Texas Pacific Land (TPL)
Market Price (12/29/2025): $288.97 | Market Cap: $19.9 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Texas Pacific Land (TPL)
Market Price (12/29/2025): $288.97Market Cap: $19.9 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 76% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -75% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 26x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 34x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 35x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 72%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.03 | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 210% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -74% | Key risksTPL key risks include [1] a concentrated dependence on royalty revenue tied to oil and gas production levels in the Permian Basin and [2] vulnerability to regional water scarcity, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Water Treatment & Delivery. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 76% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 72%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -74% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Water Treatment & Delivery. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -75% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.03 |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 26x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 34x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 35x |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 210% |
| Key risksTPL key risks include [1] a concentrated dependence on royalty revenue tied to oil and gas production levels in the Permian Basin and [2] vulnerability to regional water scarcity, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss:Texas Pacific Land Corporation reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 5/6, 2025, posting an earnings per share (EPS) of $5.27, which fell short of the expected $5.69, representing a 7.38% negative surprise. Revenue also came in below forecasts at $203 million, compared to the anticipated $210 million, a 3.3% shortfall. This financial underperformance against analyst expectations likely contributed to investor disappointment.
2. Weakening Commodity Prices:Throughout the period, the company faced ongoing challenges from declining realized commodity prices for oil and gas. The third quarter of 2025 was notably characterized by "some of the weakest benchmark oil and gas prices the industry has experienced since the co pandemic." This persistent pressure on commodity pricing directly impacted TPL's high-margin royalty revenues, contributing to financial misses and investor concern despite record production volumes.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.4% change in TPL stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -12.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9282025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 317.50 | 287.54 | -9.44% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 742.87 | 772.39 | 3.97% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 62.16% | 61.68% | -0.77% |
| P/E Multiple | 47.42 | 41.62 | -12.23% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 68.96 | 68.95 | 0.01% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.44% |
Market Drivers
9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TPL | -9.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | -5.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | -3.9% | -31.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -18.0% change in TPL stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -20.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6292025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 350.56 | 287.54 | -17.98% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 727.66 | 772.39 | 6.15% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 63.24% | 61.68% | -2.48% |
| P/E Multiple | 52.52 | 41.62 | -20.75% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 68.94 | 68.95 | -0.02% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -17.98% |
Market Drivers
6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TPL | -18.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | -3.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 4.5% | -19.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -24.2% change in TPL stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -28.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12282024 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 379.38 | 287.54 | -24.21% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 686.70 | 772.39 | 12.48% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 65.34% | 61.68% | -5.61% |
| P/E Multiple | 58.29 | 41.62 | -28.59% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 68.94 | 68.95 | -0.02% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -24.21% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TPL | -24.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 9.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | 7.1% | 2.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 14.9% change in TPL stock from 12/29/2022 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 16.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12292022 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 250.34 | 287.54 | 14.86% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 661.89 | 772.39 | 16.69% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 64.31% | 61.68% | -4.10% |
| P/E Multiple | 40.83 | 41.62 | 1.92% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 69.43 | 68.95 | 0.69% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 14.85% |
Market Drivers
12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TPL | 69.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.4% | 11.5% |
| Sector (XLE) | 11.6% | 8.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TPL Return | -3% | 73% | 91% | -32% | 115% | -19% | 277% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TPL Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 75% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TPL Max Drawdown | -60% | 0% | -20% | -45% | -9% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See TPL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TPL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 454 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 165.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 294 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -50.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 110 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -73.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 273.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,473 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Texas Pacific Land's stock fell -52.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/7/2022. A -52.8% loss requires a 111.7% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Texas Pacific Land (TPL):
- Like a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), but for oil-rich land in West Texas, generating income from oil and gas royalties and water sales.
- Similar to a natural resource royalty company like Franco-Nevada, but focused on oil and gas in the Permian Basin, and uniquely owning the underlying vast land.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Oil and Gas Mineral Royalties: Income derived from owning extensive mineral rights that entitle TPL to a percentage of oil and gas production by third-party operators on its lands.
- Water Resources (Sales & Infrastructure): Providing and transporting water resources, primarily to support energy development, industrial, and agricultural operations on and around its properties.
- Surface Land Leases and Easements: Granting rights for various uses of its surface land, including for pipelines, infrastructure, renewable energy projects, and grazing.
- Strategic Land Sales: Occasional sale of portions of its landholdings, typically for specific development purposes or asset monetization.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Texas Pacific Land (TPL) primarily sells to other companies rather than individuals. Its major customers are companies operating within the oil and gas industry and related sectors in the Permian Basin.
Due to the nature of TPL's business—which involves receiving royalties from numerous operators, selling water to multiple energy companies, and granting easements to various infrastructure providers across its vast landholdings—the company does not typically disclose specific major customer names or a concentrated customer list in its public filings. However, its customer base consists of a broad array of companies within the following categories that are highly active in the Permian Basin:
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Oil and Gas Exploration and Production (E&P) Companies: These companies lease TPL's mineral rights, drill wells, and produce oil and gas, paying royalties to TPL. They also frequently purchase water from TPL for their drilling and completion operations and require surface access for their activities.
Examples of major public E&P companies that are significant operators in the Permian Basin and would be potential customers include:- ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM)
- Chevron (NYSE: CVX)
- Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY)
- ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP)
- EOG Resources (NYSE: EOG)
- Devon Energy (NYSE: DVN)
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Midstream Companies: These companies are involved in the transportation, processing, and storage of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. They require easements and surface leases from TPL to build and operate pipelines, compressor stations, processing plants, and other crucial infrastructure across TPL's land.
Examples of major public midstream companies with significant operations in the Permian Basin and would be potential customers include:- Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (NYSE: EPD)
- Energy Transfer LP (NYSE: ET)
- Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (NASDAQ: PAA)
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Water Management and Oilfield Service Companies: TPL sells water (both fresh and produced) and provides water-related infrastructure and disposal services primarily to E&P companies operating on its land. However, some specialized water management and oilfield service companies might also be direct customers for certain services or lease land from TPL for their own operations serving the broader energy industry.
While TPL's direct water customers are often the E&P companies listed above, examples of public companies involved in water services for the energy industry (though not necessarily direct TPL customers for water sales) include:- Select Energy Services (NYSE: WTTR)
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Tyler Glover, President and Chief Executive Officer
Tyler Glover serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Texas Pacific Land Corporation and is a member of its board. He also holds the role of President and Chief Executive Officer of Texas Pacific Water Resources, a position he has held since its inception. Previously, Mr. Glover served as Chief Executive Officer, Co-General Agent, and Secretary of TPL Trust. A Midland native, he possesses 17 years of experience in energy services and land management, having joined Texas Pacific in 2011 and leading the company since 2016.
Chris Steddum, Chief Financial Officer
Chris Steddum is the Chief Financial Officer of Texas Pacific Land Corporation, a position he assumed in 2021 after serving as Vice President, Finance and Investor Relations from 2019 to 2021. Prior to joining TPL, Mr. Steddum held investment banking roles at Stifel Financial Corporation, where he most recently headed Energy Sponsors Coverage. His investment banking career also includes positions at GMP Securities' Oil & Gas Group and Credit Suisse's global oil & gas coverage team, where he worked on various equity capital markets, debt capital markets, and M&A transactions. While at Stifel, he acted as a lead strategic advisor to TPL during its corporate reorganization and advised on multiple M&A transactions, including acquisitions and divestitures of surface acreage and royalty assets.
Micheal W. Dobbs, Senior Vice President, Secretary and General Counsel
Micheal W. Dobbs serves as Texas Pacific Land Corporation's Senior Vice President, Secretary, and General Counsel. He previously held the same roles for TPL Trust. Before his tenure at TPL, Mr. Dobbs was a partner at Kelley Drye & Warren LLP. He brings over two decades of experience in property and mineral rights, water rights, easements, and leasehold negotiations, and is a licensed attorney in the State of Texas.
Stephanie Buffington, Chief Accounting Officer
Stephanie Buffington is the Chief Accounting Officer of Texas Pacific Land Corporation. She previously served as Vice President, Accounting for both TPL Corporation and TPL Trust. Before joining TPL Trust, Ms. Buffington was the Vice President of Financial Reporting at Monogram Residential Trust, Inc., a publicly traded REIT. She has over two decades of public company experience, beginning her career at KPMG, and is a licensed Certified Public Accountant in the State of Texas.
Katie Keenan, Senior Vice President, Commercial Transactions and Assistant General Counsel
Katie Keenan holds the position of Senior Vice President, Commercial Transactions and Assistant General Counsel at Texas Pacific Land Corporation. She initially joined TPL in January 2017 as a Land Manager and later transitioned to Vice President, Land and Legal at Texas Pacific Water Resources. Prior to her time at TPL, Mrs. Keenan worked for BHP Billiton in the Permian Basin, where her focus included property and water rights negotiations, right-of-way acquisitions, and land purchase contracts. She is a licensed attorney in the State of Texas.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Texas Pacific Land (TPL) faces several key business risks, primarily stemming from its reliance on the oil and gas industry and broader environmental factors. The most significant risks include:1. Dependence on Oil and Gas Market Prices and Production
Texas Pacific Land's primary revenue stream is derived from oil and gas royalties, making its financial performance highly susceptible to fluctuations in commodity prices and overall production levels in the Permian Basin. A prolonged decline in oil and gas prices, or a decrease in exploration and development activities by operators on its lands, would directly reduce the royalties TPL receives, negatively impacting its revenue. This risk is amplified by external factors such as a recession or tight monetary policies that could curb energy demand.2. Impact of Decarbonization Efforts and Environmental Regulations
The global shift towards decarbonization and the increasing focus on environmental sustainability pose a long-term risk to TPL's business model. As the energy transition progresses, a decline in demand for fossil fuels could reduce oil and gas production, thereby decreasing TPL's royalty income. Additionally, evolving environmental regulations, such as limits on hydraulic fracturing or water usage, could constrain the ability of operators to extract resources, further impacting TPL's revenue potential.3. Water Scarcity and Chronic Physical Risks
TPL's operations, particularly its growing water services business, are vulnerable to natural and environmental conditions. Chronic physical risks like prolonged drought and aquifer depletion within its land holdings could lead to lost revenue and operational disruptions. Oil and gas operators in the Permian Basin heavily rely on water resources for their activities, making water scarcity a critical concern that could indirectly affect TPL's royalty income and directly impact its water sales and royalties.AI Analysis | Feedback
The growing trend of produced water recycling and reuse by oil and gas operators in the Permian Basin poses a clear emerging threat to Texas Pacific Land's water business. As operators increasingly adopt technologies and infrastructure to treat and reuse water produced from wells, their demand for fresh groundwater, which TPL sells for hydraulic fracturing operations, is likely to diminish. This shift reduces a key revenue stream for TPL by offering a substitute source for a critical resource.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) operates primarily in West Texas, particularly within the Permian Basin, and generates revenue from several key areas:
- Oil and Gas Royalties/Mineral Interests: TPL owns extensive mineral rights and receives royalties from oil and gas production on its land. The Permian Basin is a significant region for crude oil and natural gas production in the United States. In 2023, crude oil production in the Permian Basin was 5,790 thousand barrels of oil per day, and natural gas production was 19,315 million cubic feet per day. Projections indicate that crude oil output in the Permian Basin will rise to 6.6 million barrels per day in 2025, with natural gas production reaching 25.8 billion cubic feet per day in the same year. The market value of recoverable oil and gas reserves in the Permian Basin was estimated at approximately $3.3 trillion (at $60 per barrel) in 2019. Mineral rights in key Permian Basin locations can be valued at $18,000–$25,000 per net royalty acre. The addressable market for these royalty interests is within the Permian Basin, U.S.
- Water Services and Infrastructure: TPL provides water sourcing, treatment, and disposal services to support oil and gas operations in the Permian Basin. The U.S. oilfield water management market was valued at approximately $37.5 billion in 2019. The U.S. midstream water market for oil and gas is projected to reach a total of $156 billion between 2025 and 2030, averaging over $26 billion per year. The Permian Basin is expected to account for the majority of this market, driving approximately $101.8 billion in midstream water spending through 2030, representing nearly two-thirds of the U.S. market value. The forecasted produced water volume in the Permian Basin is between 32 and 55 million barrels per day by 2025. This market is primarily concentrated in the Permian Basin, U.S.
- Surface Land Leasing, Easements, and Rights-of-Way: TPL leases its surface land for various purposes, including oil and gas operations, agricultural activities, and infrastructure development. TPL is one of the largest private landowners in Texas, with approximately 880,000 acres in 20 West Texas counties. While TPL generates revenue from these activities, a consolidated addressable market size for surface land leasing, easements, and rights-of-way specifically for the Permian Basin or West Texas is not explicitly available as a single quantifiable figure.
- Sales of Materials (e.g., Caliche): TPL also generates revenue from the sale of materials such as caliche, used in construction. An addressable market size for caliche as a distinct product market is not available.
Therefore, precise addressable market sizes can be identified for the oil and gas royalty interests and water services within the Permian Basin (U.S.). However, a quantifiable addressable market size for surface land leasing, easements, rights-of-way, and caliche sales is not readily available.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Texas Pacific Land (TPL) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and operational strengths:- Continued Growth in Oil and Gas Royalty Production: TPL has demonstrated significant increases in oil and gas royalty production, with a 28% year-over-year increase in Q3 2025. This core segment, benefiting from its extensive landholdings in the Permian Basin, is anticipated to sustain its upward trajectory, contributing substantially to future revenues.
- Expansion of Water Services and Royalties: The company has seen substantial growth in its water sales and produced water royalty revenues. For instance, Q3 2025 saw water sales grow 23% year-over-year and produced water royalties increase by 16% year-over-year. TPL continues to invest in water infrastructure, including brackish and treated water facilities, and is actively pursuing desalination projects, which are expected to further enhance this revenue stream.
- Strategic Acreage Acquisitions: TPL's strategy of acquiring additional royalty and surface acreage is a direct driver of future revenue. A recent acquisition of approximately 17,300 net royalty acres in the Midland Basin for $474 million and 8,100 surface acres is poised to generate significant cash flow and expand its operational footprint, with these new assets contributing to production and revenue in subsequent quarters.
- Diversification into New Business Segments and Technology: TPL is actively exploring new opportunities for long-term value creation. This includes evaluating ventures into power and data centers in West Texas, leveraging its vast landholdings. Additionally, the company is confident in its patented freeze desalination process, with a focus on proving its economic viability at scale, potentially opening new revenue avenues.
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Share Repurchases
- Texas Pacific Land (TPL) repurchased $29.16 million in shares in 2024.
- For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, the company repurchased $8.3 million of common stock, with $170.2 million remaining authorized under the approved stock repurchase program.
- Share repurchases were limited from 2019 to 2021 but returned in 2022 and 2023.
Share Issuance
- A three-for-one stock split was approved by TPL's Board of Directors on November 3, 2025, and is expected to be completed in December 2025.
- Litigation in 2024 concerned increasing authorized shares from 7,756,156 to 46,536,936, partly to facilitate the 3-for-1 stock split.
Outbound Investments
- In 2024, TPL invested $500 million in acquisitions, adding 50,000 acres of surface rights and expanding its royalty acreage in the Permian Basin, projected to boost production by 10%.
- In September 2025, the company executed a purchase agreement for approximately 17,306 net royalty acres and acquired about 8,147 surface acres for a combined $505 million, closing in early November 2025.
- Since 2017, TPL has invested nearly $200 million to develop its source water and recycling infrastructure and acquired approximately $220 million in surface acreage and pore space for water-related operations.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures surged to $425.27 million in 2024, a significant increase from $40 million in 2023, primarily for property, plant, and equipment to support resource extraction and water infrastructure.
- This increase reflects a strategic focus on expanding water infrastructure and land resource capabilities.
- In July 2025, TPL began constructing a 10,000 barrel per day produced water desalination facility in Orla, Texas, expected to be in service by the end of 2025.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to TPL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.1% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 28.1% | 28.1% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.9% | -4.9% | -7.1% |
| 02282017 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 29.6% | 81.4% | -10.3% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Texas Pacific Land
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 175.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| P/S | 4.9 |
| P/EBIT | 23.8 |
| P/E | 38.5 |
| P/CFO | 21.8 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $287.54 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 6.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/31/1987 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -68.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $363.26 | $363.27 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | -20.8% | -20.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 416.7% | 212.1% |
| Downside Capture | -547.46 | 15.17 |
| Upside Capture | -467.46 | -14.59 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -5.6% | 10.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.26 | 0.42 | 0.34 | 0.59 | 1.33 | 1.11 |
| Up Beta | 0.22 | -0.34 | -0.03 | 0.36 | 1.30 | 1.02 |
| Down Beta | 2.37 | 0.56 | 0.46 | 0.29 | 1.68 | 1.39 |
| Up Capture | -59% | 21% | 12% | 24% | 59% | 78% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 19 | 31 | 62 | 129 | 402 |
| Down Capture | 42% | 88% | 69% | 134% | 125% | 103% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 22 | 31 | 63 | 119 | 348 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of TPL With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPL | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -23.4% | 8.6% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 210.0% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.53 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 2.5% | 9.9% | -0.9% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 9.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of TPL With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPL | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 30.6% | 21.8% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 102.7% | 26.7% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.59 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 22.7% | 15.7% | 4.7% | 17.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of TPL With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPL | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 36.3% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 79.6% | 29.8% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.65 | 0.33 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 31.6% | 24.0% | 2.5% | 23.0% | 17.7% | 8.2% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 10.0% | 9.5% | -1.4% |
| 8/6/2025 | -8.7% | -7.2% | -6.3% |
| 5/7/2025 | -4.2% | 4.7% | -17.0% |
| 2/19/2025 | 1.9% | -3.8% | -2.3% |
| 11/6/2024 | 0.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| 8/7/2024 | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| 5/8/2024 | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| 2/21/2024 | 2.7% | 1.3% | 11.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| # Negative | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 7.8% | 5.8% | 11.7% |
| Median Negative | -3.0% | -5.5% | -6.1% |
| Max Positive | 10.3% | 22.8% | 42.3% |
| Max Negative | -8.7% | -10.5% | -17.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q (09/30/2025) |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q (06/30/2025) |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q (03/31/2025) |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/19/2025 | 10-K (12/31/2024) |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q (09/30/2024) |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q (06/30/2024) |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q (03/31/2024) |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/21/2024 | 10-K (12/31/2023) |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q (09/30/2023) |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q (06/30/2023) |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q (03/31/2023) |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/22/2023 | 10-K (12/31/2022) |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q (09/30/2022) |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q (06/30/2022) |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/04/2022 | 10-Q (03/31/2022) |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/23/2022 | 10-K (12/31/2021) |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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