Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 345%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Drone Technology, Show more.

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -81 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -149%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 21x

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -193%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -217%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 116%

Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 24%

Short seller report
Fuzzy Panda Research report on 10/10/2025.

Key risks
RCAT key risks include [1] significant unprofitability and high cash burn, Show more.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 345%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Drone Technology, Show more.
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -81 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -149%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 21x
5 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -193%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -217%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 116%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 24%
10 Short seller report
Fuzzy Panda Research report on 10/10/2025.
11 Key risks
RCAT key risks include [1] significant unprofitability and high cash burn, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Red Cat (RCAT) stock has lost about 30% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Weaker-than-expected Q1 2026 Financial Results. Red Cat reported its first-quarter 2026 earnings on May 7, 2026, missing analysts' expectations. The company announced an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.22, falling short of the consensus estimate of -$0.13 by $0.10. Quarterly revenue also missed forecasts, coming in at $15.47 million against an expected $17.63 million. This performance contributed to negative market sentiment despite an 849% year-over-year revenue increase.

2. Significant Operating Losses and Increased Cash Burn. The company experienced a substantial widening of its operating loss in Q1 2026 to $27.3 million, up from $12.5 million in the prior year quarter. The net loss for the quarter reached $26.6 million. This was primarily driven by a 152% increase in operating expenses and a 201% rise in stock-based compensation, which reached $4.8 million. Furthermore, net cash used in operating activities amounted to $31.9 million, largely due to a significant increase in inventory and prepaid inventory from $30.4 million at December 31, 2025, to $62.7 million at March 31, 2026, which raises concerns about capital efficiency.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -30.3% change in RCAT stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -75.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265252026Change
Stock Price ($)13.509.41-30.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1655240.4%
P/S Multiple83.920.8-75.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)100121-17.6%
Cumulative Contribution-30.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
RCAT-30.3% 
Market (SPY)8.1%36.8%
Sector (XLI)4.1%34.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -16.4% change in RCAT stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -81.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255252026Change
Stock Price ($)11.259.41-16.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)955495.8%
P/S Multiple112.120.8-81.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)91121-24.5%
Cumulative Contribution-16.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
RCAT-16.4% 
Market (SPY)9.9%37.2%
Sector (XLI)11.5%38.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 87.5% change in RCAT stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 231.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020255252026Change
Stock Price ($)5.029.4187.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1655231.4%
P/S Multiple23.220.8-10.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)76121-37.0%
Cumulative Contribution87.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
RCAT87.5% 
Market (SPY)36.0%34.8%
Sector (XLI)32.7%34.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 963.3% change in RCAT stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 1024.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020235252026Change
Stock Price ($)0.899.41963.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5551024.2%
P/S Multiple9.920.8110.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)54121-55.1%
Cumulative Contribution963.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
RCAT963.3% 
Market (SPY)86.3%24.7%
Sector (XLI)79.6%23.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
RCAT Return32%-55%-6%1360%-38%14%472%
Peers Return-14%-17%29%24%135%-17%121%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%98%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RCAT Win Rate33%50%50%75%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate32%33%45%42%55%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RCAT Max Drawdown-74%-72%-61%-47%-67%-51% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-39%-29%-29%-49%-48% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AVAV, KTOS, ONDS, AIRO, LHX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/22/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventRCATS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-46.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven87.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven49 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-50.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven100.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven131 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-31.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven56 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-39.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven636 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-76.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven325.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven408 days140 days

Compare to AVAV, KTOS, ONDS, AIRO, LHX

In The Past

Red Cat's stock fell -46.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 87.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventRCATS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-46.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven87.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven49 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-50.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven100.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven131 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-31.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven56 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-39.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven636 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-76.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven325.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven408 days140 days

Compare to AVAV, KTOS, ONDS, AIRO, LHX

In The Past

Red Cat's stock fell -46.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 87.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Red Cat (RCAT)

Red Cat Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides various products, services, and solutions to the drone industry. It offers commercial and government unmanned aerial vehicle technology for reconnaissance, public safety, and inspection applications. The company also provides First Person View (FPV) video goggles; and software and hardware solutions that enable drones to complete inspection services in locations where global positioning systems are not available. In addition, it is involved in the resale of FPV drones and equipment primarily to the consumer marketplace. Further, the company is developing drone flight data analytics and storage solutions, as well as diagnostic products and services. Red Cat Holdings, Inc. is based in Humacao, Puerto Rico.

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'Honeywell for drones'.

'Cisco for the drone industry'.

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  • Commercial & Government UAV Technology: Provides unmanned aerial vehicle technology for reconnaissance, public safety, and inspection applications.
  • FPV Video Goggles: Offers First Person View (FPV) video goggles for drone operation.
  • GPS-Denied Environment Solutions: Develops software and hardware solutions that enable drones to complete inspection services in locations where global positioning systems are not available.
  • FPV Drone & Equipment Resale: Resells FPV drones and associated equipment primarily to the consumer marketplace.
  • Drone Flight Data Analytics & Storage: Developing drone flight data analytics and storage solutions.
  • Drone Diagnostic Products & Services: Developing diagnostic products and services for drones.

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Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) serves a diverse range of customers across its various product and service offerings. Given its mixed business model, which includes both business-to-business (B2B), business-to-government (B2G), and business-to-consumer (B2C) sales, its major customers can be categorized as follows:

  • Government Agencies: This category includes military, intelligence, and public safety organizations (such as police departments, fire services, and emergency response teams) that utilize Red Cat's unmanned aerial vehicle technology for reconnaissance, surveillance, and public safety applications.
  • Commercial Enterprises: Companies across various industries, including energy, utilities, infrastructure, construction, and potentially mining, are customers for Red Cat's advanced drone technology, specialized inspection services (especially in GPS-denied environments), and developing drone flight data analytics and storage solutions.
  • Individual Consumers and Hobbyists: Red Cat serves the consumer marketplace through the resale of FPV (First Person View) drones and related equipment. This category primarily includes drone enthusiasts, hobbyists, and professional drone pilots who purchase products for recreational use, drone racing, or specialized aerial content creation.

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Jeffrey Thompson, President, Chief Executive Officer and Director

Jeffrey Thompson has been President, Chief Executive Officer, and Director of Red Cat Holdings, Inc. since May 2019, following the acquisition of Red Cat Propware, Inc., a company he founded. He is described as a serial tech entrepreneur with a history of founding and leading companies from startup to successful exits and IPOs. Previously, Mr. Thompson founded EdgeNet Inc., a privately held Internet service provider that was sold to Citadel Broadcasting Corporation in 1997. He also co-founded and served as President, Chief Executive Officer, and Director of Towerstream Corporation (NASDAQ:TWER), a fixed-wireless company, from November 2005 to February 2016.

Christian Morrison, Chief Financial Officer

Christian Morrison was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Red Cat Holdings, Inc. in December 2025. He brings over 20 years of experience in corporate finance, encompassing high-stakes financial milestones such as IPOs, M&A transactions, divestitures, strategic planning, and capital markets. Before joining Red Cat, Mr. Morrison served as Vice President, Finance, and Interim Chief Financial Officer at Skullcandy, Inc. from 2018 to 2025, where he played a pivotal role in the strategic transition from public to private governance. He was also a financial leader at Varex Imaging, Inc. from 2016 to 2018 as Director of SEC Reporting and Technical Accounting, instrumental in the carve-out of Varex Imaging, Inc. as a separate public company.

Christian Koji Ericson, Chief Operating Officer

Christian Koji Ericson was promoted to Chief Operating Officer in December 2025. Prior to this, he served as Red Cat's Chief Financial Officer since March 2025. Mr. Ericson has over 20 years of finance and accounting experience, including 11 years with PricewaterhouseCoopers. He also held senior finance roles at Nu Skin Enterprises, where he was Chief Audit Executive, VP of Business Development, and VP of Finance for its agriculture technology division. Most recently, before joining Red Cat, he was Head of Finance and Accounting at Western Steel Buildings, where he was involved in scaling financial operations.

Geoffrey Hitchcock, Chief Revenue Officer

Geoffrey Hitchcock serves as the Chief Revenue Officer of Red Cat Holdings, Inc. and has been the General Manager of its subsidiary, Teal Drones, Inc., since March 2024. Previously, he was the Senior Vice President for Global Defense Solutions at Red Cat Holdings, Inc. since September 2021. Before joining Red Cat, Mr. Hitchcock was the Vice President for Sales and Business Development at Vantage Robotics, a supplier of military and commercial UAVs, from April 2021 through August 2021. He also has a distinguished background of twenty-two years in the U.S. Air Force, where he served as the UAV Subject Matter Expert for the Air Force Special Operations Command.

George Matus, Chief Technology Officer

George Matus was appointed Chief Technology Officer of Red Cat Holdings, Inc. in November 2023. He founded Teal Drones in 2015 and continued to lead the company after it was acquired by Red Cat in August 2021, serving as its CEO. Mr. Matus has been instrumental in the company's efforts to secure the U.S. Army's Short-Range Reconnaissance (SRR) contract. He is also a Peter Thiel Fellow and has been recognized as a Forbes 30 Under 30 member.

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Here are the key risks to Red Cat's business:
  1. Financial Sustainability and Profitability: Red Cat Holdings is currently deeply unprofitable, characterized by negative gross margins and significant cash burn from operations. The company incurs high operating expenses related to research and development, marketing, and administration. This financial strain raises concerns about its ability to achieve profitability and may necessitate additional external funding, potentially leading to dilutive capital raises for existing shareholders.
  2. Execution Risk and Reliance on Government Contracts: The company faces substantial execution risk in scaling production to fulfill its obligations, particularly for major government contracts like the U.S. Army's Short Range Reconnaissance (SRR) program. Delays in production, cost overruns, or quality control issues could severely damage its credibility with military clients and hinder future contract acquisition. A significant portion of Red Cat's revenue is tied to U.S. government contracts, exposing it to risks associated with changes in procurement cycles, budget shifts, and the government's option to refresh drone models or switch contractors. There have also been allegations of overstated production capabilities and contract importance, which could lead to legal and reputational damage.
  3. Market Volatility, Competition, and Rapid Technological Change: Red Cat's stock has experienced extreme price volatility, reflecting investor uncertainty and market fluctuations. The drone industry is highly competitive, with numerous players, and is characterized by rapid technological advancements. This rapid evolution presents a risk that Red Cat's current products could quickly become obsolete, necessitating continuous and costly investment in research and development to remain competitive.

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For Red Cat (RCAT), the addressable markets for its main products and services are estimated as follows:

  • Commercial and Government Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) Technology for Reconnaissance, Public Safety, and Inspection Applications:

    • The global commercial drone market was valued at approximately USD 30.02 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 54.64 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 10.6% from 2025 to 2030. Other estimates place the global commercial drone market at USD 13.86 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 65.25 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 20.8% during the forecast period. Additionally, another report valued the global commercial drone market at USD 38.2 Billion in 2025, expecting it to reach USD 189.9 Billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 19.50% from 2026-2034.

      The broader global Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) market, which encompasses both commercial and government applications, was valued at approximately USD 44.54 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to USD 209.91 billion by 2035, representing a CAGR of 16.77% from 2026 to 2035. Another estimate projects the global UAV market size to grow from USD 47.55 billion in 2026 to USD 160.44 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 16.40%.

    • The global public safety drones market was valued at USD 2.3 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 9.9 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 15.7% from 2024 to 2033. North America held the dominant public safety drone market share in 2024. Another report indicates the market was valued at USD 1.6 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 4.1 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 9.87%.
    • The global inspection drones market was valued at USD 3.37 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 12.34 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 17.6%. Another source estimates the global inspection drones market size at USD 10.2 billion in 2022, expected to reach USD 39.8 billion by 2032 at a CAGR of 14.5%. The market is also projected to reach USD 61.4 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 21.66% during the forecast period (2025-2034).
  • First Person View (FPV) Video Goggles and Resale of FPV Drones and Equipment (Consumer Marketplace):

    • The global FPV Drone Market was valued at USD 287 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1.12 billion by the end of 2030, growing at a CAGR of 31.38% from 2025-2030. Another source estimates the global FPV Racing Drone Market reached USD 759.2 million in 2024 and is projected to grow to approximately USD 3,906.6 million by 2034, at a CAGR of 17.80%. The estimated worth of the global FPV Drone Market stands at USD 335.62 Million in 2023, with projections indicating an increase to USD 1349.66 Million by 2030, representing a growth rate of 19% during the forecast period from 2024 to 2030.
  • Software and Hardware Solutions for GPS-Denied Inspection, Drone Flight Data Analytics, and Storage Solutions:

    • The global drone software market was valued at USD 9.27 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 24.39 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 16.0% from 2025 to 2030. Other estimates for the global drone software market include USD 5.9 billion in 2023 and USD 6.8 billion in 2023, projected to reach USD 43.20 billion by the end of 2030 with a CAGR of 26%.
    • The global drone analytics market size was estimated at USD 14.99 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 49.97 billion in 2030, growing at a CAGR of 22.0% from 2025 to 2030. Another report valued the global drone analytics market size at USD 18.64 billion in 2025 and projected it to grow to USD 115.05 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 22.42% during the forecast period.
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Red Cat Holdings (RCAT) is poised for significant revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors in the rapidly expanding defense and national security sectors.

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. U.S. Army Short Range Reconnaissance (SRR) Program of Record and Black Widow Drone Sales: A primary driver is the company's Black Widow drone, which was selected as the sole provider for the U.S. Army's SRR Program of Record. Red Cat secured an expanded TD3/LRIP (Tranche 3/Limited Rate Production) contract with the U.S. Army for Black Widow systems, valued at approximately $35 million. The long-term SRR program could involve the acquisition of up to 5,880 Black Widow drones over five years, with a potential future FRIP (Full Rate Production) contract expected to further accelerate orders from hundreds to thousands of drones. SRR-related sales alone are projected to contribute $25-$65 million to FY2025 revenue.
  2. Expansion in Government and International Defense Markets: Beyond the SRR program, Red Cat is experiencing increased adoption of its specialized drone solutions within the broader defense and national security sectors, including federal agencies and over 10 NATO countries. The Teal 2 drone is gaining traction as a preferred small unmanned aerial system (sUAS) for the Department of Defense (DoD), and the company anticipates continued growth from sales of its Edge 130 VTOL drones and FANG drones, backed by increasing government orders and new international contracts. This expansion is supported by a global rise in defense expenditures on drone technology.
  3. Entry into the Maritime Domain with Blue Ops: Red Cat launched a new Maritime Division, Blue Ops, focusing on developing and delivering uncrewed surface vessel (USV) weapons systems. This division has established a 155,000 square foot facility with a manufacturing capacity of over 500 vessels per year, representing a significant new market opportunity. The anticipated increase in USV shipments is aligned with the DoD's commitment to maritime autonomy, indicating a robust demand for Red Cat's innovative solutions in this emerging sector.
  4. Advanced Software Integrations and AI Capabilities: Red Cat is enhancing its drone platforms through strategic software integrations and technological advancements, which can drive both sales and higher margins. Key initiatives include integrating Palantir Technologies' Visual Navigation (VNav) software into the Black Widow drone for operations in GPS-denied environments. The company is also working on integrating Teledyne FLIR's Prism AI into next-generation drones and incorporating AI-driven voice control technology through a partnership with Primordial Labs, further improving autonomous drone control and functionality. These advanced capabilities increase the strategic value and appeal of Red Cat's offerings to military buyers.

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Share Issuance

  • In July 2021, Red Cat Holdings closed a public offering of 13,333,334 shares of common stock at $4.50 per share, generating gross proceeds of approximately $60,000,000. The funds were intended for services, sales and marketing, strategic acquisitions, and general working capital.
  • The company completed a registered direct offering in April 2025, selling 4,724,412 shares of common stock to institutional investors for gross proceeds of approximately $30,000,000. These funds were designated for general corporate purposes and working capital.
  • In September 2025, Red Cat Holdings announced the closing of an underwritten public offering of 17,968,750 shares of common stock, including the full exercise of the underwriters' over-allotment option, resulting in gross proceeds of approximately $172,500,000. The net proceeds were intended for general corporate and working capital purposes, including operating expenditures for its new unmanned surface vessel division.

Outbound Investments

  • Proceeds from a July 2021 public offering were intended, in part, for strategic acquisitions.
  • Red Cat is expanding into the maritime domain through its unmanned surface vessel (USV) division, including Blue Ops, Inc., indicating investments in new product lines and capabilities.

Capital Expenditures

  • Red Cat Holdings reported annual capital expenditures of $2,450,000 in 2023 and $422,700 in 2024.
  • For the quarter ending September 30, 2025, capital expenditures were $669,600, marking a significant increase of 2,713.45% from the same period in the prior year.
  • The company's capital expenditures have focused on aggressive investment in production and engineering to meet increasing demand, particularly for new Army contracts and defense programs.

Better Bets vs. Red Cat (RCAT)

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RCATAVAVKTOSONDSAIROLHXMedian
NameRed Cat AeroViro.Kratos D.Ondas AIRO L3Harris. 
Mkt Price9.41174.2356.189.066.56311.9832.80
Mkt Cap1.18.79.94.00.258.36.3
Rev LTM551,6101,415978822,477756
Op Inc LTM-81-9528-91-432,233-62
FCF LTM-118-246-133-87-452,589-103
FCF 3Y Avg-58-91-49-50-92,002-50
CFO LTM-105-174-40-83-403,053-62
CFO 3Y Avg-53-5224-48-72,439-28

Growth & Margins

RCATAVAVKTOSONDSAIROLHXMedian
NameRed Cat AeroViro.Kratos D.Ondas AIRO L3Harris. 
Rev Chg LTM345.5%116.9%21.8%793.2%3.6%5.8%69.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg167.4%55.7%15.0%330.1%86.0%8.9%70.8%
Rev Chg Q849.1%143.4%22.6%1,079.9%-24.5%11.9%83.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM34.0%17.5%5.1%90.4%-3.2%2.8%11.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM-138.8%-388.7%-5.5%-153.5%-338.8%3.8%-146.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-66.5%58,379.5%145.2%-40.9%-56.7%7.1%-16.9%
Op Mgn LTM-149.2%-5.9%2.0%-93.9%-48.7%9.9%-27.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-203.8%2.2%2.6%-225.9%-29.1%9.7%-13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM14.3%-0.8%-0.1%21.2%-17.0%0.1%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-192.7%-10.8%-2.8%-86.3%-45.5%13.6%-28.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-212.3%-2.8%2.4%-199.1%-6.4%11.4%-4.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-216.8%-15.3%-9.4%-89.7%-51.0%11.5%-33.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-224.0%-6.3%-3.5%-207.7%-8.9%9.3%-7.6%

Valuation

RCATAVAVKTOSONDSAIROLHXMedian
NameRed Cat AeroViro.Kratos D.Ondas AIRO L3Harris. 
Mkt Cap1.18.79.94.00.258.36.3
P/S20.85.47.041.72.32.66.2
P/Op Inc-14.0-91.2358.6-44.4-4.826.1-9.4
P/EBIT-14.0-78.8227.816.46.022.011.2
P/E-15.1-38.6337.816.5-11.733.62.4
P/CFO-10.8-49.8-246.5-48.4-5.119.1-29.6
Total Yield-6.6%-2.6%0.3%6.1%-8.5%4.5%-1.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.6%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-23.7%-0.9%-0.3%-27.2%-1.0%4.2%-0.9%
D/E0.00.10.00.00.00.20.0
Net D/E-0.10.0-0.1-0.4-0.20.2-0.1

Returns

RCATAVAVKTOSONDSAIROLHXMedian
NameRed Cat AeroViro.Kratos D.Ondas AIRO L3Harris. 
1M Rtn-20.3%-11.2%-8.3%-14.1%-17.3%-1.7%-12.7%
3M Rtn-26.4%-33.3%-40.4%-11.1%-32.0%-11.8%-29.2%
6M Rtn30.2%-37.1%-24.2%3.9%-16.6%13.7%-6.4%
12M Rtn38.0%3.1%56.0%877.6%64.0%33.6%47.0%
3Y Rtn921.9%88.7%323.0%990.1%64.0%85.6%205.9%
1M Excs Rtn-30.1%-18.8%-19.4%-19.2%-25.6%-10.7%-19.3%
3M Excs Rtn-35.7%-42.6%-49.7%-20.4%-41.3%-21.1%-38.5%
6M Excs Rtn29.8%-50.4%-33.0%8.3%-38.6%-2.8%-17.9%
12M Excs Rtn20.3%-23.4%35.8%919.4%36.1%8.6%28.0%
3Y Excs Rtn800.2%-15.9%217.9%887.1%-15.7%-1.1%108.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Single segment5550
Total5550


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$9.41 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.9 
First Trading Date03/16/2018 
Distance from 52W High-45.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$12.27$11.17
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-23.3%-15.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility107.6%117.0%
Downside Capture349.65375.45
Upside Capture121.53300.13
Correlation (SPY)30.8%33.3%
RCAT Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.042.512.943.363.301.85
Up Beta4.092.242.552.612.451.19
Down Beta6.944.732.773.043.872.55
Up Capture43%193%264%659%1350%3157%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days10213261121357
Down Capture397%215%309%247%196%110%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days12213163127376

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with RCAT
RCAT56.1%116.8%0.92-
Sector ETF (XLI)23.3%15.4%1.1633.0%
Equity (SPY)29.5%12.0%1.8633.0%
Gold (GLD)35.5%26.8%1.1120.5%
Commodities (DBC)42.9%18.7%1.779.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)15.2%13.1%0.8211.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.3%41.8%-0.7834.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with RCAT
RCAT28.3%113.9%0.73-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.2%17.4%0.5418.9%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.0%0.6420.2%
Gold (GLD)18.8%18.0%0.856.9%
Commodities (DBC)10.4%19.4%0.426.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.8%18.8%0.1012.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)11.6%55.3%0.4114.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with RCAT
RCAT118.4%147,738.3%0.42-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.0%20.0%0.62-4.0%
Equity (SPY)15.7%17.9%0.75-1.9%
Gold (GLD)13.0%16.0%0.675.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%17.9%0.35-6.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.5%20.7%0.230.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.7%66.9%1.062.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity29.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 4152026-0.3%
Average Daily Volume10.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity120.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares24.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/20260.1%-6.0% 
1/13/20269.4%20.7%0.5%
3/18/2024-6.4%-0.6%82.1%
9/15/20231.0%1.6%5.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive323
# Negative120
Median Positive1.0%11.2%5.2%
Median Negative-6.4%-3.3% 
Max Positive9.4%20.7%82.1%
Max Negative-6.4%-6.0% 

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202503/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/14/202510-Q
03/31/202505/14/202510-Q
12/31/202403/31/202510-KT
10/31/202412/16/202410-Q
07/31/202409/23/202410-Q
04/30/202408/08/202410-K
01/31/202403/18/202410-Q
10/31/202312/15/202310-Q
07/31/202309/19/202310-Q
04/30/202307/27/202310-K
01/31/202303/07/202310-Q
10/31/202212/15/202210-Q
07/31/202209/12/202210-Q

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Moe, Christopher RDirectSell930202510.9110,000109,100579,026Form
2Moe, Christopher RDirectSell915202510.9610,000109,600691,280Form
3Moe, Christopher RDirectSell915202510.1130,000303,300738,768Form
4Moe, Christopher RDirectSell91520258.9010,00089,000917,350Form
5Moe, Christopher RDirectSell82220259.5816,833161,2601,083,239Form