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Walt Disney (DIS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $105.7 | Market Cap: $190.2 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Walt Disney (DIS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $105.7
Market Cap: $190.2 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Experiential Retail, Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Experiential Retail, Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DIS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -10.7% stock movement for Walt Disney (DIS) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Negative Reaction to Q4 Fiscal 2025 Earnings Report.

Walt Disney's stock experienced a significant drop, including a 7.8% tumble on November 13, 2025, following the announcement of its Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings. This severe negative reaction was deemed justified by analysts due to mixed results, despite an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) beat. 2. Revenue Shortfall in Q4 2025.

A primary concern for investors was that the company's Q4 fiscal 2025 revenue of $22.46 billion fell short of analyst expectations, which contributed significantly to the negative market sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DIS Return25%-15%-44%4%24%-5%-26%
Peers Return22%2%-20%24%18%-18%19%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DIS Win Rate50%42%33%50%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate33%25%19%31%43%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DIS Max Drawdown-41%-22%-46%-9%-5%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-4%-28%-0%-5%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NFLX, CMCSA, FUN, ANGX, DCR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDISS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven154.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven72.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven246 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven298 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven134.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven408 days1480 days

Compare to NFLX, CMCSA, FUN, ANGX, DCR


In The Past

Walt Disney's stock fell -60.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/8/2021. A -60.7% loss requires a 154.6% gain to breakeven.

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About Walt Disney (DIS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DIS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Walt Disney

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DISNFLXCMCSAFUNANGXDCRMedian
NameWalt Dis.Netflix Comcast Six Flag.Angel St.DCR Tech  
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Growth & Margins

DISNFLXCMCSAFUNANGXDCRMedian
NameWalt Dis.Netflix Comcast Six Flag.Angel St.DCR Tech  
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Valuation

DISNFLXCMCSAFUNANGXDCRMedian
NameWalt Dis.Netflix Comcast Six Flag.Angel St.DCR Tech  
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Returns

DISNFLXCMCSAFUNANGXDCRMedian
NameWalt Dis.Netflix Comcast Six Flag.Angel St.DCR Tech  
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Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19,495,671
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.2%
Average Daily Volume13,616,980
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.43
Basic Shares Quantity1,799,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241114202410-K 9/28/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023207202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231121202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023510202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022208202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221129202210-K 10/1/2022
6302022810202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022511202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021209202210-Q 1/1/2022
93020211124202110-K 10/2/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Coleman Sonia LSr. EVP and Chief HR Officer8252025Sell118.571,971233,701 Form
1WOODFORD BRENTEVP, Control, Fin Plan & Tax5132025Sell110.841,000110,8455,190,982Form
2Coleman Sonia LSr. EVP and Chief HR Officer1222025Sell108.7668974,936 Form