Anterix (ATEX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.06 | Market Cap: $373.6 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Anterix (ATEX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.06Market Cap: $373.6 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -87%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -46 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -771% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 81x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Wireless Services, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.0% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -507%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -790% |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Wireless Services, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -87%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -46 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -771% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 81x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.0% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -507%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -790% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ATEX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The -15.3% movement in Anterix (ATEX) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors:
1. Anterix (ATEX) reported its Q2 fiscal year 2026 earnings on November 12, 2025, beating analyst estimates with a loss of $0.14 per share against a forecasted loss of $0.65, and revenues of $1.55 million against an anticipated $1.43 million. Despite surpassing expectations, the stock's year-to-date performance showed a significant decline of 41.3%, contrasting sharply with the S&P 500's gain of 16.4% during the same period, reflecting broader negative investor sentiment. Leading up to this report, the estimate revisions trend for Anterix was unfavorable, contributing to a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for the stock.
2. An analyst downgrade occurred in mid-August 2025, when Wall Street Zen lowered its rating for Anterix (ATEX) from a "hold" to a "sell." This change in analyst outlook likely contributed to negative investor perception and selling pressure on the stock around the start of the specified period.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ATEX Return | -13% | 56% | -45% | 4% | -8% | -35% | -54% |
| Peers Return | -6% | -0% | -19% | 8% | 6% | -5% | -18% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ATEX Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 21% | 27% | 35% | 44% | 44% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ATEX Max Drawdown | -36% | -13% | -49% | -13% | -12% | -41% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -7% | -26% | -10% | -14% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NXPL, ELWT, VTEK, T, VZ. See ATEX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ATEX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -51.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 107.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 211 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -39.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 139 days | 120 days |
Compare to NXPL, ELWT, VTEK, T, VZ
In The Past
Anterix's stock fell -56.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/2/2021. A -56.7% loss requires a 131.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ATEX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Anterix
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 20.10 |
| Mkt Cap | 86.2 |
| Rev LTM | 59 |
| Op Inc LTM | -1 |
| FCF LTM | -3 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8,024 |
| CFO LTM | -3 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 18,557 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 38.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -2.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -9.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -9.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -13.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -14.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -4.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 86.2 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 2.1 |
| P/E | 9.2 |
| P/CFO | 1.2 |
| Total Yield | 8.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -11.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -12.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -4.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -16.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -20.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -25.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -78.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 6242025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2112025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 6262024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6142023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10312022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5262022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11032021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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