Cooper-Standard (CPS)
Market Price (5/12/2026): $30.25 | Market Cap: $543.6 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Cooper-Standard (CPS)
Market Price (5/12/2026): $30.25Market Cap: $543.6 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Advanced Materials. Themes include EV Manufacturing, EV Thermal Management Components, Show more. | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 208% Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 53x Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% Key risksCPS key risks include [1] its substantial debt burden resulting in negative shareholder equity, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Advanced Materials. Themes include EV Manufacturing, EV Thermal Management Components, Show more. |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 208% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 53x |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| Key risksCPS key risks include [1] its substantial debt burden resulting in negative shareholder equity, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Mixed Quarterly Financial Performance: Cooper-Standard reported mixed financial results, consistently beating revenue expectations but missing earnings per share (EPS) estimates in both its Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 reports. In Q4 2025, reported on February 13, 2026, revenue was $672.37 million, exceeding analyst expectations of $641.51 million, but EPS came in at -$1.73, missing estimates of -$0.95. Similarly, for Q1 2026, reported on May 6, 2026, sales increased to $686.4 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $669.27 million by 6.43%, yet the adjusted net loss of $(0.29) per diluted share missed the expected loss of $(0.16). This pattern of stronger-than-expected revenue juxtaposed with weaker-than-expected profitability likely created a neutralizing effect on the stock price.
2. Ambivalent Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets: Analyst sentiment toward Cooper-Standard was mixed, contributing to the stock's stability. While some analysts maintained "Buy" ratings and projected an average price target of $49.33, implying significant potential upside from its current trading range, the overall consensus rating was "Reduce". This included downgrades to "strong sell" from Zacks Research in April 2026 and to "hold" from Wall Street Zen in March 2026, offsetting more positive outlooks from firms like Stifel Nicolaus, which maintained a "buy" rating and a $55.00 price target.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -3.9% change in CPS stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -4.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 31.37 | 30.16 | -3.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,729 | 2,760 | 1.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.2 | -4.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 18 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -3.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CPS | -3.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 32.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.3% | 33.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -0.2% change in CPS stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -1.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 30.22 | 30.16 | -0.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,729 | 2,760 | 1.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.2 | -1.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 18 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -0.2% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CPS | -0.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 32.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.1% | 33.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 105.6% change in CPS stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 107.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.67 | 30.16 | 105.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,731 | 2,760 | 1.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.2 | 107.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 18 | -2.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 105.6% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CPS | 105.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 24.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 22.0% | 21.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 124.2% change in CPS stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 114.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.45 | 30.16 | 124.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,525 | 2,760 | 9.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.2 | 114.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 17 | 18 | -4.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 124.2% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CPS | 124.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 34.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 65.5% | 35.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CPS Return | -35% | -60% | 116% | -31% | 142% | -6% | -11% |
| Peers Return | 12% | 0% | 57% | 29% | 41% | 39% | 342% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CPS Win Rate | 33% | 33% | 42% | 33% | 67% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 38% | 52% | 47% | 68% | 64% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CPS Max Drawdown | -47% | -83% | 0% | -41% | -18% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -35% | -9% | -18% | -24% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PH, DAN, GTES, MGA, MOD. See CPS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/11/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CPS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 23 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 11 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -42.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 75 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -84.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 536.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1056 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -61.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 157.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 233 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -14.2% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.5% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 29 days | 6 days |
In The Past
Cooper-Standard's stock fell -26.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 36.0% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | CPS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 23 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 11 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -42.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 75 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -84.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 536.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1056 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -61.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 157.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 233 days | 140 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -22.2% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 278 days | 15 days |
In The Past
Cooper-Standard's stock fell -26.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 36.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Cooper-Standard (CPS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Cooper-Standard (CPS):
- Cooper-Standard is like AutoZone, but for car manufacturers, supplying crucial seals, hoses, and fluid systems directly to vehicle assembly lines.
- Think of Cooper-Standard as the Goodyear or Michelin of vehicle fluid and sealing systems, providing essential, highly engineered components like hoses and seals directly to car manufacturers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Products of Cooper-Standard (CPS):
- Sealing Systems: These include dynamic and static seals, sensor systems, encapsulated glasses, and various specialty sealing products for automotive applications.
- Fuel and Brake Delivery Systems: The company produces chassis and tank fuel lines, fuel rails, metallic brake lines, quick connects, and tube coatings.
- Fluid Transfer Systems: This category encompasses heater/coolant hoses, turbo charger hoses, charged air cooler ducts, emission lines, and various other hoses and tubes for thermal management and fluid transport.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Customers of Cooper-Standard (CPS)
Based on the provided company description, Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) sells primarily to other companies.
Its major customers are automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The provided background information does not list the specific names of these customer companies or their public symbols.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Jeffrey S. Edwards Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Jeffrey S. Edwards has served as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Cooper Standard since May 2013, having joined the company as CEO and a board member in October 2012. With over 39 years of experience in the automotive industry, he previously held various positions of increasing responsibility at Johnson Controls, Inc. from 1984 to 2012, including leading the Automotive Experience Asia Group as corporate vice president, group vice president, and general manager. Mr. Edwards also serves on the board of directors of Standex International Corp.
Jonathan P. Banas Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Jonathan P. Banas is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Cooper Standard, a position he has held since June 2017. He is responsible for leading the company's global accounting and finance activities, including reporting, financial planning and analysis, tax, treasury, internal audit, investor relations, and global finance business services, as well as corporate strategy, M&A, and real estate initiatives. Mr. Banas joined Cooper Standard in 2015 as vice president, corporate controller and chief accounting officer. Prior to Cooper Standard, he spent 11 years at ZF TRW (formerly TRW Automotive Holdings Corp.) in various financial leadership roles, most recently as director, financial reporting.
Patrick R. Clark President, Sealing Systems and Chief Manufacturing Officer
Patrick R. Clark serves as President, Sealing Systems and Chief Manufacturing Officer for Cooper Standard, a role he has held since January 2024. With over 28 years of automotive industry experience, Mr. Clark leads the company's sealing business and manufacturing operations. He began his career as an intern at Standard Products in June 1994, which was later acquired by Cooper Standard. Throughout his tenure, he has held leadership positions across engineering, operations, program management, finance, strategy, and sales, and has been involved in divestiture and acquisition targets.
Christopher E. Couch President, Fluid Handling Systems and Chief Technology Officer
Christopher E. Couch is the President, Fluid Handling Systems and Chief Technology Officer at Cooper Standard. He oversees the fluid handling business, research and development, product development and engineering, product strategy, and program management, and also holds P&L responsibility for Applied Materials Science (AMS), a venture business unit focused on commercializing unique materials. Dr. Couch is also the founder and CEO of Liveline Technologies, a software startup that originated from innovations at Cooper Standard. His extensive background includes serving as chief technical officer and global manufacturing vice president at Lear Corp. from 2013 to 2016, and holding leadership roles at Johnson Controls, Inc. from 2005 to 2013.
MaryAnn Peterson Kanary Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary
MaryAnn Peterson Kanary serves as Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary for Cooper Standard, leading the legal and compliance functions. She brings more than 24 years of experience from publicly traded, international, and privately held manufacturing, automotive, and construction organizations. Prior to joining Cooper Standard, Ms. Kanary was Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer at Barton Malow Holdings LLC, and corporate secretary for Barton Malow Enterprises, Inc.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Cooper-Standard's business include:1. High Net Debt and Financial Leverage
Cooper-Standard carries a substantial amount of indebtedness, with an estimated net debt of approximately $1.03 billion for the 2025 fiscal year against a full-year sales guidance of around $2.7 billion. This significant financial leverage leads to increased interest costs and refinancing risk, particularly if interest rates remain high or rise further. It also restricts the company's financial flexibility and heightens its vulnerability to adverse economic conditions. Analysts have flagged high leverage and negative equity as persistent risk factors for the company.2. Cyclicality of the Automotive Industry and Production Volume Volatility
The company's revenue is closely tied to light vehicle production, which is inherently cyclical and sensitive to macroeconomic downturns, trade tensions, and tariffs. Cooper-Standard faces operational risks due to potential prolonged contractions in automotive sales and production volumes, as well as disruptions from customer production cuts. For instance, the company experienced significant production reductions in a major customer program during the fourth quarter of 2025.3. Raw Material Cost Volatility and Pricing Pressures
Cooper-Standard's profitability is susceptible to fluctuations in raw material costs and inflationary pressures, which may not be fully offset by price adjustments to customers. The highly competitive nature of the automotive parts industry also subjects the company to intense pricing pressures from its customers, potentially impacting its profit margins.AI Analysis | Feedback
The increasing global adoption of Electric Vehicles (EVs) poses a clear emerging threat to Cooper-Standard. A significant portion of Cooper-Standard's product portfolio is designed for and dependent on internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. Specifically, the widespread transition to EVs will lead to a diminished or eliminated demand for:
- Fuel delivery systems (e.g., chassis and tank fuel lines, direct injection and port fuel rails) as EVs do not use fossil fuels.
- Emission control components (e.g., DPF and SCR emission lines) as EVs produce zero tailpipe emissions.
- Certain fluid transfer systems specifically tied to ICE components, such as turbo charger hoses.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for Cooper-Standard's main products and services are as follows:
Sealing Systems
- The global automotive window and exterior sealing system market was estimated at approximately USD 25.85 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 39.57 billion by 2030.
- The global automotive seals and gaskets market was valued at USD 26.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 39.3 billion by 2034.
- The global automotive door seal market size is valued at USD 26.01 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 44.54 billion by 2033.
- The global automotive seals market size was USD 17.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 19.3 billion in 2031.
- The global automotive body sealing system market size was recorded at USD 10.36 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach USD 19.65 billion by 2033.
Fuel and Brake Delivery Systems
- The global automotive fuel delivery system market size was valued at USD 1.62 billion in 2023 and is predicted to reach USD 2.86 billion by the end of 2032.
- The vehicle fuel delivery system market size was valued at USD 4.3 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow to USD 6.9 billion by 2033.
- The global automotive fuel delivery system market is projected to grow from USD 10.6 billion in 2025 to approximately USD 16.9 billion by 2035.
- The automotive fuel delivery system market was valued at USD 5.13 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 7.09 billion by 2031.
Fluid Transfer Systems
- The global fluid transfer system market size was valued at USD 25.52 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 40.74 billion by 2032.
- The global automotive fluid transfer system market is projected to grow from USD 26.85 billion in 2025 to USD 34.27 billion by 2031.
- The fluid transfer system market size was USD 24.09 billion in 2026 and is expected to grow to USD 32.4 billion in 2030.
- The global fluid transfer system market is projected to reach USD 29.95 billion by 2032.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cooper-Standard (CPS) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:
- Growth in Electric and Hybrid Vehicle Platforms: A significant driver of future revenue for Cooper-Standard is its strategic focus on and success in securing new business related to battery electric (BEV) and hybrid vehicle platforms. In 2025, 74% of the company's $298 million in net new business awards were tied to these electrified vehicle platforms, indicating a strong alignment with the evolving automotive industry landscape.
- Increased Penetration with Chinese Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): Cooper-Standard is actively expanding its business with Chinese OEMs. Management has set a target for Chinese OEMs to account for over 60% of its revenue in China by 2030, a significant increase from 36% in 2025. The company also projects its total revenue attributable to China to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 15% from 2025 through 2028. Over half of the net new business awards secured in 2025 were with Chinese OEMs.
- Securing New Business Awards and Value-Add Innovation: The company continues to win substantial new business awards, highlighting its ability to develop and deliver innovative solutions. In 2025, Cooper-Standard received $298 million in net new business awards, with 74% of these awards specifically related to value-add innovation. This ongoing success in securing new contracts for innovative products and services is expected to contribute to top-line growth.
- Leveraging Operational Efficiencies and Higher-Margin Offerings: While primarily impacting profitability, Cooper-Standard's focus on achieving manufacturing and supply chain efficiencies, along with a strategic emphasis on higher-margin business, is expected to indirectly support revenue growth. These efforts enhance the company's competitiveness and capacity for investment in growth initiatives. The company aims for a double-digit EBITDA margin for the full year in 2026.
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Share Repurchases
- Cooper-Standard has an authorized share repurchase program with approximately $98.7 million remaining for future repurchases.
- No share repurchases were made by Cooper-Standard during the years 2023 to 2025.
- Under a program announced in June 2018, the company completed the repurchase of 1,013,222 shares for $51.31 million.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for Cooper-Standard totaled $48 million in 2025, representing 1.8% of sales, which was similar to the 2024 level.
- The company anticipates capital expenditures of approximately $55 million to $65 million in 2026.
- The focus of these capital expenditures is on disciplined spending, customer launch readiness, and new business growth, including investments in tooling for new business wins.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 48.20 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.8 |
| Rev LTM | 5,759 |
| Op Inc LTM | 410 |
| FCF LTM | 345 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 250 |
| CFO LTM | 506 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 459 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 10.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 25.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.8 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/Op Inc | 13.8 |
| P/EBIT | 16.7 |
| P/E | 29.1 |
| P/CFO | 20.1 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 23.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 61.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 175.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 14.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 32.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 90.2% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $30.16 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/27/2010 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -33.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $30.50 | $32.60 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -1.1% | -7.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 88.0% | 65.4% |
| Downside Capture | 1.37 | 0.53 |
| Upside Capture | 163.82 | 97.76 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 34.8% | 23.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.25 | 2.53 | 1.87 | 1.71 | 1.53 | 1.73 |
| Up Beta | 4.06 | 4.24 | 2.25 | 2.05 | 2.03 | 1.79 |
| Down Beta | -0.64 | 0.75 | 1.67 | 2.23 | 1.70 | 1.35 |
| Up Capture | 146% | 128% | 162% | 96% | 177% | 970% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 13 | 24 | 54 | 121 | 366 |
| Down Capture | 351% | 283% | 169% | 151% | 89% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 30 | 40 | 71 | 129 | 381 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPS | 20.1% | 65.4% | 0.53 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 19.5% | 18.7% | 0.82 | 21.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 28.1% | 12.5% | 1.78 | 23.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 42.9% | 26.9% | 1.30 | 14.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 48.6% | 18.0% | 2.14 | -13.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.5% | 0.70 | 20.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -22.4% | 41.7% | -0.50 | 11.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPS | 1.8% | 87.5% | 0.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.1% | 23.8% | 0.26 | 37.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 37.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.2% | 17.9% | 0.96 | 5.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.5% | 19.1% | 0.58 | 6.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 33.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.5% | 56.0% | 0.36 | 15.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPS | -8.8% | 77.7% | 0.22 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.7% | 22.0% | 0.53 | 40.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.0% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 40.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 0.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.5% | 17.7% | 0.45 | 13.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 35.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.1% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 11.3% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -0.7% | ||
| 2/13/2026 | 32.4% | 15.8% | -10.1% |
| 10/31/2025 | -15.5% | -19.9% | -16.1% |
| 8/1/2025 | 9.3% | 2.6% | 52.8% |
| 5/2/2025 | 43.8% | 70.2% | 35.8% |
| 2/14/2025 | -9.3% | -1.2% | -4.8% |
| 11/1/2024 | 17.5% | 26.9% | 19.9% |
| 8/2/2024 | 3.4% | -6.4% | 12.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| # Negative | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 21.9% | 20.2% | 35.8% |
| Median Negative | -10.8% | -12.6% | -18.5% |
| Max Positive | 43.8% | 70.2% | 98.1% |
| Max Negative | -26.4% | -30.0% | -34.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/13/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/14/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/16/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 2.70 Bil | 2.80 Bil | 2.90 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.80 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 260.00 Mil | 280.00 Mil | 300.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 280.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 55.00 Mil | 60.00 Mil | 65.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 60.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Cash Restructuring | 25.00 Mil | 27.50 Mil | 30.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 27.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Net Cash Interest | 105.00 Mil | 110.00 Mil | 115.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 110.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Net Cash Taxes | 30.00 Mil | 32.50 Mil | 35.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 32.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 10.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 10.0% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Anticipated incremental future annualized sales | 127.90 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Anticipated incremental future annualized sales (battery electric or full-hybrid platforms) | 31.80 Mil | ||||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/13/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 2.70 Bil | 2.80 Bil | 2.90 Bil | 3.7% | Raised | Guidance: 2.70 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 260.00 Mil | 280.00 Mil | 300.00 Mil | 36.6% | Raised | Guidance: 205.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 55.00 Mil | 60.00 Mil | 65.00 Mil | 26.3% | Raised | Guidance: 47.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Cash Restructuring | 25.00 Mil | 27.50 Mil | 30.00 Mil | 22.2% | Raised | Guidance: 22.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Net Cash Interest | 105.00 Mil | 110.00 Mil | 115.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 110.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Net Cash Taxes | 30.00 Mil | 32.50 Mil | 35.00 Mil | 44.4% | Raised | Guidance: 22.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mastrocola, David John | Trust | Buy | 3132026 | 29.77 | 3,391 | 100,950 | 744,250 | Form | |
| 2 | Mastrocola, David John | Trust | Buy | 3132026 | 30.25 | 1,494 | 45,194 | 653,672 | Form | |
| 3 | Mastrocola, David John | Trust | Buy | 3132026 | 31.00 | 2,000 | 62,000 | 623,565 | Form | |
| 4 | Mastrocola, David John | Trust | Buy | 11132025 | 29.05 | 2,000 | 58,100 | 526,241 | Form | |
| 5 | Banas, Jonathan P | EVP and CFO | Direct | Buy | 11052025 | 28.22 | 500 | 14,108 | 1,521,604 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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