Generac (GNRC)
Market Price (3/31/2026): $184.21 | Market Cap: $10.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Generac (GNRC)
Market Price (3/31/2026): $184.21Market Cap: $10.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 68x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4% | |
| Key risksGNRC key risks include [1] softness in its core residential segment due to fluctuating demand and fewer power outages, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 68x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4% |
| Key risksGNRC key risks include [1] softness in its core residential segment due to fluctuating demand and fewer power outages, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Surging demand from the data center market significantly boosted Generac's Commercial & Industrial (C&I) segment. This sector-specific tailwind, driven by the rapid buildout of data centers, led to a 10% increase in C&I product sales to $400 million in Q4 2025, primarily from data center shipments. The company's data center backlog grew substantially from approximately $400 million as of February 11, 2026, to around $700 million by March 25, 2026. Generac's CEO indicated that 2026 would be an "important inflection point," with domestic large megawatt generator capacity expected to exceed $1 billion by Q4 2026. This shift towards higher-value, infrastructure-driven demand is improving revenue visibility and reducing reliance on the more volatile residential segment.
2. Optimistic 2026 financial outlook and strong long-term growth projections instilled investor confidence. Despite missing Q4 2025 earnings estimates (EPS of $1.61 against an estimated $1.81) and a 11.6% year-over-year revenue decline to $1.09 billion, Generac issued robust forward guidance. The company projected full-year 2026 net sales growth in the mid-teens percentage range and an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 18.0% to 19.0%. Specifically, C&I product sales are anticipated to increase in the 30% range during 2026, largely due to data center customers and acquisitions. Analysts also forecast Generac's earnings to grow significantly by 25.9% per year, with EPS expected to increase by 25.6% per annum.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 22.3% change in GNRC stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 137.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3302026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 151.63 | 185.50 | 22.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,352 | 4,209 | -3.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.1% | 3.8% | -46.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 28.5 | 67.8 | 137.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 58 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 22.3% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/30/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GNRC | 22.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 41.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 2.2% | 54.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.1% change in GNRC stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 123.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3302026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 185.25 | 185.50 | 0.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,412 | 4,209 | -4.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.1% | 3.8% | -53.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.3 | 67.8 | 123.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 58 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.1% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/30/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GNRC | 0.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 44.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 3.8% | 53.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 36.2% change in GNRC stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 171.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3302026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 136.15 | 185.50 | 36.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,296 | 4,209 | -2.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.5% | 3.8% | -49.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.9 | 67.8 | 171.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 59 | 58 | 1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 36.2% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/30/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GNRC | 36.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 53.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 16.5% | 57.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 54.6% change in GNRC stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 231.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3302026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 120.01 | 185.50 | 54.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,565 | 4,209 | -7.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.0% | 3.8% | -52.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.5 | 67.8 | 231.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 62 | 58 | 6.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 54.6% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/30/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GNRC | 54.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 46.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 62.4% | 53.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GNRC Return | 55% | -71% | 28% | 20% | -12% | 43% | -15% |
| Peers Return | 43% | -24% | 89% | 46% | 8% | 20% | 287% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -7% | 70% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GNRC Win Rate | 58% | 25% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 77% | 33% | 65% | 62% | 54% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GNRC Max Drawdown | -1% | -74% | -18% | -15% | -34% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -2% | -39% | -8% | -6% | -31% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RRX, FELE, FPS, ETN, VRT. See GNRC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/30/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GNRC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 515.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 130 days | 120 days |
Compare to RRX, FELE, FPS, ETN, VRT
In The Past
Generac's stock fell -83.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/1/2021. A -83.7% loss requires a 515.3% gain to breakeven.
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About Generac (GNRC)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Generac (GNRC):
- Like the Honda or Kohler of power equipment, but specializing in reliable backup generators for homes and businesses, and also growing in home energy storage solutions.
- Imagine Tesla Energy (Powerwall) for home power reliability, but combined with a much larger and established business in traditional backup generators.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Residential Standby Generators: Automatic backup power systems for homes.
- Portable Generators: Mobile power sources for temporary or on-the-go electricity needs.
- Outdoor Power Equipment: A variety of tools for property maintenance, such as mowers, log splitters, and pressure washers.
- Clean Energy Solutions (PWRcell & PWRview): Systems for residential energy storage and monitoring.
- Commercial & Industrial Generators: Large-scale backup power systems for businesses, healthcare, and industrial applications.
- Mobile Power & Storage Systems: Includes mobile generators, light towers, and energy storage for various mobile and industrial needs.
- Commercial Mobile Pumps & Dust Suppression Equipment: Specialized equipment for construction and industrial site management.
- Mobile Link: A remote monitoring system for home standby generators.
- Aftermarket Parts & Accessories: Replacement parts and add-ons for Generac's product lines.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Generac (GNRC) sells its products to a diverse base of ultimate customers across residential, light commercial, and industrial markets. While the company utilizes a broad distribution network including independent dealers, industrial distributors, national and regional retailers, e-commerce partners, and wholesalers, its major customers can be categorized as follows:
- Residential Customers: This category includes homeowners and individuals who purchase Generac's products for personal use. Products commonly purchased by this segment include residential automatic standby generators, portable generators, various outdoor power equipment (such as trimmers, log splitters, pressure washers), and clean energy solutions like PWRcell and PWRview.
- Light Commercial and Small Business Customers: These are small to mid-sized businesses that require reliable power solutions. They typically purchase light-commercial standby generators (ranging from 22kW to 150kW) and related transfer switches to ensure continuous operation and backup power for their business premises.
- Industrial and Enterprise Customers: This segment comprises larger organizations and entities across critical sectors such as healthcare, telecommunications, datacom, commercial offices, retail establishments, municipal services, and manufacturing. These customers utilize Generac's larger industrial generators (from 10kW to 3,250kW) for essential emergency backup, as well as mobile power products including light towers, mobile generators, mobile energy storage systems, and specialized equipment like commercial mobile pumps and dust-suppression systems.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Aaron P. Jagdfeld, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Aaron P. Jagdfeld joined Generac in 1994 in the finance department. He was appointed Chief Financial Officer in 2002, became President in 2007, Chief Executive Officer in 2008, and Chairman in 2016. Under his leadership, Generac has transformed into a global energy technology company. Before joining Generac, Mr. Jagdfeld worked in the audit practice of Deloitte & Touche. He also serves as a director of The Hillman Group.
York A. Ragen, Chief Financial Officer
York A. Ragen has served as Chief Financial Officer of Generac Holdings Inc. since September 2008. Prior to this role, he held Director of Finance and Vice President of Finance positions at Generac, having joined the company in 2005. Before his time at Generac, Mr. Ragen was Vice President, Corporate Controller at APW Ltd. He began his career at Arthur Andersen in the audit practice.
Erik Wilde, President, Domestic C&I
Erik Wilde has served as Generac's President, Domestic C&I (Commercial & Industrial) since July 2016. Prior to joining Generac, Mr. Wilde was Vice President and General Manager of the Mining Division for Komatsu America Corp. from 2013 to 2016. He also held other leadership positions with Komatsu, including Vice President of the ICT Business Division and Product Marketing, dating back to 2005.
Norman Taffe, President, Energy Technology
Norman Taffe serves as President of Energy Technology at Generac. The Energy Technology organization, which he leads, focuses on products and services related to energy storage and management. This group was formed to integrate Generac's acquisitions in the clean energy sector and accelerate its go-to-market efforts in this area.
Kyle Raabe, Executive Vice President, Residential
Kyle Raabe is the Executive Vice President, Residential at Generac. (Further detailed background information was not readily available in the provided search results).
AI Analysis | Feedback
Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from its reliance on external factors for demand, the competitive and evolving nature of its newer markets, and sensitivity to economic conditions.
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Dependence on Power Outages and Weather Events: Generac's core business, particularly its residential standby generators, is significantly driven by the frequency and severity of power outages and active storm seasons. A period with fewer power outages or a weaker storm season can directly lead to reduced demand and lower revenues for this segment. For instance, a "significantly weaker power outage environment" has previously dented demand for backup generators, causing the company to miss profit and sales expectations and lower its financial guidance. This highlights that the perceived or actual unreliability of the grid is a crucial catalyst for its primary product sales.
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Intense Competition and Market Evolution in Clean Energy and Energy Storage Solutions: Generac has diversified into clean energy initiatives, including solar energy and energy storage systems like PWRcell. This market is characterized by rapid technological advancements and "intense competition" from established companies and new entrants. Generac has encountered challenges in this segment, including market sluggishness and product recalls, and faces the risk of not achieving profitability targets in this evolving area. Its ability to innovate and compete effectively against rivals in battery storage systems, solar inverters, and smart home integration will be crucial for long-term success.
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Sensitivity to Consumer Spending and Economic Cycles: Many of Generac's products, especially residential standby generators and home energy solutions, represent significant investments for consumers. Consequently, the company's residential business is sensitive to overall consumer spending trends and the perceived necessity of backup power. Economic downturns or increased consumer pressures can lead to cautious spending, as backup power purchases can be viewed as discretionary, potentially hindering growth in this key segment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- The rapid adoption and technological advancement of battery energy storage systems, especially when integrated with solar power, pose a clear emerging threat to Generac's traditional fossil-fuel-powered generator business for residential and light commercial backup. While Generac offers its own clean energy solutions (e.g., PWRcell), the accelerating market shift towards silent, emission-free, and potentially grid-independent battery backup systems, driven by improving economics and consumer preference, could cannibalize demand for their core generator offerings if their transition and market capture in the clean energy segment do not keep pace.
- The widespread electrification of outdoor power equipment, with numerous competitors rapidly introducing advanced battery-electric versions of tools such as mowers, trimmers, pressure washers, and other utility equipment, presents a clear emerging threat to Generac's segment in this area. These electric alternatives offer significant advantages in terms of lower noise, zero emissions, reduced maintenance, and user convenience, which are increasingly appealing to consumers and could erode market share for gasoline-powered models if Generac does not effectively adapt its product portfolio.
AI Analysis | Feedback
For Generac (symbol: GNRC), the addressable markets for its main products and services are as follows:
-
Residential Standby Generators:
- The global residential standby generators market size was estimated at approximately $5 billion in annual revenue in 2024, projected to reach $7 billion to $8 billion by the end of the 2025-2033 period, at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of around 6-8%.
- The global home standby gensets market was valued at USD 8.5 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 16.1 billion in 2034, growing at a CAGR of 6.5%.
- The U.S. home standby gensets market was worth over USD 2.2 billion in 2024.
- In North America, Generac holds over 75% market share in the residential standby generator market.
- As of 2025, Generac supplies over 60% of the U.S. home standby market by unit shipments.
- The U.S. residential standby generator market has a low penetration rate of approximately 6.5%, with each 1% increase in penetration representing a $3.5 billion opportunity.
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Portable Generators:
- The global portable generators market size was valued at $5.6 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $8.6 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 4.8% from 2024 to 2032.
- The global portable generator market size was estimated at USD 4.96 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 6.79 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.4% from 2025 to 2030.
- The U.S. portable generators market was valued at USD 3.8 billion in 2024 and is set to register at a CAGR of 4.2% from 2025 to 2034, reaching USD 5.8 billion by 2034.
- The United States portable generator market size reached USD 1,125.4 million in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 1,495.1 million by 2034, exhibiting a growth rate (CAGR) of 3.21% during 2026-2034.
-
Industrial Generators:
- The global industrial generator market was valued at USD 21.5 billion in 2024 and is set to grow at a CAGR of 7.1% from 2025 to 2034, reaching USD 42.4 billion by 2034.
- The global industrial generator market size was worth USD 19.86 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 6.52% from 2025 to 2033 to be worth USD 35.06 billion by 2033.
- Generac is targeting $500 million in annual sales capacity in the data center generator market, with a $150 million backlog for 2026.
-
Energy Storage Systems (Clean Energy Solutions - PWRcell):
- The global energy storage systems market was estimated at USD 668.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 5.12 trillion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 21.7% from 2025 to 2034.
- The U.S. energy storage systems market was worth over USD 106.7 billion in 2024.
- The global energy storage system market is estimated to be valued at USD 52.95 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 86.76 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 7.3% from 2025 to 2032.
- Generac is actively targeting the residential solar-plus-storage market with its PWRcell battery systems.
- Generac acquired PowerPlay Battery Energy Storage Systems in June 2024, which specializes in Commercial & Industrial (C&I) projects up to 7 MWh.
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Outdoor Power Equipment:
- The global outdoor power equipment market size was valued at USD 37.36 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow from USD 39.33 billion in 2026 to USD 60.71 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.58%.
- The global outdoor power equipment market size accounted at USD 38.83 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach around USD 62.00 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 5.33% from 2025 to 2034.
- North America dominated the global outdoor power equipment market with a share of 49.16% in 2025.
- The U.S. outdoor power equipment market is projected to grow significantly, reaching an estimated value of USD 24.94 billion by 2032.
- The outdoor power equipment market size is valued to increase by USD 11.51 billion at a CAGR of 6.44% from 2023 to 2028.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Generac (GNRC) over the next 2-3 years:
- Strong Demand for Residential Standby Generators: Generac anticipates continued growth in its residential product sales, particularly driven by an increase in shipments of home standby generators. The company's Q1 2024 earnings call indicated a mid-teens increase in home standby generator shipments. The 2026 outlook further projects residential product sales to increase, assuming more typical power outage activity.
- Growth in Commercial & Industrial (C&I) Segment Driven by Data Centers: The Commercial & Industrial segment is expected to be a significant driver of revenue growth, especially due to robust demand from data center customers and strategic partnerships with hyperscale clients. Analysts predict C&I product sales to increase in the 30% range for 2026.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Investments: Generac is expected to benefit from strategic acquisitions and investments that expand its market presence and product offerings. Recent examples include the acquisition of Allmand, which is contributing to C&I growth, and a minority investment in Wallbox in late 2023. These acquisitions are expected to have a favorable impact on overall revenue growth.
- Expanding Dealer Network: The expansion of Generac's dealer network, which has grown to an all-time high of 9,400, is expected to bolster its market position and contribute to favorable growth prospects in both residential and commercial sectors.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here is a summary of Generac (symbol: GNRC) capital allocation decisions over the last 3-5 years:
Share Repurchases
- Generac repurchased 1.1 million shares for $148 million in 2025.
- In February 2026, a new share repurchase authorization of up to $500 million was approved for the next 24 months, replacing the remaining balance of an earlier program.
- The company's buyback yield peaked in December 2022 at 5.8%.
Share Issuance
- Generac's shares outstanding have shown a declining trend, indicating repurchases rather than significant issuances. Shares outstanding were 0.059 billion in 2025, a 1.78% decline from 2024.
- Shares outstanding for Generac Holdings were 0.060 billion in 2024, a 2.75% decline from 2023.
- As of December 31, 2025, shares outstanding were 0.058 billion, representing a 3.4% decline year-over-year.
Outbound Investments
- In February 2026, Generac acquired Enercon, an operator of electrical services, with terms undisclosed.
- Generac acquired ecobee Inc. for $770 million in November 2021, expanding its presence in smart home technology and grid solutions.
- In August 2024, Generac acquired Ageto, a provider of microgrid controllers, to enhance its energy technology ecosystem for commercial and industrial customers.
Capital Expenditures
- Generac's capital expenditures in the most recent quarter (Q4 2025) totaled approximately $59.32 million USD.
- For the full year, capital expenditures are projected to be approximately 3% of forecasted net sales.
- The company is focusing capital expenditures on capacity expansion for large megawatt generators and made investments in existing facilities, including the purchase of an additional manufacturing facility in Wisconsin in Q4 2025.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| How Does Generac Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | 03/12/2026 | |
| With Generac Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | 03/07/2026 | |
| Generac Stock Soars 29% In A Single Month, Why You Shouldn Not Be Buying The Stock | 02/28/2026 | |
| NXT, AYI Beat Generac Stock on Price & Growth | 02/19/2026 | |
| Generac Stock (+18%): Data Center Pivot Crushes Bears, Forces Re-Rate | 02/12/2026 | |
| Generac Earnings Notes | 12/28/2026 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Generac Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | 03/07/2026 | |
| Generac Stock To $157? | 02/28/2026 | |
| How Does Generac Stock Compare With Peers? | 02/25/2026 | |
| With Generac Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | 02/20/2026 | |
| Better Value & Growth: Leads Generac Stock | 02/19/2026 |
Trade Ideas
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| 02272026 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | LZ | LegalZoom.com | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -5.0% |
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| 02132026 | TREX | Trex | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -5.9% |
| 02132026 | PCTY | Paylocity | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.6% | -0.6% | -4.8% |
| 02282025 | GNRC | Generac | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 36.1% | 65.5% | -25.1% |
| 02292024 | GNRC | Generac | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 37.8% | 21.0% | -2.2% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 181.84 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.8 |
| Rev LTM | 5,072 |
| Op Inc LTM | 487 |
| FCF LTM | 581 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 663 |
| CFO LTM | 714 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 772 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.8 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 25.8 |
| P/E | 42.2 |
| P/CFO | 24.7 |
| Total Yield | 2.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -13.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 15.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 36.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 50.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 23.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 21.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -5.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $185.50 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 10.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/11/2010 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -21.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $200.07 | $173.14 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -7.3% | 7.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 55.9% | 51.9% |
| Downside Capture | 0.36 | 1.04 |
| Upside Capture | 271.52 | 164.00 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 40.6% | 51.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.84 | 1.57 | 1.83 | 1.94 | 1.38 | 1.42 |
| Up Beta | 1.74 | 2.49 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| Down Beta | 3.96 | 1.92 | 2.10 | 2.06 | 1.53 | 1.41 |
| Up Capture | 357% | 382% | 358% | 281% | 241% | 489% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 34 | 69 | 131 | 396 |
| Down Capture | -91% | -118% | 51% | 175% | 120% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 16 | 27 | 55 | 119 | 353 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GNRC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GNRC | 43.9% | 51.8% | 0.88 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 19.2% | 19.3% | 0.78 | 56.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.8% | 19.0% | 0.60 | 51.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 48.2% | 27.7% | 1.42 | 7.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.5% | 17.6% | 0.83 | 14.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.1% | 16.4% | -0.11 | 32.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -24.0% | 44.3% | -0.49 | 28.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GNRC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GNRC | -9.1% | 51.4% | 0.01 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.3% | 17.2% | 0.56 | 53.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.0% | 17.0% | 0.55 | 54.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.7% | 0.97 | 9.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 12.2% | 18.8% | 0.53 | 12.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.2% | 18.8% | 0.07 | 44.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.9% | 56.6% | 0.29 | 27.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GNRC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GNRC | 17.4% | 44.5% | 0.52 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.8% | 19.8% | 0.57 | 53.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 55.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.8% | 0.70 | 6.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.38 | 18.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 43.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.2% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 18.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/11/2026 | 17.9% | 25.3% | 12.0% |
| 10/29/2025 | -4.9% | -17.6% | -21.7% |
| 7/30/2025 | 19.6% | 30.4% | 23.6% |
| 4/30/2025 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 9.7% |
| 2/12/2025 | 7.6% | 0.5% | -9.9% |
| 10/31/2024 | 0.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% |
| 7/31/2024 | 0.1% | -10.2% | -1.2% |
| 5/1/2024 | -6.1% | 0.3% | 10.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% |
| Median Negative | -6.0% | -8.4% | -13.6% |
| Max Positive | 19.6% | 30.4% | 39.3% |
| Max Negative | -25.3% | -29.4% | -29.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/18/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/19/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/22/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/11/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net Sales Growth | 15.0% | 15.0% | Raised | Guidance: 0.0% for 2025 | |||
| 2026 C&I Product Sales Growth | 30.0% | ||||||
| 2026 Residential Product Sales Growth | 10.0% | ||||||
| 2026 Net Income Margin | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 41.7% | 2.5% | Raised | Guidance: 6.0% for 2025 |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 18.0% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 8.8% | 1.5% | Raised | Guidance: 17.0% for 2025 |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Net Sales Growth | 0.0% | -100.0% | -3.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 3.5% for 2025 | ||
| 2025 Net Income Margin | 6.0% | -25.0% | -2.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 8.0% for 2025 | ||
| 2025 Operating Margin | 17.0% | -8.1% | -1.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 18.5% for 2025 | ||
| 2025 Free Cash Flow Conversion | 0.8 | -15.8% | -15.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 0.95 for 2025 | ||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jagdfeld, Aaron | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 1052026 | 137.98 | 5,000 | 689,900 | 73,538,649 | Form |
| 2 | Jagdfeld, Aaron | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 12022025 | 148.27 | 5,000 | 741,350 | 79,764,219 | Form |
| 3 | Jagdfeld, Aaron | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 11052025 | 166.43 | 5,000 | 832,150 | 90,365,831 | Form |
| 4 | Jagdfeld, Aaron | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 10022025 | 167.42 | 5,000 | 837,100 | 91,740,468 | Form |
| 5 | Jagdfeld, Aaron | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 181.21 | 5,000 | 906,050 | 100,202,969 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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