Two Harbors Investment (TWO)
Market Price (7/5/2026): $12.06 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs
Two Harbors Investment (TWO)
Market Price (7/5/2026): $12.06Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Mortgage REITs
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43% Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 13% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, AI in Financial Services, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 38x Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% Key risksTWO key risks include [1] its dependence on the accuracy of borrower data to avoid substantial financial losses and [2] precarious dividend sustainability threatened by earnings volatility, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, AI in Financial Services, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 38x |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% |
| Key risksTWO key risks include [1] its dependence on the accuracy of borrower data to avoid substantial financial losses and [2] precarious dividend sustainability threatened by earnings volatility, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Two Harbors Investment (TWO) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Escalating Acquisition Bids and Increased Offer Price. Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO) became the subject of a competitive takeover battle during the period, significantly boosting shareholder value expectations. Initially, on April 28, 2026, CrossCountry Mortgage (CCM) amended its all-cash offer to acquire TWO, increasing the consideration to $11.30 per share from $10.80. This was followed by an unsolicited competing proposal from UWM Holdings (UWMC) on May 2, 2026, which raised its bid to $12.00 per share. Ultimately, on May 8, 2026, TWO agreed to a further amended merger agreement with CCM, under which CCM increased its all-cash offer to $12.00 per share. This series of escalating bids and the resulting higher acquisition price provided a strong, quantifiable catalyst for the stock's appreciation.
2. Stronger-than-Anticipated Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Performance. The company reported robust financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, and were announced on April 28, 2026. Two Harbors exceeded analyst expectations by reporting earnings per share (EPS) of $0.34, which was $0.13 higher than the consensus estimate of $0.21. This positive earnings beat was attributed to factors such as favorable net interest spreads and effective hedging strategies, which helped support the value of the company's mortgage servicing rights (MSR) and agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) portfolios. This fundamental strength provided a supportive backdrop for the stock during the period.
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Two Harbors Investment (TWO) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Escalating Acquisition Bids and Increased Offer Price. Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO) became the subject of a competitive takeover battle during the period, significantly boosting shareholder value expectations. Initially, on April 28, 2026, CrossCountry Mortgage (CCM) amended its all-cash offer to acquire TWO, increasing the consideration to $11.30 per share from $10.80. This was followed by an unsolicited competing proposal from UWM Holdings (UWMC) on May 2, 2026, which raised its bid to $12.00 per share. Ultimately, on May 8, 2026, TWO agreed to a further amended merger agreement with CCM, under which CCM increased its all-cash offer to $12.00 per share. This series of escalating bids and the resulting higher acquisition price provided a strong, quantifiable catalyst for the stock's appreciation.
2. Stronger-than-Anticipated Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Performance. The company reported robust financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, and were announced on April 28, 2026. Two Harbors exceeded analyst expectations by reporting earnings per share (EPS) of $0.34, which was $0.13 higher than the consensus estimate of $0.21. This positive earnings beat was attributed to factors such as favorable net interest spreads and effective hedging strategies, which helped support the value of the company's mortgage servicing rights (MSR) and agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) portfolios. This fundamental strength provided a supportive backdrop for the stock during the period.
3. Consistent Quarterly Dividend Declarations. Two Harbors maintained its commitment to shareholder returns through regular dividend payments, a key factor for real estate investment trusts (REITs). The company declared a common stock dividend of $0.34 per share for fiscal Q1 2026 on March 19, 2026, which was payable on April 15, 2026. This was followed by the announcement of another $0.34 per share common stock dividend for fiscal Q2 2026 on June 18, 2026, payable on July 15, 2026. These consistent declarations, contributing to an attractive annualized dividend yield (approximately 10.8% as of May 2026), reinforced investor confidence in the company's ability to generate and distribute income.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 12.1% change in TWO stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 102.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.77 | 12.07 | 12.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 115 | 232 | 102.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 9.8 | 5.4 | -44.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 104 | 105 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 12.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TWO | 12.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.5% | 0.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 12.7% | -4.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.9% change in TWO stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 115.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.59 | 12.07 | 25.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 395 | 232 | -41.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.5 | 5.4 | 115.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 104 | 105 | -0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.9% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TWO | 25.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.5% | 4.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 2.1% | 5.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 31.7% change in TWO stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.16 | 12.07 | 31.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 216 | 232 | 7.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.4 | 5.4 | 23.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 104 | 105 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 31.7% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TWO | 31.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 21.6% | 8.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.5% | 12.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 34.8% change in TWO stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.95 | 12.07 | 34.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | -102 | 232 | -328.2% |
| P/S Multiple | -8.1 | 5.4 | -166.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 93 | 105 | -11.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 34.8% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TWO | 34.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.0% | 33.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 72.4% | 35.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TWO Return | 0% | -23% | 2% | -3% | 3% | 25% | -2% |
| Peers Return | 15% | -23% | 9% | 10% | -12% | -8% | -14% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TWO Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 71% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 43% | 43% | 55% | 52% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TWO Max Drawdown | -27% | -42% | -41% | -17% | -27% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -39% | -33% | -15% | -36% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DX, IVR, RC, LOAN, LFT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TWO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 221 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -24.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -29.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 439 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -41.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1193 days | 427 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -14.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.9% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -24.7% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.7% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 176 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Two Harbors Investment's stock fell -21.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | TWO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 221 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -24.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -29.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 439 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -41.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1193 days | 427 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -24.7% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.7% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 176 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 159 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -20.7% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.1% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 281 days | 1 days |
In The Past
Two Harbors Investment's stock fell -21.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Two Harbors Investment (TWO)
Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO) operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) with a core focus on the U.S. financial market. The company's primary business involves actively investing in, financing, and managing a diverse portfolio of mortgage-related assets. As a REIT, its business model is structured to generate income from these strategic investments.
The main products or assets Two Harbors invests in are various forms of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). This includes Agency RMBS, which are collateralized by a range of mortgage loans such as fixed-rate, adjustable-rate, and hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages. Additionally, the company targets non-agency securities, mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), and other financial and mortgage-related assets.
Through these investment activities, Two Harbors participates in and effectively serves the broad U.S. mortgage and financial asset markets. A key characteristic for investors is its qualification as a REIT, which legally obligates the company to distribute at least 90% of its annual taxable income to stockholders. This structure positions Two Harbors as a company designed to provide its shareholders with regular income streams derived from its specialized portfolio management.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Two Harbors Investment (TWO):
- PIMCO for residential mortgages.
- A specialized mutual fund for mortgage-backed securities.
- A hedge fund focused on mortgage debt.
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- Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) Investments: The company invests in and manages securities backed by mortgage loans and guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprises.
- Non-Agency Securities Investments: The company invests in and manages mortgage-backed securities and other financial assets that are not guaranteed by government agencies.
- Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSRs) Investments: The company invests in and manages the contractual rights to service mortgage loans, which includes collecting payments and managing related activities.
- Other Financial and Mortgage-Related Assets Investments: The company invests in and manages a broader range of financial instruments and assets tied to the mortgage market, including non-hedging transactions.
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Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO) does not have traditional customers to whom it sells products or services. As a real estate investment trust (REIT), its business model is centered on investing in, financing, and managing a portfolio of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and other financial assets to generate income and capital appreciation. The company earns returns from these investments, which it then distributes to its shareholders. Therefore, Two Harbors Investment Corp. does not have a customer base in the way that retail or service-oriented companies do.
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William Greenberg, President and Chief Executive Officer
William Greenberg has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Two Harbors Investment Corp. since June 2020, and as a Director since September 2020. He has over 25 years of experience managing portfolios of structured finance assets. Prior to his appointment as CEO, Mr. Greenberg held roles as Chief Investment Officer (from June 2020 to June 2021), Co-Chief Investment Officer (from January 2020 to June 2020), and Co-Deputy Chief Investment Officer (from June 2018 to January 2020) at Two Harbors. Before joining Two Harbors in 2012, he was a Managing Director at UBS AG, where his responsibilities included managing mortgage repurchase liability risk for over $100 billion in RMBS and whole loans. He was also Co-Head of Trading within the SNB StabFund, managing $40 billion of legacy RMBS, ABS, and CMBS. Earlier in his career, Mr. Greenberg was a Managing Director at Natixis NA, co-managing portfolios of RMBS and Agency Mortgage Servicing Rights. He holds a B.S. in physics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in theoretical nuclear physics from the University of Washington.
Travis Swenson, Chief Financial Officer (effective May 5, 2025)
Travis Swenson is appointed as the Chief Financial Officer of Two Harbors Investment Corp., effective May 5, 2025. Until that date, he will serve as Deputy Chief Financial Officer. Most recently, Mr. Swenson was the CFO of Colliers Mortgage from 2020 to November 2024. His prior experience includes serving as Global Head of Client Accounting Services at WeWork, Inc., Senior Managing Director at CBRE, Inc., and beginning his career as a Senior Manager at Deloitte & Touche LLP. Mr. Swenson also contributes his expertise as a board member and Audit Committee Chair at Air T, Inc. He is a licensed (inactive) CPA in Minnesota and California and holds a Bachelor of Accountancy from the University of San Diego and an MBA from the University of Minnesota.
Matthew Koeppen, Chief Investment Officer
Matthew Koeppen was appointed Chief Investment Officer of Two Harbors Investment Corp. in June 2020. He joined the company in 2010 and has over 20 years of experience managing portfolios of structured finance assets. Before his tenure at Two Harbors, Mr. Koeppen held several key positions with Black River Asset Management, which was a division of Cargill, Inc.
Blake Johnson, Acting Chief Accounting Officer
Blake Johnson was named Acting Chief Accounting Officer of Two Harbors Investment Corp., effective August 1, 2024. He has been with Two Harbors since 2012 and previously served as the company's Controller starting in 2018. Mr. Johnson's professional background includes positions at Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., Deloitte, LLP, Opus Corporation, and Ernst & Young, LLP. He holds a B.A. in Business Administration, an M.S. in Accountancy, an M.B.T., and an MSc in Finance.
Rebecca Sandberg, General Counsel & Secretary
Rebecca Sandberg has served as General Counsel of Two Harbors Investment Corp. since March 1, 2013, and as Secretary since May 2012. She previously held the roles of Deputy General Counsel from May 2012 to March 1, 2013, and Senior Counsel from 2010 to 2012 at the company. Ms. Sandberg also serves as General Counsel at Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. She earned a Juris Doctor from William Mitchell College of Law in 2000 and a B.A. from the University of Minnesota in 1994.
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The key risks to Two Harbors Investment (symbol: TWO) are primarily driven by its business model as a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and other mortgage-related assets:
- Interest Rate Risk and Mortgage Market Volatility: As a mortgage REIT, Two Harbors' business is highly sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates, the yield curve, and mortgage prepayment rates. Changes in these factors can significantly impact the value of its RMBS and mortgage servicing rights (MSR) portfolios, as well as its borrowing costs. Increases in mortgage spreads, for instance, can directly reduce the company's book value. Difficult conditions within the broader residential mortgage and real estate markets can also adversely affect its operations and financial results.
- High Leverage: Two Harbors Investment, like many mREITs, employs significant leverage in its investment strategy. While leverage can amplify returns, it also substantially increases risk and leads to considerable share price volatility during periods of financial market turmoil. Elevated leverage can make hedging strategies more expensive and challenging to implement effectively.
- Reliance on Borrower Data Accuracy and Credit Risk: The company faces significant business risks due to its dependence on the accuracy and completeness of information provided by mortgage loan borrowers. Misrepresentations in borrower data, whether intentional or negligent, can lead to substantial financial losses if not detected before loan funding, potentially resulting in loans being unsalable or subject to repurchase. The company's controls may not always detect such discrepancies, impacting its business operations and financial stability.
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The addressable markets for Two Harbors Investment Corp.'s main products and services in the U.S. are substantial:
- The overall U.S. mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market, which includes residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), had over $11 trillion in outstanding securities as of mid-2023. The MBS market size was estimated at $15.55 trillion in 2025 and is projected to reach $22.43 trillion by 2030.
- Within this, the U.S. non-agency RMBS market, a key focus for Two Harbors, has over $1.7 trillion in outstanding securities. New issuance of non-agency MBS with newly originated mortgages reached $121.10 billion in 2025.
- Agency RMBS, another target asset, constitutes a significant portion of the U.S. securitized market, which was $15.3 trillion as of December 31, 2025. In 2024, gross agency issuance totaled approximately $1.1 trillion.
- For mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), nonbank mortgage companies, like those that Two Harbors may interact with, owned the servicing rights on 54% of U.S. mortgage balances in 2022. The fair value of mortgage servicing rights on bank servicing for other portfolios reached $42.62 billion at the end of 2025. As of 2015, approximately one-third of MSRs were held by nonbanks.
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- Expansion of Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSR) Portfolio through Strategic Merger: Two Harbors' merger with United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) is expected to create a significantly larger MSR portfolio, pro forma at $400 billion. This expansion is anticipated to position the company for accelerated growth, leveraging enhanced scale and recapture capabilities. As a component of its financial assets, growth in the MSR portfolio contributes directly to the company's net servicing income.
- Optimization of the Paired Portfolio Strategy (MSR and Agency RMBS): The company plans to continue its core investment strategy of pairing MSR with Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS). This approach is designed to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns with lower expected volatility. Through adept management of interest rate and prepayment risks, this strategy aims to provide stable income generation from its diverse investment portfolio.
- Growth through the Direct-to-Consumer Originations Platform (RoundPoint): Two Harbors has launched an in-house, direct-to-consumer originations platform via its subsidiary, RoundPoint. This initiative is intended to strengthen its MSR portfolio by retaining and recapturing existing borrowers, thereby increasing its MSR asset base and associated servicing fee revenue.
- Favorable Market Dynamics for Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSR): The company anticipates continued strong demand for MSR among both originators and investors. This sustained market demand supports Two Harbors' portfolio construction and provides ongoing opportunities to acquire and expand its MSR assets, which are key income-generating components of its business.
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Share Repurchases
- In 2024, Two Harbors Investment Corp. repurchased 485,609 shares of preferred stock and $10.0 million principal amount of convertible senior notes due January 2026.
- The company did not repurchase any shares in the fourth quarter of 2025, and as of December 31, 2025, completed a share buyback plan initiated on October 5, 2011, which cumulatively resulted in the repurchase of 12,767,753 shares for $208.49 million.
Share Issuance
- Two Harbors Investment Corp. issued $115.0 million aggregate principal amount of 9.375% Senior Notes due 2030 in the second quarter of 2025, generating net proceeds of $110.8 million to support its capital structure.
- As part of the definitive agreement for UWM Holdings Corporation to acquire Two Harbors in an all-stock transaction, UWM is expected to issue common and preferred stock. The acquisition is anticipated to close in the second quarter of 2026.
Inbound Investments
- In December 2025, UWM Holdings Corporation entered into a definitive agreement to acquire all outstanding shares of Two Harbors common stock in a $1.3 billion all-stock transaction. This merger is expected to double the size of Two Harbors' MSR portfolio to a pro forma $400 billion.
Outbound Investments
- Two Harbors settled $9.2 billion in unpaid principal balance (UPB) of Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSR) through bulk and flow-sale acquisitions and recapture in 2024.
- The company settled $6.6 billion in UPB of MSR in the second quarter of 2025 and an additional $698.2 million in UPB of MSR in the third quarter of 2025 through acquisitions and recapture.
- In the fourth quarter of 2025, Two Harbors sold approximately $9.6 billion UPB of MSR on a servicing-retained basis, with additional MSR sales increasing third-party subservicing to $40 billion and reducing owned servicing to approximately $162 billion.
Capital Expenditures
- Through its direct-to-consumer originations platform, Two Harbors funded $64.3 million in first-lien loans and brokered $40.2 million in second-lien loans in 2024.
- In the second quarter of 2025, the company funded $48.6 million UPB in first lien loans and brokered $44.0 million UPB in second lien loans, while in the third quarter of 2025, it funded $49.8 million UPB in loans and brokered an additional $60.1 million UPB in second lien loans.
- Direct-to-Consumer platform funding for Q4 2025 was $94 million in first and second liens, representing a 90% increase from Q3 2025.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 6.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| Rev LTM | 81 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 164 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 92 |
| CFO LTM | 164 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 179 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 166.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | -9.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -18.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 67.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 74.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 67.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 57.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $12.07 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/29/2009 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -9.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $11.89 | $10.34 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 1.5% | 16.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 22.0% | 40.6% |
| Downside Capture | -13.12 | 30.82 |
| Upside Capture | 33.36 | 54.95 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 2.7% | 9.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.06 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.26 | 0.73 |
| Up Beta | -0.37 | -0.76 | 0.04 | -0.62 | -0.07 | 0.56 |
| Down Beta | 0.02 | -0.18 | 0.20 | 0.89 | 0.27 | 0.80 |
| Up Capture | 4% | 53% | 23% | 28% | 34% | 40% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 22 | 32 | 61 | 117 | 369 |
| Down Capture | -4% | 17% | -14% | -1% | 42% | 98% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 14 | 24 | 56 | 123 | 364 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TWO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TWO | 30.4% | 40.5% | 0.75 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 6.9% | 14.7% | 0.24 | 12.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.7% | 12.5% | 1.29 | 8.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.1% | 27.7% | 0.73 | 2.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.3% | 18.6% | 0.90 | -6.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.8% | 0.68 | 17.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -42.0% | 42.7% | -1.15 | -3.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TWO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TWO | -5.0% | 33.1% | -0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.6% | 18.6% | 0.44 | 45.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 44.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.9% | 18.3% | 0.79 | 6.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.9% | 19.5% | 0.25 | 10.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.1% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 50.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.2% | 53.8% | 0.41 | 14.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TWO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TWO | -2.8% | 47.9% | 0.11 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.7% | 22.2% | 0.56 | 36.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 32.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.1% | 0.61 | -0.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.7% | 18.0% | 0.25 | 12.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 42.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 59.0% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 8.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/28/2026 | 5.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% |
| 2/2/2026 | -0.3% | -9.1% | -16.4% |
| 10/27/2025 | 0.0% | -1.8% | 2.3% |
| 7/28/2025 | -2.3% | -3.4% | -4.6% |
| 4/28/2025 | 3.5% | -1.2% | -8.7% |
| 1/29/2025 | 6.7% | 9.2% | 20.5% |
| 10/28/2024 | -6.6% | -11.0% | -9.0% |
| 7/30/2024 | -2.2% | -4.3% | 1.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 11 | 11 |
| # Negative | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 2.1% | 4.4% | 11.3% |
| Median Negative | -2.6% | -3.6% | -8.3% |
| Max Positive | 15.5% | 30.2% | 38.0% |
| Max Negative | -12.6% | -13.7% | -16.4% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/28/2026 | 5.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% |
| 2/2/2026 | -0.3% | -9.1% | -16.4% |
| 10/27/2025 | 0.0% | -1.8% | 2.3% |
| 7/28/2025 | -2.3% | -3.4% | -4.6% |
| 4/28/2025 | 3.5% | -1.2% | -8.7% |
| 1/29/2025 | 6.7% | 9.2% | 20.5% |
| 10/28/2024 | -6.6% | -11.0% | -9.0% |
| 7/30/2024 | -2.2% | -4.3% | 1.5% |
| 4/29/2024 | 0.3% | 4.4% | -0.9% |
| 1/29/2024 | -6.4% | -9.7% | -8.3% |
| 10/30/2023 | 15.5% | 30.2% | 38.0% |
| 7/31/2023 | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% |
| 5/1/2023 | -9.0% | -13.7% | -9.4% |
| 2/8/2023 | -2.6% | -1.0% | -14.6% |
| 11/8/2022 | 5.5% | 14.3% | 11.3% |
| 8/3/2022 | -2.1% | -3.2% | -9.7% |
| 5/4/2022 | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% |
| 2/9/2022 | 0.2% | 0.6% | -2.2% |
| 11/8/2021 | -0.9% | -3.6% | -2.5% |
| 8/4/2021 | 1.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| 5/5/2021 | -12.6% | -12.7% | -6.1% |
| 2/9/2021 | 4.0% | 2.8% | 17.9% |
| 11/4/2020 | 0.7% | 10.9% | 24.3% |
| 8/5/2020 | -7.7% | -1.3% | -3.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 11 | 11 |
| # Negative | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 2.1% | 4.4% | 11.3% |
| Median Negative | -2.6% | -3.6% | -8.3% |
| Max Positive | 15.5% | 30.2% | 38.0% |
| Max Negative | -12.6% | -13.7% | -16.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/17/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/18/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/17/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/18/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/01/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/25/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/08/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/26/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/06/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/07/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 4/26/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halm, Jillian | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 1122026 | 12.25 | 1,744 | 21,364 | 235,347 | Form |
| 2 | Campbell, James D | EVP Servicing Ops RoundPoint | Direct | Sell | 1122026 | 12.39 | 1,692 | 20,964 | 459,124 | Form |
| 3 | Boucher, Nathan | EVP General Counsel RoundPoint | Direct | Sell | 1122026 | 12.25 | 666 | 8,158 | 333,800 | Form |
| 4 | Boucher, Nathan | EVP General Counsel RoundPoint | Direct | Sell | 1122026 | 12.37 | 601 | 7,434 | 345,309 | Form |
| 5 | Dellal, William | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 11.44 | 7,087 | 81,099 | 420,007 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halm, Jillian | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 1122026 | 12.25 | 1,744 | 21,364 | 235,347 | Form |
| 2 | Campbell, James D | EVP Servicing Ops RoundPoint | Direct | Sell | 1122026 | 12.39 | 1,692 | 20,964 | 459,124 | Form |
| 3 | Boucher, Nathan | EVP General Counsel RoundPoint | Direct | Sell | 1122026 | 12.25 | 666 | 8,158 | 333,800 | Form |
| 4 | Boucher, Nathan | EVP General Counsel RoundPoint | Direct | Sell | 1122026 | 12.37 | 601 | 7,434 | 345,309 | Form |
| 5 | Dellal, William | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 11.44 | 7,087 | 81,099 | 420,007 | Form |
| 6 | Sandberg, Rebecca B | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 11.43 | 27,370 | 312,787 | 1,790,989 | Form |
| 7 | Rush, Robert | Chief Risk Officer | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 11.43 | 23,594 | 269,561 | 1,122,015 | Form |
| 8 | Letica, Nicholas | Chief Investment Officer | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 11.42 | 55,488 | 633,723 | 1,901,660 | Form |
| 9 | Hanson, Alecia | Chief Administrative Officer | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 11.41 | 10,768 | 122,913 | 516,949 | Form |
| 10 | Greenberg, William Ross | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 11.42 | 103,893 | 1,186,458 | 8,001,983 | Form |
| 11 | Letica, Nicholas | Chief Investment Officer | Direct | Sell | 8182025 | 10.02 | 8,654 | 86,713 | 1,606,016 | Form |
| 12 | Kasnet, Stephen G | Direct | Sell | 5162025 | 11.97 | 12,129 | 145,184 | 1,233,233 | Form | |
| 13 | Abraham, Spencer | Direct | Sell | 5162025 | 11.98 | 3,641 | 43,619 | 473,941 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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