Tearsheet

Generac (GNRC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $145.05 | Market Cap: $8.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Generac (GNRC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $145.05
Market Cap: $8.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -18%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.0%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
  Key risks
GNRC key risks include [1] softness in its core residential segment due to fluctuating demand and fewer power outages, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -18%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.0%
5 Key risks
GNRC key risks include [1] softness in its core residential segment due to fluctuating demand and fewer power outages, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GNRC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Generac's (GNRC) stock movement of -21.8% between August 31, 2025, and today: 1. Generac missed Q3 2025 earnings and revenue expectations and lowered its full-year outlook. The company reported non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.83, missing analyst estimates of $2.25, and revenue of $1.11 billion, falling short of the $1.19 billion forecast. This led to a significant stock drop immediately following the announcement on October 29, 2025. Furthermore, Generac revised its full-year 2025 net sales growth guidance to be approximately flat compared to the prior year, a decrease from its previous expectation of 2% to 5% growth.

2. Weak residential product sales significantly impacted performance. Residential product sales declined by 13% to $627 million in Q3 2025. This downturn was attributed to a historically low number of power outage hours since 2015, suggesting reduced demand for home standby generators due to a lack of severe weather events.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GNRC Return126%55%-71%28%20%0%54%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GNRC Win Rate83%58%25%50%67%42% 
Peers Win Rate 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GNRC Max Drawdown-21%-1%-74%-18%-15%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RRX, FELE, AIGO, SONC, ETN. See GNRC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGNRCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven65 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven130 days120 days

Compare to RRX, FELE, AIGO, SONC, ETN


In The Past

Generac's stock fell -83.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/1/2021. A -83.7% loss requires a 515.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Generac (GNRC)

Better Bets than Generac (GNRC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GNRC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
GNRC_2282025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282025GNRCGeneracDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
36.1%14.1%-25.1%
GNRC_2292024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292024GNRCGeneracDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
37.8%21.0%-2.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
GNRC_2282025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02282025GNRCGeneracDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
36.1%14.1%-25.1%
GNRC_2292024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292024GNRCGeneracDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
37.8%21.0%-2.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Generac

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GNRCRRXFELEAIGOSONCETNMedian
NameGenerac Regal Re.Franklin.Aigo Sonic Li.Eaton  
Mkt Price144.82141.6397.30--315.82143.22
Mkt Cap8.49.44.3--122.88.9
Rev LTM4,3525,8722,110--26,6335,112
Op Inc LTM497653264--5,049575
FCF LTM424936202--3,322680
FCF 3Y Avg405673227--3,114539
CFO LTM5881,036245--4,104812
CFO 3Y Avg538782269--3,881660

Growth & Margins

GNRCRRXFELEAIGOSONCETNMedian
NameGenerac Regal Re.Franklin.Aigo Sonic Li.Eaton  
Rev Chg LTM5.5%-5.0%5.1%--8.2%5.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.4%4.5%2.1%--9.7%3.3%
Rev Chg Q-5.0%1.3%9.5%--10.1%5.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.3%0.3%2.4%--2.5%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM11.4%11.1%12.5%--19.0%12.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.6%10.2%12.7%--17.8%11.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.3%-0.0%0.3%--0.1%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM13.5%17.6%11.6%--15.4%14.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.9%13.1%13.0%--15.8%13.1%
FCF/Rev LTM9.7%15.9%9.6%--12.5%11.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.7%11.3%11.0%--12.6%11.1%

Valuation

GNRCRRXFELEAIGOSONCETNMedian
NameGenerac Regal Re.Franklin.Aigo Sonic Li.Eaton  
Mkt Cap8.49.44.3--122.88.9
P/S2.21.62.0--5.52.1
P/EBIT21.914.421.6--29.021.7
P/E31.437.029.9--37.134.2
P/CFO16.69.217.3--35.516.9
Total Yield3.2%2.9%3.9%--3.0%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.2%0.6%--0.3%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.5%6.8%5.2%--2.7%4.9%
D/E0.20.50.1--0.10.1
Net D/E0.10.50.0--0.10.1

Returns

GNRCRRXFELEAIGOSONCETNMedian
NameGenerac Regal Re.Franklin.Aigo Sonic Li.Eaton  
1M Rtn3.1%9.3%5.7%---7.9%4.4%
3M Rtn-20.1%1.2%3.3%---12.8%-5.8%
6M Rtn15.4%1.9%14.1%---5.2%8.0%
12M Rtn-12.3%-12.0%-5.4%---7.8%-9.9%
3Y Rtn53.0%27.0%26.3%--113.4%40.0%
1M Excs Rtn2.3%8.6%4.9%---8.6%3.6%
3M Excs Rtn-22.7%-3.0%0.1%---16.1%-9.5%
6M Excs Rtn3.0%-10.5%1.8%---17.5%-4.4%
12M Excs Rtn-24.5%-26.4%-17.5%---21.2%-22.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-17.6%-51.9%-45.6%--36.6%-31.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Residential products2,0632,9122,4571,5571,144
Commercial & Industrial products1,4951,261999702872
Other465392281227189
Total4,0234,5653,7372,4852,204


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,070,472
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.1%
Average Daily Volume1,048,029
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.88
Basic Shares Quantity58,263,218
Short % of Basic Shares7.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-4.9%-17.6%-21.7%
7/30/202519.6%30.4%23.6%
4/30/20251.0%0.5%9.7%
2/12/20257.6%0.5%-9.9%
10/31/20240.2%11.1%14.0%
7/31/20240.1%-10.2%-1.2%
5/1/2024-6.1%0.3%10.0%
2/14/2024-0.3%-8.2%-8.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151213
# Negative91211
Median Positive7.6%7.7%12.0%
Median Negative-6.0%-8.4%-12.5%
Max Positive19.6%30.4%39.3%
Max Negative-25.3%-29.4%-29.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021