Tearsheet

Venture Global (VG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.96 | Market Cap: $14.5 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Venture Global (VG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.96
Market Cap: $14.5 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -76%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 114%
Key risks
VG key risks include [1] potential multi-billion dollar liabilities from significant legal disputes and arbitration with major customers over alleged contract defaults, Show more.
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%
 
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, CFO LTM is 5.1 Bil
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, and Carbon Capture & Storage.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 114%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, CFO LTM is 5.1 Bil
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, and Carbon Capture & Storage.
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -76%
6 Key risks
VG key risks include [1] potential multi-billion dollar liabilities from significant legal disputes and arbitration with major customers over alleged contract defaults, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Loss in Arbitration Against BP. In October 2025, BP won its arbitration case against Venture Global regarding the company's failure to deliver liquefied natural gas (LNG) under a long-term contract. This outcome likely created concerns about Venture Global's financial liabilities and set a negative precedent for similar ongoing disputes.

2. Shell's Fraud Allegations and Legal Challenge. In November and December 2025, Shell challenged an arbitration ruling it lost in August 2025, accusing Venture Global of fraud. Shell alleged that Venture Global abruptly delayed the start of its Calcasieu Pass LNG plant and actively avoided disclosing this information. This legal challenge led to a 22% decline in Venture Global's shares.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VG Return
Peers Return-32%43%57%7%35%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VG Win Rate27% 
Peers Win Rate38%60%62%58%65%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VG Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-58%-6%-5%-10%-7%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LNG, SRE, NEXT, ET, XOM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

VG has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven660 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,201 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,858 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Venture Global (VG)

Better Bets than Venture Global (VG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.4%9.4%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
27.1%27.1%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.0%-3.0%-7.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.4%9.4%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
27.1%27.1%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.0%-3.0%-7.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Venture Global

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VGLNGSRENEXTETXOMMedian
NameVenture .Cheniere.Sempra NextDeca.Energy T.Exxon Mo. 
Mkt Price5.94190.3586.785.19-117.4186.78
Mkt Cap34.541.756.71.4-483.141.7
Rev LTM10,84818,96213,711079,757324,92416,336
Op Inc LTM4,0327,0473,086-2249,24035,7085,540
FCF LTM-8,2712,222-6,210-3,7125,18923,775-745
FCF 3Y Avg-4,355-4,947-2,5086,09531,4624,355
CFO LTM5,1285,1254,807-15810,84151,5205,126
CFO 3Y Avg-6,7494,052-11010,21755,7686,749

Growth & Margins

VGLNGSRENEXTETXOMMedian
NameVenture .Cheniere.Sempra NextDeca.Energy T.Exxon Mo. 
Rev Chg LTM113.5%17.8%6.1%--4.7%-4.4%6.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--12.4%-1.3%--3.0%-5.6%-4.3%
Rev Chg Q259.5%18.0%13.5%--3.9%-5.1%13.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM28.5%3.7%2.8%--1.0%-1.4%2.8%
Op Mgn LTM37.2%37.2%22.5%-11.6%11.0%22.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-53.2%21.0%-10.8%12.7%16.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.8%-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%-0.4%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM47.3%27.0%35.1%-13.6%15.9%27.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-33.4%27.8%-12.7%16.5%22.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-76.2%11.7%-45.3%-6.5%7.3%6.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-20.8%-35.6%-7.5%9.3%8.4%

Valuation

VGLNGSRENEXTETXOMMedian
NameVenture .Cheniere.Sempra NextDeca.Energy T.Exxon Mo. 
Mkt Cap34.541.756.71.4-483.141.7
P/S3.22.74.3--1.53.0
P/EBIT-7.217.8133.4--17.8
P/E14.812.927.2-9.2-16.114.8
P/CFO6.710.112.2-11.3-9.49.4
Total Yield8.1%8.6%5.8%-10.9%-9.8%8.1%
Dividend Yield1.4%0.9%2.2%0.0%-3.6%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.4%-9.4%-175.5%---9.4%
D/E-0.50.63.8--0.6
Net D/E-0.50.63.7--0.6

Returns

VGLNGSRENEXTETXOMMedian
NameVenture .Cheniere.Sempra NextDeca.Energy T.Exxon Mo. 
1M Rtn-26.6%-11.6%-5.2%-10.8%--0.2%-10.8%
3M Rtn-57.2%-18.9%6.5%-20.5%-2.7%-18.9%
6M Rtn-67.4%-18.6%19.4%-38.7%-5.6%-18.6%
12M Rtn--8.8%3.1%-22.4%-12.7%-2.9%
3Y Rtn-24.4%22.4%16.6%-24.3%23.3%
1M Excs Rtn-27.3%-12.3%-5.9%-11.6%--1.0%-11.6%
3M Excs Rtn-58.3%-19.9%5.4%-20.9%-2.6%-19.9%
6M Excs Rtn-79.8%-31.0%7.0%-51.0%--6.8%-31.0%
12M Excs Rtn--20.9%-10.6%-37.0%--1.3%-15.7%
3Y Excs Rtn--47.7%-52.1%-54.6%--45.7%-49.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Calcasieu Project7,8976,4480
CP2 Project0  
Corporate, other and eliminations0  
Plaquemines Project0  
Total7,8976,4480


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil202420232022
Calcasieu Project5,5984,042-85
Plaquemines Project-187-269-158
Corporate and other-199-184-79
CP2 Project-362-34-15
Total4,8503,555-337


Assets by Segment
$ Mil202420232022
Plaquemines Project12,7346,174 
Calcasieu Project7,5717,652 
Corporate, other and eliminations6,799  
CP2 Project1,35921 
Corporate and other 1,250 
Total28,46315,097 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity49,273,695
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202518.2%
Average Daily Volume8,423,177
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.85
Basic Shares Quantity2,433,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/6/2025-7.5%-35.2%-42.9%
7/7/20254.0%10.7%-2.6%
3/6/2025-36.1%-27.8%-36.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive110
# Negative223
Median Positive4.0%10.7% 
Median Negative-21.8%-31.5%-36.8%
Max Positive4.0%10.7% 
Max Negative-36.1%-35.2%-42.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
123120231242025424B4 12/31/2023