Adtalem Global Education (ATGE)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $96.115 | Market Cap: $3.5 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services
Adtalem Global Education (ATGE)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $96.115Market Cap: $3.5 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Education Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.8% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work & Education. Themes include Workforce Skills Development, Online & Professional Education, and Healthcare Professional Training. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work & Education. Themes include Workforce Skills Development, Online & Professional Education, and Healthcare Professional Training. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ATGE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Adtalem Global Education (ATGE) experienced a significant stock price decline of approximately 26.6% between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025, with a notable drop of around 31% occurring between October 30 and October 31, 2025. This movement can be attributed to several key factors:
1. Investor Inquiry into Potential Securities Law Violations: An investor inquiry was initiated by DJS Law Group in late October 2025, investigating potential violations of securities laws by Adtalem Global Education. This inquiry focused on whether the company made misleading statements or failed to disclose material information to investors. The announcement of this investigation was a significant factor in the stock's decline, leading to an almost 30% fall in share price.
2. Analyst Report on Slowing Enrollment Growth: An analyst report published on October 30, 2025, highlighted a slowdown in growth at Adtalem's Chamberlain University unit, attributing it to marketing execution issues. This report contradicted the company's prior optimistic statements regarding sustained student demand and contributed to the negative market sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ATGE Return | -3% | -13% | 20% | 66% | 54% | 6% | 175% |
| Peers Return | -6% | -13% | -4% | 10% | 32% | 10% | 26% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ATGE Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 42% | 75% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 18% | 37% | 27% | 33% | 40% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ATGE Max Drawdown | -39% | -19% | -33% | -5% | -23% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -16% | -19% | -17% | -3% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LAUR, STRA, FUN, APEI, FCHL. See ATGE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ATGE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 247 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -41.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 131 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1493 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -37.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 268 days | 1480 days |
Compare to LAUR, STRA, FUN, APEI, FCHL
In The Past
Adtalem Global Education's stock fell -52.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -52.7% loss requires a 111.2% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ATGE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.7% | -3.7% | -8.8% |
| 01312024 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 55.3% | 102.9% | -9.7% |
| 02282022 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 85.9% | 88.3% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.7% | -3.7% | -8.8% |
| 01312024 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 55.3% | 102.9% | -9.7% |
| 02282022 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 85.9% | 88.3% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Adtalem Global Education
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 33.09 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,584 |
| Op Inc LTM | 248 |
| FCF LTM | 132 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 109 |
| CFO LTM | 314 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 260 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 12.2 |
| P/E | 19.2 |
| P/CFO | 11.1 |
| Total Yield | 4.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -15.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -9.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 148.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -20.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -24.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 78.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamberlain | 634 | 571 | 558 | 564 | |
| Walden | 595 | 534 | 485 | ||
| Medical and Veterinary | 356 | 346 | 339 | 343 | |
| Financial Services | 186 | ||||
| Medical and Healthcare | 866 | ||||
| Total | 1,585 | 1,451 | 1,382 | 907 | 1,052 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamberlain | 138 | 136 | 127 | 129 | |
| Walden | 131 | 110 | 105 | ||
| Medical and Veterinary | 72 | 67 | 69 | 68 | |
| Asset impairments | 0 | ||||
| Strategic advisory costs | 0 | ||||
| Loss on assets held for sale | -1 | 0 | |||
| Debt modification costs | -1 | 0 | |||
| Restructuring expense | -2 | -19 | -26 | -7 | -29 |
| Litigation reserve | -18 | -10 | 0 | ||
| Home Office | -31 | -26 | -33 | -40 | -24 |
| Business integration expense | -34 | -43 | -53 | -32 | |
| Amortization of acquired intangible assets | -36 | -61 | -97 | ||
| CEO transition costs | 0 | -6 | |||
| Deferred revenue adjustment | 0 | -9 | |||
| Gain on sale of assets | 13 | 0 | 5 | ||
| Financial Services | 22 | ||||
| Medical and Healthcare | 168 | ||||
| Total | 217 | 168 | 77 | 118 | 142 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1302025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1302024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2082022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
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