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Universal Technical Institute (UTI)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $26.09 | Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services

Universal Technical Institute (UTI)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $26.09
Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Education Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include EV Manufacturing, EV Charging Infrastructure, and Autonomous Driving Technology.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include EV Manufacturing, EV Charging Infrastructure, and Autonomous Driving Technology.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UTI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Based on the most recent available information for Universal Technical Institute (UTI), which includes its fiscal year 2024 fourth quarter and full-year results reported in November 2024, the following points could potentially contribute to a negative stock movement, such as the -1.9% decrease noted for the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025. While the overall sentiment from these reports was largely positive, these are identified areas of potential concern:

**1. Potential Challenges with Regulatory Changes like the 90/10 Rule:** The company faces potential challenges due to regulatory changes, specifically mentioning the new 90/10 rule, which could impact military funding calculations for educational institutions.

**2. Concerns Regarding State-Level Regulatory Actions:** There are concerns about the influence of state-level regulatory actions, particularly in "blue states," which might lead to increased lobbying costs for Universal Technical Institute.

**3. Proximity to Gainful Employment Regulation Line for Certain Programs:** Some of the Concorde programs, such as massage therapy, are reported to be close to the gainful employment regulation line because of the exclusion of tip income, posing a potential regulatory risk.

**4. Conservative Fiscal 2025 Guidance for New Student Starts:** The fiscal year 2025 guidance for new student starts was perceived as conservative when compared to the robust growth observed in previous periods.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UTI Return-16%21%-14%86%105%1%238%
Peers Return24%-2%-18%-5%0%-11%-16%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UTI Win Rate33%50%50%75%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate27%10%19%25%21%22% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UTI Max Drawdown-53%-17%-32%-14%-0%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-6%-26%-19%-18%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LOPE, FCHL, GV, MH, MKTR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUTIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven104.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven416 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven162.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven757 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven368 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-66.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven195.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5810 days1480 days

Compare to LOPE, FCHL, GV, MH, MKTR


In The Past

Universal Technical Institute's stock fell -51.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/4/2022. A -51.2% loss requires a 104.9% gain to breakeven.

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About Universal Technical Institute (UTI)

Better Bets than Universal Technical Institute (UTI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UTI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Universal Technical Institute

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UTILOPEFCHLGVMHMKTRMedian
NameUniversa.Grand Ca.Fitness .VisionaryMcGraw H.Monkey T. 
Mkt Price26.08155.720.341.4517.05-17.05
Mkt Cap1.44.3----2.9
Rev LTM8101,091--1,948-1,091
Op Inc LTM85297--224-224
FCF LTM75242----158
FCF 3Y Avg32223----127
CFO LTM108279----193
CFO 3Y Avg71262----167

Growth & Margins

UTILOPEFCHLGVMHMKTRMedian
NameUniversa.Grand Ca.Fitness .VisionaryMcGraw H.Monkey T. 
Rev Chg LTM14.6%7.0%--13.3%-13.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg26.2%6.5%----16.3%
Rev Chg Q15.1%9.6%--27.8%-15.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.4%2.1%--6.4%-3.4%
Op Mgn LTM10.4%27.2%--11.5%-11.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.4%26.6%--6.2%-6.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%0.1%--4.4%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM13.3%25.6%----19.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.9%25.8%----17.8%
FCF/Rev LTM9.2%22.2%----15.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.8%21.8%----12.8%

Valuation

UTILOPEFCHLGVMHMKTRMedian
NameUniversa.Grand Ca.Fitness .VisionaryMcGraw H.Monkey T. 
Mkt Cap1.44.3----2.9
P/S2.35.6----3.9
P/EBIT20.219.2----19.7
P/E29.228.8----29.0
P/CFO17.121.8----19.5
Total Yield3.4%3.5%----3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.4%5.1%----2.4%
D/E0.10.0----0.1
Net D/E0.1-0.0----0.0

Returns

UTILOPEFCHLGVMHMKTRMedian
NameUniversa.Grand Ca.Fitness .VisionaryMcGraw H.Monkey T. 
1M Rtn-7.4%-15.8%-16.8%-3.3%56.4%--7.4%
3M Rtn-4.5%-24.1%-92.0%-2.0%15.0%--4.5%
6M Rtn-25.5%-18.3%--29.1%---25.5%
12M Rtn5.1%-8.6%-2.1%--2.1%
3Y Rtn257.3%44.5%--86.1%--44.5%
1M Excs Rtn-8.6%-17.0%-18.0%-4.6%55.2%--8.6%
3M Excs Rtn-9.0%-29.6%-98.4%-11.0%7.9%--11.0%
6M Excs Rtn-41.0%-33.7%--44.5%---41.0%
12M Excs Rtn-14.8%-20.2%--18.0%---18.0%
3Y Excs Rtn192.5%-32.0%--158.8%---32.0%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,039,412
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.8%
Average Daily Volume530,295
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.85
Basic Shares Quantity54,412,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241205202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231201202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221212202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021204202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211202202110-K 9/30/2021