Tearsheet

Uber Technologies (UBER)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $79.55 | Market Cap: $165.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Ground Transportation

Uber Technologies (UBER)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $79.55
Market Cap: $165.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%
Key risks
UBER key risks include [1] global legal and regulatory challenges to its driver classification model and [2] the long-term threat of being disintermediated by companies operating their own autonomous vehicle networks.
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 9.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.7 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Fintech & Digital Payments, Future of Freight, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.0%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 9.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.7 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Fintech & Digital Payments, Future of Freight, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%
6 Key risks
UBER key risks include [1] global legal and regulatory challenges to its driver classification model and [2] the long-term threat of being disintermediated by companies operating their own autonomous vehicle networks.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UBER Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss on Profitability: Uber's stock experienced a significant drop, approximately 6% to 9%, following the release of its Third Quarter 2025 earnings report on November 4, 2025. This downturn occurred despite robust growth in gross bookings, revenue, and trip volumes, as the company failed to meet Wall Street's profitability expectations.

2. Conservative Q4 2025 Outlook: Investor apprehension was further fueled by a slightly cautious guidance for Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA, which came in just below analyst averages, and a forward-looking guidance for gross bookings that also fell short of expectations.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UBER Return71%-18%-41%149%-2%34%172%
Peers Return37%13%24%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UBER Win Rate58%42%33%58%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate30%55%55%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UBER Max Drawdown-50%-30%-51%0%-6%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-21%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LYFT, DASH, CHRW, RXO, JBHT. See UBER Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUBERS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-67.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven208.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven545 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven178.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days

Compare to DASH, LYFT, UBER, CAR, HTZ


In The Past

Uber Technologies's stock fell -67.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -67.6% loss requires a 208.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Uber Technologies (UBER)

Better Bets than Uber Technologies (UBER)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UBER. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Uber Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UBERLYFTDASHCHRWRXOJBHTMedian
NameUber Tec.Lyft DoorDash C.H. Rob.RXO JB Hunt . 
Mkt Price79.1419.18221.30160.1013.89194.10119.62
Mkt Cap164.97.894.919.22.318.718.9
Rev LTM49,6106,27412,63516,5055,94012,04912,342
Op Inc LTM4,5612569579711826746
FCF LTM8,6611,0281,992807-18790917
FCF 3Y Avg5,6364471,5507949388620
CFO LTM8,9661,0762,528877371,6101,343
CFO 3Y Avg5,8985471,946875661,6471,261

Growth & Margins

UBERLYFTDASHCHRWRXOJBHTMedian
NameUber Tec.Lyft DoorDash C.H. Rob.RXO JB Hunt . 
Rev Chg LTM18.2%14.9%24.5%-7.1%53.8%-1.6%16.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg19.6%17.4%27.8%-13.4%10.0%-6.3%13.7%
Rev Chg Q20.4%10.7%27.3%-10.9%36.6%-0.5%15.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%2.7%6.2%-3.0%6.9%-0.1%3.7%
Op Mgn LTM9.2%0.4%5.5%4.8%0.2%6.9%5.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.5%-8.9%-2.1%3.8%1.2%7.2%2.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%1.3%0.9%0.4%-0.2%0.2%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM18.1%17.1%20.0%5.3%0.6%13.4%15.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.3%8.9%18.5%4.9%1.5%13.1%11.0%
FCF/Rev LTM17.5%16.4%15.8%4.9%-0.3%6.6%11.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.7%6.9%14.7%4.5%0.3%3.2%5.7%

Valuation

UBERLYFTDASHCHRWRXOJBHTMedian
NameUber Tec.Lyft DoorDash C.H. Rob.RXO JB Hunt . 
Mkt Cap164.97.894.919.22.318.718.9
P/S4.11.49.21.00.41.11.2
P/EBIT29.850.3167.919.9-41.215.524.8
P/E12.359.3135.226.5-32.822.524.5
P/CFO22.88.346.118.170.18.020.4
Total Yield8.1%1.7%0.7%5.7%-3.0%5.8%3.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%1.9%0.0%1.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.5%5.2%2.5%6.7%0.6%2.8%3.1%
D/E0.10.10.00.10.30.10.1
Net D/E0.0-0.1-0.00.10.30.10.1

Returns

UBERLYFTDASHCHRWRXOJBHTMedian
NameUber Tec.Lyft DoorDash C.H. Rob.RXO JB Hunt . 
1M Rtn-14.1%-11.1%5.1%5.3%31.3%21.1%5.2%
3M Rtn-14.9%-16.0%-14.6%19.0%-17.9%44.7%-14.7%
6M Rtn-5.2%30.6%0.3%72.9%-10.2%40.4%15.4%
12M Rtn29.7%36.9%25.0%50.3%-47.6%10.7%27.4%
3Y Rtn204.7%72.9%321.4%83.5%-14.6%11.9%78.2%
1M Excs Rtn-14.8%-11.9%4.3%4.6%30.6%20.4%4.4%
3M Excs Rtn-17.8%-14.0%-18.8%15.9%-21.8%42.7%-15.9%
6M Excs Rtn-17.5%18.2%-12.1%60.5%-22.5%28.1%3.1%
12M Excs Rtn21.0%24.6%15.3%35.8%-60.2%-1.9%18.1%
3Y Excs Rtn124.4%-1.8%213.0%8.4%-87.9%-61.4%3.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mobility19,83214,0296,9536,08910,707
Delivery12,20410,9018,3623,9041,401
Freight5,2456,9472,1321,011731
All Other 08135119
Advanced Technologies Group (ATG) and Other Technology Programs    42
Total37,28131,87717,45511,13913,000


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mobility4,9633,2991,5961,1692,071
Delivery1,506551-348-873-1,372
Loss on lease arrangement, net-4-7   
Legal, tax, and regulatory reserve changes and settlements-9-732-52635-353
Acquisition, financing and divestitures related expenses-36-46-102-86 
Restructuring and related charges-51-20-362-57
Freight-640-130-227-217
Goodwill and asset impairments/loss on sale of assets-84-25-157-317-8
Depreciation and amortization-823-947-902-575-472
Stock-based compensation expense-1,935-1,793-1,168-827-4,596
Corporate G&A and Platform Research and Development (R&D)-2,353-2,137-1,881-2,136-2,457
Accelerated lease costs related to cease-use of Right of use (ROU) assets -6-5-102 
All Other 0-11-461-251
COVID-19 response initiatives -1-54-106 
Legacy auto insurance transfer 0-103  
Mass arbitration fees, net 14-43  
Gain on lease arrangement, net  05 
Advanced Technologies Group (ATG) and Other Technology Programs    -499
Driver appreciation award    -299
Payroll tax on IPO stock-based compensation    -86
Total1,110-1,832-3,834-4,863-8,596


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity56,000,489
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520259.6%
Average Daily Volume22,335,426
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.51
Basic Shares Quantity2,084,180,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-5.1%-5.6%-8.8%
8/6/2025-0.2%2.6%2.9%
5/7/2025-2.5%6.9%-1.4%
2/5/2025-7.6%10.3%7.5%
10/31/2024-9.3%-6.4%-9.4%
8/6/202410.9%18.4%22.4%
5/8/2024-5.7%-7.3%-2.2%
2/7/20240.3%-2.1%12.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131312
# Negative111112
Median Positive5.5%6.9%16.3%
Median Negative-5.7%-6.6%-7.9%
Max Positive18.9%29.5%28.2%
Max Negative-9.3%-19.7%-23.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021