segment. This transaction is also expected to strengthen Sempra's credit profile and efficiently fund its 2025-2029 capital plan, eliminating the need for future equity issuances.

**3. Final Investment Decision for Port Arthur LNG Phase 2:** During Q3 2025, Sempra Infrastructure reached a final investment decision to advance the development, construction, and operation of Port Arthur LNG Phase 2. This project is fully subscribed with long-term sales and purchase agreements, indicating strong future revenue streams and progress on key energy infrastructure developments.

**4. Increased Capital Investment Plan for Oncor:** Sempra's Texas utility, Oncor, is accelerating crucial transmission and distribution infrastructure projects. The company anticipates more than a 30% increase in its roll-forward 2026-2030 base capital plan, signaling significant future investment and growth in its regulated utility operations.

**5. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgrades:** Throughout late 2025, multiple financial analysts maintained or upgraded their ratings for Sempra, with a consensus "Buy" rating. Analysts' average price targets suggested a potential upside for the stock, reflecting confidence in Sempra's strategic direction and financial outlook. For example, Goldman Sachs upgraded Sempra to "Strong Buy" in November 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SRE Return-13%7%20%-0%21%4%42%
Peers Return7%14%7%1%18%-1%52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SRE Win Rate58%42%58%67%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate58%62%62%53%60%63% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SRE Max Drawdown-41%-9%-0%-13%-10%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-14%-17%-15%-8%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PCG, EIX, NEE, SO, DUK. See SRE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSRES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven401 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven739 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-17.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven21.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven275 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-44.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1320 days1480 days

Compare to CEG, XEL, EXC, PCG, DTE


In The Past

Sempra's stock fell -25.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/12/2022. A -25.7% loss requires a 34.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sempra (SRE)

Better Bets than Sempra (SRE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SRE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
SRE_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022SRESempraQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.4%-6.3%-6.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
SRE_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022SRESempraQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.4%-6.3%-6.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sempra

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SREPCGEIXNEESODUKMedian
NameSempra PG&E Edison I.NextEra .Southern Duke Ene. 
Mkt Price87.9115.2758.3281.3285.71115.5983.51
Mkt Cap57.433.622.5167.994.589.973.7
Rev LTM13,71124,76218,08826,29828,91231,65925,530
Op Inc LTM3,0864,6695,2277,4047,4268,5836,316
FCF LTM-6,210-2,771-7223,073-1,823-921-1,372
FCF 3Y Avg-4,947-3,447-1,2012,421-1,031-2,122-1,662
CFO LTM4,8078,6885,39811,9679,37812,0499,033
CFO 3Y Avg4,0526,8494,58211,8478,61010,5397,730

Growth & Margins

SREPCGEIXNEESODUKMedian
NameSempra PG&E Edison I.NextEra .Southern Duke Ene. 
Rev Chg LTM6.1%-0.3%4.4%0.2%9.4%4.8%4.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.3%4.8%3.1%11.4%1.3%5.2%3.9%
Rev Chg Q13.5%5.2%10.6%5.3%7.5%4.8%6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.8%1.3%3.1%1.5%1.9%1.2%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM22.5%18.9%28.9%28.2%25.7%27.1%26.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.0%15.2%20.5%31.5%23.7%25.1%22.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%0.2%2.1%-1.4%0.3%0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM35.1%35.1%29.8%45.5%32.4%38.1%35.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.8%28.3%26.3%44.6%31.6%34.6%29.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-45.3%-11.2%-4.0%11.7%-6.3%-2.9%-5.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-35.6%-14.4%-7.0%9.3%-3.7%-7.1%-7.1%

Valuation

SREPCGEIXNEESODUKMedian
NameSempra PG&E Edison I.NextEra .Southern Duke Ene. 
Mkt Cap57.433.622.5167.994.589.973.7
P/S4.31.31.25.93.63.03.3
P/EBIT17.86.23.820.712.510.411.4
P/E27.212.26.724.023.419.321.4
P/CFO12.23.83.913.011.18.09.6
Total Yield5.8%8.7%20.9%7.1%7.1%6.0%7.1%
Dividend Yield2.2%0.6%5.9%2.9%2.9%0.8%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.4%-9.5%-4.7%1.3%-1.3%-2.9%-3.8%
D/E0.61.81.90.60.70.90.8
Net D/E0.61.81.80.60.70.90.8

Returns

SREPCGEIXNEESODUKMedian
NameSempra PG&E Edison I.NextEra .Southern Duke Ene. 
1M Rtn-3.7%-7.4%-0.7%-2.4%-4.7%-5.8%-4.2%
3M Rtn7.8%2.3%7.3%17.2%-5.4%-3.0%4.8%
6M Rtn21.4%13.1%22.3%14.8%-1.5%2.5%13.9%
12M Rtn2.4%-21.6%-23.9%15.2%8.2%11.5%5.3%
3Y Rtn24.0%-4.2%3.4%5.5%39.1%29.7%14.7%
1M Excs Rtn-4.7%-8.4%-1.6%-3.4%-5.7%-6.8%-5.2%
3M Excs Rtn4.9%-1.7%3.5%13.4%-8.7%-6.7%0.9%
6M Excs Rtn7.8%-0.6%8.6%1.1%-15.2%-11.2%0.3%
12M Excs Rtn-9.1%-35.2%-36.7%2.1%-6.1%-2.7%-7.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-51.8%-73.7%-70.5%-67.8%-31.5%-43.1%-59.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Sempra California53,430    
Sempra Infrastructure19,43015,76014,408  
Sempra Texas Utilities14,39213,78113,04712,54211,619
All other9671,3761,3991,209749
Intersegment receivables-1,038-1,111-1,191-856-2,137
San Diego Gas & Electric Company (SDG&E) 26,42224,05822,31120,560
Southern California Gas Company (SoCalGas) 22,34620,32418,46017,077
Sempra Liquefied Natural Gas   2,2053,901
Sempra Mexico   10,7529,938
Discontinued operations    3,958
Total87,18178,57472,04566,62365,665


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,748,209
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-15.3%
Average Daily Volume4,484,684
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.84
Basic Shares Quantity652,948,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-0.1%1.1%-1.3%
8/7/20251.8%1.3%-0.0%
5/8/2025-0.1%-1.3%1.3%
2/25/2025-19.0%-18.1%-20.0%
11/6/20247.3%12.1%11.3%
8/6/2024-2.1%0.4%6.0%
5/7/20241.8%6.1%5.2%
2/27/20240.2%-0.2%-1.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101010
# Negative101010
Median Positive1.6%2.7%5.6%
Median Negative-2.0%-1.5%-1.4%
Max Positive7.3%12.1%21.9%
Max Negative-19.0%-18.1%-20.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021