Red Cat (RCAT)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $9.13 | Market Cap: $909.2 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Red Cat (RCAT)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $9.13Market Cap: $909.2 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -52 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -323% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Drone Technology, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 56x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15% | |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -392%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -400% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 118% | |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23% | |
| Short seller reportFuzzy Panda Research report on 10/10/2025. | |
| Key risksRCAT key risks include [1] significant unprofitability and high cash burn, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Drone Technology, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -52 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -323% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 56x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -392%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -400% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 118% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23% |
| Short seller reportFuzzy Panda Research report on 10/10/2025. |
| Key risksRCAT key risks include [1] significant unprofitability and high cash burn, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the movement of Red Cat (RCAT) stock for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 25, 2025: 1. Strong Q2 2025 Financial Position and U.S. Army Contract.In mid-August 2025, Red Cat reported its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025, highlighting a strong balance sheet with $66.9 million in cash and accounts receivable. The company also announced the execution of the TD3 LRP contract with the U.S. Army, involving the delivery of up to 690 SRR Black Widow systems. This news likely contributed positively to investor sentiment at the beginning of the period. 2. Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings Report.
On November 13, 2025, Red Cat issued its Q3 2025 earnings report. While the company missed analysts' consensus estimates for earnings per share (EPS) at -$0.16 against an expected -$0.07, its reported revenue of $9.65 million surpassed analysts' expectations of $8.18 million. This mixed financial performance could have led to fluctuations in the stock price. Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -12.4% change in RCAT stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -45.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 9242025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.38 | 9.09 | -12.43% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 9.16 | 16.03 | 75.00% |
| P/S Multiple | 103.46 | 56.47 | -45.42% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 91.30 | 99.58 | -9.08% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13.15% |
Market Drivers
9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RCAT | -12.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.4% | 55.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 3.4% | 49.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 28.4% change in RCAT stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 30.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 6252025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.08 | 9.09 | 28.39% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12.25 | 16.03 | 30.85% |
| P/S Multiple | 49.42 | 56.47 | 14.27% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 85.51 | 99.58 | -16.46% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.91% |
Market Drivers
6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RCAT | 28.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.0% | 35.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 10.0% | 34.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -23.5% change in RCAT stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -30.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 12242024 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.89 | 9.09 | -23.55% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16.47 | 16.03 | -2.67% |
| P/S Multiple | 55.00 | 56.47 | 2.67% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 76.18 | 99.58 | -30.71% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -30.76% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RCAT | -23.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 43.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 18.6% | 37.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1077.3% change in RCAT stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 582.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12252022 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.77 | 9.09 | 1077.31% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5.04 | 16.03 | 217.85% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.28 | 56.47 | 582.07% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 54.08 | 99.58 | -84.14% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 243.76% |
Market Drivers
12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RCAT | 1065.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.9% | 27.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 42.7% | 25.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RCAT Return | 44% | 32% | -55% | -6% | 1360% | -29% | 735% |
| Peers Return | 28% | -14% | -17% | 29% | 24% | 141% | 251% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RCAT Win Rate | 17% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 32% | 33% | 45% | 42% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RCAT Max Drawdown | -64% | 0% | -63% | -41% | -34% | -64% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -22% | -29% | -21% | -18% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AVAV, KTOS, ONDS, AIRO, LHX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RCAT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -92.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1190.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 350 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -82.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 475.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 408 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -94.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1642.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,851 days | 120 days |
Compare to FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, VWAV
In The Past
Red Cat's stock fell -92.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/16/2021. A -92.3% loss requires a 1190.7% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- The American DJI for military and government drones.
- A mini Lockheed Martin specializing in drone technology for defense.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the major products and services of Red Cat (RCAT):- Teal 2 sUAS: An advanced, small unmanned aerial system designed primarily for short-range reconnaissance and data collection for defense and government applications.
- Teal Golden Eagle sUAS: A military-grade small unmanned aerial system providing reconnaissance, security, and situational awareness capabilities for government and defense clients.
- Skypoint Platform: A cloud-based software platform that provides data analysis and insights from imagery and information collected by Teal Drones.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Red Cat Holdings (RCAT) primarily sells its advanced drone systems and services to government entities and large enterprise customers. While a portion of its business (Fat Shark FPV goggles) serves individual consumers, the significant majority of its revenue and strategic focus is on B2B and B2G (Business-to-Government) markets.
Its major customers include:
- U.S. Department of Defense (DoD): As consistently highlighted in Red Cat's filings and investor communications, the U.S. Department of Defense, including specific branches like the U.S. Army and U.S. Customs and Border Protection, is a predominant customer. The DoD often represents a significant portion of Red Cat's revenue, particularly through its Teal Drones subsidiary's platforms. (Note: The U.S. Department of Defense is a government entity, not a public company, therefore no stock symbol is applicable.)
- Stellantis N.V. (STLA): Skypersonic, a Red Cat subsidiary focused on drone-based inspection solutions, has partnered with this global automotive manufacturer for factory inspections. This represents a significant enterprise customer in the industrial sector.
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Jeffrey M. Thompson Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Thompson has served as President, Chief Executive Officer, and Director of Red Cat Holdings since May 2019, following the acquisition of Red Cat Propware, Inc., a company he founded. He is a serial tech entrepreneur known for founding and leading companies from startup to successful exits and IPOs. Previously, he founded EdgeNet Inc., a private Internet service provider that was sold to Citadel Broadcasting Corporation in 1997. He also co-founded and served as President, CEO, and Director of Towerstream Corporation (NASDAQ:TWER), a fixed-wireless company, from 2005 to 2016.
Christian Koji Ericson Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Ericson was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Red Cat Holdings, effective March 17, 2025. He brings over 20 years of experience in finance and accounting, including 11 years with PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC). Prior to joining Red Cat, he was the Head of Finance and Accounting at Western Steel Buildings, where he scaled financial operations. Mr. Ericson also held senior finance roles at Nu Skin Enterprises, serving as Chief Audit Executive, VP of Business Development, and VP of Finance for its agriculture technology division.
George Matus Chief Technology Officer
Mr. Matus was appointed Chief Technology Officer of Red Cat Holdings in November 2023. He founded Teal Drones in 2015, a company that was later acquired by Red Cat in August 2021. A Peter Thiel Fellow and Forbes 30 Under 30 member, Mr. Matus has been instrumental in leading efforts to secure defense contracts, including the U.S. Army's Short-Range Reconnaissance (SRR) Program of Record contract.
Geoffrey Hitchcock General Manager of Teal Drones, Senior Vice President for Global Defense Solutions
Mr. Hitchcock has served as the General Manager of Teal Drones, a Red Cat subsidiary, since March 2024. Prior to this, he was the Senior Vice President for Global Defense Solutions at Red Cat Holdings starting in September 2021. His background includes serving as Vice President for Sales and Business Development at Vantage Robotics, a supplier of UAVs, and Director of International Business Development and Director of Flight Operations at AeroVironment, a leading manufacturer of uncrewed aircraft systems.
Brendan Stewart Senior Vice President of Regulatory and Government Affairs
Mr. Stewart serves as the Senior Vice President of Regulatory and Government Affairs for Red Cat Holdings. No detailed background information for Mr. Stewart was readily available in the provided search results.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Red Cat Holdings (RCAT) primarily revolve around its financial sustainability, its ability to execute on critical government contracts, and ongoing legal challenges.
- Financial Sustainability and Profitability: Red Cat Holdings is currently operating at a significant loss, characterized by negative gross margins and substantial cash burn. This unprofitability raises concerns about the company's long-term financial viability. Should Red Cat fail to improve its margins and achieve profitability, it may be compelled to raise additional capital through dilutive equity offerings, which could negatively impact existing shareholders' ownership and the fair value of their investments. The company's valuation is considered rich, already factoring in near-perfect execution despite its current financial state. Success largely depends on its ability to scale production effectively and transition to a profitable business model.
- Execution Risk and Dependence on Government Contracts: A significant portion of Red Cat's expected revenue is tied to U.S. government contracts, particularly the U.S. Army Short Range Reconnaissance (SRR) program. Scaling production to fulfill these obligations poses a substantial operational challenge. Any delays in production, cost overruns, or quality control issues could severely damage its credibility with military clients, hindering its ability to secure future contracts. The company has already experienced delays in revenue recognition due to government budget timelines and changes to contracts, and it previously admitted to significantly lower production capacity at its Salt Lake City facility than initially indicated, with full capacity delayed by several years.
- Legal and Reputational Risk from Class-Action Lawsuit: Red Cat Holdings is currently facing a securities class-action lawsuit. This lawsuit alleges that the company made misrepresentations regarding its drone production capabilities and the actual value of its government contracts, which reportedly led to significant stock price declines. Even if the company ultimately prevails in court, the legal proceedings could drain substantial financial resources and divert management's focus from core operational priorities. Such legal challenges also have the potential to damage investor confidence and the company's overall reputation.
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The accelerated expansion and technological advancements of well-funded competitors in the market for NDAA-compliant, autonomous drones for defense and enterprise applications. Specifically, companies like Skydio, with their recent product launches (e.g., Skydio X10) and increasing capture of significant government contracts, are intensifying competitive pressure. This development directly targets and potentially dominates the niche where Red Cat's Teal Drones subsidiary operates, threatening to limit Red Cat's market share and growth opportunities in a specialized and high-value segment.
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Red Cat (RCAT) operates in various segments of the drone industry, with its main products and services focused on defense, government, and commercial operations through its subsidiaries like Teal Drones and Skypersonic. The addressable markets for these areas are substantial:
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Global Military Drone (UAV) Market: This market, which includes unmanned aerial systems for defense, was valued at approximately USD 21.81 billion in 2024. It is projected to grow to USD 56.69 billion by 2033, demonstrating a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 11.20% from 2025 to 2033. North America is a significant region within this market, with some reports indicating it held an overwhelming foothold and 40.1% market share in 2023.
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Global Drone Software Market: Essential for mission planning, data analysis, and autonomous navigation across various sectors, the global drone software market was estimated at USD 9.27 billion in 2024. It is projected to reach USD 24.39 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 16.0% from 2025 to 2030. North America held the largest share of this market, accounting for over 34% in 2024.
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Global Drone-Powered Business Solutions Market / Enterprise Drone Management Solutions: This market encompasses various commercial applications, including inspection and surveying, a key area for Red Cat's Skypersonic subsidiary. The global drone-powered business solutions market was valued at USD 8.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 47.6 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 19.3%. Another estimate places the market at USD 19.45 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 297.02 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 28.2% from 2025 to 2035. North America holds the largest share of this market, accounting for 38.2% in 2024. The inspection and survey market, specifically noted as an area for Skypersonic, is estimated to be a $21 billion industry.
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U.S. Short Range Reconnaissance (SRR) Program: While a specific program rather than a broad market, it represents a significant opportunity for Red Cat. The estimated Total Addressable Market (TAM) or Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM) for the first year of deliveries (May-September 2025) is approximately $79 million.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Red Cat (RCAT) anticipates several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next two to three years:
- U.S. Army Short Range Reconnaissance (SRR) Program of Record (Black Widow Sales): Red Cat is one of two finalists for the U.S. Army's SRR program and expects a substantial contract award. The company's 2025 revenue guidance includes $25 million to $65 million specifically from SRR-related Black Widow sales. The Army has signaled plans to "go big" on procurement for the $5.88 billion five-year SRR program, starting with 5,880 Black Widow systems.
- Expansion of "Family of Systems" Product Portfolio: Red Cat is diversifying its product offerings beyond the SRR program, including non-SRR Black Widow sales, the Edge 130 drone (acquired through FlightWave), and Fang FPV products. The company has provided 2025 revenue guidance that allocates $25 million for non-SRR Black Widow sales, $25 million for Edge 130 sales, and $5 million for Fang FPV sales. Production of these drones is ramping up, with plans to reach 150 Edge 130 drones per month by year-end, targeting an $81 million annual run rate for the Edge 130 alone.
- International Market Expansion and NATO Contracts: The company is actively pursuing and securing international opportunities, particularly with NATO allies, which are expected to generate significant revenue. Red Cat has introduced its Black Widow and Edge 130 drones to markets in Latin America, the Middle East, and Asia Pacific. These NATO programs of record are anticipated to be substantially larger than the U.S. SRR program.
- Entry into Uncrewed Surface Vessels (USVs) via Blue Ops, Inc.: Red Cat launched a new division, Blue Ops, Inc., to develop uncrewed surface vessels, marking its strategic entry into the rapidly growing maritime autonomy market. This expansion aims to provide integrated platforms to enhance safety and multi-domain mission effectiveness, though significant revenue from this new division is not expected in 2025.
- Strategic Partnerships and Advanced AI Integration: Red Cat is leveraging strategic partnerships, notably with Palantir, to integrate advanced AI capabilities and optimize manufacturing processes. The deployment of Palantir's Warp Speed manufacturing OS is expected to enhance production workflows, reduce costs, and accelerate scalability at Red Cat's facilities, making their drone offerings more competitive and attractive.
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Share Issuance
- Red Cat Holdings closed a public offering in September 2025, issuing 17,968,750 shares of common stock and generating approximately $172.5 million in gross proceeds.
- In June 2025, the company completed a registered direct offering of 6,448,276 shares of common stock, resulting in gross proceeds of approximately $46.75 million.
- Red Cat Holdings closed a registered direct offering in April 2025, selling 4,724,412 shares of common stock to institutional investors for gross proceeds of approximately $30 million.
Outbound Investments
- The company is expanding into the maritime domain with a newly launched Unmanned Surface Vessels (USVs) division, marking a strategic pivot from its traditional focus on aerial drones.
- Red Cat Holdings increased operating expenses in Q2 FY2025 due to higher headcount, including personnel from the FlightWave acquisition.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were reported as $0.26 million in 2024, $2.70 million in 2023, and $0.36 million in 2022.
- Red Cat is focusing on manufacturing expansion, including doubling Black Widow production to 1,000 units per month and establishing a Florida-based boatyard by Q3 2025 to build seven-meter USVs.
- The company is investing in scaling its production manufacturing facility to increase revenue and improve gross margins, particularly to fulfill the U.S. Army's Short Range Reconnaissance program contract.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can Red Cat Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return | |
| Red Cat Stock Shares Rally 12% In A Day, Now Is Not The Time To Buy The Stock | Buy or Fear | |
| Red Cat (RCAT) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | |
| Red Cat (RCAT) Revenue Comparison | Financials | |
| Red Cat (RCAT) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Red Cat (RCAT) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Red Cat (RCAT) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | |
| Red Cat (RCAT) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | |
| Red Cat (RCAT) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| Red Cat (RCAT) Debt Comparison | Financials |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to RCAT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.7% | 18.7% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | 4.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.9% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.4% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Red Cat
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 44.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.7 |
| Rev LTM | 690 |
| Op Inc LTM | -26 |
| FCF LTM | -64 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -36 |
| CFO LTM | -34 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -35 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 46.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 48.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 88.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 16.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -6.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -31.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -14.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -4.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -18.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $9.09 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/16/2018 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -40.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $8.87 | $8.30 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | 2.4% | 9.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 110.2% | 118.9% |
| Downside Capture | 581.32 | 380.10 |
| Upside Capture | 412.83 | 303.62 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 55.5% | 43.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.98 | 4.51 | 4.57 | 4.02 | 2.70 | 1.58 |
| Up Beta | 4.88 | 4.92 | 5.80 | 4.67 | 1.80 | 0.94 |
| Down Beta | 2.15 | 4.55 | 4.92 | 5.11 | 3.29 | 2.62 |
| Up Capture | 96% | 307% | 350% | 476% | 784% | 725% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 19 | 29 | 57 | 113 | 350 |
| Down Capture | 496% | 430% | 376% | 276% | 164% | 106% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 34 | 67 | 133 | 373 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of RCAT With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCAT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 0.1% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 71.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -10.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 119.9% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.55 | 0.87 | 0.78 | 2.69 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 38.2% | 44.1% | 2.6% | 12.9% | 21.0% | 28.2% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of RCAT With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCAT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 45.8% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 32.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 134.5% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.81 | 0.66 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.59 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 13.6% | 15.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 11.0% | 14.6% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of RCAT With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCAT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 130.5% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 151,400.2% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.44 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | -4.0% | -1.9% | 6.4% | -6.3% | 0.1% | 2.4% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/18/2024 | -6.4% | -0.6% | 82.1% |
| 9/15/2023 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 5.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| # Negative | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Median Positive | 1.0% | 1.6% | 43.6% |
| Median Negative | -6.4% | -0.6% | |
| Max Positive | 1.0% | 1.6% | 82.1% |
| Max Negative | -6.4% | -0.6% | |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3312025 | 10-KT 12/31/2024 |
| 10312024 | 12162024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9232024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 8082024 | 10-K 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3182024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12152023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9192023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 7272023 | 10-K 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3072023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12152022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9122022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 7272022 | 10-K 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3172022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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