Elbit Systems (ESLT)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $530.51 | Market Cap: $24.1 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Elbit Systems (ESLT)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $530.51Market Cap: $24.1 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.2%, Dist 3Y High is -4.2% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 41x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 57x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 114% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Drone Technology, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Drone Technology, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.2%, Dist 3Y High is -4.2% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 41x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 57x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 114% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
ESLT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the stock movement for Elbit Systems (ESLT) between July 31, 2025, and November 18, 2025:
1. Elbit Systems reported strong third-quarter 2025 earnings that surpassed market estimates. The company's net income attributable to shareholders rose to $133.40 million from $79.11 million in the prior year, with adjusted earnings per share reaching $3.35, exceeding the average analyst estimate of $2.73.
2. The company announced a significant increase in its order backlog, reaching a record $25.2 billion as of September 30, 2025. This substantial backlog provides long-term revenue visibility, with approximately 69% of current orders originating outside Israel and 38% scheduled for delivery in late 2025 and 2026.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ESLT Return | -15% | 35% | -5% | 31% | 22% | 96% | 244% |
| Peers Return | -11% | -2% | -3% | 14% | 35% | 36% | 79% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ESLT Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 42% | 75% | 50% | 90% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 8% | 8% | 10% | 16% | 15% | 33% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ESLT Max Drawdown | -27% | -5% | -7% | -1% | -17% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -5% | -7% | -0% | -8% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, DFSC, PEW, PRZO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ESLT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 642 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 411 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -28.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 171 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 226 days | 1480 days |
Compare to FLY, ATRO, DFSC, PEW, PRZO
In The Past
Elbit Systems's stock fell -33.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/12/2022. A -33.3% loss requires a 49.8% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Low Can Elbit Systems Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| ESLT Jumps 16% in a Month, But Does VSEC Offer Better Fundamentals? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Elbit Systems (ESLT) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Elbit Systems Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 22.6% in 2024 and ...% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Should You Buy Elbit Systems Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Elbit Systems (ESLT) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Elbit Systems (ESLT) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Elbit Systems (ESLT) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Elbit Systems (ESLT) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Big Move for ESLT, but Do VSEC’s Margins and Growth Give It the Edge? | September 12th, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | September 9th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ESLT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | -10.3% | -14.1% |
| 10312025 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -10.2% | -10.2% | -17.5% |
| 10312025 | PLPC | Preformed Line Products | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.4% | -3.4% | -4.8% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.1% | -7.1% | -10.5% |
| 10102025 | CARR | Carrier Global | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -4.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | -10.3% | -14.1% |
| 10312025 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -10.2% | -10.2% | -17.5% |
| 10312025 | PLPC | Preformed Line Products | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.4% | -3.4% | -4.8% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.1% | -7.1% | -10.5% |
| 10102025 | CARR | Carrier Global | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -4.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Elbit Systems
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.62 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.3 |
| Rev LTM | 466 |
| Op Inc LTM | 21 |
| FCF LTM | 21 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8 |
| CFO LTM | 32 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 22 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 19.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 19.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 21.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -101.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -77.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -95.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.3 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 38.2 |
| P/E | -259.0 |
| P/CFO | 26.2 |
| Total Yield | 0.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -13.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -15.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 39.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 124.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 341.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -14.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 27.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 114.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 250.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aerospace | 1,873 | 1,733 | 1,583 | 924 | |
| Elbit Systems of America (ESA) | 1,465 | 1,457 | 1,493 | 1,339 | |
| Land | 1,306 | 1,169 | 1,117 | 927 | |
| Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance (ISTAR) and Electronic warfare | 1,179 | 1,046 | 1,026 | 870 | |
| Command, control, communications, computer, intelligence (C4I) and Cyber | 721 | 678 | 625 | 603 | |
| Intersegment revenue | -570 | -571 | -566 | ||
| Airborne systems | 1,617 | ||||
| Command, control, communications, computers, intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance (C4ISR) | 1,161 | ||||
| Electro-optic systems | 374 | ||||
| Land systems | 1,228 | ||||
| Other (mainly non-defense engineering and production services) | 127 | ||||
| Total | 5,975 | 5,512 | 5,279 | 4,663 | 4,508 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance (ISTAR) and Electronic warfare | 135 | 49 | 66 | ||
| Aerospace | 125 | 107 | 129 | ||
| Land | 81 | 29 | 36 | ||
| Command, control, communications, computer, intelligence (C4I) and Cyber | 51 | 49 | 44 | ||
| Other operating income | 0 | 69 | 15 | ||
| Elbit Systems of America (ESA) | -5 | 75 | 124 | ||
| Unallocated corporate expenses and inter-company unrealized profit | -18 | -10 | 4 | ||
| Total | 369 | 367 | 419 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8132025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5202025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3202025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11192024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5282024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3282024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11282023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5302023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 5012023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11292022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8162022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5242022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4072022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11232021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |