Venture Global (VG)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $17.93 | Market Cap: $43.9 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Venture Global (VG)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $17.93Market Cap: $43.9 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 76% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 177% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -49% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37% | Key risksVG key risks include [1] potential multi-billion dollar liabilities from significant legal disputes and arbitration with major customers over alleged contract defaults, Show more. | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%, CFO LTM is 6.6 Bil | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, and Carbon Capture & Storage. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 177% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%, CFO LTM is 6.6 Bil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, and Carbon Capture & Storage. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 76% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -49% |
| Key risksVG key risks include [1] potential multi-billion dollar liabilities from significant legal disputes and arbitration with major customers over alleged contract defaults, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Exceptional Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Financial Performance: Venture Global reported substantial financial growth in Q4 and the full year 2025, which significantly contributed to its stock surge. Revenue for Q4 2025 dramatically increased by 192% to $4.4 billion compared to Q4 2024. Income from operations also rose significantly by 189% to $1.7 billion, and Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA saw a 191% increase to $2.0 billion. For the full year 2025, total revenue reached $13.8 billion, a significant jump from $5 billion in 2024, and Adjusted EBITDA grew by 198% compared to 2024.
2. Rapid Expansion and Advancement of Major LNG Projects: The company demonstrated strong progress on its key liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects. All 36 liquefaction trains at the Plaquemines LNG facility have undergone initial startup, with Commercial Operation Date (COD) for Phase I targeted for Q4 2026. Additionally, construction for CP2 Phase I is proceeding on schedule, with first production anticipated in late 2027. Crucially, Venture Global announced the Final Investment Decision (FID) and financial close for Phase 2 of CP2 LNG on March 13, 2026, securing an $8.6 billion project financing.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 136.0% change in VG stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 119.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.43 | 17.53 | 136.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10,848 | 13,769 | 26.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 21.5% | 18.4% | -14.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.7 | 17.0 | 119.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 2,433 | 2,450 | -0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 136.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VG | 136.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | -8.0% |
| Sector (XLE) | 39.5% | 40.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 35.6% change in VG stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 164.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.93 | 17.53 | 35.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,208 | 13,769 | 164.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.1% | 18.4% | -37.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.6 | 17.0 | -17.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 2,420 | 2,450 | -1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 35.6% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VG | 35.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 13.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 40.8% | 39.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.1% change in VG stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.97 | 17.53 | 17.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 13,769 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | 17.0 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 2,350 | 2,450 | -4.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VG | 17.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 31.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 42.1% | 44.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VG | ||
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 32.0% |
| Sector (XLE) | 65.5% | 44.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VG Return | - | - | - | - | -71% | 147% | -29% |
| Peers Return | 43% | 58% | -2% | 24% | -2% | 38% | 274% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VG Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 25% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 60% | 57% | 62% | 60% | 87% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VG Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -75% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -6% | -5% | -14% | -7% | -17% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: LNG, SRE, NEXT, XOM, CVX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
VG has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.
| Event | XLE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 660 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,201 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,858 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to LNG, SRE, NEXT, XOM, CVX
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Venture Global (VG)
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Twilio for enterprise communications and contact centers
2. RingCentral for businesses, with added developer tools
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nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Based on the provided background information, the company in question is Vonage Holdings Corp., which previously traded under the symbol VG.
Vonage Holdings Corp. operates in two segments: Vonage Communications Platform (VCP) and Consumer. The Vonage Communications Platform segment, which focuses on business-to-business (B2B) services like programmable APIs, contact center solutions, and unified communications, represents the primary revenue driver for the company.
Therefore, the major customers for Vonage are other companies. While Vonage serves a broad range of businesses and developers, some examples of known public company customers that have utilized Vonage's services include:
- DHL (Deutsche Post AG: OTCMKTS: DPSGY) - for API services
- DoorDash (NYSE: DASH) - for API services
- Telus (NYSE: TU) - for Vonage Contact Center
- Expedia Group (NASDAQ: EXPE) - for unified communications services
- Groupon (NASDAQ: GRPN) - for API services
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nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Michael Sabel, CEO, Executive Co-Chairman and Founder
Michael Sabel is the CEO, Executive Co-Chairman, and a co-founder of Venture Global LNG, which he started with Robert Pender in 2013 with a vision for modular LNG export terminals. He has served as one of the Managing Partners of Venture Global Partners, LLC since 2010. Before founding Venture Global, he accumulated decades of experience in the energy, technology, and financial services sectors, holding senior leadership roles and engaging in new company formation, technology licensing, corporate business development, and capital markets transactions. His extensive background includes over 24 years in capital markets, encompassing initial public and secondary offerings, public and private M&A transactions, as well as private equity and venture capital. Sabel also provided advisory services for private equity and M&A transactions for software, technology, and real estate companies across the U.S., Europe, and Asia. Previously, he was Executive Vice President of First Sierra Financial, a publicly traded commercial finance company, where he was responsible for leading business and e-commerce strategy, public equity market transactions, and the company’s active acquisition program. He also acted as President of commercial finance companies acquired by First Sierra in the U.K. Sabel held positions as a Managing Director with Friedman, Billings, Ramsey & Co. in their investment banking group and as Vice President, investment banking, with Sandler O’Neil & Partners.
Jonathan Thayer, Chief Financial Officer
Jonathan Thayer, also known as Jack Thayer, joined Venture Global LNG as Chief Financial Officer in June 2020. He brings over fifteen years of finance leadership experience to the role. Prior to his tenure at Venture Global, Thayer served as CFO of Exelon Corporation, a prominent utility, power marketing, and generation holding company. He also held the position of CFO at Constellation Energy Group, Inc., a large, integrated energy company. Thayer's experience extends to investment banking, with roles at SBC Warburg and Deutsche Bank Securities. Most recently, he was the Vice Chairman, Corporate Operations, and CFO at Woodward, Inc. Thayer has been tasked with professionalizing Venture Global's reporting and operations following its IPO.
Robert Pender, Executive Co-Chairman and Founder
Robert Pender is an Executive Co-Chairman and co-founder of Venture Global LNG, which he established with Michael Sabel in 2013. He is a financial lawyer by background. Pender, along with Sabel, is known for an aggressive and high-velocity management style.
Brian Cothran, Chief Operating Officer
Brian Cothran serves as the Chief Operating Officer for Venture Global LNG. He is involved in professionalizing the company's reporting and operations after its IPO.
Thomas Earl, Chief Commercial Officer
Thomas Earl holds the position of Chief Commercial Officer for VG LNG Marketing, LLC, a subsidiary of Venture Global LNG.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to the business of Venture Global (symbol: VG):- Arbitration Liability and Legal Disputes: Venture Global is facing significant legal challenges from major clients such as Shell, BP, and Repsol. These clients allege that the company withheld contractually obligated liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargoes during the commissioning phase of its Calcasieu Pass facility to sell them on the more lucrative spot market. BP reportedly won a significant liability ruling in late 2025, and potential damages from these arbitration cases could range from $4 billion to $6 billion, which could severely impact Venture Global's financial stability.
- High Debt Levels and Financial Strain from Capital-Intensive Projects: Venture Global operates with a substantial debt burden, reported at approximately $30.9 billion in total debt as of fiscal year 2025, and a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.9x. The company's business model involves significant capital expenditures for the construction and development of large-scale LNG projects, leading to considerable financial leverage and negative levered free cash flow. This high level of debt, combined with potential project cost overruns and exposure to interest rate volatility, poses a material risk to its financial health and ability to fund future expansions.
- Operational Reliability and Project Execution Risks: While Venture Global utilizes an innovative modular construction approach for its LNG facilities, this strategy has led to operational reliability issues and an extended, challenging commissioning process at its Calcasieu Pass facility. Problems, including those related to electrical systems, have resulted in higher-than-expected maintenance costs and, according to reports, air permit violations and increased pollution emissions, drawing community opposition. The company faces ongoing risks related to potential delays, cost overruns, and regulatory obstacles in bringing its current and future projects, such as CP2, fully online within expected timelines and budgets.
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The increasing dominance of integrated communication and collaboration suites offered by major technology companies poses a significant emerging threat. Platforms such as Microsoft Teams, Google Workspace, and Zoom are rapidly expanding their offerings to include deeply integrated unified communications, collaboration, and contact center functionalities, often bundled with other essential enterprise productivity tools. These tech giants leverage their vast ecosystems, extensive customer bases, and substantial R&D investments to provide comprehensive solutions that can displace specialized providers.
Another clear emerging threat is the rapid advancement and integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into communication platforms and contact center solutions. Competitors are increasingly incorporating generative AI, natural language processing, and advanced analytics for automation, personalized customer interactions, predictive insights, and enhanced agent support. Companies that more effectively leverage these cutting-edge AI capabilities could gain a substantial competitive advantage, potentially making traditional offerings without deep AI integration less competitive or even obsolete.
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The addressable markets for the main products and services of the company described (Vonage Holdings Corp.) are substantial and show significant growth across various global regions.
Vonage Communications Platform Segment
The Vonage Communications Platform (VCP) segment encompasses Communications Platform as a Service (CPaaS), Contact Center as a Service (CCaaS), and Unified Communication as a Service (UCaaS).
- Communications Platform as a Service (CPaaS): The global CPaaS market was estimated at USD 19.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 86.26 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28.7% from 2025 to 2030. Another estimate values the global CPaaS market at USD 21.3 billion in 2024, poised to grow to USD 175.42 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 26.4%. North America is a dominant region in this market.
- Contact Center as a Service (CCaaS): The global CCaaS market size was valued at USD 6.08 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from USD 7.25 billion in 2025 to USD 29.53 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 19.2%. Another source indicates the global CCaaS market was valued at USD 7.08 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 30.15 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 17.40%. North America held the largest share of the global market.
- Unified Communication as a Service (UCaaS): The global UCaaS market size was estimated at USD 87.39 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 262.37 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 19.8% from 2025 to 2030. Another report indicated the global UCaaS market was valued at USD 66.42 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 276.9 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 17.10%. North America accounted for a significant portion of this market.
Consumer Segment
The Consumer segment primarily provides home telephone services, which fall under the broader Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) market.
- VoIP Services: The global VoIP market was estimated at USD 161.79 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 453.75 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 10.86% from 2026 to 2035. Other estimates for VoIP services specifically suggest a market worth USD 178.89 billion in 2025, with potential growth to USD 413.36 billion by 2032. North America is a leading region in the VoIP market. In the U.S. specifically, Vonage Holdings Corp. holds an estimated 10.5% of the total industry revenue in the VoIP sector.
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Venture Global (NYSE: VG) is positioned for significant revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven by the expansion of its liquefied natural gas (LNG) production capacity, a robust strategy of long-term sales and purchase agreements (SPAs), strategic spot market sales during commissioning, and vertical integration efforts across the LNG supply chain. The strong global demand for LNG further underpins these growth prospects.
- Ramp-up and Completion of New LNG Production Facilities: A primary driver of future revenue growth for Venture Global is the continued ramp-up of its Plaquemines LNG facility and the development and commissioning of the CP2 LNG project. The Plaquemines LNG facility achieved its first production in December 2024 and is expected to have a combined peak capacity of 27.2 million tons per annum (MTPA) for Phases 1 and 2 by the end of 2025, contributing significantly to increased sales volumes. Furthermore, the CP2 LNG project has reached a final investment decision (FID) for both Phase 1 (July 2025) and Phase 2 (March 2026), with first LNG production from CP2 Phase 1 anticipated in late 2027. Once fully operational, CP2 is projected to add 29 MTPA of production capacity. Venture Global aims for an overall production capacity of 68+ MTPA across its operational and under-construction projects, with a long-term target of 100 MTPA by 2030, which will directly lead to higher revenue generation.
- Securing and Executing Long-Term Sales and Purchase Agreements (SPAs): Venture Global's commercial strategy emphasizes securing stable, long-term contracts for its LNG output. The company has successfully signed 9.25 MTPA of new 20-year SPAs since April 2025, bringing its total contracted third-party revenue to over $134 billion. Notably, nearly all of the 29 MTPA nameplate capacity of the CP2 LNG project has already been contracted under long-term agreements with major buyers in Europe and Asia, providing substantial revenue visibility and stability for years to come. Across all three of its Louisiana projects (Calcasieu Pass, Plaquemines LNG, and CP2 LNG), Venture Global has contracted for over 49 MTPA, which represents almost all of its nameplate capacity.
- Strategic Spot Market Sales of Commissioning Cargoes: A unique aspect of Venture Global's revenue model is its ability to sell LNG at fluctuating spot market prices during the commissioning phases of its facilities. This strategy allows the company to generate substantial revenue earlier in the project lifecycle compared to traditional LNG projects. The ongoing commissioning of the Plaquemines LNG facility has been a key contributor to recent revenue surges, with the facility exporting over one cargo per day. This approach capitalizes on favorable spot market prices, particularly during periods of high global LNG demand.
- Vertical Integration and Expanded Logistics Capabilities: To support its growing export volumes and enhance operational efficiency, Venture Global is actively expanding its asset base to include natural gas pipelines and LNG tankers. The company's pipeline network includes TransCameron, Gator Express, and the under-construction CP Express and Blackfin. Additionally, Venture Global has contracted to acquire nine LNG tankers, with four already received by Q2 2025. This vertical integration across the LNG supply chain is expected to optimize costs from the wellhead to the export terminal, potentially improving margins and enhancing the company's overall profitability and revenue generation through greater control over its logistics.
- Robust Global Demand for LNG: The overarching driver for Venture Global's future revenue growth is the projected significant increase in global LNG demand through the end of the decade. This demand is primarily fueled by Europe's need for energy security and the ongoing economic expansion in Asia. The favorable long-term market outlook for LNG provides a strong foundation for Venture Global to market its increasing production volumes effectively.
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Inbound Investments
- Venture Global announced the successful closing of an $8.6 billion project financing for Phase 2 of its CP2 LNG project in March 2026. This financing, combined with Phase 1 financing from July 2025, represents the largest standalone project financing in the U.S. bank market, with over $19 billion of commitments for Phase Two and $34 billion for Phase One from leading banks.
- The company has executed over $95 billion in capital markets transactions in less than seven years to fund its projects.
- Venture Global LNG has raised a total funding of $1.37 billion over 14 rounds, with its first funding round on August 4, 2014, and has 4 institutional investors.
Capital Expenditures
- Venture Global is undertaking significant capital expenditures for its large-scale LNG export facilities, with three major sites under development in Louisiana.
- The company has made final investment decisions (FIDs) on five projects in less than seven years.
- The CP2 LNG project alone has secured $20.7 billion in total financing across two phases to support its construction and development.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Venture Global (-7.8%): C-Suite Sells Stock Amid Weak Profit Outlook | 03/10/2026 | |
| Venture Global (+17%): Qatar Outage Ignites Scramble, Earnings Validate | 03/03/2026 | |
| Venture Global Stock (+11%): CP2 FID Approval Unlocks Growth Tier | 01/17/2026 | |
| VG Stock Surges 22% With A 5-day Winning Spree On Unusual Options Activity | 01/17/2026 | |
| Venture Global Earnings Notes | 12/21/2025 | |
| null | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to VG.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 82.3% | 82.3% | -2.1% |
| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 23.6% | 23.6% | -6.5% |
| 12122025 | RIG | Transocean | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 56.9% | 56.9% | -7.0% |
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 31.6% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 41.7% | 41.7% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 133.44 |
| Mkt Cap | 63.1 |
| Rev LTM | 16,872 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,134 |
| FCF LTM | -1,278 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,971 |
| CFO LTM | 6,052 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6,450 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -7.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 63.1 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 13.1 |
| P/E | 21.0 |
| P/CFO | 11.9 |
| Total Yield | 6.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 19.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 47.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 37.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 59.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 29.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 54.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 26.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 24.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 5.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $17.53 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 42.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/24/2006 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -7.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $10.88 | $14.86 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 61.1% | 17.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 84.9% | 81.1% |
| Downside Capture | -2.37 | 0.13 |
| Upside Capture | 68.49 | 75.49 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -12.6% | 28.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.47 | 2.16 | 1.74 | 0.27 |
| Up Beta | 4.18 | 2.86 | 2.32 | 1.28 | 1.32 | -0.30 |
| Down Beta | 3.06 | 4.92 | 3.41 | 5.52 | 2.96 | -0.69 |
| Up Capture | -0% | 49% | 120% | 32% | 102% | 8% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 34 | 59 | 120 | 130 |
| Down Capture | -27% | -286% | -60% | 130% | 132% | 92% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 18 | 27 | 62 | 126 | 139 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VG | 57.2% | 81.2% | 0.91 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 37.0% | 24.9% | 1.22 | 48.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 18.9% | 0.59 | 28.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.2% | 27.7% | 1.46 | 7.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.6% | 0.85 | 44.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.4% | 16.4% | -0.15 | 16.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.7% | 44.2% | -0.49 | 23.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VG | -5.9% | 88.6% | 0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 25.3% | 26.1% | 0.86 | 44.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.8% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 32.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.7% | 17.7% | 0.96 | 8.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 42.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.0% | 18.8% | 0.07 | 19.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.6% | 0.29 | 23.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VG | -3.0% | 88.6% | 0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 11.4% | 29.4% | 0.42 | 44.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 32.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 15.8% | 0.70 | 8.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 42.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 19.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.4% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 23.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/12/2026 | 2.1% | 21.7% | 40.2% |
| 10/6/2025 | -7.5% | -35.2% | -42.9% |
| 7/7/2025 | 4.0% | 10.7% | -2.6% |
| 3/6/2025 | -36.1% | -27.8% | -36.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| # Negative | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 3.0% | 16.2% | 40.2% |
| Median Negative | -21.8% | -31.5% | -36.8% |
| Max Positive | 4.0% | 21.7% | 40.2% |
| Max Negative | -36.1% | -35.2% | -42.9% |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/2/2026 | Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/10/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA | 1.15 Bil | 1.20 Bil | 1.25 Bil | ||||
| 2026 Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA | 5.20 Bil | 5.50 Bil | 5.80 Bil | -14.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 6.42 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Calcasieu Project Cargo Exports | 145 | 150 | 156 | 1.7% | Higher New | Actual: 148 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Plaquemines Project Cargo Exports | 341 | 356 | 371 | 50.8% | Higher New | Actual: 236 for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Earl, Thomas | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12092025 | 6.89 | 1,000,000 | Form | ||
| 2 | Musser, Fory | Senior VP, Development | Direct | Sell | 11202025 | 8.01 | 768,762 | Form | ||
| 3 | Musser, Fory | Senior VP, Development | Direct | Sell | 11202025 | 7.80 | 188,337 | Form | ||
| 4 | Musser, Fory | Senior VP, Development | Direct | Sell | 11202025 | 7.80 | 42,901 | Form | ||
| 5 | Musser, Fory | Senior VP, Development | Direct | Sell | 11182025 | 8.03 | 223,702 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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