Universal Technical Institute (UTI)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $26.09 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services
Universal Technical Institute (UTI)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $26.09Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Education Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include EV Manufacturing, EV Charging Infrastructure, and Autonomous Driving Technology. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include EV Manufacturing, EV Charging Infrastructure, and Autonomous Driving Technology. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
UTI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Based on the most recent available information for Universal Technical Institute (UTI), which includes its fiscal year 2024 fourth quarter and full-year results reported in November 2024, the following points could potentially contribute to a negative stock movement, such as the -1.9% decrease noted for the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025. While the overall sentiment from these reports was largely positive, these are identified areas of potential concern:
**1. Potential Challenges with Regulatory Changes like the 90/10 Rule:** The company faces potential challenges due to regulatory changes, specifically mentioning the new 90/10 rule, which could impact military funding calculations for educational institutions.
**2. Concerns Regarding State-Level Regulatory Actions:** There are concerns about the influence of state-level regulatory actions, particularly in "blue states," which might lead to increased lobbying costs for Universal Technical Institute.
**3. Proximity to Gainful Employment Regulation Line for Certain Programs:** Some of the Concorde programs, such as massage therapy, are reported to be close to the gainful employment regulation line because of the exclusion of tip income, posing a potential regulatory risk.
**4. Conservative Fiscal 2025 Guidance for New Student Starts:** The fiscal year 2025 guidance for new student starts was perceived as conservative when compared to the robust growth observed in previous periods.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UTI Return | -16% | 21% | -14% | 86% | 105% | 1% | 238% |
| Peers Return | 24% | -2% | -18% | -5% | 0% | -11% | -16% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UTI Win Rate | 33% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 27% | 10% | 19% | 25% | 21% | 22% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UTI Max Drawdown | -53% | -17% | -32% | -14% | -0% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -18% | -6% | -26% | -19% | -18% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LOPE, FCHL, GV, MH, MKTR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UTI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 416 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -61.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 162.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 757 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -40.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 368 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -66.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 195.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5810 days | 1480 days |
Compare to LOPE, FCHL, GV, MH, MKTR
In The Past
Universal Technical Institute's stock fell -51.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/4/2022. A -51.2% loss requires a 104.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UTI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Universal Technical Institute
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 17.05 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.9 |
| Rev LTM | 1,091 |
| Op Inc LTM | 224 |
| FCF LTM | 158 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 127 |
| CFO LTM | 193 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 167 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.9 |
| P/S | 3.9 |
| P/EBIT | 19.7 |
| P/E | 29.0 |
| P/CFO | 19.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -25.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 44.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -41.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -32.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 12052024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 12012023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 12122022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 12022021 | 10-K 9/30/2021 |
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