Tearsheet

Vital Energy (VTLE)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $18.65 | Market Cap: $705.0 Mil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Vital Energy (VTLE)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $18.65
Market Cap: $705.0 Mil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 60%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -143%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 364%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 19%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.4%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -210%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 60%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 19%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -143%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 364%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.4%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -210%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VTLE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Pending Merger with Crescent Energy Company

Vital Energy's stock movement was significantly influenced by its pending merger with Crescent Energy Company. This all-stock transaction, which was nearing a deal by August 22, 2025, and saw the stock trending up by 15.83% on August 25, 2025, aimed to create a premier mid-cap operator and generate increased value for shareholders. A shareholder vote for the merger is anticipated on December 12, 2025. 2. Third-Quarter 2025 Financial Results

On November 3, 2025, Vital Energy reported its third-quarter 2025 financial and operating results. The company recorded a net loss of $353.5 million, primarily due to a non-cash pre-tax impairment loss on oil and gas properties of $420.0 million. However, Vital Energy also reported adjusted net income of $57.6 million, exceeded its total production guidance, and emphasized its focus on operational execution and cost discipline.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VTLE Return-66%205%-14%-12%-32%-40%-68%
Peers Return-37%91%57%10%1%2%114%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VTLE Win Rate42%58%50%50%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate40%68%62%58%50%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VTLE Max Drawdown-88%0%-18%-21%-43%-58% 
Peers Max Drawdown-71%-1%0%-14%-9%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BSM, COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVTLES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-65.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven186.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-88.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven775.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven420 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-86.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven631.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to BSM, COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG


In The Past

Vital Energy's stock fell -65.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -65.1% loss requires a 186.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Vital Energy (VTLE)

Better Bets than Vital Energy (VTLE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VTLE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.8%11.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
25.5%25.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-5.7%
VTLE_12312024_Short_Squeeze12312024VTLEVital EnergySpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-46.5%-39.9%-58.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.8%11.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
25.5%25.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-5.7%
VTLE_12312024_Short_Squeeze12312024VTLEVital EnergySpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-46.5%-39.9%-58.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Vital Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VTLEBSMCOPCNQEOGFANGMedian
NameVital En.Black St.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
Mkt Price18.61-93.1234.46112.16159.5193.12
Mkt Cap0.7-116.072.060.746.160.7
Rev LTM1,89743159,78844,52122,57915,28418,932
Op Inc LTM38427812,5499,0227,5395,5846,562
FCF LTM1242247,0888,1243,891-1,0942,058
FCF 3Y Avg-4373718,9108,2845,167-1,9662,769
CFO LTM1,14733619,93514,77010,1958,7569,476
CFO 3Y Avg93743720,72013,87411,4536,7309,091

Growth & Margins

VTLEBSMCOPCNQEOGFANGMedian
NameVital En.Black St.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
Rev Chg LTM1.9%-8.5%8.2%8.3%-5.0%60.1%5.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.4%-16.4%-6.6%-2.4%-7.6%20.8%-4.5%
Rev Chg Q-8.4%1.9%15.3%6.4%-2.3%48.2%4.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.0%0.5%3.4%1.5%-0.6%9.1%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM20.2%64.3%21.0%20.3%33.4%36.5%27.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg28.7%66.2%24.1%21.9%36.4%46.8%32.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%1.0%-1.0%-4.3%-0.8%-1.3%-1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM60.5%77.9%33.3%33.2%45.2%57.3%51.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg53.3%88.7%35.6%32.8%49.0%62.5%51.2%
FCF/Rev LTM6.5%52.0%11.9%18.2%17.2%-7.2%14.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-25.7%73.9%15.3%19.6%22.1%-18.6%17.5%

Valuation

VTLEBSMCOPCNQEOGFANGMedian
NameVital En.Black St.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
Mkt Cap0.7-116.072.060.746.160.7
P/S0.3-2.01.52.72.72.0
P/EBIT-0.6-8.17.68.36.97.6
P/E-0.5-13.310.011.09.910.0
P/CFO0.6-5.94.55.94.74.7
Total Yield-205.9%-10.8%17.1%12.6%12.9%12.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%-3.3%7.1%3.5%2.7%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-40.8%-6.9%12.0%7.6%-5.2%6.9%
D/E3.7-0.20.30.10.40.3
Net D/E3.6-0.10.30.10.40.3

Returns

VTLEBSMCOPCNQEOGFANGMedian
NameVital En.Black St.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
1M Rtn23.4%-6.9%9.9%6.6%15.2%9.9%
3M Rtn7.0%--1.9%11.3%-6.9%12.5%7.0%
6M Rtn12.9%-11.0%14.2%2.8%17.7%12.9%
12M Rtn-40.0%--6.9%9.7%-10.4%-4.1%-6.9%
3Y Rtn-66.8%--13.3%39.4%-5.5%27.3%-5.5%
1M Excs Rtn22.1%-5.6%8.6%5.3%13.9%8.6%
3M Excs Rtn7.7%--4.7%9.2%-9.8%10.0%7.7%
6M Excs Rtn-2.6%--4.4%-1.3%-12.6%2.2%-2.6%
12M Excs Rtn-56.8%--22.6%-5.3%-25.0%-20.1%-22.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-143.4%--90.0%-39.3%-83.5%-50.1%-83.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Exploration and production1,548    
Natural gas liquids (NGL) sales 23519278100
Natural gas sales 2091505033
Oil sales 1,351805368573
Other operating revenues 77812
Sales of purchased oil 119240173119
Total1,5481,9211,394677837


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,480,192
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-7.0%
Average Daily Volume608,791
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9
Basic Shares Quantity37,801,000
Short % of Basic Shares14.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023311202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021