Tearsheet

Elbit Systems (ESLT)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $530.51 | Market Cap: $24.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Elbit Systems (ESLT)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $530.51
Market Cap: $24.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.2%, Dist 3Y High is -4.2%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 41x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 57x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 114%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Drone Technology, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Drone Technology, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.2%, Dist 3Y High is -4.2%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 41x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 57x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 114%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ESLT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the stock movement for Elbit Systems (ESLT) between July 31, 2025, and November 18, 2025:

1. Elbit Systems reported strong third-quarter 2025 earnings that surpassed market estimates. The company's net income attributable to shareholders rose to $133.40 million from $79.11 million in the prior year, with adjusted earnings per share reaching $3.35, exceeding the average analyst estimate of $2.73.

2. The company announced a significant increase in its order backlog, reaching a record $25.2 billion as of September 30, 2025. This substantial backlog provides long-term revenue visibility, with approximately 69% of current orders originating outside Israel and 38% scheduled for delivery in late 2025 and 2026.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ESLT Return-15%35%-5%31%22%96%244%
Peers Return-11%-2%-3%14%35%36%79%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ESLT Win Rate42%50%42%75%50%90% 
Peers Win Rate8%8%10%16%15%33% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ESLT Max Drawdown-27%-5%-7%-1%-17%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-5%-7%-0%-8%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, DFSC, PEW, PRZO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventESLTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven642 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven411 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven171 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-42.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven226 days1480 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, DFSC, PEW, PRZO


In The Past

Elbit Systems's stock fell -33.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/12/2022. A -33.3% loss requires a 49.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Elbit Systems (ESLT)

Better Bets than Elbit Systems (ESLT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ESLT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-10.2%-10.2%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.4%-3.4%-4.8%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.1%-7.1%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-10.2%-10.2%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.4%-3.4%-4.8%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.1%-7.1%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Elbit Systems

Financials

ESLTFLYATRODFSCPEWPRZOMedian
NameElbit Sy.Firefly .AstronicsDEFSEC T.GrabAGun.ParaZero. 
Mkt Price503.2319.4850.123.113.761.3211.62
Mkt Cap22.9-1.8---12.3
Rev LTM7,5161018314--466
Op Inc LTM596-21150-9--21
FCF LTM641-19951-9--21
FCF 3Y Avg251-8-11--8
CFO LTM813-16574-9--32
CFO 3Y Avg442-22-10--22

Growth & Margins

ESLTFLYATRODFSCPEWPRZOMedian
NameElbit Sy.Firefly .AstronicsDEFSEC T.GrabAGun.ParaZero. 
Rev Chg LTM19.2%-6.2%166.4%--19.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.1%-19.5%94.3%--19.5%
Rev Chg Q21.3%-3.8%330.2%--21.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%-0.9%35.8%--4.8%
Op Mgn LTM7.9%-209.3%6.0%-209.1%---101.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.9%-2.2%-699.5%--2.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-1.7%86.7%--1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM10.8%-164.1%8.9%-212.3%---77.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.4%-2.5%-716.7%--2.5%
FCF/Rev LTM8.5%-197.5%6.1%-216.3%---95.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.4%-0.8%-777.8%--0.8%

Valuation

ESLTFLYATRODFSCPEWPRZOMedian
NameElbit Sy.Firefly .AstronicsDEFSEC T.GrabAGun.ParaZero. 
Mkt Cap22.9-1.8---12.3
P/S3.0-2.1---2.6
P/EBIT40.9-35.5---38.2
P/E57.0--574.9----259.0
P/CFO28.2-24.1---26.2
Total Yield2.0%--0.2%---0.9%
Dividend Yield0.2%-0.0%---0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.5%--0.5%---0.5%
D/E0.1-0.2---0.1
Net D/E0.0-0.2---0.1

Returns

ESLTFLYATRODFSCPEWPRZOMedian
NameElbit Sy.Firefly .AstronicsDEFSEC T.GrabAGun.ParaZero. 
1M Rtn4.8%-26.1%8.4%-29.2%-14.0%-13.7%-13.8%
3M Rtn6.5%-59.9%43.0%-20.5%-25.1%-9.6%-15.0%
6M Rtn24.5%-66.8%--39.0%39.0%
12M Rtn113.8%-203.0%--124.5%124.5%
3Y Rtn167.5%-515.7%---341.6%
1M Excs Rtn4.7%-26.2%8.3%-29.3%-14.1%-13.9%-14.0%
3M Excs Rtn7.5%-61.2%43.4%-15.2%-33.7%0.7%-7.3%
6M Excs Rtn12.6%-55.0%--27.1%27.1%
12M Excs Rtn101.0%-192.3%--114.0%114.0%
3Y Excs Rtn91.1%-410.8%---250.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Aerospace1,8731,7331,583924 
Elbit Systems of America (ESA)1,4651,4571,4931,339 
Land1,3061,1691,117927 
Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance (ISTAR) and Electronic warfare1,1791,0461,026870 
Command, control, communications, computer, intelligence (C4I) and Cyber721678625603 
Intersegment revenue-570-571-566  
Airborne systems    1,617
Command, control, communications, computers, intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance (C4ISR)    1,161
Electro-optic systems    374
Land systems    1,228
Other (mainly non-defense engineering and production services)    127
Total5,9755,5125,2794,6634,508


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance (ISTAR) and Electronic warfare1354966  
Aerospace125107129  
Land812936  
Command, control, communications, computer, intelligence (C4I) and Cyber514944  
Other operating income06915  
Elbit Systems of America (ESA)-575124  
Unallocated corporate expenses and inter-company unrealized profit-18-104  
Total369367419  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity93,864
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-37.2%
Average Daily Volume93,997
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity45,513,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202581320256-K 6/30/2025
331202552020256-K 3/31/2025
12312024320202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111920246-K 9/30/2024
630202481420246-K 6/30/2024
331202452820246-K 3/31/2024
12312023328202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023112820236-K 9/30/2023
630202381520236-K 6/30/2023
331202353020236-K 3/31/2023
12312022501202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022112920226-K 9/30/2022
630202281620226-K 6/30/2022
331202252420226-K 3/31/2022
12312021407202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021112320216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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