Fluence Energy (FLNC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.68 | Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Renewable Electricity
Fluence Energy (FLNC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.68Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Renewable Electricity
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.1% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 309% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 111% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.1% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 309% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 111% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FLNC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Fluence Energy (FLNC) has experienced a significant stock movement, with its share price delivering a striking 165% return over a recent 90-day period. This substantial increase can be attributed to several key factors:
1. Analyst Price Target Upgrades: Multiple financial institutions, including Citigroup, Canaccord, UBS, Jefferies, Goldman Sachs, Susquehanna, and Morgan Stanley, significantly raised their price targets for Fluence Energy. For instance, Citigroup increased its price target by 166.67% from $7.50 to $20.00, and Canaccord raised its target by 150% to $25 from $10, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future prospects.
2. Record Order Backlog: The company secured a record $1.4 billion in new orders in the last quarter, which boosted its total backlog to an impressive $5.3 billion. This robust order book positions Fluence Energy for substantial revenue growth in fiscal year 2026 and beyond.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FLNC Return | - | - | -52% | 39% | -33% | 26% | -44% |
| Peers Return | 18% | -0% | -21% | -8% | -25% | 46% | -6% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FLNC Win Rate | - | 50% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 37% | 38% | 35% | 48% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FLNC Max Drawdown | - | - | -82% | -11% | -44% | -77% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -14% | -37% | -31% | -36% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ORA, STEM, BEPC, CWEN, FLNC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FLNC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -83.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 496.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to ORA, STEM, BEPC, CWEN, FLNC
In The Past
Fluence Energy's stock fell -83.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/15/2021. A -83.2% loss requires a 496.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Fluence Energy Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | Return | ||
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| FLNC Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Day 6 of Gains Streak for Fluence Energy Stock with 42% Return (vs. -45% YTD) [7/9/2025] | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Does Fluence Energy Stock Lead the Pack? | November 17th, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: GDOT, ULCC, HBI | Losers: PUBM, KODK, FLNC | August 13th, 2025 | ||
| FLNC Stock Up 42% after 6-Day Win Streak | July 10th, 2025 | ||
| FLNC Stock Up 37% after 5-Day Win Streak | July 9th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FLNC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Fluence Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 34.46 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.1 |
| Rev LTM | 1,375 |
| Op Inc LTM | 172 |
| FCF LTM | -214 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -107 |
| CFO LTM | 352 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 342 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -17.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -10.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.1 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 5.0 |
| P/E | 1.4 |
| P/CFO | 4.7 |
| Total Yield | 2.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -12.0% |
| D/E | 2.2 |
| Net D/E | 1.9 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 21.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 50.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 34.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 17.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 35.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 17.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -54.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11292024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11292023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 12142022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2112022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 12142021 | 10-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |