Tearsheet

Fluence Energy (FLNC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $18.53 | Market Cap: $2.4 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Renewable Electricity

Fluence Energy (FLNC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $18.53
Market Cap: $2.4 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Renewable Electricity

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -46 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.0%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 233%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.7%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 131%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.1%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 113%
7   Key risks
FLNC key risks include [1] an ongoing SEC investigation and multiple lawsuits, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -46 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.0%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 233%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.7%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 131%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.1%
10 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 113%
11 Key risks
FLNC key risks include [1] an ongoing SEC investigation and multiple lawsuits, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FLNC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**1. Record Order Intake and Expanding Backlog.** Fluence Energy reported record order intake of over $1.4 billion during the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, which concluded on September 30, 2025. This boosted the company's backlog to approximately $5.3 billion, representing the highest level in its history. This strong influx of new business signaled robust demand and future revenue growth.

**2. Significant Project Wins and Operational Successes.** The company announced major project developments, including a partnership with LEAG to build the largest battery storage project in Europe with a capacity of 4 GWh on November 7, 2025. Additionally, in December 2025, Fluence's UK subsidiary and Varco Energy brought the first phase of their Sizing John battery storage project into full commercial operation and selected Fluence to expand the site in a second phase. Earlier, in September 2025, Fluence announced two new battery energy storage system projects in Switzerland with a combined power rating of 58.6 MW. These operational milestones demonstrated the company's execution capabilities and expanding global footprint.

**3. Positive Analyst Upgrades and Raised Price Targets.** Several financial analysts significantly raised their price targets and reiterated or upgraded their ratings for Fluence Energy's stock during this period. For example, on October 13, 2025, Susquehanna substantially increased its price target to $17.00 from $9.00, maintaining a 'Positive' rating, driven by favorable policy developments and robust backlogs, leading to a 20.4% stock jump. Goldman Sachs and Jefferies also raised their price targets and ratings in November 2025.

**4. Favorable Policy Tailwinds and Market Demand for Energy Storage.** Favorable policy developments, such as the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" extending tax credits and tightening restrictions on foreign content, were expected to benefit Fluence's U.S.-based supply chain, as highlighted in August 2025. Furthermore, the increasing demand for electricity from new data centers for artificial intelligence created an urgent need for more energy solutions, positively impacting companies like Fluence that provide battery storage.

**5. Strong Financial Position and Institutional Investor Confidence.** Fluence Energy reported a rising cash balance and expanding order pipeline. As of September 30, 2025, the company's cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash totaled $714.63 million, a 44% increase from the prior year, with total liquidity reaching $1.27 billion. This strong financial position was mirrored by significant institutional investment, including Dragoneer Investment Group LLC purchasing a new position valued at $65.88 million and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. boosting its stake by an additional 2,076,668 shares, valued at $15.38 million.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FLNC Return-52%39%-33%34%
Peers Return8%-45%-1%59%37%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FLNC Win Rate50%42%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate75%45%35%45%52%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FLNC Max Drawdown-82%-11%-44%-77% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-66%-41%-49%-54% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSLA, STEM, EOSE, GNRC, ENPH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFLNCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven496.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to ORA, STEM, BEPC, CWEN, FLNC


In The Past

Fluence Energy's stock fell -83.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/15/2021. A -83.2% loss requires a 496.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Fluence Energy (FLNC)

Better Bets than Fluence Energy (FLNC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FLNC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Fluence Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FLNCTSLASTEMEOSEGNRCENPHMedian
NameFluence .Tesla Stem Eos Ener.Generac Enphase . 
Mkt Price18.57467.2615.9212.27144.8231.6125.09
Mkt Cap2.41,507.80.13.38.44.13.7
Rev LTM2,26395,633165634,3521,5121,888
Op Inc LTM-464,868-94-22349720780
FCF LTM-1756,834-24-24642421796
FCF 3Y Avg-804,719-107-197405454162
CFO LTM-14615,748-16-204588256120
CFO 3Y Avg-5914,130-94-166538518229

Growth & Margins

FLNCTSLASTEMEOSEGNRCENPHMedian
NameFluence .Tesla Stem Eos Ener.Generac Enphase . 
Rev Chg LTM-16.1%-1.6%-35.6%324.1%5.5%21.0%2.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg30.2%9.3%-2.0%104.1%-1.4%0.5%4.9%
Rev Chg Q-15.2%11.6%30.5%3,472.8%-5.0%7.8%9.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-7.6%3.1%5.7%87.7%-1.3%2.0%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM-2.0%5.1%-57.3%-351.0%11.4%13.7%1.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.0%8.3%-55.1%-874.6%10.6%12.9%3.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.9%-1.1%20.9%276.9%-1.3%0.9%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-6.4%16.5%-9.7%-320.9%13.5%16.9%3.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-2.8%14.7%-24.4%-827.7%12.9%27.1%5.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-7.7%7.1%-14.8%-388.4%9.7%14.4%-0.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.7%4.9%-29.1%-973.6%9.7%23.7%0.6%

Valuation

FLNCTSLASTEMEOSEGNRCENPHMedian
NameFluence .Tesla Stem Eos Ener.Generac Enphase . 
Mkt Cap2.41,507.80.13.38.44.13.7
P/S1.115.00.948.82.23.12.7
P/EBIT-52.5205.91.2-2.821.919.110.2
P/E-50.4282.61.4-2.831.423.712.5
P/CFO-16.791.1-9.1-15.216.618.13.7
Total Yield-2.0%0.4%69.9%-36.1%3.2%4.2%1.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.0%0.5%-714.2%-30.7%4.5%3.9%-2.3%
D/E0.20.02.20.10.20.30.2
Net D/E-0.1-0.01.90.10.1-0.10.1

Returns

FLNCTSLASTEMEOSEGNRCENPHMedian
NameFluence .Tesla Stem Eos Ener.Generac Enphase . 
1M Rtn7.8%14.3%2.2%-5.6%3.1%14.8%5.4%
3M Rtn149.6%9.7%-9.5%44.4%-20.1%-18.4%0.1%
6M Rtn233.4%45.1%3,555.6%167.9%15.4%-13.1%106.5%
12M Rtn9.0%-2.6%118.6%213.8%-12.3%-56.9%3.2%
3Y Rtn-6.8%211.0%-92.8%967.0%53.0%-89.6%23.1%
1M Excs Rtn7.0%13.5%1.5%-6.4%2.3%14.1%4.7%
3M Excs Rtn133.1%10.7%-8.4%35.0%-22.7%-19.1%1.2%
6M Excs Rtn221.0%32.7%3,543.2%155.5%3.0%-25.5%94.1%
12M Excs Rtn-2.9%-4.0%111.0%249.8%-24.5%-68.3%-3.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-60.5%110.0%-161.0%1,096.5%-17.6%-158.6%-39.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment2,699 1,199681561
Revenue from digital applications and solutions 4   
Revenue from energy storage products and solutions 2,198   
Revenue from services 16   
Total2,6992,2181,199681561


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21,801,894
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-4.7%
Average Daily Volume6,789,729
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.21
Basic Shares Quantity131,042,321
Short % of Basic Shares16.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/24/20256.1%25.6% 
8/11/2025-19.4%-11.8%-26.0%
5/7/20256.9%20.8%4.7%
2/10/2025-46.4%-46.2%-59.6%
11/25/2024-19.1%-22.0%-32.8%
8/7/202415.0%20.1%32.6%
5/8/2024-8.0%-9.1%9.7%
2/7/20246.7%4.2%-23.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive788
# Negative877
Median Positive6.9%18.8%24.2%
Median Negative-9.5%-11.8%-25.0%
Max Positive26.3%27.0%32.6%
Max Negative-46.4%-46.2%-59.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251125202510-K 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241129202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231129202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221214202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-Q 12/31/2021