Tearsheet

Gulf Island Fabrication (GIFI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.87 | Market Cap: $192.1 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Gulf Island Fabrication (GIFI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.87
Market Cap: $192.1 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9%, FCF Yield is 9.6%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.0%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -39%
  
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Offshore Wind Development, US Energy Independence, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Offshore Wind Project Development, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9%, FCF Yield is 9.6%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -39%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Offshore Wind Development, US Energy Independence, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Offshore Wind Project Development, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GIFI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate 75.7% stock movement for Gulf Island Fabrication (GIFI) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Acquisition Announcement by IES Holdings.

On November 7, 2025, IES Holdings, Inc. announced its intention to acquire Gulf Island Fabrication for $12.00 per share in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $192 million. This deal represented a significant 52% premium over GIFI's closing price on November 6, 2025, and was a major catalyst for the stock's surge, reaching its highest level in over seven years. 2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.

Gulf Island reported robust third-quarter 2025 results on November 12, 2025, with consolidated revenue of $51.5 million and adjusted EBITDA of $2.5 million. The revenue significantly outperformed analyst estimates of $34 million, indicating stronger-than-expected financial performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GIFI Return-40%31%28%-16%57%74%134%
Peers Return17%14%-9%52%40%11%186%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GIFI Win Rate42%58%50%50%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate57%58%38%62%60%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GIFI Max Drawdown-47%0%-21%-42%-1%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-11%-29%-2%-5%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GGG, GHM, PH, ITW, GWW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGIFIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven255 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-54.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven118.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1389 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-69.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven223.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-90.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven904.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to GGG, GHM, PH, ITW, GWW


In The Past

Gulf Island Fabrication's stock fell -47.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/22/2022. A -47.5% loss requires a 90.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Gulf Island Fabrication (GIFI)

Better Bets than Gulf Island Fabrication (GIFI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GIFI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Gulf Island Fabrication

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GIFIGGGGHMPHITWGWWMedian
NameGulf Isl.Graco Graham Parker H.Illinois.W.W. Gra. 
Mkt Price11.8882.9957.30869.20250.04971.16166.51
Mkt Cap0.213.80.6110.072.746.430.1
Rev LTM1532,19222820,03015,88317,7509,038
Op Inc LTM4582174,1374,1622,4941,538
FCF LTM10625-113,3852,8451,232928
FCF 3Y Avg8496123,0812,8111,5101,003
CFO LTM13672133,8143,2772,0481,360
CFO 3Y Avg12622263,4883,2652,0411,331

Growth & Margins

GIFIGGGGHMPHITWGWWMedian
NameGulf Isl.Graco Graham Parker H.Illinois.W.W. Gra. 
Rev Chg LTM14.3%2.9%16.0%0.2%-0.4%4.8%3.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.3%1.0%17.0%7.4%0.5%6.3%6.9%
Rev Chg Q-9.0%4.7%23.3%3.7%2.3%6.1%4.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.4%1.1%5.8%0.9%0.6%1.5%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM2.6%26.6%7.4%20.7%26.2%14.1%17.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-5.6%28.0%5.1%19.1%25.9%14.9%17.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.4%-0.1%-0.4%0.2%0.2%-1.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM8.3%30.7%5.7%19.0%20.6%11.5%15.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.2%28.7%13.5%17.5%20.4%12.0%15.5%
FCF/Rev LTM6.7%28.5%-4.7%16.9%17.9%6.9%11.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.6%22.8%6.8%15.5%17.6%8.9%12.2%

Valuation

GIFIGGGGHMPHITWGWWMedian
NameGulf Isl.Graco Graham Parker H.Illinois.W.W. Gra. 
Mkt Cap0.213.80.6110.072.746.430.1
P/S0.76.42.64.84.82.63.7
P/EBIT27.323.035.620.518.018.121.7
P/E10.928.344.126.325.126.326.3
P/CFO8.520.946.425.123.122.222.7
Total Yield9.2%4.8%2.3%4.7%6.3%4.3%4.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.3%0.0%0.9%2.3%0.5%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.4%3.6%6.0%4.3%3.8%3.5%4.0%
D/E0.20.00.00.10.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.4-0.0-0.00.10.10.00.0

Returns

GIFIGGGGHMPHITWGWWMedian
NameGulf Isl.Graco Graham Parker H.Illinois.W.W. Gra. 
1M Rtn48.5%1.9%-8.0%12.9%2.8%0.7%2.4%
3M Rtn70.4%-1.5%20.9%16.4%-3.7%-4.4%7.5%
6M Rtn77.8%-0.9%40.1%31.3%2.7%-9.3%17.0%
12M Rtn67.6%-7.6%27.6%25.2%-7.2%-17.9%9.0%
3Y Rtn120.8%22.7%487.7%203.1%16.8%65.8%93.3%
1M Excs Rtn48.5%1.9%-8.0%12.9%2.9%0.8%2.4%
3M Excs Rtn58.1%-8.7%11.2%9.7%-10.6%-10.7%0.5%
6M Excs Rtn63.1%-15.6%25.4%16.6%-12.0%-24.0%2.3%
12M Excs Rtn58.4%-21.2%14.3%11.3%-21.2%-32.3%-5.0%
3Y Excs Rtn47.6%-47.2%414.9%132.7%-53.9%-5.0%21.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Services948741  
Fabrication894841  
Corporate-1-1-1-2-2
Shipyard-3081320168
Fabrication & Services Division   99137
Total15114293118303


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Services1183  
Fabrication115-3  
Corporate-8-9-8-8-10
Shipyard-39-8-6-11-26
Fabrication & Services Division   6-14
Total-26-3-13-14-50


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Corporate5250606072
Fabrication424137  
Services322822  
Shipyard2161617103
Fabrication & Services Division   5477
Total128135135131253


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity55,530
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.4%
Average Daily Volume294,903
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity16,187,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024305202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023308202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022329202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021323202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211110202110-Q 9/30/2021