Tearsheet

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $28.21 | Market Cap: $69.9 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Broadcasting

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $28.21
Market Cap: $69.9 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Broadcasting

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 5.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.1 Bil
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.5%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 100x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming, and Gaming Content & Platforms.
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 167%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 149%
3  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.0%
4  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 86%
5  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2%
6  Key risks
WBD key risks include [1] significant uncertainty from a proposed asset sale to Netflix while navigating a competing hostile takeover bid, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 5.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.1 Bil
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.5%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming, and Gaming Content & Platforms.
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 100x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 167%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 149%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.0%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 86%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2%
9 Key risks
WBD key risks include [1] significant uncertainty from a proposed asset sale to Netflix while navigating a competing hostile takeover bid, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WBD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 142% movement in Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Agreement to Sell Streaming and Studios to Netflix: Warner Bros. Discovery agreed to sell its streaming and studio business, including assets like Warner Bros., HBO, HBO Max, and DC Studios, to Netflix for an equity value of $72 billion (totaling an enterprise value of $82.7 billion or $27.75 per share in cash and stock) on December 5, 2025. This deal provided a clear valuation and strategic direction for a significant portion of the company's assets.

2. Paramount Skydance's Hostile Takeover Bid: On December 8, 2025, Paramount Skydance launched an unsolicited, all-cash hostile takeover bid for the *entire* Warner Bros. Discovery, valuing the company at $108.4 billion or $30 per share. This bid introduced a competitive bidding scenario, implying a significantly higher valuation for WBD and representing a 139% premium to WBD's undisturbed stock price of $12.54 as of September 10, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WBD Return-8%-22%-60%20%-7%173%-12%
Peers Return54%6%-40%46%34%0%93%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WBD Win Rate33%25%42%58%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate63%52%32%67%63%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WBD Max Drawdown-44%-26%-62%-1%-41%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-12%-48%-3%-8%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DIS, NFLX, CMCSA, AMZN, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWBDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-88.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven771.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven278 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven302 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven184.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven327 days1,480 days

Compare to SPOT, EVC, CAST, WBD, FOXA


In The Past

Warner Bros. Discovery's stock fell -88.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/19/2021. A -88.5% loss requires a 771.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)

Better Bets than Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WBD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.4%-3.4%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.3%-0.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-27.9%-27.9%-29.8%
WBD_4302022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE04302022WBDWarner Bros. DiscoveryDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.7%-25.0%-51.1%
WBD_4302021_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE04302021WBDWarner Bros. DiscoveryDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-37.8%-51.8%-51.8%
WBD_8312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312020WBDWarner Bros. DiscoveryDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
163.7%30.7%-12.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.4%-3.4%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.3%-0.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-27.9%-27.9%-29.8%
WBD_4302022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE04302022WBDWarner Bros. DiscoveryDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.7%-25.0%-51.1%
WBD_4302021_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE04302021WBDWarner Bros. DiscoveryDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-37.8%-51.8%-51.8%
WBD_8312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312020WBDWarner Bros. DiscoveryDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
163.7%30.7%-12.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Warner Bros. Discovery

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WBDDISNFLXCMCSAAMZNAAPLMedian
NameWarner B.Walt Dis.Netflix Comcast Amazon.c.Apple  
Mkt Price28.21110.6394.7930.32221.27271.84102.71
Mkt Cap69.9198.9402.3112.82,353.64,051.2300.6
Rev LTM37,86394,42543,379124,184670,038408,625109,304
Op Inc LTM1,41213,83212,64322,50576,190130,21418,168
FCF LTM4,13410,0778,96716,58813,48196,18411,779
FCF 3Y Avg4,9257,8447,25613,38021,677100,50310,612
CFO LTM5,23018,1019,57531,210121,137108,56524,656
CFO 3Y Avg6,07113,9797,70628,37196,977111,55921,175

Growth & Margins

WBDDISNFLXCMCSAAMZNAAPLMedian
NameWarner B.Walt Dis.Netflix Comcast Amazon.c.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM-4.3%3.4%15.4%2.5%10.9%6.0%4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.2%4.5%11.4%0.7%11.3%1.8%7.9%
Rev Chg Q-6.0%-0.5%17.2%2.1%13.3%9.6%5.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.5%-0.1%4.0%0.5%3.0%2.1%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM3.7%14.6%29.1%18.1%11.4%31.9%16.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.5%12.6%24.4%18.9%7.9%30.8%15.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%-0.1%-0.4%-0.6%0.3%0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM13.8%19.2%22.1%25.1%18.1%26.6%20.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.2%15.2%20.2%23.2%15.8%28.4%18.0%
FCF/Rev LTM10.9%10.7%20.7%13.4%2.0%23.5%12.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.3%8.5%19.0%10.9%3.5%25.6%11.6%

Valuation

WBDDISNFLXCMCSAAMZNAAPLMedian
NameWarner B.Walt Dis.Netflix Comcast Amazon.c.Apple  
Mkt Cap69.9198.9402.3112.82,353.64,051.2300.6
P/S1.32.1117.30.93.59.32.8
P/EBIT13.114.4396.83.727.429.120.9
P/E99.816.0487.85.133.138.235.6
P/CFO9.311.0531.53.719.335.015.1
Total Yield1.0%6.7%0.2%23.8%3.0%3.0%3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.5%0.0%4.2%0.0%0.4%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg18.3%4.4%0.3%9.3%1.1%3.1%3.7%
D/E0.70.20.00.90.10.00.1
Net D/E0.60.20.00.80.00.00.1

Returns

WBDDISNFLXCMCSAAMZNAAPLMedian
NameWarner B.Walt Dis.Netflix Comcast Amazon.c.Apple  
1M Rtn24.1%5.4%-14.1%11.4%-5.0%1.6%3.5%
3M Rtn56.8%-4.1%-22.8%-5.5%-4.5%13.9%-4.3%
6M Rtn166.9%-5.1%-22.4%-9.7%4.1%38.6%-0.5%
12M Rtn148.5%-1.0%3.1%-18.9%-4.3%7.7%1.0%
3Y Rtn184.7%25.7%226.1%-3.3%151.8%105.1%128.5%
1M Excs Rtn23.3%4.6%-14.8%10.7%-5.7%0.9%2.8%
3M Excs Rtn49.5%-4.4%-22.9%-4.5%-5.7%13.0%-4.4%
6M Excs Rtn154.5%-17.5%-34.8%-22.1%-8.3%26.2%-12.9%
12M Excs Rtn122.6%-12.0%-7.9%-32.3%-13.8%-1.0%-9.9%
3Y Excs Rtn81.9%-48.8%132.3%-77.1%75.9%22.5%49.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Networks21,24419,34811,311  
Studios12,1929,73120  
Direct-to-consumer (DTC)10,1547,274860  
Corporate030   
Inter-segment eliminations-2,269-2,566   
Corporate, inter-segment eliminations, and other   911
International Networks   3,7134,041
U.S. Networks   6,9497,092
Total41,32133,81712,19110,67111,144


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Networks9,0638,7255,533  
Studios2,1831,77214  
Direct-to-consumer (DTC)103-1,596-1,345  
Inter-segment eliminations9317   
Facility consolidation costs-320   
Amortization of capitalized interest for content-460   
Impairments and loss on dispositions-77-11771  
Transaction and integration costs-162-1,195-95  
Employee share-based compensation-488-410-167  
Restructuring and other charges-585-3,757-32  
Corporate-1,242-1,200-385  
Impairment and amortization of fair value step-up for content-2,373-2,416   
Depreciation and amortization-7,985-7,193-1,582  
Total-1,548-7,3702,012  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity91,865,098
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202516.3%
Average Daily Volume40,711,914
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.26
Basic Shares Quantity2,479,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-1.5%-2.5%19.6%
8/7/2025-7.3%-5.8%-5.3%
5/8/20255.3%7.6%14.7%
2/27/20254.8%8.9%4.9%
11/7/202411.8%16.0%27.2%
8/7/2024-8.9%-9.7%-6.4%
5/9/20243.1%5.1%6.0%
2/23/2024-9.9%-8.1%-11.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10138
# Negative11813
Median Positive4.5%5.1%17.2%
Median Negative-6.8%-6.9%-6.4%
Max Positive11.8%16.0%47.0%
Max Negative-19.0%-21.7%-25.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022426202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021