Barclays (BCS)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $21.165 | Market Cap: $74.3 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks
Barclays (BCS)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $21.165Market Cap: $74.3 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.3% | ||
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -156% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, Sustainable Finance, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.3% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -156% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, Sustainable Finance, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Show more. |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
BCS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between July 31, 2025, and November 18, 2025, Barclays (BCS) stock moved by 8.7% due to several key factors, primarily driven by strong financial results and positive forward-looking statements.
1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Barclays reported a resilient performance in the third quarter of 2025, achieving £2.1 billion in net income and an 11% year-on-year increase in total income to £7.2 billion.
2. Significant Share Buyback Program: The company announced a £500 million share buyback program, which commenced on July 30, 2025, contributing to total capital returns of £1.9 billion year-to-date and signaling a commitment to shareholder value.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BCS Return | -13% | 32% | -22% | 6% | 82% | 63% | 181% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 35% | -15% | 17% | 42% | 32% | 159% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BCS Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 50% | 58% | 67% | 90% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 63% | 42% | 50% | 65% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BCS Max Drawdown | -58% | -9% | -40% | -16% | -10% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -2% | -29% | -14% | -4% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JPM, BAC, MS, GS, C. See BCS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BCS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 681 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 354 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -47.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1839 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -94.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1866.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to JPM, BAC, MS, GS, C
In The Past
Barclays's stock fell -50.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -50.0% loss requires a 99.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BCS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.2% | 1.2% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.9% | -6.9% | -7.4% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.7% | -4.7% | -4.7% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | BRO | Brown & Brown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.2% | 1.2% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.9% | -6.9% | -7.4% |
| 10312025 | GPN | Global Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.7% | -4.7% | -4.7% |
| 10102025 | APO | Apollo Asset Management | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Barclays
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 128.82 |
| Mkt Cap | 245.3 |
| Rev LTM | 74,746 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | -6,747 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -31,511 |
| CFO LTM | -3,679 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -29,280 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -5.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -38.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -10.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -44.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 245.3 |
| P/S | 3.7 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 13.6 |
| P/CFO | -2.6 |
| Total Yield | 7.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -15.6% |
| D/E | 1.5 |
| Net D/E | -0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 29.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 123.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 18.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 55.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10222025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | Annual 12/31/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2152023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302020 | 10232020 | 6-K 9/30/2020 |
| 6302020 | 7292020 | 6-K 6/30/2020 |
| 9302019 | 10252019 | 6-K 9/30/2019 |
| 9302018 | 10242018 | 6-K 9/30/2018 |
| 6302018 | 8032018 | 6-K 6/30/2018 |
| 3312018 | 4262018 | 6-K 3/31/2018 |
| 9302017 | 10262017 | 6-K 9/30/2017 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
