Tearsheet

Gates Industrial (GTES)


Market Price (7/7/2026): $27.15 | Market Cap: $6.9 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Gates Industrial (GTES)


Market Price (7/7/2026): $27.15
Market Cap: $6.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.7%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more.

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.0%

Key risks
GTES key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on cyclical industrial and automotive markets, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.7%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more.
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.0%
5 Key risks
GTES key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on cyclical industrial and automotive markets, Show more.

GTES in ETFs

Weight = GTES's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJR0.38%
VB0.08%
IJT0.42%
SLYG0.41%
VIOV0.35%
+15 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/1/2026

Gates Industrial (GTES) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Gates Industrial exceeded Q1 2026 adjusted earnings expectations and reaffirmed its full-year guidance, instilling investor confidence. The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.35 for the fiscal first quarter ended March 28, 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.32 by 9.38%. Despite a slight miss on net sales at $851.1 million against expectations of $859.72 million, management reiterated its full-year 2026 financial guidance. The company also communicated expectations to recover distribution inefficiencies experienced in Q1 due to an ERP system implementation in Europe during the second fiscal quarter.

2. Improved analyst sentiment and elevated price targets contributed to positive momentum. Gates Industrial currently holds a consensus "Buy" rating among analysts. Over the past quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for GTES' full-year earnings saw a 1.3% increase, indicating improving analyst outlook. Analysts have an average 12-month price target of $31.00 for GTES, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 10.62% from its price as of late June 2026.

Show more
Updated on 7/1/2026

Gates Industrial (GTES) stock has gained about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Gates Industrial exceeded Q1 2026 adjusted earnings expectations and reaffirmed its full-year guidance, instilling investor confidence. The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.35 for the fiscal first quarter ended March 28, 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.32 by 9.38%. Despite a slight miss on net sales at $851.1 million against expectations of $859.72 million, management reiterated its full-year 2026 financial guidance. The company also communicated expectations to recover distribution inefficiencies experienced in Q1 due to an ERP system implementation in Europe during the second fiscal quarter.

2. Improved analyst sentiment and elevated price targets contributed to positive momentum. Gates Industrial currently holds a consensus "Buy" rating among analysts. Over the past quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for GTES' full-year earnings saw a 1.3% increase, indicating improving analyst outlook. Analysts have an average 12-month price target of $31.00 for GTES, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 10.62% from its price as of late June 2026.

3. Strategic initiatives and increasing industrial OEM orders signaled company-specific growth. Gates Industrial announced a tuck-in acquisition of Timken's industrial belt business, demonstrating strategic growth through M&A. Furthermore, the company reported a positive inflection in industrial OEM orders entering 2026, a trend that continued through Q1 2026, indicating strengthening demand for its core products.

4. Favorable macroeconomic tailwinds in the industrial sector supported the stock's ascent. The broader industrial sector is experiencing strong investor interest driven by long-term trends such as infrastructure investment, electrification, and digital transformation. The demand for power equipment, thermal management, automation, and advanced components, fueled by AI infrastructure and grid modernization, is particularly benefiting industrial companies and driving M&A premiums within the sector. Additionally, corporate profits across the economy have been growing at a faster rate than anticipated, with one-year forward growth expected around 21%.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 20.1% change in GTES stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267062026Change
Stock Price ($)22.6127.1520.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,4433,4470.1%
Net Income Margin (%)7.3%7.2%-1.0%
P/E Multiple23.027.720.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2562540.8%
Cumulative Contribution20.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GTES20.1% 
Market (SPY)15.5%54.9%
Sector (XLI)14.7%77.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.5% change in GTES stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257062026Change
Stock Price ($)21.4727.1526.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,4163,4470.9%
Net Income Margin (%)6.9%7.2%4.3%
P/E Multiple23.427.718.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2582541.6%
Cumulative Contribution26.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GTES26.5% 
Market (SPY)10.5%52.6%
Sector (XLI)20.0%74.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.9% change in GTES stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)63020257062026Change
Stock Price ($)23.0327.1517.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,3933,4471.6%
Net Income Margin (%)6.4%7.2%13.1%
P/E Multiple27.227.71.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2562540.8%
Cumulative Contribution17.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GTES17.9% 
Market (SPY)22.6%51.5%
Sector (XLI)27.1%67.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 101.4% change in GTES stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 56.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237062026Change
Stock Price ($)13.4827.15101.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,5583,447-3.1%
Net Income Margin (%)6.1%7.2%18.9%
P/E Multiple17.727.756.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)28425411.7%
Cumulative Contribution101.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GTES101.4% 
Market (SPY)75.5%59.7%
Sector (XLI)80.1%68.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
GTES Return25%-28%18%53%4%24%109%
Peers Return19%-7%39%23%14%33%187%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%99%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GTES Win Rate58%42%50%42%67%71% 
Peers Win Rate62%35%60%60%58%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GTES Max Drawdown-23%-42%-25%-15%-34%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-31%-24%-19%-35%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PH, ETN, RRX, TKR, FLS. See GTES Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventGTESS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-33.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven85 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-19.9%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven24.8%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven60 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-17.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.4%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven273 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-40.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven66.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven515 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-52.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven110.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven238 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-34.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven52.5%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven2137 days105 days

Compare to PH, ETN, RRX, TKR, FLS

In The Past

Gates Industrial's stock fell -33.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 51.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventGTESS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-33.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven85 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-40.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven66.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven515 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-52.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven110.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven238 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-34.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven52.5%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven2137 days105 days

Compare to PH, ETN, RRX, TKR, FLS

In The Past

Gates Industrial's stock fell -33.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 51.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Gates Industrial (GTES)

Gates Industrial Corporation (GTES) is a global manufacturer specializing in engineered power transmission and fluid power solutions. The company designs, produces, and sells essential components that enable the movement and operation of machinery across a wide range of industries worldwide. Essentially, Gates provides the belts, hoses, and related parts that help power engines, move equipment, and manage fluids in various industrial and mobile applications.

Its core offerings are categorized into two main segments. The Power Transmission segment focuses on mechanical power transfer, providing a comprehensive array of belts, such as V-belts, CVT belts, and Micro-V belts, along with associated components like pulleys, sprockets, and tensioners. These are crucial for systems ranging from engine drives to industrial machinery and automotive applications. The Fluid Power segment specializes in hydraulic solutions, manufacturing hoses, tubing, fittings, and complete assemblies essential for managing fluids under pressure in various hydraulic systems.

Gates Industrial serves a diverse global customer base, including both Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) who integrate Gates components into their new machinery, and the aftermarket through replacement channels. Its products are vital across numerous sectors, supporting critical functions in industries like construction, agriculture, automotive, energy, transportation, and automated manufacturing systems. This broad market reach highlights the foundational role Gates plays in ensuring the reliability and efficiency of industrial and mobile equipment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • The 'Intel Inside' for industrial and automotive power systems.
  • A B2B '3M' for industrial belts, hoses, and power transmission components.
  • Like 'Parker-Hannifin' for industrial power transmission and fluid transfer components.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Power Transmission Belts: These include various synchronous, asynchronous, V-belts, CVT belts, and Micro-V belts for diverse applications.
  • Power Transmission Components: Related components like sprockets, pulleys, water pumps, tensioners, and other accessories used in power transmission systems.
  • Metal Drive Components: Specific components made of metal designed for various drive systems.
  • Automotive Replacement Kits: Pre-packaged kits containing power transmission components specifically for automotive replacement channels.
  • Fluid Power Hydraulics: Solutions comprising hoses, tubing, fittings, and assemblies essential for hydraulic systems.

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Ivo Jurek, Chief Executive Officer

Ivo Jurek joined Gates Corporation as Chief Executive Officer in May 2015, bringing a career dedicated to the industrials sector, both in the U.S. and internationally. Prior to Gates, he served as President of Eaton's Electrical business in Asia Pacific. He also held positions as Group President at Cooper Industries and President at Cooper Bussmann. Earlier in his career, he spent 10 years with International Rectifier Corporation in general management roles within their automotive and electronic motion systems businesses and over eight years in various leadership positions at TRW Automotive.

L. Brooks Mallard, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

L. Brooks Mallard has served as Gates' Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since February 2020. In this role, he oversees the company's global corporate finance and accounting, capital structure, resource allocation, financial reporting, and internal control systems. Before joining Gates, Mr. Mallard was the Chief Financial Officer of Henniges Automotive starting in June 2019. Previously, he was the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Jeld-Wen from November 2014, where he played a key role in transitioning the company from private equity ownership through its initial public offering on the NYSE. His 25-year career also includes senior financial leadership roles at TRW Automotive, Cooper Industries plc, Thomas & Betts, and Briggs & Stratton.

Cristin C. Bracken, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary

Cristin C. Bracken has served as the Company's Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary since October 2020, and was promoted to Executive Vice President in January 2024. She joined Gates in January 2017, having previously served as Vice President and Assistant General Counsel, Compliance and Litigation, and later as interim General Counsel.

Thomas G. Pitstick, President, Americas

Thomas G. Pitstick was appointed President, Americas in August 2024, where he is responsible for Gates' strategic direction and business performance across the Americas, as well as for the Global Mobility Business Unit. Since joining Gates in January 2016, he has held various leadership roles, including President of APAC, Chief Strategy Officer, Chief Marketing Officer, Senior Vice President of Product Line Management, and Senior Vice President of Innovation. Before his tenure at Gates, Mr. Pitstick served as Senior Vice President of Marketing — Electrical Sector with Eaton Corporation.

Kristian Brok, President, EMEA

Kristian Brok has served as President, EMEA since August 2025, overseeing Gates' strategic direction and business performance across Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. He joined Gates as Vice President and General Manager, EMEA in early 2025. Prior to Gates, Mr. Brok held senior leadership positions at Semperit AG Holding, including Chief Operations Officer and acting CEO, and at Trelleborg Sealing Solutions, where he managed multiple global business units. His previous executive roles focused on commercial growth, operational excellence, and international expansion.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Gates Industrial (GTES):

  • Macroeconomic Factors and Cyclical End-Market Demand: Gates Industrial's performance is highly correlated with overall industrial activity and is susceptible to global economic fluctuations, including material and logistics availability, inflation, supply chain and labor challenges, and end-market recovery. The company has noted softness in core industrial and automotive demand. Global economic fluctuations, ongoing geopolitical conflicts, and trade wars could disrupt economic activities and adversely affect sales and operating income.
  • Competitive Landscape and Technological Disruption: The market for power transmission and fluid power solutions is competitive, requiring Gates Industrial to continuously innovate and maintain its technological edge. Analysts have raised questions about how AI-driven automation in manufacturing could pressure high-margin hardware suppliers, and some see Gates Industrial as having meaningful exposure to potential disruption in in-plant equipment. This also includes the broader risk that rapid technological advancements could render existing power generation methods outdated.
  • Raw Material Cost Volatility and Supply Chain Dependency: Gates Industrial's operations require a diverse mix of raw materials, sourced globally. The company faces the challenge of managing commodity and raw material costs, which have historically been volatile. An inability to pass on cost increases to customers or find alternative materials could adversely affect operating margins and profitability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threat for Gates Industrial is the **accelerated global shift towards the electrification of vehicles and industrial machinery.**

Gates Industrial's core business relies heavily on supplying power transmission belts, hoses, and fluid power solutions primarily to industries and equipment that have historically utilized internal combustion engines (ICEs) or traditional hydraulic systems. The transition to electric powertrains in automotive, construction, agriculture, and other industrial sectors directly impacts the demand for many of Gates' traditional products:

  • **Power Transmission:** Electric vehicles (EVs) significantly reduce or eliminate the need for numerous accessory belts (e.g., for alternators, power steering pumps, air conditioning compressors) and timing belts found in ICEs. While EVs may still require some belts for specific applications (e.g., accessory drives, internal motor cooling), the overall volume, complexity, and type of belts demanded are expected to change dramatically, potentially reducing the addressable market for certain high-volume ICE-dependent belt products.
  • **Fluid Power:** Similarly, the shift to electrification can alter the requirements for fluid power solutions. For instance, the elimination of complex ICE cooling systems (which utilize many hoses) and the adoption of electric power steering or braking systems in some vehicles and machinery can reduce the demand for traditional hydraulic hoses and fittings. While hydraulic systems will still be essential for heavy machinery and specific industrial applications, the landscape for traditional fluid power solutions tied to ICEs is evolving.

This trend is not speculative but a fundamental, ongoing transformation within key end markets for Gates Industrial, akin to how digital photography disrupted film or streaming music disrupted physical media. Many of Gates' OEM customers are actively investing in and shifting production towards electric and hybrid solutions, directly impacting future demand for components designed for conventional powertrains.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Gates Industrial Corporation plc operates in two primary segments: Power Transmission and Fluid Power. The addressable markets for these segments are substantial on a global scale. For its Power Transmission products, which include belts, sprockets, pulleys, and other related components, the global market for mechanical power transmission equipment was valued at approximately USD 70.31 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 75 billion in 2026. Another estimate indicates the global mechanical power transmission products market size was approximately USD 65.15 billion by the end of 2025. The global power transmission components market, a broader category, was estimated at USD 74.8 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to approximately USD 105.7 billion by 2030. The global industrial belt drives market alone was over USD 9 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach USD 9.36 billion in 2026. The V-belt market, a specific product offering, is expected to be valued at US$ 5.3 billion in 2026. In the Fluid Power segment, which encompasses solutions like hoses, tubing, and fittings, the global fluid power equipment market size was valued at USD 73.84 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 77.92 billion in 2026. Other estimations for the global fluid power equipment market place it at around USD 69.98 billion in 2025, with a forecast to reach USD 73.07 billion in 2026. The market was also valued at USD 58.23 billion in 2023, with projections to reach USD 108.13 billion by 2032.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Gates Industrial (GTES) over the next 2-3 years:
  • Growth in Personal Mobility Segment: Gates Industrial anticipates significant growth in its personal mobility business, projecting a high twenties to 30% compound annual growth rate from 2025 to 2028, with revenues expected to reach $300 million by 2028. This segment experienced over 25% core growth in 2025.
  • Expansion in Data Center Business: The company's data center business is a rapidly accelerating secular growth driver. This segment grew fourfold compared to 2024, with orders seeing substantial increases in late 2025. Gates projects a $2 billion market opportunity by 2028, with a revenue run rate of $100 million to $200 million by the end of 2028.
  • Recovery in Industrial End Markets: Gates Industrial expects a recovery in most of its end markets in 2026, particularly improved demand dynamics for industrial off-highway and diversified industrial sectors, which are believed to have reached a trough. This anticipated stabilization and growth in broader industrial demand will provide end market support for the company.
  • Strategic Top-Line Initiatives and Innovation: The company is focused on various strategic top-line initiatives, including investments in its commercial front end and innovation, to accelerate core growth. This strategy includes developing next-generation products and technologies that deliver positive social and environmental impacts, such as solutions that reduce emissions, improve energy efficiency, and enhance durability.
  • Market Outperformance and Share Gains: Gates Industrial aims to drive core revenue growth that outpaces its addressable markets and intends to increase its market share through the end of the decade, particularly within the high-growth personal mobility and data center markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Gates Industrial authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $300 million in October 2025, valid through December 2026.
  • In full-year 2025, the company repurchased approximately $105 million of shares.
  • In August 2024, Gates Industrial executed a $125 million share repurchase.

Share Issuance

  • Total share issuance by the company was $10.4 million for the full year 2025.
  • In the third quarter of 2025, the company's share issuance amounted to $9.8 million.
  • In the first quarter of 2021, share issuance was $1.7 million.

Outbound Investments

  • In November 2021, Gates Industrial's CEO, Ivo Jurek, indicated an active mergers and acquisitions (M&A) pipeline for bolt-on acquisitions to accelerate growth, particularly in electrification and Diversified Industrial end markets.

Capital Expenditures

  • Gates Industrial anticipates capital expenditures of approximately $120 million for 2026.
  • For 2025, the company's capital expenditure guidance was also approximately $120 million.
  • A primary focus of recent capital expenditures and associated restructuring cash outlays is on footprint optimization and strategic system conversions, including an ERP conversion for its European operations expected to be complete by mid-2026.

Better Bets vs. Gates Industrial (GTES)

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GTESPHETNRRXTKRFLSMedian
NameGates In.Parker H.Eaton Regal Re.Timken Flowserve 
Mkt Price27.15971.36413.42217.91142.3674.71180.13
Mkt Cap6.9122.6160.514.59.99.512.2
Rev LTM3,44720,98728,5225,9964,6734,6535,334
Op Inc LTM4784,3885,181678583510631
FCF LTM3923,6783,776805383437621
FCF 3Y Avg3393,2483,348633344322489
CFO LTM5014,0954,741903535513719
CFO 3Y Avg4393,6584,198741512396627

Growth & Margins

GTESPHETNRRXTKRFLSMedian
NameGates In.Parker H.Eaton Regal Re.Timken Flowserve 
Rev Chg LTM1.6%6.0%12.7%1.5%3.3%0.8%2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.0%5.0%10.1%6.4%0.3%7.5%5.7%
Rev Chg Q0.4%10.6%16.8%4.3%8.0%-6.7%6.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.1%2.6%3.9%1.0%2.0%-1.6%1.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM-3.4%10.3%7.3%5.5%0.8%8.0%6.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg4.9%16.1%18.0%4.8%-5.4%32.8%10.5%
Op Mgn LTM13.9%20.9%18.2%11.3%12.5%11.0%13.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.2%20.0%18.2%10.5%13.2%9.9%13.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%-0.1%-0.8%-0.2%0.1%-0.0%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM14.5%19.5%16.6%15.1%11.4%11.0%14.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.7%18.1%16.2%12.1%11.1%8.7%12.4%
FCF/Rev LTM11.4%17.5%13.2%13.4%8.2%9.4%12.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.8%16.0%12.9%10.3%7.4%7.0%10.1%

Valuation

GTESPHETNRRXTKRFLSMedian
NameGates In.Parker H.Eaton Regal Re.Timken Flowserve 
Mkt Cap6.9122.6160.514.59.99.512.2
P/S2.05.85.62.42.12.02.3
P/Op Inc14.427.931.021.417.018.720.0
P/EBIT15.626.131.020.818.115.519.4
P/E27.735.240.250.532.126.933.7
P/CFO13.829.933.916.018.518.618.5
Total Yield3.6%3.6%2.5%2.1%4.1%4.3%3.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%0.0%0.2%1.0%0.6%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.7%3.8%2.7%6.1%5.7%4.4%5.1%
D/E0.30.10.10.30.20.20.2
Net D/E0.20.10.10.30.20.10.2

Returns

GTESPHETNRRXTKRFLSMedian
NameGates In.Parker H.Eaton Regal Re.Timken Flowserve 
1M Rtn5.9%10.1%4.4%6.8%8.0%1.9%6.4%
3M Rtn20.7%6.7%13.9%17.8%44.3%-1.3%15.8%
6M Rtn20.9%7.6%29.0%47.0%62.2%3.7%25.0%
12M Rtn13.6%36.2%15.5%44.9%88.6%36.9%36.6%
3Y Rtn105.2%161.1%116.6%49.6%65.3%112.0%108.6%
1M Excs Rtn4.5%14.4%-1.6%1.6%8.2%-0.4%3.1%
3M Excs Rtn8.7%-7.3%0.3%4.1%29.9%-14.9%2.2%
6M Excs Rtn16.3%0.9%20.5%45.7%60.2%-1.8%18.4%
12M Excs Rtn-7.4%16.7%-4.3%23.8%67.4%19.1%17.9%
3Y Excs Rtn33.6%90.1%48.5%-24.6%-4.9%42.9%38.3%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Power Transmission2,1472,1082,1912,216
Fluid Power1,2961,3001,3791,258
Total3,4433,4083,5703,474


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Power Transmission480469461501
Fluid Power290292286235
Cybersecurity incident expenses50-5 
Credit (gain) loss related to customer bankruptcy (included in selling, general and administrative00-11 
Other items not directly related to current operations00-09
Transaction-related expenses-0-3-2-4
Asset impairments-40-0-1
Other expenses (income), excluding foreign currency transaction gain or loss and insurance-4   
Restructuring related expenses (included in cost of sales)-7-2-0 
Restructuring-related expenses (included in selling, general and administrative (SG&A))-11-3-1-1
Inventory adjustments (included in cost of sales)-16-22-7-1
Restructuring expenses-26-6-12-7
Share-based compensation expense-27-29-27-25
Depreciation and amortization-214-217-218-223
Total466479463484


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$27.15 
Market Cap ($ Bil)6.9 
First Trading Date01/25/2018 
Distance from 52W High-6.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$22.04$22.11
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA23.2%22.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility44.2%38.6%
Downside Capture172.76156.37
Upside Capture159.27135.97
Correlation (SPY)55.6%51.3%
GTES Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.271.561.881.651.561.39
Up Beta-0.571.202.542.502.261.56
Down Beta1.801.851.791.411.301.38
Up Capture229%174%174%181%160%220%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days11203465128386
Down Capture109%140%139%121%129%106%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days9202859121352

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GTES
GTES14.7%38.6%0.44-
Sector ETF (XLI)26.7%16.5%1.2567.4%
Equity (SPY)22.2%12.5%1.3251.4%
Gold (GLD)23.7%27.8%0.7526.3%
Commodities (DBC)21.2%18.6%0.90-21.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.4%13.8%0.6139.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-43.6%42.7%-1.2320.3%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GTES
GTES8.8%34.7%0.31-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.3%17.6%0.6467.9%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.1%0.6161.2%
Gold (GLD)18.1%18.3%0.8014.0%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%19.5%0.2710.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.7%18.9%0.0546.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.2%53.6%0.4521.4%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GTES
GTES4.0%40.4%0.25-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.5%20.1%0.6464.4%
Equity (SPY)15.4%18.0%0.7357.2%
Gold (GLD)12.3%16.1%0.624.7%
Commodities (DBC)5.8%18.0%0.2520.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2246.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.3%66.2%0.9814.6%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 53120268.0%
Average Daily Volume1.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity253.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/10/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/1/2026-6.1%1.4%0.9%
2/12/20263.8%4.8%-14.2%
10/29/2025-12.9%-16.8%-13.1%
7/30/20251.3%-2.2%4.9%
4/30/20255.2%11.8%18.9%
2/6/202511.8%6.8%-4.5%
10/30/20245.7%10.8%21.1%
7/31/20244.9%-8.3%0.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121111
# Negative91010
Median Positive4.3%6.8%4.0%
Median Negative-4.5%-7.4%-7.9%
Max Positive11.8%11.8%21.1%
Max Negative-12.9%-16.8%-14.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/1/2026-6.1%1.4%0.9%
2/12/20263.8%4.8%-14.2%
10/29/2025-12.9%-16.8%-13.1%
7/30/20251.3%-2.2%4.9%
4/30/20255.2%11.8%18.9%
2/6/202511.8%6.8%-4.5%
10/30/20245.7%10.8%21.1%
7/31/20244.9%-8.3%0.3%
5/1/2024-6.8%-6.6%-1.9%
8/4/2023-1.6%-12.1%-7.0%
2/9/20236.2%8.5%2.6%
11/4/2022-4.5%6.9%2.8%
8/5/2022-3.1%-0.8%-13.1%
5/4/20221.5%-9.0%0.5%
2/7/2022-1.7%-2.3%-2.0%
11/8/2021-5.6%-5.4%-8.9%
8/9/2021-3.8%-10.3%-11.3%
5/10/20210.2%1.6%4.0%
2/8/20210.1%6.1%-0.1%
11/3/20202.3%6.6%10.9%
8/4/20205.9%9.2%7.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121111
# Negative91010
Median Positive4.3%6.8%4.0%
Median Negative-4.5%-7.4%-7.9%
Max Positive11.8%11.8%21.1%
Max Negative-12.9%-16.8%-14.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/01/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202302/08/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/09/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/01/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202302/08/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/09/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202102/11/202210-K
09/30/202111/08/202110-Q
06/30/202108/09/202110-Q
03/31/202105/11/202110-Q
12/31/202002/10/202110-K
09/30/202011/04/202010-Q
06/30/202008/05/202010-Q
03/31/202005/06/202010-Q
12/31/201902/21/202010-K
09/30/201911/06/201910-Q
06/30/201908/07/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 6/1/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/1/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Core sales growth1.0%2.5%4.0%0.0%0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 2.5% for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA775.00 Mil805.00 Mil835.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 805.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted Earnings Per Share1.521.61.680.0% AffirmedGuidance: 1.6 for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures 120.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 120.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Free Cash Flow conversion 0.9 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 0.9 for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue Growth1.0%2.5%4.0%150.0%1.5%RaisedActual: 1.0% for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA775.00 Mil805.00 Mil835.00 Mil3.2% RaisedActual: 780.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Adjusted Earnings Per Share1.521.61.686.7% RaisedActual: 1.5 for 2025
2026 Capital Expenditures 120.00 Mil 0 AffirmedActual: 120.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Free Cash Flow conversion 0.9 5.9%5.0%RaisedActual: 0.85 for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Revenue Growth0.5%1.0%1.5%-33.3%-0.5%LoweredGuidance: 1.5% for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDA770.00 Mil780.00 Mil790.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 780.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Adjusted Earnings Per Share1.481.51.521.4% RaisedGuidance: 1.48 for 2025
2025 Capital Expenditures 120.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 120.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Free Cash Flow conversion0.80.850.9-5.6%-5.0%LoweredGuidance: 0.9 for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 6/22/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Montgomery, Gwendolyn AnnChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell1201202522.6040,996926,5101,239,926Form
2Montgomery, Gwendolyn AnnChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell1118202521.642,33850,5942,074,410Form
3Mallard, Lawrence BChief Financial OfficerDirectSell1113202522.7722,188505,2214,044,567Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Montgomery, Gwendolyn AnnChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell1201202522.6040,996926,5101,239,926Form
2Montgomery, Gwendolyn AnnChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell1118202521.642,33850,5942,074,410Form
3Mallard, Lawrence BChief Financial OfficerDirectSell1113202522.7722,188505,2214,044,567Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/6/2026