MasTec (MTZ)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $216.72 | Market Cap: $16.8 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering
MasTec (MTZ)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $216.72Market Cap: $16.8 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Construction & Engineering
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 64% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 64% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MTZ Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
MasTec (MTZ) experienced significant activity between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, with several factors influencing its stock performance. The stock reached an all-time high of $224.03 on October 29, 2025. As of December 4, 2025, MasTec's stock was trading at $217.92, up 2.3% on that day.
Here are key points highlighting the stock's movement:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings and Upgraded Guidance: MasTec reported record third-quarter 2025 results in October, with revenue reaching $3.97 billion, a 22% year-over-year increase. This performance exceeded analysts' expectations. The company also upgraded its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $13.9 billion to $14 billion and adjusted EPS guidance to a midpoint of $6.34, demonstrating confidence in future demand.
2. Record Backlog and Broad-Based Demand: MasTec's 18-month backlog as of September 30, 2025, reached a record $16.8 billion, a 21% increase year-over-year. This strong backlog across all segments, including Communications, Clean Energy and Infrastructure, and Power Delivery, signals robust demand and future growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MTZ Return | 6% | 35% | -8% | -11% | 80% | 56% | 232% |
| Peers Return | 23% | 36% | 7% | 22% | 33% | 25% | 262% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MTZ Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 53% | 33% | 42% | 52% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MTZ Max Drawdown | -64% | -1% | -31% | -44% | -17% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -3% | -22% | -12% | -7% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EME, APG, ACM, VMI, CDNL. See MTZ Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MTZ | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -61.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 156.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 315 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -63.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 175.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 266 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 224 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -61.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 159.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 815 days | 1480 days |
Compare to EME, APG, ACM, VMI, CDNL
In The Past
MasTec's stock fell -61.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/2/2023. A -61.0% loss requires a 156.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MTZ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | MTZ | MasTec | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 32.3% | 186.3% | -11.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | MTZ | MasTec | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 32.3% | 186.3% | -11.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for MasTec
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 218.29 |
| Mkt Cap | 16.1 |
| Rev LTM | 13,762 |
| Op Inc LTM | 583 |
| FCF LTM | 572 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 548 |
| CFO LTM | 660 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 739 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 16.1 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 18.6 |
| P/E | 32.7 |
| P/CFO | 21.7 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 12.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 26.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 20.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 149.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 4.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 6.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 79.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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