Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -81%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -89%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -116%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
3 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 14%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -116%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 14%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -81%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -89%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

C Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Citigroup (C) experienced a notable upward movement in its stock price between August 31, 2025, and December 14, 2025, driven by several key factors.

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings: Citigroup reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net income increasing by 16% year-over-year to $3.8 billion and revenues climbing 9% to $22.1 billion, surpassing analyst expectations. This strong performance was broad-based, with all major divisions, including markets, banking, services, wealth, and U.S. retail operations, achieving record revenues. The positive earnings report led to an initial increase in the company's share price.

2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Transformation Momentum: Investment banks reiterated favorable outlooks for Citigroup, with TD Cowen maintaining a "Hold" rating but acknowledging that the company's transformation efforts were gaining momentum. Analysts noted that Citi's stock had seen significant gains, and there was increased confidence in achieving future return on tangible common equity targets. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods reiterated an "Outperform" rating on the stock with a price target of $118. Overall, the consensus among Wall Street analysts was to "Strong Buy" Citigroup stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
C Return-20%1%-22%19%42%63%74%
Peers Return-1%47%-13%18%43%41%201%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
C Win Rate42%33%42%50%58%75% 
Peers Win Rate55%70%43%53%65%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
C Max Drawdown-55%-5%-31%-13%-1%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-1%-27%-14%-5%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JPM, BAC, WFC, MS, GS. See C Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven448 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven131.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1767 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven374 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-98.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5311.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to JPM, BAC, MS, GS, USB


In The Past

Citigroup's stock fell -52.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/2/2021. A -52.1% loss requires a 108.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Citigroup (C)

Better Bets than Citigroup (C)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to C. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.5%16.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.3%11.3%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.4%5.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.8%-8.8%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.5%16.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.3%11.3%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.4%5.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.8%-8.8%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Citigroup

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CJPMBACWFCMSGSMedian
NameCitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.Morgan S.Goldman . 
Mkt Price111.80318.5255.1492.76178.41887.96145.10
Mkt Cap203.5879.9411.7295.2280.3274.9287.7
Rev LTM85,244179,430107,26482,53264,24758,69883,888
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-75,968-119,74861,472-14,218-6,74715,769-10,482
FCF 3Y Avg-64,799-65,10734,2449,172-23,827-31,511-27,669
CFO LTM-69,391-119,74861,472-14,218-3,67917,888-8,948
CFO 3Y Avg-58,153-65,10734,2449,172-20,550-29,280-24,915

Growth & Margins

CJPMBACWFCMSGSMedian
NameCitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.Morgan S.Goldman . 
Rev Chg LTM8.4%8.6%8.9%0.2%17.6%15.2%8.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.0%13.4%5.2%2.9%7.6%6.4%5.8%
Rev Chg Q9.6%8.8%10.8%5.3%19.1%19.6%10.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%2.1%2.6%1.3%4.5%4.4%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-81.4%-66.7%57.3%-17.2%-5.7%30.5%-11.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-72.0%-36.4%32.7%11.2%-38.8%-60.4%-37.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-89.1%-66.7%57.3%-17.2%-10.5%26.9%-13.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-80.3%-36.4%32.7%11.2%-44.6%-64.7%-40.5%

Valuation

CJPMBACWFCMSGSMedian
NameCitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.Morgan S.Goldman . 
Mkt Cap203.5879.9411.7295.2280.3274.9287.7
P/S2.24.93.63.23.94.23.7
P/EBIT-------
P/E12.615.013.012.715.414.813.9
P/CFO-2.7-7.36.3-18.8-67.913.8-5.0
Total Yield8.0%6.7%7.7%9.9%6.5%6.8%7.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-55.7%-7.5%11.7%6.9%-15.6%-22.7%-11.5%
D/E2.00.60.90.81.41.51.2
Net D/E-1.2-0.3-0.7-0.61.00.8-0.5

Returns

CJPMBACWFCMSGSMedian
NameCitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.Morgan S.Goldman . 
1M Rtn11.1%2.9%4.8%9.5%7.7%10.8%8.6%
3M Rtn13.1%4.3%9.6%14.5%14.8%14.4%13.7%
6M Rtn48.3%21.4%26.4%29.6%39.6%46.2%34.6%
12M Rtn61.8%35.6%23.5%34.5%44.0%54.8%39.8%
3Y Rtn171.2%157.1%84.8%137.9%118.2%165.7%147.5%
1M Excs Rtn9.0%-0.2%2.8%7.9%5.3%6.7%6.0%
3M Excs Rtn9.5%0.4%6.4%11.3%11.4%10.2%9.9%
6M Excs Rtn34.0%7.2%12.2%15.4%25.4%32.0%20.4%
12M Excs Rtn45.4%20.8%10.2%18.4%31.5%41.7%26.2%
3Y Excs Rtn105.6%87.3%8.7%62.8%52.7%92.5%75.0%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Markets1,007,000    
Services586,000    
United States Personal Banking (USPB)242,000    
Wealth232,000    
All Other196,000    
Banking149,000    
Corporate/Other 96,00089,00096,00097,000
Institutional Clients Group (ICG) 1,730,0001,613,0001,730,0001,447,000
Legacy Franchises 97,000125,000  
Personal Banking and Wealth Management (PBWM) 494,000464,000  
Global Consumer Banking   434,000407,000
Total2,412,0002,417,0002,291,0002,260,0001,951,000


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity23,877,077
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-10.0%
Average Daily Volume11,426,617
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.09
Basic Shares Quantity1,820,300,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/14/20253.9%3.3%5.5%
7/15/20253.7%5.9%10.1%
4/15/20251.8%2.1%20.0%
1/15/20256.5%11.1%12.5%
10/15/2024-5.1%-6.3%5.5%
4/12/2024-1.7%-3.9%5.6%
1/10/2024-1.8%-3.6%2.8%
10/13/2023-0.2%-3.5%2.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11914
# Negative11138
Median Positive1.8%4.4%5.5%
Median Negative-3.9%-3.9%-3.4%
Max Positive13.2%19.1%24.4%
Max Negative-6.9%-11.1%-9.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021