Tearsheet

Coterra Energy (CTRA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $27.25 | Market Cap: $20.8 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Coterra Energy (CTRA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $27.25
Market Cap: $20.8 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CTRA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for Coterra Energy's (CTRA) stock movement during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Positive Q3 2025 Earnings Despite EPS Miss. Coterra Energy reported its third-quarter 2025 results in early November, which showed revenue surpassing analyst estimates, with total revenue reaching $1.78 billion, a 33.2% increase year-over-year. Despite adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.39 missing some consensus estimates, the company's stock reacted positively, rising by 2.93% following the announcement, reflecting investor confidence in strong operational performance and strategic execution. The company also highlighted improved daily oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) production volumes.

2. Strong Natural Gas Price Rally. The U.S. natural gas market experienced a dramatic ascent in late 2025, with futures prices nearing three-year highs by early December. This surge was primarily driven by increasingly colder weather forecasts across key consuming regions and a robust increase in demand, including record-setting liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports. As a significant natural gas producer, Coterra Energy stood to benefit substantially from these elevated prices, positively impacting its revenue and profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CTRA Return-4%23%41%9%3%7%101%
Peers Return-35%79%62%3%-8%-15%51%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CTRA Win Rate42%50%67%58%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%67%63%53%43%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CTRA Max Drawdown-22%-10%0%-6%-9%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-77%-5%-1%-19%-19%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BSM, OVV, HESM, KOS, COP. See CTRA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCTRAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven329 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven867 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-74.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven292.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven871 days1480 days

Compare to BSM, OVV, HESM, KOS, COP


In The Past

Coterra Energy's stock fell -36.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -36.3% loss requires a 57.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Coterra Energy (CTRA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CTRA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Coterra Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CTRABSMOVVHESMKOSCOPMedian
NameCoterra .Black St.Ovintiv Hess Mid.Kosmos E.ConocoPh. 
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Growth & Margins

CTRABSMOVVHESMKOSCOPMedian
NameCoterra .Black St.Ovintiv Hess Mid.Kosmos E.ConocoPh. 
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Valuation

CTRABSMOVVHESMKOSCOPMedian
NameCoterra .Black St.Ovintiv Hess Mid.Kosmos E.ConocoPh. 
Mkt Cap-------
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Returns

CTRABSMOVVHESMKOSCOPMedian
NameCoterra .Black St.Ovintiv Hess Mid.Kosmos E.ConocoPh. 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Oil2,6673,016616  
Natural gas2,2925,4692,7981,4051,985
Natural gas liquid (NGL)644964243  
Gain (loss) on derivative instruments230-463-2216181
Other816513  
Brokered natural gas    0
Total5,9149,0513,4491,4662,066


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity34,811,249
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.0%
Average Daily Volume11,643,977
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.99
Basic Shares Quantity763,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021