Fluor (FLR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $44.2 | Market Cap: $7.2 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering
Fluor (FLR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $44.2Market Cap: $7.2 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Construction & Engineering
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 50%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 46% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -226 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.4% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -18% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 50%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 46% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -226 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.4% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -18% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FLR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
From August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Fluor (FLR) stock experienced significant movements. While a precise 7.4% movement across the entire period wasn't detailed, several factors contributed to its volatility during this time.
1. Fluor's stock plunged over 30% on August 1, 2025, after reporting disappointing Q2 2025 financial results. The company reported 6% lower revenue and 49% lower adjusted earnings per share, primarily due to higher costs from subcontractor errors on three infrastructure projects and an unexpected arbitration ruling in Mexico. This significant drop occurred at the beginning of the period in question, impacting the overall movement.
2. The company's Q2 2025 earnings also highlighted a 12% year-over-year decline in backlog to $28.2 billion. This reduction was attributed to softness in the oil and gas, battery chemicals, and mining markets. Additionally, Fluor slashed its adjusted EPS guidance for 2025 from a previous forecast of $2.25 to $2.75 down to $1.95 to $2.15, leading to a "crash" in the stock.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FLR Return | -15% | 55% | 40% | 13% | 26% | -14% | 128% |
| Peers Return | 33% | 33% | 5% | 45% | 57% | 46% | 516% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FLR Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 63% | 47% | 68% | 62% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FLR Max Drawdown | -82% | -9% | -19% | -25% | -9% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -9% | -21% | -8% | -6% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FIX, DY, ROAD, KBR, ACA. See FLR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FLR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 101 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -83.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 511.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 307 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -73.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 281.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -70.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 233.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to FIX, DY, ROAD, KBR, ACA
In The Past
Fluor's stock fell -40.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -40.8% loss requires a 69.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Fluor Earnings Notes | |||
| Is Fluor Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return | ||
| FLR's 22% One Month Dip Begs The Question: Is GOOGL Better Instead? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| With FLR Down 22% in a Month, Is It Time to Compare It Against GD? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| FLR Drops 22% in a Month, But Does EME Offer Better Fundamentals? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| null | |||
| Better Bet Than FLR Stock: Pay Less Than Fluor To Get More From POWL, RHP | |||
| Better Bet Than FLR Stock: Pay Less Than Fluor To Get More From POWL | |||
| FLR Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Fluor Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 25.9% in 2024 and 26.1% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| FLR Lost 25% In A Month. Do You Buy Or Wait? | August 22nd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FLR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Fluor
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 106.02 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.5 |
| Rev LTM | 6,536 |
| Op Inc LTM | 339 |
| FCF LTM | 276 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 192 |
| CFO LTM | 433 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 340 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 19.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.5 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 15.9 |
| P/E | 29.0 |
| P/CFO | 19.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 163.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -12.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 110.6% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate | 3,623 | 3,622 | 3,594 | 3,379 | |
| Urban Solutions | 1,211 | 1,170 | 906 | 1,122 | |
| Energy Solutions | 1,053 | 967 | 1,158 | 1,011 | |
| Mission Solutions | 577 | 485 | 764 | 576 | |
| Other | 509 | 583 | 667 | 38 | 68 |
| Discontinued Operations - Assets held for sale | 394 | ||||
| Diversified Services | 1,291 | ||||
| Energy & Chemicals | 1,139 | ||||
| Government | 629 | ||||
| Infrastructure & Power | 471 | ||||
| Mining & Industrial | 595 | ||||
| Total | 6,973 | 6,827 | 7,089 | 2,747 | 7,967 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |