Tearsheet

Texas Pacific Land (TPL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $913.12 | Market Cap: $21.0 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Texas Pacific Land (TPL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $913.12
Market Cap: $21.0 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Water Treatment & Delivery.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.17
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Water Treatment & Delivery.
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.17

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TPL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Texas Pacific Land Corporation reported third-quarter 2025 earnings and revenue that fell short of analysts' expectations. The company's earnings per share of $5.27 missed the anticipated $5.69, resulting in a 7.38% negative surprise, and revenue of $203 million was below the forecasted $210 million, a 3.3% shortfall.

2. The stock faced concerns regarding its valuation, undergoing a "normalization of sentiment" after a "parabolic surge" in late 2024. TPL's valuation was considered unsustainable by some analysts, with high price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-sales (P/S) ratios (e.g., P/E 54x, P/S 34x in July 2025), leading to a re-evaluation by investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TPL Return-3%73%91%-32%115%-21%267%
Peers Return-39%69%79%-5%-2%-2%70%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TPL Win Rate42%50%67%33%75%40% 
Peers Win Rate33%68%62%50%50%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TPL Max Drawdown-60%0%-20%-45%-9%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-63%-0%0%-16%-11%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XOM, CVX, COP, EOG, OXY. See TPL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTPLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven454 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven165.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven294 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-50.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven101.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven110 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven273.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1473 days1480 days

Compare to XOM, CVX, COP, EOG, OXY


In The Past

Texas Pacific Land's stock fell -52.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/7/2022. A -52.8% loss requires a 111.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Texas Pacific Land (TPL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TPL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
TPL_2282017_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%02282017TPLTexas Pacific LandQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.6%81.4%-10.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
TPL_2282017_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%02282017TPLTexas Pacific LandQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.6%81.4%-10.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Texas Pacific Land

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TPLXOMCVXCOPEOGOXYMedian
NameTexas Pa.Exxon Mo.Chevron ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Occident. 
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Growth & Margins

TPLXOMCVXCOPEOGOXYMedian
NameTexas Pa.Exxon Mo.Chevron ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Occident. 
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Valuation

TPLXOMCVXCOPEOGOXYMedian
NameTexas Pa.Exxon Mo.Chevron ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Occident. 
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Returns

TPLXOMCVXCOPEOGOXYMedian
NameTexas Pa.Exxon Mo.Chevron ConocoPh.EOG Reso.Occident. 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Land and resource management (LRM)975735635460468
Water services and operations (WSO)181142129112130
Total1,156877764572598


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,508,264
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.4%
Average Daily Volume134,993
Days-to-Cover Short Interest11.17
Basic Shares Quantity22,984,883
Short % of Basic Shares6.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021