Tearsheet

Energy Transfer (ET)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.73 | Market Cap: $57.4 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Energy Transfer (ET)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.73
Market Cap: $57.4 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 11 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.2 Bil
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.9%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, Show more.
 
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 11 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.2 Bil
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, Show more.
2 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ET Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Energy Transfer Missed Q3 2025 Earnings Estimates.

Energy Transfer reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, revealing earnings per share (EPS) of $0.28, which was below the consensus analyst estimate of $0.34. The company's revenue for the quarter also fell short, coming in at $19.95 billion against an expected $21.84 billion. This significant miss on both EPS and revenue likely contributed to negative investor sentiment during the period. 2. Analyst Price Targets Were Reduced.

Following the Q3 earnings announcement and other market factors, several equity research firms lowered their price targets for Energy Transfer. For example, on December 2, 2025, Morgan Stanley adjusted its price target for ET from $21.00 to $19.00, though it maintained an "overweight" rating. Other analysts from firms such as J.P. Morgan and Scotiabank also reduced their price targets for the stock in November 2025. Such revisions from analysts can often lead to a decrease in stock price as investors re-evaluate future growth potential.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ET Return-45%43%56%28%54%-10%118%
Peers Return-20%38%27%13%50%9%159%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ET Win Rate33%58%67%58%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate43%73%65%60%72%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ET Max Drawdown-64%-1%0%-2%-1%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-0%-1%-8%-3%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ET, MPLX, ENB, WMB, KMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventETS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven91 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven202.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1254 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2159 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-68.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven221.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven852 days1480 days

Compare to ET, MPLX, ENB, WMB, KMI


In The Past

Energy Transfer's stock fell -28.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/16/2021. A -28.2% loss requires a 39.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Energy Transfer (ET)

Better Bets than Energy Transfer (ET)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ET. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Energy Transfer

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NameEnergy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
Mkt Price--47.7561.5527.1747.75
Mkt Cap--104.175.260.475.2
Rev LTM79,75711,42064,23411,49516,41616,416
Op Inc LTM9,2404,62611,1993,9414,4594,626
FCF LTM5,1894,6864,0541,7222,7574,054
FCF 3Y Avg6,0954,5896,7072,4583,3754,589
CFO LTM10,8416,08812,8215,5405,7356,088
CFO 3Y Avg10,2175,70813,1915,4845,9185,918

Growth & Margins

ETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NameEnergy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.7%6.3%32.3%9.0%8.3%8.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.0%2.5%8.6%0.8%-4.3%0.8%
Rev Chg Q-3.9%4.6%-1.6%10.2%12.1%4.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.0%1.1%-0.4%2.4%2.8%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM11.6%40.5%17.4%34.3%27.2%27.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.8%40.6%19.1%35.5%27.6%27.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.4%0.1%1.6%-0.5%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM13.6%53.3%20.0%48.2%34.9%34.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.7%52.8%25.6%49.8%37.5%37.5%
FCF/Rev LTM6.5%41.0%6.3%15.0%16.8%15.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.5%42.5%13.5%22.5%21.5%21.5%

Valuation

ETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NameEnergy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
Mkt Cap--104.175.260.475.2
P/S--1.76.73.83.8
P/EBIT--8.416.714.114.1
P/E--18.332.723.123.1
P/CFO--8.614.011.011.0
Total Yield--12.9%6.2%8.4%8.4%
Dividend Yield--7.4%3.1%4.1%4.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--8.3%4.7%7.2%7.2%
D/E--0.90.40.50.5
Net D/E--0.90.40.50.5

Returns

ETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NameEnergy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
1M Rtn--3.9%4.3%4.2%4.2%
3M Rtn--0.2%7.5%2.8%2.8%
6M Rtn--5.3%4.1%-0.9%4.1%
12M Rtn--16.4%12.6%3.4%12.6%
3Y Rtn--43.5%102.0%68.6%68.6%
1M Excs Rtn--3.9%4.3%4.2%4.2%
3M Excs Rtn---4.8%2.5%-2.5%-2.5%
6M Excs Rtn---9.4%-10.6%-15.7%-10.6%
12M Excs Rtn--3.1%-4.7%-13.2%-4.7%
3Y Excs Rtn---31.4%38.1%0.7%0.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Crude oil transportation and services26,53625,98217,44611,67918,447
Investment in Sunoco LP23,06825,72917,59610,71016,596
Natural gas liquid (NGL) and refined products transportation and services21,90325,65719,96110,51311,641
Midstream10,40617,10111,3165,0266,031
Intrastate transportation and storage3,9627,8188,5712,5443,099
Interstate transportation and storage2,3752,2511,8411,8611,963
All other1,7983,5743,4761,8381,689
Investment in USA Compression (USAC)846705633667698
Eliminations-12,308-18,941-13,423-5,884-5,951
Total78,58689,87667,41738,95454,213


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Natural gas liquid (NGL) and refined products transportation and services27,21427,90328,16021,42319,145
Midstream25,59221,85121,96018,58320,332
Crude oil transportation and services25,46419,20019,64917,96022,933
Interstate transportation and storage17,70817,97917,77417,58218,111
Investment in Sunoco LP6,8266,8305,8155,2675,438
Intrastate transportation and storage6,1126,6097,3226,3086,648
Investment in USA Compression (USAC)2,7372,6662,7682,9493,730
All other and eliminations2,0452,6052,5155,0722,636
Total113,698105,643105,96395,14498,973


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity30,007,357
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-4.8%
Average Daily Volume16,874,405
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.78
Basic Shares Quantity3,433,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021