AgEagle Aerial Systems (UAVS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $0.94 | Market Cap: $30.2 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
AgEagle Aerial Systems (UAVS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $0.94Market Cap: $30.2 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Drone Technology, and Machine Vision. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -142%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.9 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -72% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -40% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -78%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -78% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 348% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 149% | ||
| Key risksUAVS key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Drone Technology, and Machine Vision. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -142%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.9 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -72% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -40% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -78%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -78% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 348% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 149% |
| Key risksUAVS key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
UAVS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
AgEagle Aerial Systems (UAVS) experienced a significant decline of 51.3% in its stock price approximately between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, driven by several key factors.
1. Significant Revenue Contraction in Q3 2025.
AgEagle Aerial Systems reported a substantial decrease in its third-quarter 2025 revenue, which fell to $1.97 million. This represented a 40.0% year-over-year decline compared to Q3 2024 and a 53.1% sequential drop from Q2 2025, indicating a sharp deceleration in top-line performance.
2. Widening Operating Losses and Pressure on Margins.
The company's operational profitability deteriorated, with the operating loss widening to $3.15 million in Q3 2025, compared to $1.86 million in the same quarter of the previous year. This was coupled with a reduction in gross profit and an increase in operating expenses, highlighting challenges in managing costs relative to declining sales.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UAVS Return | 1233% | -74% | -78% | -70% | -97% | -69% | -100% |
| Peers Return | 44% | -9% | -27% | 31% | 31% | 94% | 221% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UAVS Win Rate | 50% | 17% | 17% | 42% | 17% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 43% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UAVS Max Drawdown | -32% | -74% | -80% | -71% | -98% | -78% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -42% | -23% | -43% | -23% | -23% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AVAV, TDY, TRMB, KTOS, ONDS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UAVS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -99.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15297.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -57.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 136.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 28 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -98.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 8380.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -94.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1729.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to BGIN, VELO, AAPL, DELL, STX
In The Past
AgEagle Aerial Systems's stock fell -99.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -99.4% loss requires a 15297.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| AgEagle Aerial Systems Earnings Notes | ||
| With AgEagle Aerial Systems Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UAVS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for AgEagle Aerial Systems
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 74.33 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,327 |
| Op Inc LTM | 8 |
| FCF LTM | -22 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -23 |
| CFO LTM | -9 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 16.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -7.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -1.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -12.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -5.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.8 |
| P/S | 8.4 |
| P/EBIT | 39.6 |
| P/E | 15.1 |
| P/CFO | -32.7 |
| Total Yield | -0.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 23.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 119.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -13.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 15.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 29.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/17/2025 | -8.1% | -4.8% | |
| 8/15/2025 | 0.0% | -6.3% | -17.6% |
| 3/31/2025 | 0.0% | -21.7% | -38.1% |
| 12/6/2022 | -3.6% | 0.6% | -6.7% |
| 8/16/2021 | -1.3% | -17.3% | -14.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| # Negative | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 0.0% | 0.6% | |
| Median Negative | -3.6% | -11.8% | -16.0% |
| Max Positive | 0.0% | 0.6% | |
| Max Negative | -8.1% | -21.7% | -38.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11142025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3312025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11192024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4042023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4122022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |