Tearsheet

Matrix Service (MTRX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.7 | Market Cap: $327.7 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering

Matrix Service (MTRX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.7
Market Cap: $327.7 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction & Engineering

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -47%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.8%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 20%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, Hydrogen Economy, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include US LNG, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -47%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 20%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, Hydrogen Economy, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include US LNG, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.8%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MTRX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the public company Matrix Service (MTRX), the approximate -22.3% stock movement can be attributed to several key factors identified in recent financial reporting and company news. While the requested period of 8/31/2025 to today is largely in the future, the following points reflect information available up to recent reporting dates (September 2025 for Fiscal Q4 2025 results) which aligns with a significant monthly decline of approximately -23.36% observed in recent stock performance.

1. Significant Net Loss and Missed Analyst Expectations: Matrix Service reported a widened net loss for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, reaching $(11.3) million, or $(0.40) per share. This marked a considerable increase from the net loss of $(4.4) million, or $(0.16) per share, in the corresponding quarter of fiscal 2024. The adjusted net loss of $(0.28) per share for Q4 fiscal 2025 significantly missed analyst estimates, which had projected earnings of $0.33 per share.

2. Revenue Shortfall and Reduced Guidance: Although Matrix Service experienced a 14% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4 fiscal 2025, reaching $216.4 million, this figure fell substantially below the consensus analyst estimate of $286.3 million. Compounding this, the company's fiscal 2026 revenue guidance, projected between $875 million and $925 million, was also below analyst expectations of $945.5 million.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MTRX Return-52%-32%-17%57%22%-5%-50%
Peers Return43%77%-5%60%22%-8%327%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MTRX Win Rate42%42%50%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate67%60%42%60%60%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MTRX Max Drawdown-68%-40%-54%-24%-10%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-5%-38%-12%-10%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: APG, AAON, GFF, APOG, BXC. See MTRX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMTRXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven355.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1036 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven213.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-65.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven191.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven448 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven494.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1830 days1480 days

Compare to APG, AAON, GFF, APOG, BXC


In The Past

Matrix Service's stock fell -78.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/11/2021. A -78.0% loss requires a 355.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Matrix Service (MTRX)

Better Bets than Matrix Service (MTRX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MTRX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Matrix Service

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MTRXAPGAAONGFFAPOGBXCMedian
NameMatrix S.APi AAON Griffon Apogee E.BlueLinx  
Mkt Price11.7538.7488.6374.5738.1263.6251.18
Mkt Cap0.316.17.23.40.80.52.1
Rev LTM8167,6551,3162,5171,3922,9491,955
Op Inc LTM-235061354436947102
FCF LTM72572-25629467-2569
FCF 3Y Avg62480-41338115146131
CFO LTM80660-18355981789
CFO 3Y Avg70566117398157181169

Growth & Margins

MTRXAPGAAONGFFAPOGBXCMedian
NameMatrix S.APi AAON Griffon Apogee E.BlueLinx  
Rev Chg LTM17.2%10.7%8.8%-3.4%1.2%-0.2%5.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.6%8.8%20.7%-2.4%0.1%-12.8%1.8%
Rev Chg Q28.0%14.2%17.4%-5.3%4.6%0.2%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.0%3.5%4.5%-1.3%1.1%0.1%2.3%
Op Mgn LTM-2.8%6.6%10.3%17.6%4.9%1.6%5.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-4.3%5.8%16.4%14.3%8.3%3.4%7.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.3%0.1%-2.2%1.2%-1.2%-0.5%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM9.8%8.6%-1.4%14.1%7.1%0.6%7.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.4%7.9%10.0%15.2%11.3%5.7%9.7%
FCF/Rev LTM8.8%7.5%-19.5%11.7%4.8%-0.9%6.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.3%6.7%-2.8%12.8%8.2%4.6%7.5%

Valuation

MTRXAPGAAONGFFAPOGBXCMedian
NameMatrix S.APi AAON Griffon Apogee E.BlueLinx  
Mkt Cap0.316.17.23.40.80.52.1
P/S0.41.95.81.30.70.21.0
P/EBIT-16.128.257.815.312.714.514.9
P/E-15.352.576.046.921.041.144.0
P/CFO4.621.7-424.79.29.534.59.4
Total Yield-6.5%1.9%1.7%3.3%7.1%2.4%2.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.4%1.2%2.4%0.0%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg18.5%3.8%-0.5%12.8%9.7%18.6%11.3%
D/E0.10.20.00.50.41.20.3
Net D/E-0.50.20.00.50.30.40.2

Returns

MTRXAPGAAONGFFAPOGBXCMedian
NameMatrix S.APi AAON Griffon Apogee E.BlueLinx  
1M Rtn-22.4%8.3%-7.5%-0.4%6.9%-1.9%-1.1%
3M Rtn-17.5%12.0%10.7%-2.9%-9.2%-21.8%-6.0%
6M Rtn-3.4%22.3%-7.0%8.0%-0.9%-5.9%-2.1%
12M Rtn-10.2%54.3%-33.1%-9.0%-53.4%-49.8%-21.7%
3Y Rtn99.8%199.7%67.5%127.9%-16.1%-8.8%83.6%
1M Excs Rtn-22.4%8.3%-7.4%-0.4%6.9%-1.9%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn-25.1%5.3%3.8%-11.5%-17.7%-30.3%-14.6%
6M Excs Rtn-18.1%7.6%-21.7%-6.8%-15.6%-20.7%-16.9%
12M Excs Rtn-24.9%40.3%-48.2%-24.2%-67.2%-62.9%-36.6%
3Y Excs Rtn60.3%140.8%5.7%61.8%-89.0%-76.6%33.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Corporate147103102118124
Storage and Terminal Solutions139139141161187
Utility and Power Infrastructure8468948267
Process and Industrial Facilities8291104107139
Total451401441468517


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity523,782
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.5%
Average Daily Volume264,999
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.98
Basic Shares Quantity28,008,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025910202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024910202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023912202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
63020221011202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021208202210-Q 12/31/2021