Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WFC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the approximate 9.3% movement in Wells Fargo (WFC) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Wells Fargo reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 14, 2025, with net income of $5.6 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.66, marking a 9% year-over-year increase. This positive performance was driven by a 5% rise in revenue, boosted by net interest income and strong fee-based businesses, including a 25% increase in investment banking fees.

2. Removal of Asset Cap and Growth in Total Assets: The lifting of the asset cap played a significant role, enabling Wells Fargo's total assets to surpass $2 trillion for the first time. This development, coupled with three consecutive quarters of increased average deposits and a 9% year-to-date growth in credit card new accounts, indicated an improving operational environment and expanded growth potential for the company.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WFC Return-42%61%-12%23%46%26%87%
Peers Return-3%30%-18%15%35%30%108%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WFC Win Rate25%67%50%67%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate55%62%42%50%62%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WFC Max Drawdown-59%-2%-21%-12%-6%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-4%-30%-18%-6%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JPM, BAC, MS, C, USB. See WFC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWFCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven392 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven154.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven435 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2144 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven390.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1534 days1480 days

Compare to JPM, BAC, MS, C, USB


In The Past

Wells Fargo's stock fell -38.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -38.7% loss requires a 63.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Wells Fargo (WFC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WFC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Wells Fargo

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WFCJPMBACMSCUSBMedian
NameWells Fa.JPMorgan.Bank of .Morgan S.CitigroupU.S. Ban. 
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap-------
Rev LTM-------
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-------
FCF 3Y Avg-------
CFO LTM-------
CFO 3Y Avg-------

Growth & Margins

WFCJPMBACMSCUSBMedian
NameWells Fa.JPMorgan.Bank of .Morgan S.CitigroupU.S. Ban. 
Rev Chg LTM-------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-------
Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-------

Valuation

WFCJPMBACMSCUSBMedian
NameWells Fa.JPMorgan.Bank of .Morgan S.CitigroupU.S. Ban. 
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
Net D/E-------

Returns

WFCJPMBACMSCUSBMedian
NameWells Fa.JPMorgan.Bank of .Morgan S.CitigroupU.S. Ban. 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-------
3M Excs Rtn-------
6M Excs Rtn-------
12M Excs Rtn-------
3Y Excs Rtn-------

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Corporate641,455601,218721,335728,667608,712
Corporate and Investment Banking557,642550,177546,549508,518538,383
Consumer Banking and Lending376,151387,710378,620420,995448,971
Commercial Banking245,159250,198210,810206,953244,984
Wealth and Investment Management88,85491,71790,75487,77886,505
Reconciling Items00   
Total1,909,2611,881,0201,948,0681,952,9111,927,555


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity40,371,214
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202534.4%
Average Daily Volume15,239,952
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.65
Basic Shares Quantity3,182,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021