Anterix (ATEX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $21.33 | Market Cap: $398.6 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Anterix (ATEX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $21.33Market Cap: $398.6 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -83%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -42 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -712% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -40% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 68x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Wireless Services, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -439%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -850% | |
| Key risksATEX key risks include [1] challenges in commercializing its 900 MHz spectrum due to dependencies on clearing incumbent users and securing favorable FCC approvals, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Wireless Services, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -83%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -42 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -712% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 68x |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -439%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -850% |
| Key risksATEX key risks include [1] challenges in commercializing its 900 MHz spectrum due to dependencies on clearing incumbent users and securing favorable FCC approvals, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ATEX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Stock Sell Signal and Price Decline in December 2025.
Anterix (ATEX) stock received a sell signal from a pivot top on Friday, December 12, 2025, resulting in a 7.37% decline. Further drops were indicated until a new bottom pivot is found.
2. Negative Earnings Forecasts.
Anterix's earnings are projected to decrease by an average of 118.8% per year over the next three years. Analysts do not anticipate the company to achieve profitability in fiscal year 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ATEX Return | -13% | 56% | -45% | 4% | -8% | -31% | -51% |
| Peers Return | 12% | 124% | 20% | 13% | -11% | 32% | 303% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ATEX Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 38% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ATEX Max Drawdown | -36% | -13% | -49% | -13% | -12% | -41% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -5% | -20% | -32% | -43% | -44% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IRDM, GSAT. See ATEX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ATEX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -51.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 107.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 211 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -39.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 139 days | 120 days |
Compare to NXPL, ELWT, VTEK, T, VZ
In The Past
Anterix's stock fell -56.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/2/2021. A -56.7% loss requires a 131.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ATEX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Anterix
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.34 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| Rev LTM | 262 |
| Op Inc LTM | 11 |
| FCF LTM | 283 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 70 |
| CFO LTM | 396 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 330 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 24.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 0.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 45.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 43.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 35.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| P/S | 17.6 |
| P/EBIT | 218.9 |
| P/E | 4.2 |
| P/CFO | 4.7 |
| Total Yield | 10.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -22.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -33.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -32.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -34.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -47.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -103.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/12/2025 | 13.7% | 13.8% | 17.7% |
| 6/24/2025 | -6.9% | -13.2% | -26.3% |
| 2/11/2025 | -0.7% | 16.1% | 3.3% |
| 11/13/2024 | -5.0% | -1.6% | -0.3% |
| 6/26/2024 | 17.0% | 25.3% | 29.8% |
| 2/14/2024 | 21.8% | 24.2% | 11.5% |
| 11/13/2023 | 9.3% | 12.1% | 23.6% |
| 6/14/2023 | 6.1% | -3.2% | -8.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| # Negative | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 13.7% | 16.1% | 17.7% |
| Median Negative | -5.0% | -3.2% | -8.1% |
| Max Positive | 21.8% | 25.3% | 29.8% |
| Max Negative | -6.9% | -13.2% | -26.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11122025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 6242025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2112025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 6262024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6142023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10312022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5262022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |