Tearsheet

Cheniere Energy (LNG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $190.31 | Market Cap: $41.7 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Cheniere Energy (LNG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $190.31
Market Cap: $41.7 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 5.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.2 Bil
  Key risks
LNG key risks include [1] a global LNG oversupply threatening its ability to secure profitable new contracts, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 5.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.2 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%
6 Key risks
LNG key risks include [1] a global LNG oversupply threatening its ability to secure profitable new contracts, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LNG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Cheniere Energy (symbol: LNG) stock moved by approximately -21.1% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 17, 2025: 1. Squeezed Profit Margins from Diverging Natural Gas Prices: A primary factor in the stock's decline was the significant reduction in profit margins for LNG exporters like Cheniere. This was caused by rising U.S. Henry Hub natural gas prices, which neared a three-year high due to domestic demand and cold weather, while international LNG spot prices in key markets such as Europe and Asia simultaneously decreased. The resulting shrinkage of the spread between these prices, reaching its lowest point since April 2021, directly eroded profitability. 2. Anticipated LNG Supply Glut: Investor sentiment was impacted by the market's expectation of an oversupply of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in 2026, particularly from the United States. This anticipation contributed to the downward pressure on international LNG prices, further squeezing the margins of exporters. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LNG Return-2%69%49%15%27%-11%223%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LNG Win Rate58%83%67%75%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LNG Max Drawdown-51%-2%0%-8%-10%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ET, SRE, VG, COP, XOM. See LNG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLNGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-23.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven183 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-54.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven121.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven299 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven801 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-97.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4292.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,857 days1,480 days

Compare to ET, MPLX, OKE, PBA, ENB


In The Past

Cheniere Energy's stock fell -23.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/1/2022. A -23.4% loss requires a 30.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cheniere Energy (LNG)

Better Bets than Cheniere Energy (LNG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LNG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
LNG_5312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312020LNGCheniere EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
32.5%91.4%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
LNG_5312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312020LNGCheniere EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
32.5%91.4%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cheniere Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LNGETSREVGCOPXOMMedian
NameCheniere.Energy T.Sempra Venture .ConocoPh.Exxon Mo. 
Mkt Price190.35-86.785.9494.96117.4194.96
Mkt Cap41.7-56.734.5118.2483.156.7
Rev LTM18,96279,75713,71110,84859,788324,92439,375
Op Inc LTM7,0479,2403,0864,03212,54935,7088,144
FCF LTM2,2225,189-6,210-8,2717,08823,7753,706
FCF 3Y Avg4,3556,095-4,947-8,91031,4626,095
CFO LTM5,12510,8414,8075,12819,93551,5207,984
CFO 3Y Avg6,74910,2174,052-20,72055,76810,217

Growth & Margins

LNGETSREVGCOPXOMMedian
NameCheniere.Energy T.Sempra Venture .ConocoPh.Exxon Mo. 
Rev Chg LTM17.8%-4.7%6.1%113.5%8.2%-4.4%7.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-12.4%-3.0%-1.3%--6.6%-5.6%-5.6%
Rev Chg Q18.0%-3.9%13.5%259.5%15.3%-5.1%14.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.7%-1.0%2.8%28.5%3.4%-1.4%3.1%
Op Mgn LTM37.2%11.6%22.5%37.2%21.0%11.0%21.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg53.2%10.8%21.0%-24.1%12.7%21.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%0.1%-0.3%2.8%-1.0%-0.4%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM27.0%13.6%35.1%47.3%33.3%15.9%30.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg33.4%12.7%27.8%-35.6%16.5%27.8%
FCF/Rev LTM11.7%6.5%-45.3%-76.2%11.9%7.3%6.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.8%7.5%-35.6%-15.3%9.3%9.3%

Valuation

LNGETSREVGCOPXOMMedian
NameCheniere.Energy T.Sempra Venture .ConocoPh.Exxon Mo. 
Mkt Cap41.7-56.734.5118.2483.156.7
P/S2.7-4.33.22.01.52.7
P/EBIT7.2-17.8-8.1-8.1
P/E12.9-27.214.813.316.114.8
P/CFO10.1-12.26.75.99.49.4
Total Yield8.6%-5.8%8.1%10.8%9.8%8.6%
Dividend Yield0.9%-2.2%1.4%3.3%3.6%2.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.4%--9.4%-6.9%-6.9%
D/E0.5-0.6-0.2-0.5
Net D/E0.5-0.6-0.1-0.5

Returns

LNGETSREVGCOPXOMMedian
NameCheniere.Energy T.Sempra Venture .ConocoPh.Exxon Mo. 
1M Rtn-11.6%--5.2%-26.6%7.0%-0.2%-5.2%
3M Rtn-18.9%-6.5%-57.2%2.2%2.7%2.2%
6M Rtn-18.6%-19.4%-67.4%3.0%5.6%3.0%
12M Rtn-8.8%-3.1%--0.0%12.7%1.5%
3Y Rtn24.4%-22.4%--4.4%24.3%23.3%
1M Excs Rtn-12.3%--5.9%-27.3%6.3%-1.0%-5.9%
3M Excs Rtn-19.9%-5.4%-58.3%1.2%2.6%1.2%
6M Excs Rtn-31.0%-7.0%-79.8%-9.4%-6.8%-9.4%
12M Excs Rtn-20.9%--10.6%--13.8%-1.3%-12.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-47.7%--52.1%--74.0%-45.7%-49.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment20,394    
Liquefied natural gas (LNG) revenues 31,80415,3958,9249,246
Other revenues (revenues from contracts with customers) 556200165218
Regasification revenues 1,068269269266
Total20,39433,42815,8649,3589,730


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,811,382
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202510.7%
Average Daily Volume1,980,623
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.43
Basic Shares Quantity219,300,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20250.2%-2.6%0.1%
8/7/2025-0.3%-1.7%0.2%
5/8/2025-0.6%-2.1%2.0%
2/20/20253.7%0.1%5.2%
10/31/20245.2%8.8%23.4%
8/8/20241.5%3.9%1.9%
5/3/2024-1.9%-1.5%0.3%
2/22/2024-4.2%-7.1%-3.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121215
# Negative885
Median Positive2.7%3.9%3.5%
Median Negative-0.9%-1.9%-2.0%
Max Positive9.4%12.2%23.4%
Max Negative-4.2%-8.6%-35.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021