Tearsheet

Orion (ORN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.95 | Market Cap: $395.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering

Orion (ORN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.95
Market Cap: $395.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction & Engineering

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Offshore Wind Development, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Offshore Wind Project Development, Subsea Cable Infrastructure, Show more.
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%
1  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 60%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Offshore Wind Development, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Offshore Wind Project Development, Subsea Cable Infrastructure, Show more.
1 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%
2 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 60%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ORN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

During the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Orion Group Holdings (ORN) experienced significant positive developments that likely contributed to its stock movement.

1. Orion Group Holdings increased its full-year 2025 guidance for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS following its Q3 2025 results. The company's updated guidance projects revenue in the range of $825 million to $860 million, adjusted EBITDA between $44 million and $46 million, and adjusted EPS from $0.18 to $0.22. This uplift in financial projections, reported on October 28, 2025, signaled a strong outlook to investors.

2. The company significantly increased its aggregate bonding capacity by $400 million in October 2025. This expansion allows Orion Group Holdings to bid on and secure larger projects, which is expected to accelerate its long-term growth.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ORN Return-4%-24%-37%108%48%35%91%
Peers Return9%25%6%17%30%39%206%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ORN Win Rate50%50%42%58%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate28%32%35%37%35%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ORN Max Drawdown-69%-27%-42%-1%-6%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-5%-14%-8%-6%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DY, FLR, GVA, LGN, MGN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventORNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven201.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven466 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-72.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven264.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven309 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-83.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven498.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1881 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-77.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven342.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven165 days1480 days

Compare to DY, FLR, GVA, LGN, MGN


In The Past

Orion's stock fell -66.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -66.8% loss requires a 201.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Orion (ORN)

Better Bets than Orion (ORN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ORN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Orion

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ORNDYFLRGVALGNMGNMedian
NameOrion Dycom In.Fluor Granite .Legence Megan  
Mkt Price10.02352.8044.05106.9945.962.0745.00
Mkt Cap0.410.27.14.7--5.9
Rev LTM8364,99315,5884,2362,094-4,236
Op Inc LTM17381-22625788-88
FCF LTM-112323734622-123
FCF 3Y Avg-344240204--124
CFO LTM2839730646244-306
CFO 3Y Avg15284355333--309

Growth & Margins

ORNDYFLRGVALGNMGNMedian
NameOrion Dycom In.Fluor Granite .Legence Megan  
Rev Chg LTM7.0%12.6%-1.8%6.9%--6.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.5%13.0%4.7%8.7%--7.1%
Rev Chg Q-0.7%14.5%-17.7%12.4%--5.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.2%3.6%-4.5%3.9%--1.7%
Op Mgn LTM2.0%7.6%-1.4%6.1%4.2%-4.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.1%7.5%0.6%3.9%--2.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.5%-3.3%0.7%--0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM3.3%8.0%2.0%10.9%2.1%-3.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.7%6.2%2.2%8.3%--4.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.2%2.5%1.5%8.2%1.1%-1.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.5%0.9%1.5%4.9%--1.2%

Valuation

ORNDYFLRGVALGNMGNMedian
NameOrion Dycom In.Fluor Granite .Legence Megan  
Mkt Cap0.410.27.14.7--5.9
P/S0.41.40.41.1--0.8
P/EBIT16.417.3-57.315.1--15.8
P/E34.927.12.026.3--26.7
P/CFO12.017.822.310.4--14.9
Total Yield2.9%3.7%49.7%4.0%--3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.2%0.6%2.8%4.7%--1.7%
D/E0.20.20.20.3--0.2
Net D/E0.20.2-0.30.2--0.2

Returns

ORNDYFLRGVALGNMGNMedian
NameOrion Dycom In.Fluor Granite .Legence Megan  
1M Rtn-7.4%23.3%-8.3%4.4%10.9%25.5%7.6%
3M Rtn39.0%41.7%2.8%1.3%-83.2%39.0%
6M Rtn17.6%49.2%2.7%19.6%-83.2%19.6%
12M Rtn16.5%84.9%-19.5%8.6%-83.2%16.5%
3Y Rtn292.9%287.3%23.5%201.3%-83.2%201.3%
1M Excs Rtn-7.4%23.3%-8.3%4.4%11.0%25.5%7.7%
3M Excs Rtn25.8%33.6%0.9%-6.5%-77.8%25.8%
6M Excs Rtn2.9%34.5%-12.0%4.9%-68.5%4.9%
12M Excs Rtn1.4%81.2%-35.1%-5.3%-69.6%1.4%
3Y Excs Rtn211.1%222.8%-39.3%145.9%-10.4%145.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Marine396339264388369
Concrete316409337322339
Total712748601710708


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Marine4106301
Concrete-10-18-15-31
Total-7-8-9272


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Marine319239 290265
Concrete98128 124130
Total417367 414395


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,940,541
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.8%
Average Daily Volume271,318
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.15
Basic Shares Quantity39,776,096
Short % of Basic Shares4.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023301202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021307202210-K 12/31/2021