Tearsheet

Universal Logistics (ULH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.3 | Market Cap: $429.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Universal Logistics (ULH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.3
Market Cap: $429.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 145%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Future of Freight. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 59x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.0%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.9%
5   Key risks
ULH key risks include [1] its heavy customer concentration and reliance on the automotive industry and [2] a substantial debt burden.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Future of Freight. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 145%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 59x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.0%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.9%
8 Key risks
ULH key risks include [1] its heavy customer concentration and reliance on the automotive industry and [2] a substantial debt burden.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ULH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Postponement of Q3 2025 Earnings Release: Universal Logistics Holdings announced on October 23, 2025, the postponement of its third-quarter 2025 financial results. This delay was to allow additional time to complete financial reporting procedures related to the calculation of non-cash impairment charges on certain intangible assets in the company's intermodal segment, which led to a 3.37% decline in ULH's stock on that day.

2. Weak Q3 2025 Financial Performance: On November 6, 2025, Universal Logistics reported its Q3 2025 results. While the company's earnings per share (EPS) of $0.24 beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.18, its revenues of $396.79 million missed the consensus estimate by 0.95% and were lower than the $426.83 million reported in the same quarter a year prior. Furthermore, the EPS was significantly lower compared to $1.01 per share a year ago.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ULH Return10%-7%81%-15%66%-64%-6%
Peers Return23%31%-16%39%14%16%149%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ULH Win Rate50%42%67%50%58%33% 
Peers Win Rate63%63%40%55%48%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ULH Max Drawdown-39%-14%-14%-36%-1%-71% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-5%-28%-9%-18%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JBHT, KNX, XPO, SNDR, CHRW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventULHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven107.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven182 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven145 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven107.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,323 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,618 days1,480 days

Compare to XPO, R, WERN, ODFL, JBHT


In The Past

Universal Logistics's stock fell -51.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/7/2023. A -51.7% loss requires a 107.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Universal Logistics (ULH)

Better Bets than Universal Logistics (ULH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ULH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Universal Logistics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ULHJBHTKNXXPOSNDRCHRWMedian
NameUniversa.JB Hunt .Knight-S.XPO Schneide.C.H. Rob. 
Mkt Price16.30194.1052.66145.1026.75160.1098.88
Mkt Cap0.418.78.517.14.719.212.8
Rev LTM1,63812,0497,4788,0675,61416,5057,772
Op Inc LTM81826321706175797514
FCF LTM-36790-62232114807173
FCF 3Y Avg-62388-2-2063279415
CFO LTM1961,610818949651877847
CFO 3Y Avg1761,647947808699875841

Growth & Margins

ULHJBHTKNXXPOSNDRCHRWMedian
NameUniversa.JB Hunt .Knight-S.XPO Schneide.C.H. Rob. 
Rev Chg LTM-7.5%-1.6%-0.0%-0.3%5.5%-7.1%-0.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.6%-6.3%0.1%38.4%-5.0%-13.4%-5.6%
Rev Chg Q-7.0%-0.5%2.7%2.8%10.4%-10.9%1.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.8%-0.1%0.7%0.7%2.5%-3.0%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM4.9%6.9%4.3%8.8%3.1%4.8%4.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.5%7.2%4.8%8.0%4.4%3.8%6.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.3%0.2%0.0%0.1%-0.2%0.4%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM11.9%13.4%10.9%11.8%11.6%5.3%11.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.3%13.1%13.1%10.1%12.6%4.9%11.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.2%6.6%-0.8%2.9%2.0%4.9%2.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.6%3.2%-0.0%-2.6%0.6%4.5%0.3%

Valuation

ULHJBHTKNXXPOSNDRCHRWMedian
NameUniversa.JB Hunt .Knight-S.XPO Schneide.C.H. Rob. 
Mkt Cap0.418.78.517.14.719.212.8
P/S0.41.10.91.90.71.00.9
P/EBIT58.615.518.322.920.619.920.2
P/E-15.322.545.145.932.526.529.5
P/CFO3.28.07.816.15.718.17.9
Total Yield-4.7%5.8%3.6%2.2%4.9%5.7%4.2%
Dividend Yield1.8%1.3%1.4%0.0%1.8%1.9%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.3%2.8%-0.1%-1.8%0.9%6.7%0.4%
D/E1.50.10.50.30.10.10.2
Net D/E1.50.10.50.20.10.10.2

Returns

ULHJBHTKNXXPOSNDRCHRWMedian
NameUniversa.JB Hunt .Knight-S.XPO Schneide.C.H. Rob. 
1M Rtn20.6%21.1%26.3%13.4%29.3%5.3%20.8%
3M Rtn-31.1%44.7%26.7%11.8%15.3%19.0%17.1%
6M Rtn-33.0%40.4%23.9%20.3%12.7%72.9%22.1%
12M Rtn-65.3%10.7%-0.9%-8.1%-9.7%50.3%-4.5%
3Y Rtn-50.9%11.9%0.6%300.6%15.0%83.5%13.5%
1M Excs Rtn19.9%20.4%25.5%12.7%28.6%4.6%20.1%
3M Excs Rtn-35.3%42.7%26.5%8.9%15.3%15.9%15.6%
6M Excs Rtn-45.4%28.1%11.5%7.9%0.3%60.5%9.7%
12M Excs Rtn-76.8%-1.9%-14.6%-18.2%-23.5%35.8%-16.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-120.8%-61.4%-71.5%222.3%-57.5%8.4%-59.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Contract logistics830824627460515
Intermodal383592473394390
Trucking333393403318390
Other1176511
Company-managed brokerage 201243218216
Total1,6622,0151,7511,3911,512


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Contract logistics128118453648
Trucking17282016-21
Intermodal284303039
Other-1110-3
Company-managed brokerage 107-32
Total1452401038065


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity332,787
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-6.9%
Average Daily Volume57,452
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.79
Basic Shares Quantity26,330,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/24/20259.9%-12.6%-0.9%
4/24/2025-4.8%-16.5%-14.1%
2/6/2025-19.6%-33.6%-36.3%
10/24/2024-10.9%-3.2%16.1%
7/25/2024-4.4%-8.5%-6.7%
4/25/202439.4%33.6%39.0%
2/15/20244.4%3.6%5.8%
10/26/2023-5.3%1.8%10.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121214
# Negative121210
Median Positive4.8%5.3%11.9%
Median Negative-5.1%-7.8%-13.9%
Max Positive39.4%33.6%43.2%
Max Negative-21.3%-33.6%-36.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024317202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023511202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022811202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022512202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021