Fluence Energy (FLNC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $18.53 | Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Renewable Electricity
Fluence Energy (FLNC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $18.53Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Renewable Electricity
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -46 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.0% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 233% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.7% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 131% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.1% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 113% | ||
| Key risksFLNC key risks include [1] an ongoing SEC investigation and multiple lawsuits, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -46 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.0% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 233% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.7% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 131% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.1% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 113% |
| Key risksFLNC key risks include [1] an ongoing SEC investigation and multiple lawsuits, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FLNC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. Record Order Intake and Expanding Backlog.**
Fluence Energy reported record order intake of over $1.4 billion during the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, which concluded on September 30, 2025. This boosted the company's backlog to approximately $5.3 billion, representing the highest level in its history. This strong influx of new business signaled robust demand and future revenue growth.
**2. Significant Project Wins and Operational Successes.**
The company announced major project developments, including a partnership with LEAG to build the largest battery storage project in Europe with a capacity of 4 GWh on November 7, 2025. Additionally, in December 2025, Fluence's UK subsidiary and Varco Energy brought the first phase of their Sizing John battery storage project into full commercial operation and selected Fluence to expand the site in a second phase. Earlier, in September 2025, Fluence announced two new battery energy storage system projects in Switzerland with a combined power rating of 58.6 MW. These operational milestones demonstrated the company's execution capabilities and expanding global footprint.
**3. Positive Analyst Upgrades and Raised Price Targets.**
Several financial analysts significantly raised their price targets and reiterated or upgraded their ratings for Fluence Energy's stock during this period. For example, on October 13, 2025, Susquehanna substantially increased its price target to $17.00 from $9.00, maintaining a 'Positive' rating, driven by favorable policy developments and robust backlogs, leading to a 20.4% stock jump. Goldman Sachs and Jefferies also raised their price targets and ratings in November 2025.
**4. Favorable Policy Tailwinds and Market Demand for Energy Storage.**
Favorable policy developments, such as the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" extending tax credits and tightening restrictions on foreign content, were expected to benefit Fluence's U.S.-based supply chain, as highlighted in August 2025. Furthermore, the increasing demand for electricity from new data centers for artificial intelligence created an urgent need for more energy solutions, positively impacting companies like Fluence that provide battery storage.
**5. Strong Financial Position and Institutional Investor Confidence.**
Fluence Energy reported a rising cash balance and expanding order pipeline. As of September 30, 2025, the company's cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash totaled $714.63 million, a 44% increase from the prior year, with total liquidity reaching $1.27 billion. This strong financial position was mirrored by significant institutional investment, including Dragoneer Investment Group LLC purchasing a new position valued at $65.88 million and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. boosting its stake by an additional 2,076,668 shares, valued at $15.38 million.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FLNC Return | � | � | -52% | 39% | -33% | 34% | � |
| Peers Return | � | 8% | -45% | -1% | 59% | 37% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FLNC Win Rate | � | 50% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 75% | 45% | 35% | 45% | 52% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FLNC Max Drawdown | � | � | -82% | -11% | -44% | -77% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -28% | -66% | -41% | -49% | -54% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSLA, STEM, EOSE, GNRC, ENPH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FLNC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -83.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 496.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to ORA, STEM, BEPC, CWEN, FLNC
In The Past
Fluence Energy's stock fell -83.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/15/2021. A -83.2% loss requires a 496.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Fluence Energy Earnings Notes | |||
| FLNC (+18%) : Analyst Re-Rate on Margin Visibility Ignites Chase | Notification | ||
| Is Fluence Energy Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return | ||
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fluence Energy (FLNC) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Does Fluence Energy Stock Lead the Pack? | November 17th, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: GDOT, ULCC, HBI | Losers: PUBM, KODK, FLNC | August 13th, 2025 | ||
| FLNC Stock Up 42% after 6-Day Win Streak | July 10th, 2025 | ||
| FLNC Stock Up 37% after 5-Day Win Streak | July 9th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FLNC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Fluence Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.09 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,888 |
| Op Inc LTM | 80 |
| FCF LTM | 96 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 162 |
| CFO LTM | 120 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 229 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -0.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/EBIT | 10.2 |
| P/E | 12.5 |
| P/CFO | 3.7 |
| Total Yield | 1.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.3% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 106.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 23.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 94.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -39.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/24/2025 | 6.1% | 25.6% | |
| 8/11/2025 | -19.4% | -11.8% | -26.0% |
| 5/7/2025 | 6.9% | 20.8% | 4.7% |
| 2/10/2025 | -46.4% | -46.2% | -59.6% |
| 11/25/2024 | -19.1% | -22.0% | -32.8% |
| 8/7/2024 | 15.0% | 20.1% | 32.6% |
| 5/8/2024 | -8.0% | -9.1% | 9.7% |
| 2/7/2024 | 6.7% | 4.2% | -23.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| # Negative | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 6.9% | 18.8% | 24.2% |
| Median Negative | -9.5% | -11.8% | -25.0% |
| Max Positive | 26.3% | 27.0% | 32.6% |
| Max Negative | -46.4% | -46.2% | -59.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11252025 | 10-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11292024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11292023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 12142022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2112022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |