ECD Automotive Design (ECDA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $0.2168 | Market Cap: $0.3 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers
ECD Automotive Design (ECDA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $0.2168Market Cap: $0.3 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automobile Manufacturers
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Experiential Retail, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -142% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.2 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -49% | ||
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 4148% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 967% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2462% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 4318% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26% | ||
| Key risksECDA key risks include [1] severe financial distress raising substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern and [2] potential delisting from the Nasdaq exchange for non-compliance with listing rules. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -142% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.2 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -49% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 4148% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 967% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2462% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 4318% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26% |
| Key risksECDA key risks include [1] severe financial distress raising substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern and [2] potential delisting from the Nasdaq exchange for non-compliance with listing rules. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ECDA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Reverse Stock Split and Subsequent Decline: ECD Automotive Design implemented a 1-for-40 reverse stock split on September 18, 2025. While a reverse split aims to increase the per-share price, it often signals underlying financial distress and can be followed by further stock depreciation if the company's valuation continues to fall.
2. Weak Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: The company reported significantly weaker financial results for Q3 2025, announced on November 20, 2025. Revenue decreased to $5.8 million from $6.4 million in the prior year's quarter. More critically, the company reported a gross loss of $1.7 million in Q3 2025, a substantial decline from a gross profit of $2.0 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to the completion of legacy builds and elevated tariff-related costs. The reported net income was attributable to non-cash gains from debt conversion rather than operational profitability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ECDA Return | � | � | � | � | -22% | -99% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | -63% | 23% | 6% | 19% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ECDA Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 33% | 17% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 52% | 32% | 48% | 50% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ECDA Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -38% | -100% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -66% | -24% | -36% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LCID, RIVN, TSLA, GM, F.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
ECDA has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 680 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 150.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 779 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ECDA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for ECD Automotive Design
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.47 |
| Mkt Cap | 37.3 |
| Rev LTM | 50,734 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,803 |
| FCF LTM | -249 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1,478 |
| CFO LTM | 8,416 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,062 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -23.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -10.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -4.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -12.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 37.3 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 2.0 |
| P/E | 5.0 |
| P/CFO | 2.4 |
| Total Yield | -9.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -5.8% |
| D/E | 1.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.9 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 29.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 8.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 39.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 17.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -43.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11202025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8202025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5212025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4152025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 3252025 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8192024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 6272024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 5032024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6262023 | S-4 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 11132023 | 424B3 12/31/2022 |
External Quote Links
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