Walt Disney (DIS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $105.7 | Market Cap: $190.2 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment
Walt Disney (DIS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $105.7Market Cap: $190.2 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Movies & Entertainment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Experiential Retail, Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Experiential Retail, Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DIS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -10.7% stock movement for Walt Disney (DIS) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Negative Reaction to Q4 Fiscal 2025 Earnings Report.
Walt Disney's stock experienced a significant drop, including a 7.8% tumble on November 13, 2025, following the announcement of its Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings. This severe negative reaction was deemed justified by analysts due to mixed results, despite an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) beat.
2. Revenue Shortfall in Q4 2025.
A primary concern for investors was that the company's Q4 fiscal 2025 revenue of $22.46 billion fell short of analyst expectations, which contributed significantly to the negative market sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DIS Return | 25% | -15% | -44% | 4% | 24% | -5% | -26% |
| Peers Return | 22% | 2% | -20% | 24% | 18% | -18% | 19% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DIS Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 33% | 25% | 19% | 31% | 43% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DIS Max Drawdown | -41% | -22% | -46% | -9% | -5% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -4% | -28% | -0% | -5% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NFLX, CMCSA, FUN, ANGX, DCR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DIS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 298 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 134.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 408 days | 1480 days |
Compare to NFLX, CMCSA, FUN, ANGX, DCR
In The Past
Walt Disney's stock fell -60.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/8/2021. A -60.7% loss requires a 154.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DIS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Walt Disney
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-K 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11212023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11292022 | 10-K 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-Q 1/1/2022 |
| 9302021 | 11242021 | 10-K 10/2/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Coleman Sonia L | Sr. EVP and Chief HR Officer | 8252025 | Sell | 118.57 | 1,971 | 233,701 | Form | |
| 1 | WOODFORD BRENT | EVP, Control, Fin Plan & Tax | 5132025 | Sell | 110.84 | 1,000 | 110,845 | 5,190,982 | Form |
| 2 | Coleman Sonia L | Sr. EVP and Chief HR Officer | 1222025 | Sell | 108.76 | 689 | 74,936 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
