Tearsheet

Diamondback Energy (FANG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $154.11 | Market Cap: $44.5 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Diamondback Energy (FANG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $154.11
Market Cap: $44.5 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 60%
  Key risks
FANG key risks include [1] declining well productivity and rising operating costs as its high-quality acreage is depleted.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57%, CFO LTM is 8.8 Bil
  
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -25%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Carbon Capture & Storage.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.7%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 60%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 57%, CFO LTM is 8.8 Bil
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -25%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Carbon Capture & Storage.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2%
8 Key risks
FANG key risks include [1] declining well productivity and rising operating costs as its high-quality acreage is depleted.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FANG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback


Diamondback Energy (FANG) experienced a 4.3% stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, influenced by several key factors:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings and Increased Production Guidance. Diamondback Energy reported adjusted earnings per share of $3.08 for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.85. This outperformance was primarily attributed to higher-than-expected production and reduced cash operating costs. The company also saw its revenues increase by 48.4% from the prior year, reaching $3.9 billion, and subsequently raised its full-year 2025 oil production forecast.

2. Strategic Acquisitions and Divestitures. Throughout 2025, Diamondback Energy engaged in significant portfolio management. Notably, the company announced a $4.08 billion acquisition of certain Double Eagle assets, expected to close by April 1, 2025, expanding its presence in the Permian Basin. Concurrently, Diamondback committed to divesting at least $1.5 billion in non-core assets to manage debt. The company also completed the acquisition of Sitio Royalties Corp. via its subsidiary Viper Energy, and divested its interests in Environmental Disposal Systems and EPIC Crude Holdings.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FANG Return-46%128%35%20%10%-6%105%
Peers Return-41%101%53%-4%6%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FANG Win Rate25%83%50%67%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate42%70%67%50%50%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FANG Max Drawdown-83%0%0%-8%-4%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-70%-1%-2%-20%-13%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EOG, OKE, DVN, EPM, BSM. See FANG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFANGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven113 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-83.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven519.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven470 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-47.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven855 days120 days

Compare to EOG, OKE, DVN, EPM, BSM


In The Past

Diamondback Energy's stock fell -33.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -33.5% loss requires a 50.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Diamondback Energy (FANG)

Better Bets than Diamondback Energy (FANG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FANG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
FANG_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018FANGDiamondback EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
18.3%0.9%-19.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
FANG_12312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12312018FANGDiamondback EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
18.3%0.9%-19.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Diamondback Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FANGEOGOKEDVNEPMBSMMedian
NameDiamondb.EOG Reso.ONEOK Devon En.Evolutio.Black St. 
Mkt Price154.07104.7473.0536.953.72-73.05
Mkt Cap44.556.746.123.20.1-44.5
Rev LTM15,28422,57931,56417,4708543116,377
Op Inc LTM5,5847,5395,9073,95822784,771
FCF LTM-1,0943,8912,9202,818-62241,521
FCF 3Y Avg-1,9665,1672,7631,677-13711,024
CFO LTM8,75610,1955,6646,841333366,252
CFO 3Y Avg6,73011,4534,8016,744324375,765

Growth & Margins

FANGEOGOKEDVNEPMBSMMedian
NameDiamondb.EOG Reso.ONEOK Devon En.Evolutio.Black St. 
Rev Chg LTM60.1%-5.0%58.4%11.4%-2.2%-8.5%4.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg20.8%-7.6%16.4%-2.1%-12.8%-16.4%-4.8%
Rev Chg Q48.2%-2.3%71.9%7.6%-2.8%1.9%4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.1%-0.6%12.9%1.8%-0.7%0.5%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM36.5%33.4%18.7%22.7%2.6%64.3%28.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg46.8%36.4%21.2%28.3%13.8%66.2%32.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.3%-0.8%-0.9%-1.7%-2.2%1.0%-1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM57.3%45.2%17.9%39.2%39.0%77.9%42.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg62.5%49.0%21.5%41.8%34.6%88.7%45.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-7.2%17.2%9.3%16.1%-7.1%52.0%12.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-18.6%22.1%12.7%10.2%-3.3%73.9%11.4%

Valuation

FANGEOGOKEDVNEPMBSMMedian
NameDiamondb.EOG Reso.ONEOK Devon En.Evolutio.Black St. 
Mkt Cap44.556.746.123.20.1-44.5
P/S2.72.71.51.31.5-1.5
P/EBIT6.98.37.35.438.8-7.3
P/E9.911.013.88.1540.8-11.0
P/CFO4.75.98.13.23.8-4.7
Total Yield12.9%12.6%7.3%15.1%13.3%-12.9%
Dividend Yield2.7%3.5%0.0%2.8%13.1%-2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.2%7.6%6.9%6.5%-1.8%-6.5%
D/E0.40.10.70.40.4-0.4
Net D/E0.40.10.70.30.4-0.4

Returns

FANGEOGOKEDVNEPMBSMMedian
NameDiamondb.EOG Reso.ONEOK Devon En.Evolutio.Black St. 
1M Rtn5.3%-4.3%6.1%6.0%-5.8%-5.3%
3M Rtn10.4%-11.8%1.8%5.0%-28.3%-1.8%
6M Rtn5.0%-13.9%-7.4%10.0%-21.9%--7.4%
12M Rtn-1.1%-12.0%-24.5%18.1%-21.5%--12.0%
3Y Rtn30.0%-7.0%32.6%-30.6%-31.6%--7.0%
1M Excs Rtn4.5%-5.1%5.4%5.3%-6.6%-4.5%
3M Excs Rtn9.0%-12.0%-0.5%4.9%-29.7%--0.5%
6M Excs Rtn-7.4%-26.2%-19.8%-2.4%-34.3%--19.8%
12M Excs Rtn-14.1%-25.6%-37.2%1.0%-36.2%--25.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-38.3%-73.0%-38.8%-100.1%-97.2%--73.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Upstream28,36224,45221,32916,12822,125
All Other1,2422,213   
Eliminations-603-456-373-318-230
Midstream services  1,9421,8091,636
Total29,00126,20922,89817,61923,531


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,769,370
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-10.0%
Average Daily Volume1,496,272
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.86
Basic Shares Quantity288,826,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2025-1.3%3.2%13.7%
8/4/2025-1.4%-7.4%-3.0%
5/5/2025-0.8%7.4%5.4%
2/24/2025-2.1%-4.7%4.8%
11/4/2024-2.3%-0.4%-4.4%
8/5/20242.4%8.7%0.7%
4/30/2024-2.5%1.3%-0.9%
2/12/20249.4%18.2%23.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141513
# Negative879
Median Positive2.5%4.7%9.0%
Median Negative-1.8%-3.5%-4.4%
Max Positive9.4%18.2%47.9%
Max Negative-5.2%-9.9%-79.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021