Tearsheet

Duluth (DLTH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.35 | Market Cap: $115.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Duluth (DLTH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.35
Market Cap: $115.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -135%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.5%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 253%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.0%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.5%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -68%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -135%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -27 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.5%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 253%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.0%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.5%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -68%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DLTH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, it is not possible to analyze actual stock movements or provide definitive reasons for a 49.3% change during that specific future period. However, based on the most recent available information for Duluth Holdings Inc. (DLTH) up to December 4, 2025, here are key points regarding the company's performance and analyst sentiment that could influence stock movement:

1. Stronger-than-Expected Q2 2025 Earnings: On September 4, 2025, Duluth Holdings reported Q2 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.03, significantly beating the consensus estimate of -$0.05. Quarterly revenue also exceeded analyst estimates, reaching $131.72 million against a forecast of $124.03 million. This positive earnings surprise led to a substantial pre-market stock surge of 50.21%.

2. Analyst Upgrade and Price Target Increase: Following the strong Q2 2025 results, Baird upgraded Duluth Holdings' stock rating from 'Neutral' to 'Outperform' on September 5, 2025. Simultaneously, Baird raised the price target for DLTH from $2.00 to $7.00, representing a 250% increase in the anticipated value. This upgrade and raised price target indicate increased confidence in the stock's future performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DLTH Return0%44%-59%-13%-43%11%-67%
Peers Return1%18%-19%23%13%7%44%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DLTH Win Rate50%67%42%42%25%40% 
Peers Win Rate55%55%38%55%52%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DLTH Max Drawdown-68%0%-62%-22%-46%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-11%-46%-24%-16%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CATO, TJX, ROST, BURL, GAP. See DLTH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDLTHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven325.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven217.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven153 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-77.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven343.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to CATO, TJX, ROST, BURL, GAP


In The Past

Duluth's stock fell -76.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/30/2021. A -76.5% loss requires a 325.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Duluth (DLTH)

Better Bets than Duluth (DLTH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DLTH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Duluth

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DLTHCATOTJXROSTBURLGAPMedian
NameDuluth Cato TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Gap  
Mkt Price3.393.60150.06178.00248.8526.8588.45
Mkt Cap0.10.1167.357.515.710.012.9
Rev LTM60365157,92521,49811,01715,16613,091
Op Inc LTM-27-246,4762,5807641,166965
FCF LTM-33-184,0411,679-335769375
FCF 3Y Avg-11-134,3581,797124938531
CFO LTM-24-135,9352,4748041,2151,010
CFO 3Y Avg12-26,1452,5658771,3801,129

Growth & Margins

DLTHCATOTJXROSTBURLGAPMedian
NameDuluth Cato TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Gap  
Rev Chg LTM-6.1%-4.1%4.1%1.9%7.6%-0.0%0.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.9%-4.7%5.3%5.2%7.7%-1.3%1.9%
Rev Chg Q-7.0%4.7%6.9%4.6%9.7%0.1%4.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.6%1.2%1.6%1.1%2.2%0.0%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM-4.5%-3.8%11.2%12.0%6.9%7.7%7.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.3%-2.7%10.7%11.5%6.1%5.2%5.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%1.0%0.2%-0.2%0.2%-0.0%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-4.0%-2.0%10.2%11.5%7.3%8.0%7.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.8%-0.4%11.2%12.5%8.7%9.1%8.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.5%-2.8%7.0%7.8%-3.0%5.1%1.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.8%-2.0%8.0%8.8%1.4%6.2%3.8%

Valuation

DLTHCATOTJXROSTBURLGAPMedian
NameDuluth Cato TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Gap  
Mkt Cap0.10.1167.357.515.710.012.9
P/S0.10.12.41.91.30.50.9
P/EBIT-2.1-4.220.614.818.46.410.6
P/E-1.6-2.827.720.026.99.214.6
P/CFO-3.0-4.123.216.718.26.711.7
Total Yield-63.7%-29.4%4.9%6.2%3.7%10.9%4.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%6.6%1.3%1.2%0.0%0.0%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-14.9%-18.1%3.7%4.3%1.2%16.3%2.4%
D/E2.62.50.10.10.40.70.5
Net D/E2.50.70.10.00.30.40.4

Returns

DLTHCATOTJXROSTBURLGAPMedian
NameDuluth Cato TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Gap  
1M Rtn21.1%-8.9%7.2%10.4%-9.9%17.7%8.8%
3M Rtn43.6%-14.7%7.9%18.4%-15.1%19.8%13.2%
6M Rtn51.3%36.4%17.9%25.6%4.4%29.6%27.6%
12M Rtn-9.6%8.8%21.8%17.1%-12.9%7.4%8.1%
3Y Rtn-50.3%-56.3%95.1%54.6%24.3%103.3%39.4%
1M Excs Rtn21.1%-8.8%7.2%10.5%-9.9%17.7%8.8%
3M Excs Rtn-10.9%-25.3%1.4%11.4%-22.8%7.7%-4.8%
6M Excs Rtn36.6%21.6%3.2%10.9%-10.3%14.9%12.9%
12M Excs Rtn-25.0%-0.7%7.3%2.7%-25.3%0.6%-0.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-134.7%-129.8%22.7%-14.7%-45.8%37.6%-30.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment647653699639616
Total647653699639616


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment-10    
Total-10    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity362,322
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.3%
Average Daily Volume48,163
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.52
Basic Shares Quantity34,448,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025905202510-Q 8/3/2025
4302025606202510-Q 5/4/2025
1312025324202510-K 2/2/2025
103120241206202410-Q 10/27/2024
7312024830202410-Q 7/28/2024
4302024531202410-Q 4/28/2024
1312024322202410-K 1/28/2024
103120231201202310-Q 10/29/2023
7312023901202310-Q 7/30/2023
4302023602202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023317202310-K 1/29/2023
103120221202202210-Q 10/30/2022
7312022902202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022603202210-Q 5/1/2022
1312022325202210-K 1/30/2022
103120211203202110-Q 10/31/2021