Tearsheet

Unusual Machines (UMAC)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $11.13 | Market Cap: $333.9 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Unusual Machines (UMAC)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $11.13
Market Cap: $333.9 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -18 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -219%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 133%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 55x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -153%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -168%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 275%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 138%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 133%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -18 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -219%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 55x
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -153%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -168%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 275%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 138%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UMAC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting why Unusual Machines (UMAC) stock moved by approximately 14% between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025: 1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance. Unusual Machines reported its first profitable quarter for Q3 2025, with a net income of $1.6 million ($0.05 per share) and a 39% year-over-year revenue increase to $2.13 million. This positive financial turnaround was significantly boosted by $5.8 million in unrealized investment gains and $0.7 million in interest income.

2. Strategic Military Contracts and Expanding Drone Market Presence. The company secured significant military contracts, including a $12.8 million deal with Strategic Logix for the U.S. Army and an order for 3,500 NDAA-compliant motors for the 101st Airborne Division's drones. Unusual Machines is strategically positioned in the rapidly growing global drone accessories market, which is projected to exceed $115 billion by 2032.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UMAC Return------35%-35%
Peers Return27%35%-21%43%18%50%240%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UMAC Win Rate----40%40% 
Peers Win Rate38%42%18%45%38%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UMAC Max Drawdown------72% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-4%-25%-3%-5%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BGIN, VELO, AAPL, DELL, STX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

UMAC has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven278 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1183 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Unusual Machines (UMAC)

Better Bets than Unusual Machines (UMAC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UMAC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Unusual Machines

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UMACBGINVELOAAPLDELLSTXMedian
NameUnusual .BGIN Blo.Velo3D Apple Dell Tec.Seagate . 
Mkt Price10.943.056.34280.70138.99265.6374.97
Mkt Cap0.3--4,183.294.257.175.7
Rev LTM8-44408,625101,4519,0979,097
Op Inc LTM-18--64130,2146,9131,9151,915
FCF LTM-14--1896,1844,860818818
FCF 3Y Avg-7--73100,5034,496703703
CFO LTM-13--18108,5657,4771,0831,083
CFO 3Y Avg-6--69111,5597,215981981

Growth & Margins

UMACBGINVELOAAPLDELLSTXMedian
NameUnusual .BGIN Blo.Velo3D Apple Dell Tec.Seagate . 
Rev Chg LTM133.2%--4.3%6.0%10.5%38.9%10.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--11.9%1.8%-1.3%-3.0%0.3%
Rev Chg Q39.4%-31.2%9.6%19.0%29.5%29.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.8%-8.0%2.1%4.9%6.5%6.5%
Op Mgn LTM-219.4%--147.1%31.9%6.8%21.1%6.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg---174.7%30.8%6.1%9.4%7.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-28.3%-32.5%0.1%0.1%1.8%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-152.6%--40.6%26.6%7.4%11.9%7.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg---106.9%28.4%7.5%12.9%10.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-168.1%--40.6%23.5%4.8%9.0%4.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg---111.2%25.6%4.7%9.2%6.9%

Valuation

UMACBGINVELOAAPLDELLSTXMedian
NameUnusual .BGIN Blo.Velo3D Apple Dell Tec.Seagate . 
Mkt Cap0.3--4,183.294.257.175.7
P/S54.6--9.30.85.67.4
P/EBIT-12.7--29.111.127.719.4
P/E-12.7--38.216.934.525.7
P/CFO-35.8--35.011.146.923.0
Total Yield-7.9%--3.0%7.6%4.1%3.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%--0.4%1.7%1.2%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---3.1%7.6%3.0%3.1%
D/E0.0--0.00.30.10.1
Net D/E-0.2--0.00.20.10.0

Returns

UMACBGINVELOAAPLDELLSTXMedian
NameUnusual .BGIN Blo.Velo3D Apple Dell Tec.Seagate . 
1M Rtn-9.4%-25.6%48.1%4.0%-10.1%6.1%-2.7%
3M Rtn18.0%-73.7%17.2%10.1%44.8%18.0%
6M Rtn67.8%--40.2%25.3%109.8%54.0%
12M Rtn21.6%--16.0%12.2%178.7%18.8%
3Y Rtn---94.3%243.6%462.2%243.6%
1M Excs Rtn-10.7%-26.9%46.9%2.8%-11.4%4.8%-4.0%
3M Excs Rtn8.6%-70.3%11.4%5.9%35.8%11.4%
6M Excs Rtn52.3%--24.8%9.8%94.3%38.5%
12M Excs Rtn-40.8%--4.3%-0.9%150.4%1.7%
3Y Excs Rtn---28.6%166.7%397.7%166.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,956,470
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202571.7%
Average Daily Volume3,162,798
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.57
Basic Shares Quantity30,002,179
Short % of Basic Shares16.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024327202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023322202410-K 12/31/2023
63020239192023S-1/A 6/30/2023
33120236142023S-1/A 3/31/2023
123120222152024424B1 12/31/2022

Industry Resources

Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources
The Verge
TechRadar
Tom’s Hardware
PCMag
CNET