Ares Management (ARES)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $162.18 | Market Cap: $35.7 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Ares Management (ARES)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $162.18Market Cap: $35.7 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 13% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 54x |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 85%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84%, CFO LTM is 4.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.5 Bil | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 13% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 85%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84%, CFO LTM is 4.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 54x |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ARES Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Ares Management (ARES) experienced a decline in its stock price during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, moving by -9% due to several factors.
1. The company's strategic minority investment in EP Wealth Advisors on September 30, 2025, raised concerns among investors. This deal, involving a $400 million term loan and speculative-grade credit ratings for EP Wealth, led to a 3.25% plummet in Ares's stock, as investors re-evaluated the company's risk profile and worried about overleveraging in the RIA space and potential strain on Ares's balance sheet amidst tightening credit markets.
2. Broader pressures within the asset management sector contributed to investor caution. Alongside Ares's decline, other major asset managers like Blackstone (BX) also experienced drops, indicating a synchronized market reaction. This reflected investor apprehension toward leveraged buyouts and private equity-driven growth strategies, impacting the sector broadly in late September and October 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ARES Return | 37% | 78% | -13% | 80% | 53% | -8% | 439% |
| Peers Return | 6% | 39% | -18% | 3% | 27% | 13% | 78% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ARES Win Rate | 83% | 67% | 58% | 75% | 83% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 65% | 46% | 42% | 62% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ARES Max Drawdown | -36% | -5% | -33% | -1% | -4% | -33% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -38% | -3% | -33% | -20% | -6% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: STT, RJF, NTRS, TROW, BLKS. See ARES Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ARES | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 351 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 140 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -33.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 136 days | 120 days |
Compare to STT, RJF, NTRS, TROW, BLKS
In The Past
Ares Management's stock fell -39.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/17/2021. A -39.5% loss requires a 65.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ARES. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ares Management
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 132.16 |
| Mkt Cap | 31.9 |
| Rev LTM | 7,923 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,674 |
| FCF LTM | 1,714 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,181 |
| CFO LTM | 2,148 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,514 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 27.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 31.9 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 12.2 |
| P/E | 14.5 |
| P/CFO | 10.2 |
| Total Yield | 9.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | -0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 59.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -12.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Group | 2,381 | 1,677 | 1,392 | 952 | 835 |
| Real Assets Group | 440 | 685 | 378 | 161 | 121 |
| Performance income-unrealized | 305 | 107 | 1,744 | -8 | 303 |
| Private Equity Group | 194 | 326 | 355 | 614 | 476 |
| Secondaries Group | 193 | 181 | 98 | ||
| Administrative fees | 63 | 69 | 49 | 37 | 32 |
| Principal investment income, net of eliminations | 37 | 12 | 99 | 29 | 12 |
| Net revenue of non-controlling interests in consolidated subsidiaries | 36 | 37 | 30 | 10 | |
| Other | 27 | 12 | |||
| Operations Management Group (OMG) | 24 | 25 | 8 | ||
| Administrative, transaction and other fees of Consolidated Funds eliminated in consolidation | -7 | -17 | -4 | -16 | -13 |
| Performance income of Consolidated Funds eliminated in consolidation | -14 | ||||
| Management fees of Consolidated Funds eliminated in consolidation | -48 | -46 | -45 | -45 | -35 |
| Acquisition-related incentive fees | 0 | 48 | |||
| Incentive fees of Consolidated Funds eliminated in consolidation | -4 | -5 | -0 | -14 | |
| Unallocated income of Consolidated Funds eliminated in consolidation | -8 | ||||
| Performance income (loss) reclass | -1 | 4 | -1 | ||
| Strategic Initiatives | 67 | 27 | |||
| Principal investment income | 44 | ||||
| Revenue of non-controlling interests in consolidated subsidiaries | 3 | ||||
| Total | 3,632 | 3,056 | 4,212 | 1,764 | 1,765 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |