NextDecade (NEXT)
Market Price (12/30/2025): $5.39 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
NextDecade (NEXT)
Market Price (12/30/2025): $5.39Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, and US LNG. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -63% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -224 Mil | ||
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 461% | ||
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 106x | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18% | ||
| Key risksNEXT key risks include [1] its dependency on the timely and on-budget completion of its Rio Grande LNG and Carbon Capture projects and [2] its need to secure substantial additional financing to execute its business plan as a pre-revenue development company. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, and US LNG. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -63% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -224 Mil |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 461% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 106x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18% |
| Key risksNEXT key risks include [1] its dependency on the timely and on-budget completion of its Rio Grande LNG and Carbon Capture projects and [2] its need to secure substantial additional financing to execute its business plan as a pre-revenue development company. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Significant Analyst Downgrades and Lowered Price Targets: In September 2025, following the positive Final Investment Decision (FID) for Train 4, several analysts downgraded NextDecade's stock ratings and substantially reduced their price targets. For instance, TD Cowen downgraded the stock from "Strong Buy" to "Hold" and lowered its price target from $11 to $8. Morgan Stanley also downgraded from "Buy" to "Hold," decreasing its price target from $15 to $10. These downgrades likely signaled a more cautious outlook on the company's valuation, negatively impacting investor sentiment.
2. Anticipated Global LNG Oversupply: The broader liquefied natural gas (LNG) market faced projections of increased global supply starting in 2025 and extending through 2030. This anticipated oversupply was expected to outpace demand growth, potentially leading to downward pressure on LNG prices. Such a market dynamic could raise concerns about the long-term profitability and revenue streams for LNG developers like NextDecade, despite their project advancements.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -22.2% change in NEXT stock from 9/29/2025 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a -0.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 9292025 | 12292025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.95 | 5.41 | -22.16% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0.00 | 0.00 | � |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 260.88 | 262.58 | -0.65% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
9/29/2025 to 12/29/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NEXT | -22.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 13.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | -1.2% | 23.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -39.3% change in NEXT stock from 6/30/2025 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a -0.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 6302025 | 12292025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.91 | 5.41 | -39.28% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0.00 | 0.00 | � |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 260.40 | 262.58 | -0.84% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 12/29/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NEXT | -39.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.6% | 2.0% |
| Sector (XLE) | 6.1% | 11.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -22.2% change in NEXT stock from 12/29/2024 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a -1.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 12292024 | 12292025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.95 | 5.41 | -22.16% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0.00 | 0.00 | � |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 259.38 | 262.58 | -1.23% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
12/29/2024 to 12/29/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NEXT | -22.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.6% | 28.4% |
| Sector (XLE) | 8.1% | 35.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.5% change in NEXT stock from 12/30/2022 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12302022 | 12292025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.94 | 5.41 | 9.51% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0.00 | 0.00 | � |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 129.42 | 262.58 | -102.89% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
12/30/2023 to 12/29/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NEXT | 13.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 47.9% | 27.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 12.7% | 31.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NEXT Return | -66% | 36% | 73% | -3% | 62% | -30% | -12% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 151% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NEXT Win Rate | 17% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 83% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NEXT Max Drawdown | -81% | -19% | -26% | -20% | -9% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/29/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NEXT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -62.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 164.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 39 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -80.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 424.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 680 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -69.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 228.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,342 days | 120 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
NextDecade's stock fell -62.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -62.2% loss requires a 164.8% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Like an oil refinery, but exclusively focused on turning natural gas into exportable liquefied natural gas (LNG).
2. Like a massive industrial chemical plant, but its sole purpose is to convert natural gas into super-cooled liquid for global energy markets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Natural Gas Liquefaction Services: NextDecade provides the industrial process and infrastructure to cool and convert natural gas into liquefied natural gas (LNG) at its export terminals.
- LNG Export and Terminal Services: NextDecade offers the logistical support, storage, and loading facilities necessary for the efficient export of liquefied natural gas to international markets via dedicated LNG carriers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
NextDecade (NEXT) primarily sells Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) to other companies through long-term Sale and Purchase Agreements (SPAs). Its major customers are global energy companies, utilities, and gas distributors that require LNG for their energy needs or distribution networks.
Major Customers of NextDecade (NEXT):
- TotalEnergies SE (NYSE: TTE)
- ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM)
- ENGIE S.A. (Euronext Paris: ENGI; also traded OTC: ENGIY)
- EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG (A major German utility; not publicly traded on major international exchanges with a common stock symbol)
- Shenergy Group Company Limited (A Chinese state-owned enterprise; its subsidiary Shenergy Co., Ltd. is listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange: 600642.SS)
- China Gas Holdings Limited (HKEX: 00038.HK)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Bechtel
- Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. (NYSE: APD)
- Siemens Energy AG (XTRA: ENR)
- Enbridge Inc. (NYSE: ENB)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Matthew Schatzman, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Matthew Schatzman has served as Chief Executive Officer of NextDecade Corporation since 2018 and was elected Chairman of the Board of Directors in 2019. He joined the company as President and a member of the Board of Directors in 2017. Mr. Schatzman has over three decades of experience in the energy industry. His previous roles include Executive Vice President Global Energy Marketing and Shipping and a member of the Group Executive Committee at BG Group, where he was responsible for the company's global marketing, trading, and shipping activities for LNG, crude oil, and natural gas. During his time at BG Group, he was instrumental in transforming its LNG business into a global leader in flexible LNG supply and trading. Mr. Schatzman also held senior executive roles at Dynegy and began his career at Transco Pipeline, a subsidiary of Williams. Prior to joining NextDecade, he was President of MKS Energy, LLC, where he provided energy advisory and consulting services.
Mike Mott, Interim Chief Financial Officer
Mike Mott was appointed Interim Chief Financial Officer effective October 20, 2025. He previously served as Senior Vice President Enterprise Transformation, and also led NextDecade's Carbon Solutions and corporate strategy groups. Before joining NextDecade, Mr. Mott was the Chief Financial Officer of LNG Limited from 2014 to 2020. He also held various senior finance, strategy, and operations positions at BG Group.
Ivan Van der Walt, Chief Operating Officer
Ivan Van der Walt was appointed Chief Operating Officer effective July 1, 2021, and joined NextDecade in July 2018 as Senior Vice President, Engineering and Construction. He possesses nearly 30 years of experience in the global energy industry. His prior experience includes senior roles with Chicago Bridge & Iron Company (now McDermott) and Chevron. Mr. Van der Walt also served as chief executive of the Australasian division of the KNM Group and has management experience on multiple LNG projects such as Darwin LNG, Woodside LNG Train 5, Pluto LNG, Gorgon LNG, and Cameron LNG.
James MacTaggart, Chief Marketing Officer
James MacTaggart serves as Chief Marketing Officer at NextDecade. He brings over 25 years of experience in delivering large and complex deals within the LNG and natural gas industry across Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and the United States. He has successfully executed long-term LNG sale and purchase agreements that supported positive final investment decisions on five greenfield LNG projects. Before joining NextDecade, Mr. MacTaggart spent more than 20 years with Shell in various marketing and trading roles, including General Manager of Shell's Gas and LNG Markets business in Asia, India, and the Middle East, where he also established Shell's gas trading business in India.
Vera De Brito de Gyarfas, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Vera De Brito de Gyarfas was appointed General Counsel and Corporate Secretary effective July 12, 2021. She has nearly 30 years of legal experience in the global energy industry. Ms. De Brito de Gyarfas was previously a partner in Mayer Brown's Houston office and a member of the firm's Oil & Gas industry group. Her extensive LNG industry experience includes representing Anadarko as the operator of the Area 1 Block and developer of an LNG project in Mozambique, as well as structuring and negotiating investment agreements, commercial contracts, and LNG Sale and Purchase Agreements.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company NextDecade (symbol: NEXT) faces several key risks, primarily centered around the successful execution of its large-scale energy projects and the volatile nature of the energy market.
- Project Completion and Financing Risk: NextDecade's business success is highly dependent on the timely and on-budget completion of its Rio Grande LNG Facility and associated Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) projects. As the company is currently in development and construction phases and lacks significant revenue streams, it requires substantial additional debt and equity financing to execute its business plan. Delays in construction, cost overruns, or an inability to secure future financing on acceptable terms could materially and adversely affect the company's financial condition and operational results.
- Regulatory and Environmental Risk: The development and operation of LNG and CCS projects are subject to rigorous governmental approvals, environmental assessments, and regulatory oversight. Any changes in environmental laws, increased regulatory scrutiny, or challenges in obtaining and maintaining necessary permits and authorizations could lead to significant delays, increased costs, or even the cancellation of projects, impacting NextDecade's operational plans and financial projections. This also includes risks related to the viability of all federally permitted infrastructure projects due to potential legal precedents.
- Market Volatility and Competition: NextDecade operates within the highly volatile energy sector, where commodity prices are influenced by geopolitical events, shifts in global supply and demand, and regulatory changes. The company faces intense competition in all aspects of its business, particularly in the global LNG market. General economic conditions, including inflation and rising interest rates, also pose financial risks and can impact the company's ability to generate cash.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Accelerating global energy transition and decarbonization efforts, which could diminish long-term demand for natural gas and LNG as countries and corporations prioritize renewable energy and alternative fuels, potentially leading to reduced future profitability or stranded assets.
Increasing competition and potential market oversupply in the global LNG market, driven by numerous new LNG export projects, particularly from the US and Qatar, which could exert downward pressure on LNG prices and make securing attractive long-term offtake agreements more challenging for NextDecade.
Adverse regulatory and policy shifts impacting fossil fuel infrastructure and exports, exemplified by recent actions such as the US administration's pause on approvals for new LNG export terminals, which creates uncertainty for future expansion plans and signals a potentially more challenging operating environment for the LNG industry.
AI Analysis | Feedback
NextDecade (symbol: NEXT) primarily operates in two addressable markets: Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) production and export, and Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) solutions.
Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)
- Global Market: The global liquefied natural gas market was valued at approximately USD 122.60 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 226.97 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.6% from 2025 to 2030. Another estimate indicates the global LNG market was valued at USD 128.44 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1,088.33 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 26.8% from 2025–2033. In terms of capacity, global LNG production capacity was 474 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) in 2024 and is forecast to reach 763 MTPA by 2030.
- North American Market: The North American LNG market is anticipated to reach USD 44,208.1 million by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 5.8% from USD 26,615.3 million in 2024. The market size for North America stood at USD 54.44 billion in 2024. North America's LNG export capacity is projected to increase from 11.4 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) at the beginning of 2024 to 28.7 Bcf/d in 2029. This is roughly equivalent to an increase from 85 MTPA to 181.00 MTPA over the next several years.
Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)
- Global Market: The global carbon capture and storage market was valued at USD 8.6 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 16% from 2025 to 2034. Other reports value the global CCS market at approximately USD 3.68 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 6.72 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 7.0% from 2025 to 2033. Another source estimates the global CCS market size to be USD 8.92 billion in 2025, forecasted to reach around USD 50.70 billion by 2034, accelerating at a CAGR of 21.37% from 2025 to 2034.
- U.S. / North American Market: The U.S. carbon capture and storage market was valued at USD 3.16 billion in 2024 and is likely to exceed USD 11 billion by 2034. North America held the largest share of 36.83% of the global market in 2024. The North America carbon capture and storage market size surpassed USD 2.70 billion in 2024 and is expanding at a CAGR of 21.40% during the forecast period. The U.S. market alone was estimated at USD 1.87 billion in 2024 and is predicted to reach approximately USD 13.83 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 22.15% from 2025 to 2034. The U.S. accounts for 82.2% of the market share in North America.
AI Analysis | Feedback
NextDecade (NEXT) is poised for significant future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key developments related to its Rio Grande LNG facility and associated projects.
- Commencement of Commercial Operations and LNG Sales from Rio Grande LNG Phase 1 (Trains 1-3): Construction of the first three trains at the Rio Grande LNG facility is underway, with operations anticipated to begin by late 2027. These trains are expected to add 17.6 million tonnes per annum (Mt/y) of export capacity. Revenue will be generated through existing long-term Sale and Purchase Agreements (SPAs), totaling 16.15 MTPA for Phase 1, which represents over 90% of the nameplate capacity. These contracts, with an average term of 19.2 years, include a fixed fee per million British Thermal Units that escalates annually with inflation, along with a variable fee to offset natural gas feedstock and operational costs. Once operational, Trains 1-3 are projected to generate approximately $1.8 billion annually from fixed fees alone.
- Advancement of Rio Grande LNG Phase 2 (Trains 4 & 5) towards Completion and Subsequent Revenue from Long-Term Sale and Purchase Agreements: NextDecade has recently made positive Final Investment Decisions (FIDs) for both Train 4 (September 2025) and Train 5 (October 2025) at its Rio Grande LNG project. Train 4 has an expected LNG production capacity of approximately 6 MTPA and is supported by 4.6 MTPA of 20-year LNG SPAs. Train 5 also has an expected LNG production capacity of approximately 6 MTPA and is commercially supported by 4.5 MTPA of 20-year LNG SPAs. While the guaranteed substantial completion and first commercial delivery for Trains 4 and 5 are anticipated in the second half of 2030 and first half of 2031, respectively, the FIDs and secured long-term SPAs are critical steps taken within the next 2-3 years that solidify future revenue streams and indicate continued growth.
- Further Expansion of the Rio Grande LNG Facility with Additional Liquefaction Trains (e.g., Trains 6-8): NextDecade plans to expand the Rio Grande LNG facility further to include Trains 6 through 8, which could bring its total production capacity to 48 MTPA. The pre-filing for Train 6 with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) is anticipated within 2025, with a full application slated for early 2026. These ongoing expansion efforts, including securing additional SPAs and future FIDs, are expected to drive subsequent phases of revenue growth.
- Development and Commercialization of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) Projects: NextDecade is actively exploring a carbon capture and storage project at the Rio Grande LNG site as part of its commitment to lower-carbon energy solutions. While the full revenue impact from CCS projects may extend beyond the immediate 2-3 year timeframe, initial development and potential commercial agreements for these solutions could establish a new revenue stream and diversify the company's offerings within this period.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- NextDecade has repurchased shares related to share-based compensation, with dollar amounts such as $15,471 (in thousands) for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, and $3,272 (in thousands) for the year ended December 31, 2022.
Share Issuance
- On July 26, 2023, convertible preferred stock was converted into approximately 59.5 million shares of common stock.
- In February and March 2022, private placements of Series C Preferred Stock led to the issuance of 2,714,981 shares upon conversion, an estimated 271,383 shares from warrant exercises, and an estimated 275,621 shares from dividend payments.
- In conjunction with a Corporate Credit Agreement, NextDecade issued warrants exercisable for approximately 7.2 million shares of common stock to the lender.
Inbound Investments
- For Train 4 of the Rio Grande LNG project, NextDecade secured approximately $1.70 billion in equity commitments from a consortium of partners, including Global Infrastructure Partners, GIC, Mubadala Investment Company, and TotalEnergies. TotalEnergies committed about $300 million for a 10% stake, and Global Infrastructure Partners committed approximately $1.5 billion for a 50% stake.
- For Train 5, the project's financing package includes $2.6 billion in combined equity commitments from NextDecade and its partners: Global Infrastructure Partners (BlackRock), GIC, and Mubadala Investment Company.
- In July 2023, NextDecade closed a joint venture agreement for Phase 1 of the Rio Grande LNG project, which included approximately $5.9 billion in financing.
Capital Expenditures
- Total expected capital costs for Phase 1 (Trains 1-3) of the Rio Grande LNG Facility are estimated at approximately $18.0 billion, which includes EPC costs, owner's costs, contingencies, and financing costs. As of September 2025, Trains 1 and 2 and common facilities were 55.9% complete, and Train 3 was 33.4% complete.
- Total project costs for Train 4 and its related infrastructure are expected to be approximately $6.7 billion, with guaranteed substantial completion anticipated in the second half of 2030.
- Total project costs for Train 5 and its related infrastructure are also expected to be approximately $6.7 billion, with guaranteed substantial completion in the first half of 2031.
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.6% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 28.9% | 28.9% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.6% | -3.6% | -7.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for NextDecade
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.06 |
| Mkt Cap | 159.0 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.41 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/04/2015 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -54.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $5.83 | $7.85 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -7.2% | -31.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 51.6% | 69.9% |
| Downside Capture | 92.93 | 55.38 |
| Upside Capture | -45.22 | 21.79 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 13.4% | 28.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.64 | 0.61 | 0.37 | 0.33 | 1.05 | 1.16 |
| Up Beta | -2.19 | -1.03 | 0.02 | 0.91 | 0.77 | 0.80 |
| Down Beta | 2.51 | 2.62 | 1.54 | 1.71 | 2.42 | 2.02 |
| Up Capture | 154% | -21% | -127% | -54% | 16% | 66% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 20 | 28 | 58 | 120 | 365 |
| Down Capture | 83% | 55% | 123% | -7% | 58% | 100% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 22 | 35 | 63 | 124 | 364 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of NEXT With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -20.7% | 8.9% | 16.7% | 65.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | -7.3% |
| Annualized Volatility | 69.4% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 34.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.04 | 0.30 | 0.67 | 2.43 | 0.27 | 0.08 | -0.06 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 35.6% | 28.4% | -1.5% | 19.1% | 22.6% | 11.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of NEXT With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 17.2% | 22.4% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 30.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 86.1% | 26.7% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.55 | 0.77 | 0.70 | 0.91 | 0.48 | 0.18 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 32.1% | 23.7% | 5.3% | 23.7% | 21.1% | 10.6% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of NEXT With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -5.8% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 69.0% |
| Annualized Volatility | 85.8% | 29.8% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.30 | 0.33 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.89 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 29.5% | 25.4% | 2.9% | 16.9% | 26.0% | 7.9% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLE, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 7/28/2017 | -0.6% | -12.3% | 2.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| # Negative | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Median Positive | 2.6% | ||
| Median Negative | -0.6% | -12.3% | |
| Max Positive | 2.6% | ||
| Max Negative | -0.6% | -12.3% | |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q (09/30/2025) |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/01/2025 | 10-Q (06/30/2025) |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q (03/31/2025) |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K (12/31/2024) |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q (09/30/2024) |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q (06/30/2024) |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q (03/31/2024) |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/11/2024 | 10-K (12/31/2023) |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q (09/30/2023) |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q (06/30/2023) |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q (03/31/2023) |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/10/2023 | 10-K (12/31/2022) |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q (09/30/2022) |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q (06/30/2022) |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/12/2022 | 10-Q (03/31/2022) |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/28/2022 | 10-K (12/31/2021) |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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