Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $29.24 | Market Cap: $72.5 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Broadcasting
Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $29.24Market Cap: $72.5 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Broadcasting
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 5.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.1 Bil | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.5%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 149x |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.7% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 169%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 177% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming, and Gaming Content & Platforms. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.0% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 159% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5% | ||
| Key risksWBD key risks include [1] significant uncertainty from a proposed asset sale to Netflix while navigating a competing hostile takeover bid, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 5.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.1 Bil |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.7% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming, and Gaming Content & Platforms. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.5%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 149x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 169%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 177% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.0% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 159% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5% |
| Key risksWBD key risks include [1] significant uncertainty from a proposed asset sale to Netflix while navigating a competing hostile takeover bid, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) stock experienced significant movement between August 31, 2025, and December 25, 2025, primarily driven by intense acquisition interest and strategic corporate actions. The stock's approximately 151% increase reflects a tumultuous period of bidding wars and strategic maneuvers in the entertainment industry.1. Acquisition Bids and Bidding War: A major driver for the stock surge was the ongoing bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery. Beginning in late 2025, several entertainment companies, including Netflix, Paramount Skydance, and Comcast, submitted acquisition offers for WBD. This competition significantly increased the perceived value of the company.
2. Paramount Skydance's Hostile Takeover Bid: Paramount Skydance initiated a hostile takeover bid for the entire company, offering $30 per share, which represented a 139% premium to WBD's undisturbed share price. This aggressive move, coupled with an initial report of Paramount Skydance preparing a majority cash bid in September 2025, fueled investor excitement and sent the stock soaring.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 47.5% change in WBD stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 133.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9242025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.82 | 29.23 | 47.48% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 38441.00 | 37863.00 | -1.50% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.00% | 1.28% | -35.88% |
| P/E Multiple | 63.92 | 149.40 | 133.72% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 2477.00 | 2479.00 | -0.08% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 47.48% |
Market Drivers
9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WBD | 47.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.4% | 17.5% |
| Sector (XLC) | 0.6% | 27.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 168.9% change in WBD stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 174.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6252025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.87 | 29.23 | 168.91% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 38342.00 | 37863.00 | -1.25% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.70 | 1.91 | 174.19% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 2462.00 | 2479.00 | -0.69% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 168.89% |
Market Drivers
6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WBD | 168.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.0% | 21.5% |
| Sector (XLC) | 12.6% | 35.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 177.1% change in WBD stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 192.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12242024 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.55 | 29.23 | 177.06% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 39578.00 | 37863.00 | -4.33% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.65 | 1.91 | 192.68% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 2453.00 | 2479.00 | -1.06% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 177.03% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WBD | 177.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 54.6% |
| Sector (XLC) | 20.1% | 60.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 218.8% change in WBD stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 123.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12252022 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.17 | 29.23 | 218.76% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 25996.00 | 37863.00 | 45.65% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.86 | 1.91 | 123.45% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 2428.00 | 2479.00 | -2.10% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 218.62% |
Market Drivers
12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WBD | 159.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.9% | 43.5% |
| Sector (XLC) | 65.9% | 50.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WBD Return | -8% | -22% | -60% | 20% | -7% | 176% | -11% |
| Peers Return | 54% | 6% | -40% | 46% | 34% | 1% | 94% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WBD Win Rate | 33% | 25% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 52% | 32% | 67% | 63% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WBD Max Drawdown | -44% | -26% | -62% | -1% | -41% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -12% | -48% | -3% | -8% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DIS, NFLX, CMCSA, AMZN, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WBD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -88.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 771.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 278 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 302 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -64.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 184.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 327 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to SPOT, EVC, CAST, WBD, FOXA
In The Past
Warner Bros. Discovery's stock fell -88.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/19/2021. A -88.5% loss requires a 771.1% gain to breakeven.
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Discovery, Inc., a media company, provides content across various distribution platforms in approximately 50 languages worldwide. It operates in two segments, U.S. Networks and International Networks. The company owns and operates various television networks under the Discovery Channel, HGTV, Food Network, TLC, Animal Planet, Investigation Discovery, Travel Channel, Science, MotorTrend, Discovery en Español, Discovery Familia, Eurosport, TVN, Discovery Kids, Discovery Family, American Heroes Channel, Destination America, Discovery Life, DIY Network, Cooking Channel, Great American Country, ID, the Oprah Winfrey Network, Eurosport, DMAX, and Discovery Home & Health brands, as well as other regional television networks. Its content spans genres, including survival, natural history, exploration, sports, general entertainment, home, food, travel, heroes, adventure, crime and investigation, health, and kids. The company also operates production studios that develop and produce content; and digital products and Websites. It provides content through various distribution platforms comprising pay-television, free-to-air and broadcast television, authenticated GO applications, digital distribution arrangements, content licensing agreements, and direct-to-consumer subscriptions, as well as various platforms that include brand-aligned Websites, online streaming, mobile devices, video on demand, and broadband channels. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
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It's like **Disney** (for its legendary film studios, iconic franchises, and premium scripted content) merged with **Comcast/NBCUniversal** (for its vast portfolio of cable channels, news, and reality TV).
Alternatively, it's like **Netflix** (for its broad streaming ambition and content library) combined with **Paramount Global** (for its traditional film studio, networks, and diverse cable channels).
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- Streaming Services: Max and Discovery+, direct-to-consumer subscription platforms offering extensive libraries of films, TV series, and original content.
- Linear Television Networks: A diverse portfolio of cable and broadcast channels, including CNN, HBO, and Discovery Channel, providing programmed entertainment, news, and sports to traditional TV subscribers.
- Film Production and Distribution: Creation, financing, and global release of feature films through labels like Warner Bros. Pictures for theatrical exhibition, home entertainment, and subsequent licensing.
- Television Content Production and Licensing: Development, production, and distribution of scripted and unscripted television series for their own platforms and third-party broadcasters and streamers.
- Video Games: Development and publishing of interactive entertainment software for various platforms, often leveraging popular intellectual properties from their film and television divisions.
- Live Sports Broadcasting: Acquisition and delivery of broadcast rights for major sporting events, offering live coverage and related programming across their television networks and streaming platforms.
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Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) operates a diverse media and entertainment business, selling to both other companies and individual consumers. However, a significant portion of its revenue, particularly from its Networks and Studios segments, comes from selling to other businesses.
Therefore, Warner Bros. Discovery primarily sells to other companies. Its major customers include:
- Cable, Satellite, and Virtual Multichannel Video Programming Distributors (MVPDs): These companies pay WBD significant affiliate fees to carry its portfolio of linear television channels (e.g., CNN, TNT, TBS, Discovery Channel, HGTV) to their subscribers.
- Content Licensing Partners: Other streaming services and international broadcasters license WBD's extensive library of films and television series for their own platforms.
- Advertisers: Major brands and their advertising agencies purchase ad inventory across WBD's linear television networks and its ad-supported streaming platforms (such as Max with ads and Discovery+ with ads). While this involves a vast number of individual companies, collectively they represent a critical business-to-business customer segment. (Due to the sheer number and changing nature of specific advertisers, individual public companies are not listed here, but they represent a major customer category for WBD).
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- Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
- Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
- Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM)
- Apple Inc. (AAPL)
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David Zaslav, President and CEO
David Zaslav is the President and Chief Executive Officer of Warner Bros. Discovery, a role he assumed in April 2022 following the merger of AT&T's WarnerMedia and Discovery. He previously served as the President and CEO of Discovery, Inc. since 2006 or 2007, where he led the company to go public in 2008 and achieve Fortune 500 status in 2014. During his tenure at Discovery, he oversaw the acquisition of Scripps Networks Interactive in 2018. Prior to Discovery, Zaslav had a distinguished career at NBCUniversal, joining NBC in 1989, where he was instrumental in developing and launching CNBC and MSNBC. He began his career as an attorney.
Gunnar Wiedenfels, Chief Financial Officer
Gunnar Wiedenfels serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Warner Bros. Discovery, overseeing global financial functions and strategies. He was a key architect of Discovery's agreement with AT&T to create Warner Bros. Discovery. Wiedenfels joined Discovery, Inc. as CFO in 2017, and played a leadership role in its 2018 acquisition of Scripps Networks Interactive. Before joining Discovery, he spent seven years in executive management roles, including CFO, at ProSiebenSat.1 Media SE in Munich, Germany, where he was noted for strong shareholder value creation. He started his career at McKinsey & Co. in 2004. It has been announced that he will serve as the President and CEO of a new TV Networks spin-off company once WBD splits, expected in mid-2026.
JB Perrette, CEO and President, Global Streaming and Games
JB Perrette is the CEO and President of Global Streaming and Games for Warner Bros. Discovery, a role in which he is spearheading the global rollout of the Max streaming platform and overseeing the company's gaming and interactive entertainment business. Before joining Discovery, Inc. in 2011 as Chief Digital Officer, Perrette spent 11 years with NBCUniversal, where he was President, Digital and Affiliate Distribution, and played a significant role in creating and developing Hulu, including serving on its Board for several years.
Bruce Campbell, Chief Revenue and Strategy Officer
Bruce Campbell is the Chief Revenue and Strategy Officer at Warner Bros. Discovery. His responsibilities include US advertising sales, distribution revenue and content licensing, global corporate development and strategy, global streaming platform agreements, and legal affairs. Campbell is a veteran of Discovery and was a co-founder of Hulu. He previously served as Discovery's Chief Development, Distribution and Legal Officer.
Kathleen Finch, Chairman and Chief Content Officer, US Networks Group
Kathleen Finch serves as the Chairman and Chief Content Officer of the US Networks Group at Warner Bros. Discovery, overseeing over 40 US networks. She is scheduled to retire at the end of 2024. Finch began her career as a journalist, spending 12 years as a CBS Network News producer. She joined Scripps Networks in 1999, starting at the Food Network, and held various leadership positions including President of HGTV, DIY Network, and Great American Country. Following Discovery's acquisition of Scripps Networks, she served as Chief Lifestyle Brands Officer for Discovery. Finch is recognized for developing popular unscripted franchises such as "Fixer Upper" and "Property Brothers."
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```htmlKey Risks to Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)
- Uncertainty and Risks Related to the Netflix Acquisition and Competing Bids: Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) is currently navigating a complex acquisition landscape, with a definitive agreement for Netflix to acquire its streaming and studio assets, and a competing hostile bid from Paramount Skydance for the entire company. The WBD board has formally recommended shareholders reject Paramount's offer, citing "significant risks and costs" and an "inadequate" valuation compared to the Netflix deal. Potential risks include the possibility that the Netflix deal may not be completed, delays in the process, difficulties in integrating the businesses, potential litigation, and significant regulatory scrutiny, particularly for the Netflix acquisition due to concerns about market dominance. Paramount's bid, specifically, was criticized by the WBD board for lacking a full backstop from the Ellison family and relying on an "opaque revocable trust" for crucial deal funding, contributing to its perceived high risk.
- Decline of Linear Networks and Intense Competition in the Streaming Market: A significant operational risk for WBD is the faster-than-expected decline of its Global Linear Networks segment (traditional cable TV). This decline is driven by factors such as subscriber churn, with domestic linear pay TV subscribers dropping by 9% in Q3 2025, and a slump in advertising revenues. The company is also facing a rapidly changing and highly competitive media landscape due to the proliferation of digital platforms and an oversaturated streaming market. This competitive environment, coupled with the capital-intensive nature of the "streaming wars," continues to pose challenges for WBD, which has experienced revenue declines and net losses, and has frequently missed earnings expectations.
- Financial Distress and Volatility: Warner Bros. Discovery exhibits indicators of financial distress and high stock volatility. The company's Altman Z-Score, a measure of financial health, suggests it is in the "distress zone," indicating a potential risk of bankruptcy within two years. While WBD has shown some financial strength with a high Piotroski F-Score, its low Altman Z-Score presents a mixed financial picture. Furthermore, the stock's beta of 2.45 reflects high volatility, which could be a concern for risk-averse investors. The company also carries a substantial debt load, reported as $35.6 billion in gross debt as of Q2 2025, resulting in significant annual interest expenses.
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- Rapid Advancement and Adoption of Generative AI: The accelerating development and integration of generative artificial intelligence across various domains, from scriptwriting and visual effects to content synthesis and deepfakes, poses a multi-faceted emerging threat. This technology could fundamentally alter the cost structures of content production, potentially enabling smaller entities to create high-quality content at lower costs, thus intensifying competition. Furthermore, the legal and ethical complexities surrounding AI-generated content, particularly regarding intellectual property ownership, copyright, and the potential for misuse or dilution of existing IP (a core asset for WBD), are largely undefined and could lead to significant legal challenges and devaluation of traditional content libraries. The recent Hollywood strikes highlighted the industry's serious concerns about AI's impact on creative talent and job security, indicating a looming disruption to established production models.
- Accelerated Growth of Free Ad-Supported Streaming Television (FAST) and its Impact on Ad Revenue: While ad-supported streaming is not new, the exponential growth and increasing sophistication of dedicated Free Ad-Supported Streaming Television (FAST) platforms (e.g., Pluto TV, Tubi, The Roku Channel, Freevee) represent a clear emerging threat. These services offer extensive libraries of content at no subscription cost, attracting a significant and growing audience and, consequently, a larger share of advertising budgets. This trend poses a dual challenge for WBD: it intensifies competition for advertising dollars, potentially diverting revenue from WBD's linear TV networks (which still contribute substantially to its bottom line) and its ad-supported tiers on Max and Discovery+. As consumers increasingly gravitate towards free options, it could also exert downward pressure on subscription pricing and perceived value for premium ad-supported or ad-free streaming services, impacting WBD's direct-to-consumer profitability and subscriber acquisition strategies.
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Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) operates across several key segments, including streaming services, linear television networks, film production and distribution, gaming, and sports broadcasting. The addressable markets for these main products and services vary significantly by region and type.
Streaming Services (Max, Discovery+)
- The global video streaming market was estimated at approximately USD 674.25 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 2,660.88 billion by 2032, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 18.5% during the forecast period. North America accounted for the largest revenue share in this market, holding 38.36% in 2024.
- Another estimate places the global video streaming market size at USD 129.26 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 416.8 billion by 2030 at a CAGR of 21.5% from 2025 to 2030.
- The global online TV streaming service market was valued at $280.1 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $1,391.3 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 17.5% from 2024 to 2033.
Linear TV Networks (e.g., HBO, TNT, Discovery Channel, CNN)
- Global linear TV advertising spending is estimated to be around USD 143.9 billion in 2025, with projections indicating a further drop to USD 139.1 billion in 2026.
- Conversely, the global television advertising market size (which includes linear TV but also potentially connected TV/OTT advertising as some sources define "TV advertising" broadly) is calculated at USD 255.79 billion in 2025 and is forecasted to reach USD 368.83 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 4.15% from 2025 to 2034. North America's market size for television advertising surpassed USD 81.05 billion in 2024.
Film Production and Distribution (Warner Bros. Pictures)
- The global movie production and distribution market size was estimated at USD 130.0 billion in 2024.
- Another estimate places the global market for movie production & distribution at US$ 82.53 billion in 2024, projected to increase to US$ 182.92 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 8.2%.
- The movie production market size is forecast to increase by USD 90.4 billion, at a CAGR of 14.6% between 2024 and 2029.
- Global box office revenue is projected to surpass USD 34 billion in 2025.
Gaming (Warner Bros. Games)
- The global video game market generated a revenue of USD 298.98 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 600.74 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 12.2% from 2025 to 2030. North America accounted for 23.2% of the global video game market in 2024.
- Another report states the global gaming market size was valued at USD 241.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 535.29 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 8.30% during 2025-2033. Asia-Pacific dominated this market, holding over 49.5% in 2024.
- The global video game market size is estimated at USD 289.73 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 531.77 billion by 2030, delivering a 12.91% CAGR during the period.
Sports Broadcasting Rights (TNT Sports, Eurosport)
- US TV and streaming sports media rights payments are estimated to total $29.25 billion in 2025, representing over half of the global total.
- The global sports broadcasting technology market size was estimated at USD 79.85 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach approximately USD 146.27 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 6.24% from 2025 to 2034. The North America market size for sports broadcasting technology was estimated at USD 29.54 billion in 2024.
- The global sports streaming platform market size is expected to reach $72.29 billion by 2031, rising at a market growth of 12.2% CAGR. In 2023, North America garnered a 34% revenue share in this market.
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Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
- Global Streaming Subscriber Growth and International Expansion of Max: The company anticipates significant growth in its streaming segment, particularly with the continued international expansion of HBO Max. Management projects 2026 to be a major year for HBO Max growth and aims to reach at least 150 million global streaming subscribers by the end of 2026. This expansion includes new market launches in Europe, EMEA, and APAC. Additionally, strategies such as password sharing crackdowns and recent U.S. price increases are expected to boost HBO Max's distribution revenue.
- Strong Studio Performance and Content Pipeline: WBD's studios, encompassing film, television, and games, are slated as a significant revenue driver. The company achieved a leading position at the box office, surpassing $4 billion in 2025 revenue. Future growth is expected from strategic content initiatives, including new DC Studios projects like "Lanterns" in early 2026 and "Supergirl" and "Clayface" in the summer and fall of 2026. The studio segment is expected to exceed $2.4 billion in EBITDA in 2025, with a target of $3 billion.
- Growth in Streaming Advertising Revenue and Monetization: Expanding ad-lite subscriptions within its streaming services are contributing to advertising revenue growth. The company forecasts 23% year-over-year growth in streaming advertising revenues for the current year, with continued expansion at a compound annual growth rate exceeding 11% through 2030. Improved monetization of its profitable domestic cohort through ad-lite subscriptions is a key focus.
- Strategic Restructuring for Optimized Growth: Warner Bros. Discovery is proceeding with plans to split into two distinct companies by 2026: Streaming & Studios and Global Linear Networks. This strategic separation is intended to enhance clarity and focus, allowing the Streaming & Studios division to concentrate on driving growth and strong returns, while maximizing profitability from both segments. This move aims to unlock shareholder value and position the company more effectively for evolving industry trends.
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Share Issuance
- On April 8, 2022, Warner Bros. Discovery issued 1.7 billion shares of common stock as consideration for the acquisition of WarnerMedia.
- Shares outstanding significantly increased by 192.17% in 2022, reaching 1.94 billion, a direct result of the merger with WarnerMedia.
- The number of shares outstanding continued to rise, reaching 2.436 billion in 2023 (a 25.57% increase from 2022) and 2.45 billion in 2024 (a 0.57% increase from 2023).
Inbound Investments
- In late 2025, Warner Bros. Discovery initiated a review of strategic alternatives after receiving unsolicited interest from multiple parties regarding a potential acquisition of the entire company or its Warner Bros. business.
- Paramount Skydance reportedly made an initial offer of $20 per share for WBD, which was rejected, and a subsequent $23.50/share bid was also rejected, though discussions remain ongoing with potential private equity backing.
- Other major companies, including Comcast, Netflix, Apple, and Amazon, have also expressed interest in a potential acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery.
Capital Expenditures
- Warner Bros. Discovery's capital expenditures were $1.316 billion in 2023, $987 million in 2022, and $948 million in 2024.
- The company's capital expenditures for the latest twelve months amounted to $1.033 billion.
- For 2025, expected capital expenditures are projected to be $1,095 million, primarily focused on investments in the global streaming platform Max and positioning its studios for industry leadership.
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.5% | -4.5% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.7% | -2.7% | -5.1% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.5% | 4.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -26.1% | -26.1% | -29.8% |
| 04302022 | WBD | Warner Bros. Discovery | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.7% | -25.0% | -51.1% |
| 04302021 | WBD | Warner Bros. Discovery | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -37.8% | -51.8% | -51.8% |
| 08312020 | WBD | Warner Bros. Discovery | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 163.7% | 30.7% | -12.7% |
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Peer Comparisons for Warner Bros. Discovery
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 104.06 |
| Mkt Cap | 301.6 |
| Rev LTM | 109,304 |
| Op Inc LTM | 18,168 |
| FCF LTM | 11,779 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 10,612 |
| CFO LTM | 24,656 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 21,175 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Networks | 21,244 | 19,348 | 11,311 | ||
| Studios | 12,192 | 9,731 | 20 | ||
| Direct-to-consumer (DTC) | 10,154 | 7,274 | 860 | ||
| Corporate | 0 | 30 | |||
| Inter-segment eliminations | -2,269 | -2,566 | |||
| Corporate, inter-segment eliminations, and other | 9 | 11 | |||
| International Networks | 3,713 | 4,041 | |||
| U.S. Networks | 6,949 | 7,092 | |||
| Total | 41,321 | 33,817 | 12,191 | 10,671 | 11,144 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Networks | 9,063 | 8,725 | 5,533 | ||
| Studios | 2,183 | 1,772 | 14 | ||
| Direct-to-consumer (DTC) | 103 | -1,596 | -1,345 | ||
| Inter-segment eliminations | 93 | 17 | |||
| Facility consolidation costs | -32 | 0 | |||
| Amortization of capitalized interest for content | -46 | 0 | |||
| Impairments and loss on dispositions | -77 | -117 | 71 | ||
| Transaction and integration costs | -162 | -1,195 | -95 | ||
| Employee share-based compensation | -488 | -410 | -167 | ||
| Restructuring and other charges | -585 | -3,757 | -32 | ||
| Corporate | -1,242 | -1,200 | -385 | ||
| Impairment and amortization of fair value step-up for content | -2,373 | -2,416 | |||
| Depreciation and amortization | -7,985 | -7,193 | -1,582 | ||
| Total | -1,548 | -7,370 | 2,012 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $29.23 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 72.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/29/2006 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -2.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $23.94 | $14.89 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 22.1% | 96.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 41.7% | 61.6% |
| Downside Capture | -76.31 | 92.91 |
| Upside Capture | 121.44 | 181.35 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 17.8% | 54.5% |
WBD Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.26 | 0.54 | 1.12 | 1.33 | 1.69 | 1.59 |
| Up Beta | 0.70 | 0.92 | 1.77 | 1.65 | 1.70 | 1.64 |
| Down Beta | 2.99 | 2.06 | 2.34 | 1.38 | 2.33 | 1.92 |
| Up Capture | 60% | 65% | 282% | 285% | 234% | 318% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 21 | 33 | 65 | 132 | 383 |
| Down Capture | -81% | -86% | -162% | 7% | 94% | 107% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 20 | 29 | 59 | 115 | 363 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of WBD With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WBD | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 178.6% | 22.6% | 19.2% | 71.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -10.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 61.3% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.90 | 0.96 | 0.78 | 2.69 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 60.5% | 54.4% | -8.5% | 22.4% | 43.0% | 22.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLC, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of WBD With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WBD | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 0.3% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 32.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 56.4% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.23 | 0.53 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.59 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 47.4% | 40.2% | 4.3% | 10.3% | 35.3% | 14.2% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLC, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of WBD With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WBD | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 0.7% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 47.6% | 22.6% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.20 | 0.54 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 47.5% | 43.0% | 0.7% | 16.0% | 36.1% | 10.2% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLC, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -1.5% | -2.5% | 19.6% |
| 8/7/2025 | -7.3% | -5.8% | -5.3% |
| 5/8/2025 | 5.3% | 7.6% | 14.7% |
| 2/27/2025 | 4.8% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| 11/7/2024 | 11.8% | 16.0% | 27.2% |
| 8/7/2024 | -8.9% | -9.7% | -6.4% |
| 5/9/2024 | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% |
| 2/23/2024 | -9.9% | -8.1% | -11.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| # Negative | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 4.5% | 5.1% | 17.2% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -6.9% | -6.4% |
| Max Positive | 11.8% | 16.0% | 47.0% |
| Max Negative | -19.0% | -21.7% | -25.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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