Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 51x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 64%
2  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%
3  Key risks
MTZ key risks include [1] a high concentration of revenue from a limited number of key customers and [2] project margin and timeline pressures due to volatile material costs and supply chain disruptions.
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 51x
3 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 64%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%
5 Key risks
MTZ key risks include [1] a high concentration of revenue from a limited number of key customers and [2] project margin and timeline pressures due to volatile material costs and supply chain disruptions.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MTZ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why MasTec (MTZ) stock moved by 20.1% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025:

1. Multiple Analyst Upgrades and Raised Price Targets: Throughout the period, MasTec received several positive analyst revisions. For instance, Truist Financial raised its price target to $270.00 from $253.00 on December 18, 2025, maintaining a "buy" rating. Similarly, Goldman Sachs reiterated a 'Buy' rating and increased its price target to $245 from $227 on November 20, 2025, which contributed to a 3.3% jump in the stock. Other firms like Mizuho, Robert W. Baird, Stifel, Keybanc, and Roth Capital also increased their price objectives, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future performance.

2. Strong Q2 and Q3 2025 Financial Results and Upbeat Guidance: MasTec reported robust financial results for both the second and third quarters of 2025. In Q2 2025, reported on July 31, 2025, the company announced record revenue of $3.54 billion, a 20% year-over-year increase, and raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to between $13.9 billion and $14.0 billion. Third-quarter results, released on October 30, 2025, continued to show strength with a record quarterly revenue of $4.0 billion, up 22% year-over-year, and adjusted earnings per share of $2.48, exceeding analyst estimates.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MTZ Return6%35%-8%-11%80%57%233%
Peers Return23%36%7%22%33%378%1283%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MTZ Win Rate58%67%50%42%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate53%53%33%42%52%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MTZ Max Drawdown-64%-1%-31%-44%-17%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-3%-22%-12%-7%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EME, ACM, APG, VMI, CDNL. See MTZ Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMTZS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-61.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven156.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven315 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven175.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven266 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven224 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-61.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven159.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven815 days1,480 days

Compare to EME, ACM, APG, VMI, CDNL


In The Past

MasTec's stock fell -61.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/2/2023. A -61.0% loss requires a 156.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MasTec (MTZ)

Better Bets than MasTec (MTZ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MTZ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
MTZ_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020MTZMasTecDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
32.3%186.3%-11.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
MTZ_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020MTZMasTecDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
32.3%186.3%-11.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MasTec

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MTZEMEACMAPGVMICDNLMedian
NameMasTec EMCOR AECOM APi Valmont .Cardinal. 
Mkt Price218.18611.4196.7238.88411.6024.06157.45
Mkt Cap17.027.412.816.28.10.914.5
Rev LTM13,76216,24316,1407,6554,103-13,762
Op Inc LTM5831,5281,059506519-583
FCF LTM4171,149685572409-572
FCF 3Y Avg5481,033661480354-548
CFO LTM6451,247822660539-660
CFO 3Y Avg7391,115782566456-739

Growth & Margins

MTZEMEACMAPGVMICDNLMedian
NameMasTec EMCOR AECOM APi Valmont .Cardinal. 
Rev Chg LTM13.0%14.1%0.2%10.7%1.2%-10.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.8%14.7%7.2%8.8%-0.5%-8.8%
Rev Chg Q22.0%16.4%1.6%14.2%2.5%-14.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.5%3.9%0.4%3.5%0.6%-3.5%
Op Mgn LTM4.2%9.4%6.6%6.6%12.7%-6.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.6%8.2%5.9%5.8%12.1%-5.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.1%0.2%0.1%0.3%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM4.7%7.7%5.1%8.6%13.1%-7.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.9%7.8%5.0%7.9%11.0%-7.8%
FCF/Rev LTM3.0%7.1%4.2%7.5%10.0%-7.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.4%7.2%4.2%6.7%8.6%-6.7%

Valuation

MTZEMEACMAPGVMICDNLMedian
NameMasTec EMCOR AECOM APi Valmont .Cardinal. 
Mkt Cap17.027.412.816.28.10.914.5
P/S1.21.70.82.12.0-1.7
P/EBIT27.817.511.631.919.5-19.5
P/E51.224.222.859.434.8-34.8
P/CFO26.322.015.624.515.1-22.0
Total Yield2.0%4.3%5.4%1.7%3.2%-3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.2%1.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.7%5.7%4.7%3.8%5.7%-5.7%
D/E0.20.00.30.20.10.10.1
Net D/E0.1-0.00.10.20.10.10.1

Returns

MTZEMEACMAPGVMICDNLMedian
NameMasTec EMCOR AECOM APi Valmont .Cardinal. 
1M Rtn10.7%0.9%-14.4%3.9%5.2%1,750.8%4.6%
3M Rtn8.6%-3.2%-26.8%11.2%9.9%1,750.8%9.3%
6M Rtn33.3%26.2%-11.3%13.8%29.7%1,750.8%27.9%
12M Rtn65.2%31.9%-8.8%59.3%35.6%1,750.8%47.5%
3Y Rtn155.0%320.6%18.8%215.6%28.7%1,750.8%185.3%
1M Excs Rtn7.8%-2.0%-17.3%1.0%2.3%1,747.9%1.7%
3M Excs Rtn3.3%-8.8%-29.2%8.1%7.7%1,748.7%5.5%
6M Excs Rtn17.7%10.3%-26.3%1.3%14.4%1,737.3%12.3%
12M Excs Rtn46.8%15.5%-24.5%37.5%14.2%1,737.8%26.5%
3Y Excs Rtn73.7%246.9%-54.1%131.9%-44.8%1,679.7%102.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Clean Energy and Infrastructure2,9792,9801,067654570
Communications2,3322,3792,1011,9421,958
Power Delivery1,8371,9682,017542464
Oil and Gas1,7581,5441,5281,6311,762
Other305297238192192
Corporate16212517126850
Total9,3749,2937,1215,2284,997


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,782,510
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202540.9%
Average Daily Volume787,027
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.54
Basic Shares Quantity77,702,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-4.6%-8.1%-0.5%
7/31/2025-8.0%-3.3%-4.0%
2/28/2025-2.2%-11.6%-10.6%
10/31/20245.8%15.2%15.6%
8/2/2024-0.7%4.4%2.1%
3/1/20243.3%8.9%9.1%
11/1/20231.0%2.1%28.9%
8/4/2023-17.7%-22.2%-17.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101411
# Negative11710
Median Positive3.6%6.8%13.2%
Median Negative-3.0%-8.1%-3.5%
Max Positive7.4%15.2%28.9%
Max Negative-17.7%-22.2%-36.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023301202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021