Tearsheet

Ares Management (ARES)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $168.32 | Market Cap: $37.0 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Ares Management (ARES)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $168.32
Market Cap: $37.0 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 13%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 54x
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%
Key risks
ARES key risks include [1] a history of regulatory actions, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 85%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84%, CFO LTM is 4.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.5 Bil
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 85%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84%, CFO LTM is 4.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.5 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, Show more.
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 54x
6 Key risks
ARES key risks include [1] a history of regulatory actions, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ARES Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Ares Management (ARES) experienced a decrease of approximately 4.8% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. Here are key points that may have contributed to this movement: 1. Ares Management (ARES) stock was predicted to trend downward by December 18, 2025. Some forecasts indicated a potential dip in Ares Management's stock price. For instance, predictions suggested the price could dip as low as $166.13 by December 18, 2025, representing a -3.86% dip compared to earlier rates. Another forecast anticipated a drop of -1.32% by January 13, 2026. 2. High Dividend Payout Ratio and Elevated Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio. Concerns were raised regarding Ares Management's high dividend payout ratio, which stood at 192.27%, potentially impacting the sustainability of future dividends. Additionally, the stock's high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 74.17 suggested it might be overvalued, which could deter value-focused investors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ARES Return37%78%-13%80%53%1%488%
Peers Return60%52%-2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ARES Win Rate83%67%58%75%83%58% 
Peers Win Rate65%70%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ARES Max Drawdown-36%-5%-33%-1%-4%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown-5%-6%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BX, APO, KKR, CG, BAM. See ARES Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventARESS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-39.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven351 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven140 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven136 days120 days

Compare to STT, RJF, NTRS, TROW, BLKS


In The Past

Ares Management's stock fell -39.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/17/2021. A -39.5% loss requires a 65.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ares Management (ARES)

Better Bets than Ares Management (ARES)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ARES. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ares Management

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ARESBXAPOKKRCGBAMMedian
NameAres Man.Blacksto.Apollo A.KKR Carlyle Brookfie. 
Mkt Price168.51153.19146.40132.1558.0251.70139.28
Mkt Cap37.1119.978.5117.720.991.885.2
Rev LTM5,35611,37627,46816,7232,9889138,366
Op Inc LTM915-8,075426-435675
FCF LTM4,4933,6522,5735,086-2,5176903,112
FCF 3Y Avg1,9653,8074,5393,161-991632,563
CFO LTM4,5583,7572,5735,266-2,4336903,165
CFO 3Y Avg2,0393,9504,5393,296-919642,667

Growth & Margins

ARESBXAPOKKRCGBAMMedian
NameAres Man.Blacksto.Apollo A.KKR Carlyle Brookfie. 
Rev Chg LTM45.5%21.9%-13.8%-26.7%32.4%-70.6%4.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.6%7.7%89.3%44.5%-4.3%-17.6%
Rev Chg Q46.7%-6.9%26.4%15.5%-55.7%7.3%11.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.9%-1.7%8.1%4.6%-19.4%9.3%6.3%
Op Mgn LTM17.1%-29.4%2.5%-47.6%23.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.9%-25.5%7.4%--21.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-1.2%2.7%-4.7%2.0%
CFO/Rev LTM85.1%33.0%9.4%31.5%-81.4%75.6%32.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg42.6%43.5%15.9%13.3%-31.8%-15.9%
FCF/Rev LTM83.9%32.1%9.4%30.4%-84.2%75.6%31.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg40.7%41.8%15.9%12.5%-34.7%-15.9%

Valuation

ARESBXAPOKKRCGBAMMedian
NameAres Man.Blacksto.Apollo A.KKR Carlyle Brookfie. 
Mkt Cap37.1119.978.5117.720.991.885.2
P/S6.611.82.96.97.6100.67.2
P/EBIT15.2--12.5--13.8
P/E54.149.418.349.334.193.149.3
P/CFO7.735.630.522.0-9.3133.126.3
Total Yield6.5%6.1%7.0%2.6%5.2%2.0%5.7%
Dividend Yield4.7%4.1%1.5%0.6%2.2%1.0%1.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.8%3.6%-1.6%-4.9%-2.6%
D/E0.40.1-0.50.6-0.4
Net D/E0.30.1--0.70.4-0.2

Returns

ARESBXAPOKKRCGBAMMedian
NameAres Man.Blacksto.Apollo A.KKR Carlyle Brookfie. 
1M Rtn19.4%10.7%17.7%15.9%12.9%5.5%14.4%
3M Rtn-5.2%-15.8%5.9%-8.3%-13.6%-11.1%-9.7%
6M Rtn2.0%13.1%10.8%8.3%24.8%-3.9%9.5%
12M Rtn-2.9%-13.8%-15.8%-12.1%15.0%-7.8%-10.0%
3Y Rtn169.3%122.5%146.6%190.3%117.9%111.8%134.5%
1M Excs Rtn18.7%9.9%17.0%15.2%12.2%4.8%13.7%
3M Excs Rtn-8.9%-19.4%1.1%-12.7%-17.1%-14.3%-13.5%
6M Excs Rtn-10.4%0.7%-1.5%-4.1%12.4%-16.3%-2.8%
12M Excs Rtn-15.7%-27.3%-26.9%-25.0%2.1%-18.2%-21.6%
3Y Excs Rtn91.8%34.9%72.1%111.4%44.3%8.8%58.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Credit Group2,3811,6771,392952835
Real Assets Group440685378161121
Performance income-unrealized3051071,744-8303
Private Equity Group194326355614476
Secondaries Group19318198  
Administrative fees6369493732
Principal investment income, net of eliminations3712992912
Net revenue of non-controlling interests in consolidated subsidiaries36373010 
Other2712   
Operations Management Group (OMG)24258  
Administrative, transaction and other fees of Consolidated Funds eliminated in consolidation-7-17-4-16-13
Performance income of Consolidated Funds eliminated in consolidation-14    
Management fees of Consolidated Funds eliminated in consolidation-48-46-45-45-35
Acquisition-related incentive fees 048  
Incentive fees of Consolidated Funds eliminated in consolidation -4-5-0-14
Unallocated income of Consolidated Funds eliminated in consolidation -8   
Performance income (loss) reclass  -14-1
Strategic Initiatives  6727 
Principal investment income    44
Revenue of non-controlling interests in consolidated subsidiaries    3
Total3,6323,0564,2121,7641,765


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,156,168
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.2%
Average Daily Volume1,497,328
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.11
Basic Shares Quantity219,881,697
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2025-1.6%-1.4%4.9%
8/1/2025-1.5%0.8%-3.4%
5/5/2025-0.7%7.3%5.1%
2/5/2025-2.9%-4.6%-21.5%
11/1/2024-1.4%5.3%8.1%
8/2/2024-6.6%-6.8%-1.9%
5/2/20242.2%5.3%6.4%
2/8/20245.2%6.1%4.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121316
# Negative12118
Median Positive2.9%5.3%6.5%
Median Negative-1.5%-2.2%-8.2%
Max Positive8.0%11.5%18.3%
Max Negative-6.7%-6.8%-21.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021