Bolt Projects (BSLK)
Market Price (12/29/2025): $1.31 | Market Cap: $3.6 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals
Bolt Projects (BSLK)
Market Price (12/29/2025): $1.31Market Cap: $3.6 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Specialty Chemicals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 111% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -145%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -181% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -21 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -673% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 219% | |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 261% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -170%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -171% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -654% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 2098% | ||
| Key risksBSLK key risks include [1] a precarious financial position with limited cash and uncertain funding, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 111% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -44% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -145%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -181% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -21 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -673% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 219% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 261% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -170%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -171% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -654% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 2098% |
| Key risksBSLK key risks include [1] a precarious financial position with limited cash and uncertain funding, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Continuing Liquidity Concerns and Nasdaq Delisting Risk: While initially highlighted in the Q2 2025 earnings report on August 12, 2025, the severe liquidity pressures and low cash on hand continued to significantly impact investor confidence throughout the specified period, compounded by a Nasdaq delisting notice.
2. Highly Dilutive Discounted Share Offering: On August 14, 2025, Bolt Projects announced a discounted share offering to sell 913,979 shares at $4.65 each, aiming to raise approximately $4.25 million. This announcement led to a sharp 44.6% plunge in the stock price due to significant dilution for existing shareholders.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -67.2% change in BSLK stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -74.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 9282025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.11 | 1.35 | -67.15% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2.77 | 3.14 | 13.09% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.35 | 1.19 | -49.26% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1.58 | 2.77 | -74.70% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -85.48% |
Market Drivers
9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BSLK | -67.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 44.8% |
| Sector (XLB) | 3.8% | 30.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -45.6% change in BSLK stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -74.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 6292025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.48 | 1.35 | -45.56% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2.83 | 3.14 | 10.77% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.39 | 1.19 | -14.15% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1.58 | 2.77 | -74.70% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -75.94% |
Market Drivers
6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BSLK | -45.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 7.8% |
| Sector (XLB) | 5.4% | 21.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -87.0% change in BSLK stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -177.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 12282024 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.40 | 1.35 | -87.02% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1.49 | 3.14 | 110.61% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.95 | 1.19 | -82.88% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1.00 | 2.77 | -177.82% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -128.06% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BSLK | -87.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 14.9% |
| Sector (XLB) | 10.2% | 16.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BSLK | -99.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.4% | 13.1% |
| Sector (XLB) | 11.4% | 14.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BSLK Return | - | -1% | 3% | 6% | -95% | -85% | -99% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BSLK Win Rate | - | 25% | 67% | 67% | 50% | 17% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BSLK Max Drawdown | - | -2% | -0% | 0% | -97% | -98% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BSLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -5.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 247 days | 464 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Bolt Projects's stock fell -5.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/27/2023. A -5.6% loss requires a 5.9% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Bolt Projects (BSLK) succinctly:
- Lego for buildings: Imagine a company that makes building construction as modular and efficient as assembling Lego bricks, using pre-fabricated sections fitted together quickly.
- Tesla for building construction: Similar to how Tesla innovated automotive manufacturing with a factory-centric, high-tech approach, Bolt Projects aims to modernize the traditional construction industry through advanced, efficient modular building.
- IKEA of modular construction: Like IKEA designs and mass-produces furniture components for easy assembly, Bolt Projects engineers and manufactures modular building components and units in a factory for efficient, scalable construction.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Information regarding the major products or services for a public company named "Bolt Projects" with the symbol "BSLK" could not be reliably identified through available public financial databases or company profiles.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Bolt Projects (symbol: BSLK) is a development-stage real estate company that is currently focused on identifying, acquiring, and developing real estate projects. As such, it has not yet established a significant customer base or generated substantial revenue from its core intended operations.
Therefore, Bolt Projects (BSLK) does not currently have major identifiable customers to list, whether corporate or individual. The company is in its initial phases of operation, and its financial filings typically report minimal to no revenue from the sale of properties or services.
If the company successfully executes its business plan in the future, its customers could potentially include:
- Other Companies (B2B): Real estate investors, developers, or entities purchasing commercial properties or large residential portfolios.
- Individuals (B2C): Homebuyers or renters for residential properties developed by Bolt Projects.
However, these are potential future customers based on its stated business objectives, rather than current major customers.
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Dan Widmaier, PhD Chief Executive Officer / Co-Founder
Dr. Dan Widmaier co-founded Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc. (formerly Bolt Threads Inc.) in 2009 and has served as its Chief Executive Officer and Director since August 13, 2020. He has guided the company's growth through technology development, expansion, and financing. Widmaier earned his Ph.D. in Chemistry and Chemical Biology from UC San Francisco, where his graduate research focused on designing genetic circuits to control microbial organelles. Bolt Projects Holdings Inc. became a public company and its common stock began trading on the Nasdaq Stock Market on August 14, 2024, following a business combination with Golden Arrow Merger Corp.
Randy Befumo Interim Chief Financial Officer
Randy Befumo serves as the Interim Chief Financial Officer of Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc. He brings over 20 years of experience in finance and investment. Prior to joining Bolt Projects, he was the Chief Financial Officer of Eventbrite, where he played a key role in guiding the company through its successful initial public offering (IPO). Befumo also spent 15 years as a Director of Research, analyst, and portfolio manager at Legg Mason Capital Management.
Cintia Nardi President
Cintia Nardi is the President of Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc. She holds an engineering degree from UCA and has over 25 years of leadership experience with prominent beauty and consumer brands, including Unilever, Estée Lauder, and Cosmetica. Her extensive background spans various functions such as supply chain, operations, engineering, sales & marketing, and product development, providing her with a deep understanding of bringing products to market. At Bolt Projects, she is responsible for leading strategy, execution, and growth.
David Breslauer, PhD Chief Product Officer / Chief Technology Officer / Co-Founder / Director
Dr. David Breslauer is a Co-Founder, Chief Product Officer, Chief Technology Officer, and Director of Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc. He leads the company's technology innovation and development, focusing on creating and incubating biomaterials for improved consumer products. Dr. Breslauer has extensive experience with biomaterials, including his graduate research on silk during his Bioengineering Ph.D. at UC Berkeley and UCSF.
Paul Slattery General Counsel & Secretary
Paul Slattery holds the position of General Counsel and Secretary at Bolt Projects Holdings, Inc.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company Bolt Projects (symbol: BSLK) faces several significant risks to its business, primarily centered around its financial stability, compliance with listing requirements, and operational execution in a competitive market.
- Funding and Liquidity Risk
Bolt Projects is operating with limited cash on hand, reporting only $1 million in the bank as of June 30, 2025, and continues to burn through funds. The company's ability to continue as a going concern is explicitly mentioned as a key risk. While there is a potential $20 million funding from Ascent Partners, this is not guaranteed and depends on the company's share price and trading volumes, which could also lead to further shareholder dilution. Furthermore, Bolt Projects has negative shareholder equity and its debt is not adequately covered by operating cash flow, indicating severe financial strain and liquidity challenges. - Nasdaq Delisting Risk
Bolt Projects received a warning from Nasdaq in March 2025 due to non-compliance with minimum market value listing requirements. The company has a grace period until August 11, 2025, to regain compliance. Failure to meet these requirements could result in the delisting of its common stock, which would significantly impair the stock's tradability and the company's visibility, making it much harder to attract investors and raise capital. - Customer Concentration and Operational Execution Challenges
A substantial portion of Bolt Projects' revenue is derived from a small number of customers. This concentration creates a risk where the loss or delay of a key contract could severely impact the company's growth and financial performance. Additionally, the beauty industry's product launch cycles are lengthy, ranging from 8 to 24 months, which can lead to inconsistent cash flow and delayed realization of projected growth. The company also faces operational risks related to scaling up production and simultaneously reducing costs, with any disruptions in the supply chain or manufacturing process potentially hindering profit and revenue targets. Bolt also operates in a crowded and competitive global beauty ingredients market, facing established synthetics, plant-based alternatives, and other biotech rivals.
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Bolt Projects (BSLK) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:
- Growth of Vegan Silk Technology Platform: The company's core Vegan Silk Technology Platform is a primary driver, with revenues from this platform surging significantly year-over-year. Bolt Projects has exclusively focused its business on ingredient platforms for the beauty and personal care industry, starting with its Vegan Silkâ„¢ Technology Platform.
- New Customer Acquisition and Expanded Relationships: Bolt Projects continues to secure new customers and broaden its partnerships with existing ones. This includes forging alliances with major beauty conglomerates and supporting the launch of new products by established and independent consumer brands utilizing Bolt's Vegan Silk.
- Launch and International Expansion of New Products: The successful launch of new products featuring Bolt's Vegan Silk, such as the Goddess Maintenance Company's "Restorative Leave-In Hair Mask," which is slated for international expansion to over 100 markets, is expected to fuel revenue growth. The company anticipates continued progress with new product launches into the global market.
- Increasing Demand for Sustainable Alternatives: The growing market demand for sustainable biomaterials in the beauty and personal care industry is a significant driver. This is influenced by regulatory scrutiny on ingredients like silicones and microplastics, evolving consumer expectations, and a general pressure for brands to reformulate their products with more environmentally friendly options. Bolt's Vegan Silk offers a high-performance, sustainable alternative.
- Operational Efficiencies and Cost Reductions: While not a direct revenue driver, Bolt Projects' focus on operational efficiencies and reductions in the Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) contributes to improved gross margins. This financial improvement can enable more competitive pricing and allow for greater investment in growth initiatives, indirectly supporting revenue expansion. The company has implemented a clear plan for cost optimization and has achieved substantial cost-per-kilogram reductions for its b-silk product.
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Share Repurchases
- No explicit dollar amount of share repurchases or authorized future repurchases has been disclosed in the last 3-5 years.
Share Issuance
- In August 2024, Bolt Projects became a public company through a business combination with Golden Arrow Merger Corp., which included a PIPE Investment issuing 464,801 new shares at $10.00 per share.
- In August 2025, the company completed a private placement, issuing 913,979 shares at $4.65 per share, raising approximately $4.25 million for working capital and general corporate purposes.
- In September 2025, Bolt Projects registered 20 million shares for potential sale under a $20 million equity line.
Inbound Investments
- As part of its SPAC merger in August 2024, the company received a PIPE Investment totaling approximately $4.65 million.
- In August 2025, Bolt Projects secured approximately $4.25 million through a private placement.
- A financing term sheet for a possible $20 million lifeline from Ascent Partners was mentioned in H1 2025, contingent on certain stock performance thresholds.
Outbound Investments
- No information is available regarding outbound investments or strategic acquisitions made by Bolt Projects in the last 3-5 years.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures amounted to -$22,000 in the last 12 months (prior to November 2025).
- Annual capital expenditures were $0.0 million in 2021 and 2022, $1.0 million in 2023, $8.1 million in 2024, and $12.4 million in 2025.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Bolt Projects Earnings Notes | ||
| Is Bolt Projects Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to BSLK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.6% | 7.6% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.4% | -1.4% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 51.0% | 51.0% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 30.6% | 30.6% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Bolt Projects
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 11,753 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 13,498 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.35 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/07/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -94.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $2.12 | $29.21 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -36.4% | -95.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 110.1% | 2,119.1% |
| Downside Capture | 693.19 | 785.85 |
| Upside Capture | 28.94 | 484.71 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 43.9% | 14.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.83 | 3.89 | 4.45 | 5.39 | 15.57 | 8.31 |
| Up Beta | 8.52 | 6.31 | 8.24 | -3.66 | 27.01 | 18.17 |
| Down Beta | 5.20 | 2.80 | 3.18 | 4.08 | 1.06 | 0.80 |
| Up Capture | 371% | 136% | 120% | 379% | 5914% | 186% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 17 | 24 | 47 | 91 | 213 |
| Down Capture | 387% | 431% | 430% | 338% | 171% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | 152 | 276 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
nullBased On 5-Year Data
nullBased On 10-Year Data
nullReturns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/21/2025 | -5.5% | -11.0% | -46.4% |
| 8/12/2025 | 556.9% | 272.0% | 76.6% |
| 3/18/2025 | -3.3% | -1.0% | -96.2% |
| 11/7/2024 | 20.6% | -2.0% | 72.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| # Negative | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 288.7% | 272.0% | 74.7% |
| Median Negative | -4.4% | -2.0% | -71.3% |
| Max Positive | 556.9% | 272.0% | 76.6% |
| Max Negative | -5.5% | -11.0% | -96.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11122025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 12312022 | 2022024 | S-4 12/31/2022 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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