Tearsheet

Delta Air Lines (DAL)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $67.25 | Market Cap: $43.6 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

Delta Air Lines (DAL)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $67.25
Market Cap: $43.6 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.0%, FCF Yield is 8.3%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.5%, Dist 3Y High is -1.5%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 8.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.1 Bil
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Renewable Fuel Production.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.0%, FCF Yield is 8.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 8.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.1 Bil
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Renewable Fuel Production.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.5%, Dist 3Y High is -1.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DAL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the movement of Delta Air Lines (DAL) stock by 9.2% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat and Positive Future Outlook. Delta Air Lines reported impressive third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 9, 2025, exceeding analysts' expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company's adjusted EPS of $1.71 surpassed the forecasted $1.53, and revenue reached $15.2 billion against a $15.04 billion forecast. Following this announcement, Delta's stock surged over 8% in pre-market trading. Management also provided an optimistic outlook, projecting a double-digit operating margin for the fourth quarter of 2025 and adjusted EPS of approximately $6 for the full year 2025, in the upper half of its previous guidance.

2. Robust and Sustained Travel Demand. Throughout this period, there was strong evidence of healthy and increasing travel demand. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) reported an "encouraging" end to the year for air travel, with October 2025 demand up 6.6% compared to October 2024. Delta's CEO Ed Bastian confirmed that demand remained healthy for the December quarter and trends were strong heading into early 2026. Domestic passenger revenue grew 5% year-over-year in the third quarter, driven by an acceleration in corporate sales, which were up 8% over the prior year. This sustained demand, particularly in premium segments, bolstered investor confidence in the airline's revenue streams.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DAL Return-31%-3%-16%23%52%12%19%
Peers Return-23%0%-11%3%52%-5%2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DAL Win Rate33%50%50%42%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate19%38%31%37%44%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DAL Max Drawdown-67%-17%-28%-6%-8%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41%-7%-25%-20%-18%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UAL, OSW, ULCC, CAKR, RJET. See DAL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDALS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven588 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-69.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven223.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1636 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven190 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven447.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1604 days1480 days

Compare to UAL, OSW, ULCC, CAKR, RJET


In The Past

Delta Air Lines's stock fell -45.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/6/2021. A -45.8% loss requires a 84.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Delta Air Lines (DAL)

Better Bets than Delta Air Lines (DAL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DAL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Delta Air Lines

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DALUALOSWULCCCAKRRJETMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.OneSpaWo.Frontier Cambodia.Republic. 
Mkt Price67.24104.7320.014.98-19.0120.01
Mkt Cap43.633.92.11.1--18.0
Rev LTM62,92058,3689363,729-1,3533,729
Op Inc LTM6,0725,16583-153-258258
FCF LTM3,0743,71067-519-138138
FCF 3Y Avg1,8351,78363-347--12363
CFO LTM7,9769,36980-347-222222
CFO 3Y Avg7,2538,22071-228-245245

Growth & Margins

DALUALOSWULCCCAKRRJETMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.OneSpaWo.Frontier Cambodia.Republic. 
Rev Chg LTM4.3%4.2%7.3%1.8%-3.7%4.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.8%13.2%28.9%7.5%--0.1%10.8%
Rev Chg Q6.4%2.6%7.0%-5.2%-30.9%6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%0.7%1.8%-1.3%-7.4%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM9.7%8.8%8.9%-4.1%-19.1%8.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.5%9.2%8.1%-0.8%-12.2%9.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.5%-0.0%-2.6%-2.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM12.7%16.1%8.6%-9.3%-16.4%12.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.1%14.8%8.2%-6.2%-18.1%12.1%
FCF/Rev LTM4.9%6.4%7.1%-13.9%-10.2%6.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.0%3.1%7.3%-9.4%--9.2%3.0%

Valuation

DALUALOSWULCCCAKRRJETMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.OneSpaWo.Frontier Cambodia.Republic. 
Mkt Cap43.633.92.11.1--18.0
P/S0.60.52.30.3--0.6
P/EBIT5.65.726.1-8.0--5.6
P/E8.09.529.5-7.4--8.7
P/CFO4.63.327.2-2.9--4.0
Total Yield13.2%10.5%4.2%-13.5%--7.3%
Dividend Yield0.6%0.0%0.8%0.0%--0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.7%7.7%3.9%-32.5%--4.8%
D/E0.61.00.05.0--0.8
Net D/E0.50.60.04.4--0.5

Returns

DALUALOSWULCCCAKRRJETMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.OneSpaWo.Frontier Cambodia.Republic. 
1M Rtn20.8%15.4%-10.9%38.3%--18.1%
3M Rtn11.4%-1.2%-9.4%-3.9%---2.6%
6M Rtn38.6%30.3%5.5%30.7%--30.5%
12M Rtn5.9%5.5%0.4%-17.1%--3.0%
3Y Rtn93.1%132.6%97.7%-61.9%--95.4%
1M Excs Rtn19.6%14.1%-12.2%37.1%--16.8%
3M Excs Rtn4.4%-7.5%-14.4%-9.7%---8.6%
6M Excs Rtn23.1%14.9%-10.0%15.3%--15.1%
12M Excs Rtn-6.1%-5.9%-9.9%-32.2%---8.0%
3Y Excs Rtn26.4%66.4%35.6%-134.7%--31.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airline54,66945,60526,67015,94546,910
Refinery7,57210,7066,0543,1435,558
Intersegment Sales/Other-4,193-5,729-2,825-1,993-5,461
Total58,04850,58229,89917,09547,007


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airline5,1362,8841,888-12,2536,542
Refinery385777-2-21676
Total5,5213,6611,886-12,4696,618


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airline71,52969,35570,41770,54862,793
Refinery2,1743,0392,0991,4481,739
Intersegment Sales/Other-59-106-57  
Total73,64472,28872,45971,99664,532


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,510,050
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.9%
Average Daily Volume8,016,026
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.06
Basic Shares Quantity649,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251009202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025710202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025409202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024211202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241010202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024711202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024410202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023212202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231012202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023713202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023413202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221013202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022713202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022413202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-K 12/31/2021