Cheniere Energy (LNG)
Market Price (5/21/2026): $243.64 | Market Cap: $51.3 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Cheniere Energy (LNG)
Market Price (5/21/2026): $243.64Market Cap: $51.3 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 5.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.2 Bil Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 6.5 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -12% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.9% Key risksLNG key risks include [1] a global LNG oversupply threatening its ability to secure profitable new contracts, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 5.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.2 Bil |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 6.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -12% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.9% |
| Key risksLNG key risks include [1] a global LNG oversupply threatening its ability to secure profitable new contracts, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Financial Performance and Upward Revisions to 2026 Guidance.
Cheniere Energy reported a significant beat in its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $10.68, demolishing the consensus estimate of $3.87 by 175.97%. This strong performance led to initial full-year 2026 guidance, announced on February 26, 2026, projecting Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA between $6.75 billion and $7.25 billion and Distributable Cash Flow between $4.35 billion and $4.85 billion. The positive momentum continued with impressive first-quarter 2026 results, announced on May 7, 2026, which included consolidated adjusted EBITDA exceeding $2.3 billion and record exports of 187 LNG cargoes. Consequently, Cheniere raised its full-year 2026 guidance, with Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA now expected to be between $7.25 billion and $7.75 billion and Distributable Cash Flow between $4.75 billion and $5.25 billion.
2. Increased Liquefaction Capacity from Corpus Christi Stage 3 Project.
The expansion of Cheniere's liquefaction capacity significantly contributed to its operational strength. The substantial completion of Train 5 of the Corpus Christi Stage 3 Project was achieved in March 2026, following the completion of Trains 1-4 in 2025. The first LNG production from Train 6 was expected imminently, with the remaining three trains at Corpus Christi Stage 3 anticipated to be completed during 2026. This ongoing project completion directly increases Cheniere's ability to produce and export LNG.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 15.8% change in LNG stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 201.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 210.47 | 243.66 | 15.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18,962 | 20,400 | 7.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 21.1% | 7.2% | -65.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.5 | 34.8 | 201.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 219 | 210 | 4.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 15.8% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LNG | 15.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.4% | -39.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | 17.9% | 67.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 15.8% change in LNG stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 201.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 210.39 | 243.66 | 15.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18,962 | 20,400 | 7.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 21.1% | 7.2% | -65.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.5 | 34.8 | 201.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 219 | 210 | 4.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 15.8% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LNG | 15.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.3% | -27.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | 37.8% | 59.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.7% change in LNG stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 120.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 228.38 | 243.66 | 6.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15,703 | 20,400 | 29.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 20.7% | 7.2% | -65.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.8 | 34.8 | 120.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 225 | 210 | 6.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.7% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LNG | 6.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 35.2% | -16.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 53.3% | 46.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 64.5% change in LNG stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 69.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 148.16 | 243.66 | 64.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 33,428 | 20,400 | -39.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.3% | 7.2% | 69.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.6 | 34.8 | 35.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 247 | 210 | 17.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 64.5% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LNG | 64.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.2% | 22.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 54.9% | 58.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LNG Return | 69% | 49% | 15% | 27% | -9% | 28% | 331% |
| Peers Return | 44% | 51% | -0% | 21% | -10% | 44% | 242% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 96% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LNG Win Rate | 83% | 67% | 75% | 58% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 62% | 54% | 56% | 55% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LNG Max Drawdown | -12% | -18% | -16% | -10% | -25% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -23% | -18% | -16% | -21% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SRE, VG, COP, XOM, KMI. See LNG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LNG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 250 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.6% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -19.0% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.5% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 55 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -65.3% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 188.2% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 865 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -70.5% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 239.4% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1913 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -62.2% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 164.8% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 25 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Cheniere Energy's stock fell -9.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 10.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | LNG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 250 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -65.3% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 188.2% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 865 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -70.5% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 239.4% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1913 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -62.2% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 164.8% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 25 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.7% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.5% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 171 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -97.2% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3417.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1808 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Cheniere Energy's stock fell -9.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 10.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Cheniere Energy (LNG)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Cheniere Energy (LNG):
- Kinder Morgan for LNG export infrastructure: Like Kinder Morgan, Cheniere operates extensive energy infrastructure, but specifically focuses on the pipelines and terminals required to liquefy natural gas and export it globally.
- Marathon Petroleum for natural gas liquefaction: Similar to how Marathon Petroleum refines crude oil into various products, Cheniere transforms natural gas into a liquid form (LNG) for transport and sale in international markets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Production and Export: Cheniere Energy processes natural gas into a liquefied form (LNG) at its terminals for export to global markets.
- Natural Gas Pipeline Transportation: The company owns and operates pipelines that transport natural gas to its LNG terminals.
- LNG and Natural Gas Marketing: Cheniere engages in the buying and selling of both liquefied natural gas and natural gas.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cheniere Energy (LNG) sells primarily to other companies, specifically major energy companies, utilities, and energy trading firms, often through long-term Sales and Purchase Agreements (SPAs) for liquefied natural gas (LNG).
Its major customers include:
- Shell plc (Symbol: SHEL)
- TotalEnergies SE (Symbol: TTE)
- BP p.l.c. (Symbol: BP)
- ENI S.p.A. (Symbol: E)
- KOGAS (Korea Gas Corporation) (Symbol: 036460.KS on the Korea Exchange)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Energy Transfer LP (NYSE: ET)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Jack A. Fusco - President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Fusco has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Cheniere Energy, Inc. since May 2016. Previously, he was the Chief Executive Officer of Calpine Corporation from August 2008 to May 2014 and Executive Chairman from May 2014 through May 2016. Mr. Fusco was recruited by Calpine's key shareholders in 2008 as the company was emerging from bankruptcy, and Calpine was later sold to an affiliate of Energy Capital Partners and a consortium of other investors in March 2018, demonstrating a pattern of managing a company with private equity backing and involvement in a sale to an acquirer. He also helped found Orion Power Holdings, an independent power producer, with backing from Goldman Sachs, serving as its President and Chief Executive Officer from 1998 to 2002. Additionally, he served as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Texas Genco LLC in 2004, successfully managing its transition and generating a significant return for shareholders upon its merger with NRG in 2006.
Zach Davis - Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Davis has served as Chief Financial Officer of Cheniere Energy, Inc. since August 2020, and was promoted to Executive Vice President in February 2022. He joined Cheniere in November 2013. Prior to joining Cheniere, Mr. Davis held energy investment banking and project finance roles at Credit Suisse, Marathon Capital, and HSH Nordbank. He has over 18 years of finance experience primarily in the LNG, power, renewable energy, midstream, and infrastructure sectors.
Anatol Feygin - Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer
Mr. Feygin has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer since September 2016. He joined Cheniere in March 2014 as Senior Vice President, Strategy and Corporate Development. Before Cheniere, Mr. Feygin worked with Loews Corporation from November 2007 to March 2014, most recently as Vice President, Energy Strategist and Senior Portfolio Manager. His previous experience also includes three years at Bank of America as Head of Global Commodity Strategy and a banking career that began at J.P. Morgan Securities Inc. as a Senior Analyst in natural gas pipelines and distributors.
Sean N. Markowitz - Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Assistant Secretary
Mr. Markowitz has served as Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Assistant Secretary of Cheniere Partners GP since February 2023. He previously served as Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary from May 2020 to February 2023, and as General Counsel and Corporate Secretary from December 2016 (and December 2015 for Corporate Secretary) to May 2020. Mr. Markowitz joined Cheniere in October 2015 as Assistant General Counsel and Corporate Secretary. His earlier career included serving with the law firms of Fulbright & Jaworski L.L.P., Hughes & Luce L.L.P., and Andrews Kurth LLP.
Maas Hinz - Senior Vice President of Operations
Mr. Hinz serves as the Senior Vice President of Operations at Cheniere Energy, Inc. As SVP of Operations, he is responsible for overseeing the company's operational activities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Cheniere Energy (LNG)
- Global LNG Oversupply and Market Price Volatility: Cheniere Energy faces a significant risk from potential global liquefied natural gas (LNG) oversupply, with projections of substantial new LNG capacity entering the market from competitors between 2025 and 2027. This influx could depress spot prices and complicate the securing of favorable terms for new long-term contracts. The LNG market is highly competitive, and the company's revenues from spot market sales are particularly susceptible to fluctuations in global LNG prices, which can be influenced by geopolitical events, shifts in supply and demand, and the emergence of alternative energy sources.
- Regulatory and Political Risks: The company's operations and expansion plans are highly sensitive to regulatory and political developments. This includes changes in environmental regulations and policies concerning fossil fuels, which could negatively impact the demand for natural gas. A notable obstacle is the potential for delays or outright freezes on new LNG export permits by governmental bodies, which can significantly hinder final investment decisions for crucial expansion projects, such as the Sabine Pass Stage 5. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in energy-producing regions, can also disrupt supply chains and affect LNG prices globally.
- Capital Intensive Operations, High Debt Levels, and Project Execution Risks: Cheniere Energy's business is inherently capital-intensive, necessitating substantial investments in infrastructure and technology. The company carries a considerable amount of debt, approximately $25.19 billion as of September 2025, which could restrict its financial flexibility and profitability. Its ability to finance ongoing capital expenditures and refinance existing debt is contingent on access to capital markets and project-specific financing. Furthermore, there is a risk of cost overruns and delays in the development and construction of major projects, such as the Corpus Christi Stage 3 and the SPL Expansion Project, which could materially impact the company's financial condition and growth prospects.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The primary clear emerging threat for Cheniere Energy is the **impact of U.S. government policy shifts on the approval of new LNG export projects.**
Recent actions, such as the Biden administration's pause on new LNG export terminal approvals, represent a concrete, evidence-based emerging threat. While not directly impacting Cheniere's existing operational facilities or currently approved projects, this policy creates significant uncertainty and potential roadblocks for any future expansion and development of new liquefaction capacity in the United States. This directly limits the growth trajectory and long-term investment opportunities for companies like Cheniere within their core business model of developing and operating LNG infrastructure for export.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cheniere Energy, Inc. (symbol: LNG) operates within significant global and regional markets for liquefied natural gas (LNG) and natural gas pipeline infrastructure.
Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Market
Cheniere Energy is a major player in the global LNG market, particularly as the largest U.S. LNG exporter and a significant contributor to the global supply.
- Global LNG Market Size: The global liquefied natural gas market was valued at approximately USD 122.60 billion in 2024, with projections to reach USD 226.97 billion by 2030, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 11.6% from 2025 to 2030. Another estimate valued the global LNG market size at USD 167.06 billion in 2024. The global LNG trade volume reached around 411.24 million metric tons (MT) in 2024. Global LNG demand grew by 0.3% to 414 million tons in 2024.
- U.S. LNG Export Market Size: The United States was the world's largest LNG exporter in 2024, exporting approximately 11.9 to 12 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) of LNG, equivalent to 123 billion cubic meters per year (bcma) or 86.9 million metric tons. U.S. LNG exports are projected to increase to an average of 14 Bcf/d (143 bcma) in 2025 and could reach 26 Bcf/d (266 bcma) when all currently under-construction projects are completed by the end of the decade. Cheniere Energy alone holds over a 50% market share in the U.S. domestic LNG export market and supplies more than 10% of the global LNG. The company's operational capacity from its Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi terminals was approximately 45 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) as of early 2024, with an expansion expected to increase total capacity to around 55 mtpa.
Natural Gas Pipeline Infrastructure Market
Cheniere Energy also operates pipelines, such as the Creole Trail pipeline and the Corpus Christi pipeline, which are part of the broader natural gas transportation infrastructure. The addressable market for these services can be viewed through the lens of the gas pipeline infrastructure market.
- Global Gas Pipeline Infrastructure Market Size: The global gas pipeline infrastructure market was estimated at USD 2,800.53 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 4,372.16 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 8.5% from 2025 to 2030.
- North American Gas Pipeline Infrastructure Market Size: North America holds a dominant share of this market, accounting for over 54.0% of the revenue in 2024. The North American natural gas pipeline market represented 27.75% of the global market revenue of USD 457,133 million in 2025. The U.S. alone has an extensive natural gas pipeline network, including over 885,233 miles of operational pipelines in 2024. The U.S. market for pipeline transportation is estimated at USD 9.69 billion by 2026.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Cheniere Energy (LNG) over the Next 2-3 Years:
- Increased LNG Production Capacity from Expansion Projects: Cheniere Energy anticipates significant revenue growth from the completion and full operation of its expansion projects. The Corpus Christi Stage 3 expansion is a cornerstone of this growth, projected to add approximately 10 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) of LNG production capacity. The initial three trains of this project were largely completed in 2025, with the remaining trains (5-7) expected to reach substantial completion throughout 2026, contributing to a forecasted LNG production of 51-53 million tons in 2026. Additionally, the Sabine Pass Liquefaction (SPL) Expansion Project, designed for up to approximately 20 mtpa of LNG capacity, had applications for authorization submitted in February 2024, indicating further potential for increased output.
- Growth in Long-Term Contracted Volumes: A substantial portion of Cheniere Energy's future revenue is underpinned by its strategy of securing long-term Sale and Purchase Agreements (SPAs). Over 90% of the company's forecasted operational volumes for 2025 are already secured under such agreements, providing stable and predictable cash flows. This figure is expected to remain high, with approximately 95% of their capacity locked into long-term contracts through 2030. New agreements, such as the long-term SPA signed with CPC Corporation of Taiwan for up to 1.2 mtpa through 2050, further strengthen this revenue predictability by securing consistent buyers and prices for a significant portion of future output.
- Growing Global Demand for LNG, particularly in Asia: The increasing global demand for liquefied natural gas, especially from Asia, is a key driver for Cheniere's future revenue. While Europe has been a strong market, analysts anticipate continued long-term LNG adoption across Asia. Specifically, Asian LNG demand is projected to recover by 4% to 7% in 2026, led by growth in China and India, as the increasing availability and affordability of LNG stimulate demand. China's demand for LNG is expected to exceed 100 million tons per annum in the medium to long term, highlighting a significant growth opportunity. Geopolitical dynamics and the ongoing emphasis on energy security also continue to drive the demand for reliable U.S. LNG supplies.
- Enhanced Operational Reliability and Optimization: Cheniere's ability to consistently produce and export LNG efficiently contributes significantly to revenue growth. The company achieved a record year for LNG production in 2025, exporting 670 cargoes totaling over 46 million tons, and is forecasting another production record in 2026 with 51-53 million tons. This strong performance is attributed to improved production reliability and reduced unplanned maintenance across its facilities, ensuring higher operational execution and effective market strategies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- In February 2026, Cheniere Energy authorized a new share repurchase program exceeding $10 billion through 2030, including a $9 billion increase to the authorization.
- The company repurchased over 12.1 million shares for approximately $2.7 billion in 2025.
- Cheniere upsized its stock redemption program by an additional $4 billion through 2027 in June 2024.
Share Issuance
- Cheniere Energy's shares outstanding have generally declined, with 2025 shares outstanding at 0.22 billion, a 3.84% decline from 2024, and 2024 shares outstanding at 0.229 billion, a 5.56% decline from 2023.
Capital Expenditures
- For 2025, approximately $2.3 billion was equity funded for capital expenditures, including $1.2 billion for the Corpus Christi Stage 3 project. More broadly, over $6 billion was deployed towards growth capital expenditures since the second half of 2022.
- The Corpus Christi Stage 3 project, an $8 billion investment to add approximately 10 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) of LNG production capacity, saw its first train achieve substantial completion in March 2025 and first LNG production in February 2025.
- In June 2025, Cheniere made a positive Final Investment Decision (FID) on the Corpus Christi Midscale Trains 8 & 9 Project, adding approximately 5 mtpa of capacity, with an estimated investment of $2.9 billion.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04172026 | VAL | Valaris | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 15.2% | 15.2% | -0.9% |
| 03312026 | KGS | Kodiak Gas Services | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 16.3% | 16.3% | -0.7% |
| 03312026 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 10.8% | 10.8% | -10.8% |
| 03312026 | SRE | Sempra | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | -2.1% | -2.1% | -4.9% |
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 54.5% | 54.5% | -2.1% |
| 05312020 | LNG | Cheniere Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 32.5% | 91.4% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 106.91 |
| Mkt Cap | 67.3 |
| Rev LTM | 18,962 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,120 |
| FCF LTM | 2,691 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,311 |
| CFO LTM | 6,230 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6,067 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -7.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -7.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -21.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 23.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 33.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 34.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 67.3 |
| P/S | 2.5 |
| P/Op Inc | 14.6 |
| P/EBIT | 13.3 |
| P/E | 24.2 |
| P/CFO | 10.7 |
| Total Yield | 7.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 31.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 30.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 50.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 19.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 7.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -30.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $243.66 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 52.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/04/1994 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -17.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $263.55 | $229.08 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -7.5% | 6.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 37.5% | 27.4% |
| Downside Capture | -163.22 | -81.48 |
| Upside Capture | -81.93 | -51.98 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -46.0% | -17.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -1.72 | -1.28 | -0.95 | -0.56 | -0.33 | 0.40 |
| Up Beta | -1.67 | -1.90 | -1.52 | -0.99 | -0.23 | 0.35 |
| Down Beta | -3.36 | -0.99 | -0.24 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.87 |
| Up Capture | -94% | -55% | -32% | -24% | -21% | 8% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 23 | 36 | 66 | 124 | 390 |
| Down Capture | -189% | -183% | -194% | -133% | -122% | 24% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 20 | 28 | 59 | 128 | 362 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LNG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LNG | 5.5% | 27.4% | 0.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 46.5% | 20.3% | 1.77 | 48.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.2% | 12.1% | 1.62 | -17.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 40.2% | 26.8% | 1.24 | -9.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 46.2% | 18.7% | 1.89 | 34.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.1% | 13.4% | 0.54 | 0.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.4% | 41.8% | -0.65 | -2.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LNG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LNG | 25.4% | 30.1% | 0.78 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 22.7% | 26.1% | 0.78 | 61.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.1% | 17.0% | 0.65 | 29.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.5% | 18.0% | 0.89 | 5.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.1% | 19.4% | 0.46 | 38.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.0% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 26.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.1% | 55.6% | 0.37 | 9.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LNG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LNG | 22.8% | 32.8% | 0.71 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 10.6% | 29.5% | 0.40 | 64.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 41.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.1% | 16.0% | 0.68 | 2.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.9% | 17.9% | 0.36 | 41.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 33.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.1% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 6.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -5.6% | -8.2% | |
| 2/26/2026 | 5.4% | 12.8% | 32.0% |
| 10/30/2025 | 0.2% | -2.6% | 0.1% |
| 8/7/2025 | -0.3% | -1.7% | 0.2% |
| 5/8/2025 | -0.6% | -2.1% | 2.0% |
| 2/20/2025 | 3.7% | 0.1% | 5.2% |
| 10/31/2024 | 5.2% | 8.8% | 23.4% |
| 8/8/2024 | 1.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 16 |
| # Negative | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% |
| Median Negative | -0.9% | -2.1% | -2.0% |
| Max Positive | 9.4% | 12.8% | 32.0% |
| Max Negative | -5.6% | -8.6% | -3.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA | 7.25 Bil | 7.50 Bil | 7.75 Bil | 7.1% | Raised | Guidance: 7.00 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Distributable Cash Flow | 4.75 Bil | 5.00 Bil | 5.25 Bil | 8.7% | Raised | Guidance: 4.60 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2030 Run-rate Distributable Cash Flow per common share | 30 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 30 for 2030 | |||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA | 6.75 Bil | 7.00 Bil | 7.25 Bil | 2.9% | Raised | Guidance: 6.80 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Distributable Cash Flow | 4.35 Bil | 4.60 Bil | 4.85 Bil | -8.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 5.00 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2030 Run-rate Distributable Cash Flow per common share | 30 | ||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Davis, Zach | EVP & CFO | Direct | Sell | 4012026 | 300.00 | 29,000 | 8,700,000 | 26,143,800 | Form |
| 2 | Botta, G Andrea | Direct | Sell | 3302026 | 296.47 | 5,000 | 1,482,350 | 8,949,243 | Form | |
| 3 | Feygin, Anatol | EVP & Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3302026 | 290.98 | 40,432 | 11,764,815 | 42,805,165 | Form |
| 4 | Markowitz, Sean N | EVP, CLO and Corp Sec | Direct | Sell | 3302026 | 290.98 | 22,246 | 6,473,234 | 18,622,988 | Form |
| 5 | Shear, Neal A | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 248.71 | 4,100 | 1,019,711 | 6,375,183 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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