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Canada Goose (GOOS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $13.82 | Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

Canada Goose (GOOS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $13.82
Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 15%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 51x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 71%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 15%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 51x
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 71%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GOOS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for Canada Goose (GOOS) stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:

**1. Strong Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Growth:** Canada Goose reported a significant 21.8% increase in Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) revenue in its Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 results, which ended September 28, 2025. This was accompanied by 10.2% DTC comparable sales growth, indicating robust consumer demand and effective retail execution.

**2. Share Repurchase Plan:** The company announced a renewed plan to repurchase up to 10% of its subordinate voting shares, which was disclosed alongside its Q2 Fiscal 2026 earnings. This move often signals management's confidence in the company's valuation and can be a positive catalyst for stock price.

**3. Expanded Gross Margins:** In the second quarter of Fiscal 2026, Canada Goose achieved a gross margin of 62.4%, an increase compared to the prior year period. This expansion was primarily attributed to a higher proportion of direct-to-consumer revenue.

**4. Strategic Brand Investments and Global Expansion:** Canada Goose emphasized its ongoing strategic investments aimed at elevating its product offerings, enhancing brand presence through collaborations, and expanding its global retail footprint with new store openings, all geared towards driving future growth.

**5. Improved Inventory Management:** The company demonstrated effective inventory control, reporting a 3% year-over-year decrease in inventory for the second quarter of Fiscal 2026. This reflects higher demand and a proactive approach to managing stock levels.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GOOS Return-18%24%-52%-33%-15%39%-61%
Peers Return9%28%-27%6%49%23%98%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GOOS Win Rate42%50%33%50%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate55%55%33%48%63%66% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GOOS Max Drawdown-59%-4%-60%-44%-21%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-5%-42%-19%-12%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GIL, HBI, NKE, TPR, RL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGOOSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-81.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven429.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven253 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-53.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven112.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to GIL, HBI, NKE, TPR, RL


In The Past

Canada Goose's stock fell -81.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -81.1% loss requires a 429.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Canada Goose (GOOS)

Better Bets than Canada Goose (GOOS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GOOS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Canada Goose

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GOOSGILHBINKETPRRLMedian
NameCanada G.Gildan A.Hanesbra.Nike Tapestry Ralph La. 
Mkt Price13.9157.406.4765.65111.92358.1561.53
Mkt Cap1.48.62.396.923.221.915.2
Rev LTM1,3733,3623,53246,4407,2087,5715,370
Op Inc LTM837284623,4201,3461,153940
FCF LTM203--83,0091,080668668
FCF 3Y Avg145-2554,8931,103716716
CFO LTM228-233,5261,2101,0901,090
CFO 3Y Avg186-3055,6111,243981981

Growth & Margins

GOOSGILHBINKETPRRLMedian
NameCanada G.Gildan A.Hanesbra.Nike Tapestry Ralph La. 
Rev Chg LTM3.7%4.0%4.5%-7.1%8.1%12.3%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.9%0.7%-7.2%-0.3%2.5%5.8%1.6%
Rev Chg Q1.8%2.2%-1.0%1.1%13.1%16.5%2.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%0.6%-0.2%0.3%2.8%3.9%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM6.1%21.7%13.1%7.4%18.7%15.2%14.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.2%19.3%6.1%10.2%17.8%13.2%11.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.4%0.4%0.4%-0.6%0.6%0.6%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM16.6%-0.7%7.6%16.8%14.4%14.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.0%-10.5%11.3%18.2%14.1%14.0%
FCF/Rev LTM14.8%--0.2%6.5%15.0%8.8%8.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.8%-8.8%9.9%16.1%10.4%10.4%

Valuation

GOOSGILHBINKETPRRLMedian
NameCanada G.Gildan A.Hanesbra.Nike Tapestry Ralph La. 
Mkt Cap1.48.62.396.923.221.915.2
P/S1.02.60.72.23.32.52.4
P/EBIT16.712.75.730.162.417.216.9
P/E50.718.27.135.686.622.429.0
P/CFO5.9-100.829.219.417.619.4
Total Yield2.0%6.3%14.1%2.8%2.4%5.5%4.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.8%0.0%0.0%1.3%1.1%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.3%-13.7%3.8%10.5%6.1%10.5%
D/E0.60.21.10.10.20.10.2
Net D/E0.50.21.00.00.10.10.2

Returns

GOOSGILHBINKETPRRLMedian
NameCanada G.Gildan A.Hanesbra.Nike Tapestry Ralph La. 
1M Rtn-1.6%-0.6%-1.4%5.5%5.3%13.7%2.3%
3M Rtn5.8%8.7%5.4%-11.6%7.2%14.6%6.5%
6M Rtn18.9%20.9%31.8%5.8%44.1%29.7%25.3%
12M Rtn42.8%16.6%-25.4%-14.8%77.2%56.6%29.7%
3Y Rtn-27.4%106.8%-3.7%-38.3%214.2%228.5%51.6%
1M Excs Rtn-1.5%-0.5%-1.3%5.5%5.3%13.7%2.4%
3M Excs Rtn0.7%-0.7%-3.6%-17.7%0.4%6.7%-0.1%
6M Excs Rtn4.2%6.2%17.1%-8.9%29.4%15.0%10.6%
12M Excs Rtn33.8%4.2%-39.2%-27.8%69.4%43.3%19.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-92.2%42.4%-73.3%-106.6%161.5%178.9%-15.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Direct-to-Consumer (DTC)951807740527525
Wholesale312374348322424
Other713610549
Total1,3341,2171,098904958


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Direct-to-Consumer (DTC)387347333233249
Wholesale114131111104145
Other1410-288-220-202
Corporate expenses-391-342   
Total124148157117192


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,922,050
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202515.9%
Average Daily Volume1,173,383
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.34
Basic Shares Quantity97,069,513
Short % of Basic Shares4.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110620256-K 9/28/2025
630202573120256-K 6/29/2025
3312025521202520-F 3/30/2025
1231202420620256-K 12/29/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/29/2024
630202480120246-K 6/30/2024
3312024516202420-F 3/31/2024
1231202320120246-K 12/31/2023
9302023110120236-K 10/1/2023
630202380320236-K 7/2/2023
3312023518202320-F 4/2/2023
1231202220220236-K 1/1/2023
9302022110220226-K 10/2/2022
630202281120226-K 7/3/2022
3312022519202220-F 4/3/2022
1231202121020226-K 1/2/2022