Tearsheet

Fluence Energy (FLNC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.68 | Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Renewable Electricity

Fluence Energy (FLNC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.68
Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Renewable Electricity

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.1%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 309%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.1%
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 309%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FLNC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Fluence Energy (FLNC) has experienced a significant stock movement, with its share price delivering a striking 165% return over a recent 90-day period. This substantial increase can be attributed to several key factors: 1. Analyst Price Target Upgrades: Multiple financial institutions, including Citigroup, Canaccord, UBS, Jefferies, Goldman Sachs, Susquehanna, and Morgan Stanley, significantly raised their price targets for Fluence Energy. For instance, Citigroup increased its price target by 166.67% from $7.50 to $20.00, and Canaccord raised its target by 150% to $25 from $10, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future prospects.

2. Record Order Backlog: The company secured a record $1.4 billion in new orders in the last quarter, which boosted its total backlog to an impressive $5.3 billion. This robust order book positions Fluence Energy for substantial revenue growth in fiscal year 2026 and beyond.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FLNC Return---52%39%-33%26%-44%
Peers Return18%-0%-21%-8%-25%46%-6%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FLNC Win Rate-50%42%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate48%37%38%35%48%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FLNC Max Drawdown---82%-11%-44%-77% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-14%-37%-31%-36%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ORA, STEM, BEPC, CWEN, FLNC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFLNCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven496.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to ORA, STEM, BEPC, CWEN, FLNC


In The Past

Fluence Energy's stock fell -83.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/15/2021. A -83.2% loss requires a 496.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Fluence Energy (FLNC)

Better Bets than Fluence Energy (FLNC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FLNC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Fluence Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FLNCORASTEMBEPCCWENMedian
NameFluence .Ormat Te.Stem Brookfie.Clearway. 
Mkt Price19.85111.4617.2439.5234.4634.46
Mkt Cap2.66.80.17.14.14.1
Rev LTM2,4499441653,7771,3751,375
Op Inc LTM-27179-94888172172
FCF LTM-426-214-24-749440-214
FCF 3Y Avg-241-237-10730451-107
CFO LTM-401389-16352703352
CFO 3Y Avg-222342-941,027721342

Growth & Margins

FLNCORASTEMBEPCCWENMedian
NameFluence .Ormat Te.Stem Brookfie.Clearway. 
Rev Chg LTM14.3%6.1%-35.6%-10.5%0.8%0.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg44.1%9.5%-2.0%0.8%3.5%3.5%
Rev Chg Q24.7%17.9%30.5%-10.6%-11.7%17.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.1%4.2%5.7%-2.8%-4.0%4.2%
Op Mgn LTM-1.1%19.0%-57.3%23.5%12.5%12.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3.8%20.5%-55.1%25.8%17.7%17.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%-0.3%20.9%-1.2%-3.9%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-16.4%41.2%-9.7%9.3%51.1%9.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-10.0%38.7%-24.4%25.8%53.1%25.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-17.4%-22.6%-14.8%-19.8%32.0%-17.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.9%-27.8%-29.1%0.6%33.2%-10.9%

Valuation

FLNCORASTEMBEPCCWENMedian
NameFluence .Ormat Te.Stem Brookfie.Clearway. 
Mkt Cap2.66.80.17.14.14.1
P/S0.46.20.91.62.41.6
P/EBIT-32.323.11.25.015.65.0
P/E-47.643.81.4-7.012.11.4
P/CFO-2.215.0-9.117.64.74.7
Total Yield-2.1%2.8%69.9%-14.2%18.8%2.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%10.5%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-18.9%-5.0%-714.2%-15.0%-12.0%
D/E0.40.52.25.82.82.2
Net D/E-0.10.51.95.52.71.9

Returns

FLNCORASTEMBEPCCWENMedian
NameFluence .Ormat Te.Stem Brookfie.Clearway. 
1M Rtn-4.6%3.5%-9.2%-9.4%7.4%-4.6%
3M Rtn194.1%22.4%19.0%21.0%21.7%21.7%
6M Rtn309.3%50.6%57.9%36.7%18.5%50.6%
12M Rtn8.3%40.9%129.5%-28.8%34.8%
3Y Rtn17.3%24.8%-92.6%-17.8%17.6%
1M Excs Rtn-4.6%3.5%-9.2%-9.3%7.4%-4.6%
3M Excs Rtn188.7%16.3%15.8%13.3%16.3%16.3%
6M Excs Rtn294.6%35.9%43.2%22.0%3.8%35.9%
12M Excs Rtn-8.0%23.8%106.2%-12.0%17.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-52.0%-44.7%-166.2%--56.0%-54.0%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity22,879,904
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120258.4%
Average Daily Volume8,085,898
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.83
Basic Shares Quantity130,723,258
Short % of Basic Shares17.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241129202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231129202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221214202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211214202110-K 9/30/2021