Tearsheet

Two Harbors Investment (TWO)


Market Price (7/5/2026): $12.06 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

Two Harbors Investment (TWO)


Market Price (7/5/2026): $12.06
Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43%

Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 13%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, AI in Financial Services, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 38x

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%

Key risks
TWO key risks include [1] its dependence on the accuracy of borrower data to avoid substantial financial losses and [2] precarious dividend sustainability threatened by earnings volatility, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43%
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 13%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, AI in Financial Services, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Real Estate Data Analytics, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 38x
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
9 Key risks
TWO key risks include [1] its dependence on the accuracy of borrower data to avoid substantial financial losses and [2] precarious dividend sustainability threatened by earnings volatility, Show more.

TWO in ETFs

Weight = TWO's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.04%
IJR0.07%
VB0.02%
VIOV0.15%
IJS0.14%
SLYV0.13%
+7 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/1/2026

Two Harbors Investment (TWO) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Escalating Acquisition Bids and Increased Offer Price. Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO) became the subject of a competitive takeover battle during the period, significantly boosting shareholder value expectations. Initially, on April 28, 2026, CrossCountry Mortgage (CCM) amended its all-cash offer to acquire TWO, increasing the consideration to $11.30 per share from $10.80. This was followed by an unsolicited competing proposal from UWM Holdings (UWMC) on May 2, 2026, which raised its bid to $12.00 per share. Ultimately, on May 8, 2026, TWO agreed to a further amended merger agreement with CCM, under which CCM increased its all-cash offer to $12.00 per share. This series of escalating bids and the resulting higher acquisition price provided a strong, quantifiable catalyst for the stock's appreciation.

2. Stronger-than-Anticipated Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Performance. The company reported robust financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, and were announced on April 28, 2026. Two Harbors exceeded analyst expectations by reporting earnings per share (EPS) of $0.34, which was $0.13 higher than the consensus estimate of $0.21. This positive earnings beat was attributed to factors such as favorable net interest spreads and effective hedging strategies, which helped support the value of the company's mortgage servicing rights (MSR) and agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) portfolios. This fundamental strength provided a supportive backdrop for the stock during the period.

Show more
Updated on 7/1/2026

Two Harbors Investment (TWO) stock has gained about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Escalating Acquisition Bids and Increased Offer Price. Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO) became the subject of a competitive takeover battle during the period, significantly boosting shareholder value expectations. Initially, on April 28, 2026, CrossCountry Mortgage (CCM) amended its all-cash offer to acquire TWO, increasing the consideration to $11.30 per share from $10.80. This was followed by an unsolicited competing proposal from UWM Holdings (UWMC) on May 2, 2026, which raised its bid to $12.00 per share. Ultimately, on May 8, 2026, TWO agreed to a further amended merger agreement with CCM, under which CCM increased its all-cash offer to $12.00 per share. This series of escalating bids and the resulting higher acquisition price provided a strong, quantifiable catalyst for the stock's appreciation.

2. Stronger-than-Anticipated Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Performance. The company reported robust financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, and were announced on April 28, 2026. Two Harbors exceeded analyst expectations by reporting earnings per share (EPS) of $0.34, which was $0.13 higher than the consensus estimate of $0.21. This positive earnings beat was attributed to factors such as favorable net interest spreads and effective hedging strategies, which helped support the value of the company's mortgage servicing rights (MSR) and agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) portfolios. This fundamental strength provided a supportive backdrop for the stock during the period.

3. Consistent Quarterly Dividend Declarations. Two Harbors maintained its commitment to shareholder returns through regular dividend payments, a key factor for real estate investment trusts (REITs). The company declared a common stock dividend of $0.34 per share for fiscal Q1 2026 on March 19, 2026, which was payable on April 15, 2026. This was followed by the announcement of another $0.34 per share common stock dividend for fiscal Q2 2026 on June 18, 2026, payable on July 15, 2026. These consistent declarations, contributing to an attractive annualized dividend yield (approximately 10.8% as of May 2026), reinforced investor confidence in the company's ability to generate and distribute income.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 12.1% change in TWO stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 102.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120267042026Change
Stock Price ($)10.7712.0712.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)115232102.0%
P/S Multiple9.85.4-44.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)104105-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution12.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TWO12.1% 
Market (SPY)14.5%0.6%
Sector (XLF)12.7%-4.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 25.9% change in TWO stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 115.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257042026Change
Stock Price ($)9.5912.0725.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)395232-41.2%
P/S Multiple2.55.4115.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)104105-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution25.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TWO25.9% 
Market (SPY)9.5%4.4%
Sector (XLF)2.1%5.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 31.7% change in TWO stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257042026Change
Stock Price ($)9.1612.0731.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2162327.5%
P/S Multiple4.45.423.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)104105-0.9%
Cumulative Contribution31.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TWO31.7% 
Market (SPY)21.6%8.9%
Sector (XLF)7.5%12.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 34.8% change in TWO stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020237042026Change
Stock Price ($)8.9512.0734.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)-102232-328.2%
P/S Multiple-8.15.4-166.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)93105-11.7%
Cumulative Contribution34.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TWO34.8% 
Market (SPY)74.0%33.1%
Sector (XLF)72.4%35.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TWO Return0%-23%2%-3%3%25%-2%
Peers Return15%-23%9%10%-12%-8%-14%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%99%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TWO Win Rate58%42%42%67%58%71% 
Peers Win Rate58%43%43%55%52%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TWO Max Drawdown-27%-42%-41%-17%-27%-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-39%-33%-15%-36%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DX, IVR, RC, LOAN, LFT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventTWOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven221 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-24.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven9 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-29.2%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven439 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-41.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven70.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1193 days427 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-14.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.9%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven31 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-24.7%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven176 days62 days

Compare to DX, IVR, RC, LOAN, LFT

In The Past

Two Harbors Investment's stock fell -21.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventTWOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven221 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-24.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven9 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-29.2%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven439 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-41.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven70.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1193 days427 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-24.7%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven176 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-22.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.2%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven159 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-20.7%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.1%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven281 days1 days

Compare to DX, IVR, RC, LOAN, LFT

In The Past

Two Harbors Investment's stock fell -21.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Two Harbors Investment (TWO)

Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO) operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) with a core focus on the U.S. financial market. The company's primary business involves actively investing in, financing, and managing a diverse portfolio of mortgage-related assets. As a REIT, its business model is structured to generate income from these strategic investments.

The main products or assets Two Harbors invests in are various forms of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). This includes Agency RMBS, which are collateralized by a range of mortgage loans such as fixed-rate, adjustable-rate, and hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages. Additionally, the company targets non-agency securities, mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), and other financial and mortgage-related assets.

Through these investment activities, Two Harbors participates in and effectively serves the broad U.S. mortgage and financial asset markets. A key characteristic for investors is its qualification as a REIT, which legally obligates the company to distribute at least 90% of its annual taxable income to stockholders. This structure positions Two Harbors as a company designed to provide its shareholders with regular income streams derived from its specialized portfolio management.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Two Harbors Investment (TWO):

  • PIMCO for residential mortgages.
  • A specialized mutual fund for mortgage-backed securities.
  • A hedge fund focused on mortgage debt.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) Investments: The company invests in and manages securities backed by mortgage loans and guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprises.
  • Non-Agency Securities Investments: The company invests in and manages mortgage-backed securities and other financial assets that are not guaranteed by government agencies.
  • Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSRs) Investments: The company invests in and manages the contractual rights to service mortgage loans, which includes collecting payments and managing related activities.
  • Other Financial and Mortgage-Related Assets Investments: The company invests in and manages a broader range of financial instruments and assets tied to the mortgage market, including non-hedging transactions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO) operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on investing in, financing, and managing residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), non-agency securities, and other financial assets. Its business model involves acquiring these assets to generate income and capital appreciation for its shareholders. Based on this description, Two Harbors Investment Corp. does not sell products or services to traditional customers, whether individuals or other companies. Instead, it functions as an investment vehicle that generates returns from its portfolio of financial assets, which are then distributed to its stockholders. Therefore, it does not have major customers in the typical sense of entities that purchase goods or services from it.

Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO) does not have traditional customers to whom it sells products or services. As a real estate investment trust (REIT), its business model is centered on investing in, financing, and managing a portfolio of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and other financial assets to generate income and capital appreciation. The company earns returns from these investments, which it then distributes to its shareholders. Therefore, Two Harbors Investment Corp. does not have a customer base in the way that retail or service-oriented companies do.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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William Greenberg, President and Chief Executive Officer

William Greenberg has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Two Harbors Investment Corp. since June 2020, and as a Director since September 2020. He has over 25 years of experience managing portfolios of structured finance assets. Prior to his appointment as CEO, Mr. Greenberg held roles as Chief Investment Officer (from June 2020 to June 2021), Co-Chief Investment Officer (from January 2020 to June 2020), and Co-Deputy Chief Investment Officer (from June 2018 to January 2020) at Two Harbors. Before joining Two Harbors in 2012, he was a Managing Director at UBS AG, where his responsibilities included managing mortgage repurchase liability risk for over $100 billion in RMBS and whole loans. He was also Co-Head of Trading within the SNB StabFund, managing $40 billion of legacy RMBS, ABS, and CMBS. Earlier in his career, Mr. Greenberg was a Managing Director at Natixis NA, co-managing portfolios of RMBS and Agency Mortgage Servicing Rights. He holds a B.S. in physics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in theoretical nuclear physics from the University of Washington.

Travis Swenson, Chief Financial Officer (effective May 5, 2025)

Travis Swenson is appointed as the Chief Financial Officer of Two Harbors Investment Corp., effective May 5, 2025. Until that date, he will serve as Deputy Chief Financial Officer. Most recently, Mr. Swenson was the CFO of Colliers Mortgage from 2020 to November 2024. His prior experience includes serving as Global Head of Client Accounting Services at WeWork, Inc., Senior Managing Director at CBRE, Inc., and beginning his career as a Senior Manager at Deloitte & Touche LLP. Mr. Swenson also contributes his expertise as a board member and Audit Committee Chair at Air T, Inc. He is a licensed (inactive) CPA in Minnesota and California and holds a Bachelor of Accountancy from the University of San Diego and an MBA from the University of Minnesota.

Matthew Koeppen, Chief Investment Officer

Matthew Koeppen was appointed Chief Investment Officer of Two Harbors Investment Corp. in June 2020. He joined the company in 2010 and has over 20 years of experience managing portfolios of structured finance assets. Before his tenure at Two Harbors, Mr. Koeppen held several key positions with Black River Asset Management, which was a division of Cargill, Inc.

Blake Johnson, Acting Chief Accounting Officer

Blake Johnson was named Acting Chief Accounting Officer of Two Harbors Investment Corp., effective August 1, 2024. He has been with Two Harbors since 2012 and previously served as the company's Controller starting in 2018. Mr. Johnson's professional background includes positions at Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., Deloitte, LLP, Opus Corporation, and Ernst & Young, LLP. He holds a B.A. in Business Administration, an M.S. in Accountancy, an M.B.T., and an MSc in Finance.

Rebecca Sandberg, General Counsel & Secretary

Rebecca Sandberg has served as General Counsel of Two Harbors Investment Corp. since March 1, 2013, and as Secretary since May 2012. She previously held the roles of Deputy General Counsel from May 2012 to March 1, 2013, and Senior Counsel from 2010 to 2012 at the company. Ms. Sandberg also serves as General Counsel at Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. She earned a Juris Doctor from William Mitchell College of Law in 2000 and a B.A. from the University of Minnesota in 1994.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Two Harbors Investment (symbol: TWO) are primarily driven by its business model as a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and other mortgage-related assets:

  1. Interest Rate Risk and Mortgage Market Volatility: As a mortgage REIT, Two Harbors' business is highly sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates, the yield curve, and mortgage prepayment rates. Changes in these factors can significantly impact the value of its RMBS and mortgage servicing rights (MSR) portfolios, as well as its borrowing costs. Increases in mortgage spreads, for instance, can directly reduce the company's book value. Difficult conditions within the broader residential mortgage and real estate markets can also adversely affect its operations and financial results.
  2. High Leverage: Two Harbors Investment, like many mREITs, employs significant leverage in its investment strategy. While leverage can amplify returns, it also substantially increases risk and leads to considerable share price volatility during periods of financial market turmoil. Elevated leverage can make hedging strategies more expensive and challenging to implement effectively.
  3. Reliance on Borrower Data Accuracy and Credit Risk: The company faces significant business risks due to its dependence on the accuracy and completeness of information provided by mortgage loan borrowers. Misrepresentations in borrower data, whether intentional or negligent, can lead to substantial financial losses if not detected before loan funding, potentially resulting in loans being unsalable or subject to repurchase. The company's controls may not always detect such discrepancies, impacting its business operations and financial stability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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The addressable markets for Two Harbors Investment Corp.'s main products and services in the U.S. are substantial:

  • The overall U.S. mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market, which includes residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), had over $11 trillion in outstanding securities as of mid-2023. The MBS market size was estimated at $15.55 trillion in 2025 and is projected to reach $22.43 trillion by 2030.
  • Within this, the U.S. non-agency RMBS market, a key focus for Two Harbors, has over $1.7 trillion in outstanding securities. New issuance of non-agency MBS with newly originated mortgages reached $121.10 billion in 2025.
  • Agency RMBS, another target asset, constitutes a significant portion of the U.S. securitized market, which was $15.3 trillion as of December 31, 2025. In 2024, gross agency issuance totaled approximately $1.1 trillion.
  • For mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), nonbank mortgage companies, like those that Two Harbors may interact with, owned the servicing rights on 54% of U.S. mortgage balances in 2022. The fair value of mortgage servicing rights on bank servicing for other portfolios reached $42.62 billion at the end of 2025. As of 2015, approximately one-third of MSRs were held by nonbanks.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Two Harbors Investment Corp. (symbol: TWO) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Expansion of Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSR) Portfolio through Strategic Merger: Two Harbors' merger with United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) is expected to create a significantly larger MSR portfolio, pro forma at $400 billion. This expansion is anticipated to position the company for accelerated growth, leveraging enhanced scale and recapture capabilities. As a component of its financial assets, growth in the MSR portfolio contributes directly to the company's net servicing income.
  2. Optimization of the Paired Portfolio Strategy (MSR and Agency RMBS): The company plans to continue its core investment strategy of pairing MSR with Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS). This approach is designed to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns with lower expected volatility. Through adept management of interest rate and prepayment risks, this strategy aims to provide stable income generation from its diverse investment portfolio.
  3. Growth through the Direct-to-Consumer Originations Platform (RoundPoint): Two Harbors has launched an in-house, direct-to-consumer originations platform via its subsidiary, RoundPoint. This initiative is intended to strengthen its MSR portfolio by retaining and recapturing existing borrowers, thereby increasing its MSR asset base and associated servicing fee revenue.
  4. Favorable Market Dynamics for Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSR): The company anticipates continued strong demand for MSR among both originators and investors. This sustained market demand supports Two Harbors' portfolio construction and provides ongoing opportunities to acquire and expand its MSR assets, which are key income-generating components of its business.

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Share Repurchases

  • In 2024, Two Harbors Investment Corp. repurchased 485,609 shares of preferred stock and $10.0 million principal amount of convertible senior notes due January 2026.
  • The company did not repurchase any shares in the fourth quarter of 2025, and as of December 31, 2025, completed a share buyback plan initiated on October 5, 2011, which cumulatively resulted in the repurchase of 12,767,753 shares for $208.49 million.

Share Issuance

  • Two Harbors Investment Corp. issued $115.0 million aggregate principal amount of 9.375% Senior Notes due 2030 in the second quarter of 2025, generating net proceeds of $110.8 million to support its capital structure.
  • As part of the definitive agreement for UWM Holdings Corporation to acquire Two Harbors in an all-stock transaction, UWM is expected to issue common and preferred stock. The acquisition is anticipated to close in the second quarter of 2026.

Inbound Investments

  • In December 2025, UWM Holdings Corporation entered into a definitive agreement to acquire all outstanding shares of Two Harbors common stock in a $1.3 billion all-stock transaction. This merger is expected to double the size of Two Harbors' MSR portfolio to a pro forma $400 billion.

Outbound Investments

  • Two Harbors settled $9.2 billion in unpaid principal balance (UPB) of Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSR) through bulk and flow-sale acquisitions and recapture in 2024.
  • The company settled $6.6 billion in UPB of MSR in the second quarter of 2025 and an additional $698.2 million in UPB of MSR in the third quarter of 2025 through acquisitions and recapture.
  • In the fourth quarter of 2025, Two Harbors sold approximately $9.6 billion UPB of MSR on a servicing-retained basis, with additional MSR sales increasing third-party subservicing to $40 billion and reducing owned servicing to approximately $162 billion.

Capital Expenditures

  • Through its direct-to-consumer originations platform, Two Harbors funded $64.3 million in first-lien loans and brokered $40.2 million in second-lien loans in 2024.
  • In the second quarter of 2025, the company funded $48.6 million UPB in first lien loans and brokered $44.0 million UPB in second lien loans, while in the third quarter of 2025, it funded $49.8 million UPB in loans and brokered an additional $60.1 million UPB in second lien loans.
  • Direct-to-Consumer platform funding for Q4 2025 was $94 million in first and second liens, representing a 90% increase from Q3 2025.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TWODXIVRRCLOANLFTMedian
NameTwo Harb.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Lument F. 
Mkt Price12.0713.017.851.794.660.986.25
Mkt Cap1.32.60.60.30.1-0.6
Rev LTM23230481-307-81
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-701841649145-164
FCF 3Y Avg92881794505-92
CFO LTM341841649145-164
CFO 3Y Avg230881794505-179

Growth & Margins

TWODXIVRRCLOANLFTMedian
NameTwo Harb.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Lument F. 
Rev Chg LTM7.5%181.4%15.3%-171.5%-6.9%-7.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg166.1%228.6%207.5%-92.7%0.6%-166.1%
Rev Chg Q372.1%-753.7%-161.8%-9.1%-6.7%--9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM102.0%-18.3%-32.8%-28.5%-1.8%--18.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM14.5%60.6%204.2%-73.6%-67.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg79.2%44.2%788.6%-70.6%-74.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-30.1%60.6%204.2%-73.6%-67.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg35.3%44.2%788.6%-70.6%-57.4%

Valuation

TWODXIVRRCLOANLFTMedian
NameTwo Harb.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Lument F. 
Mkt Cap1.32.60.60.30.1-0.6
P/S5.48.68.0-7.8-7.9
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-3.710.810.4-0.610.6-10.4
P/CFO37.714.13.90.310.6-10.6
Total Yield-14.5%9.3%9.6%-149.2%19.3%-9.3%
Dividend Yield12.6%0.0%0.0%24.9%9.9%-9.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.4%5.4%34.2%130.8%8.7%-8.7%
D/E0.80.00.09.30.4-0.4
Net D/E0.4-0.3-0.18.60.4-0.4

Returns

TWODXIVRRCLOANLFTMedian
NameTwo Harb.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Lument F. 
1M Rtn0.4%1.3%1.3%4.7%10.4%-3.7%1.3%
3M Rtn11.6%5.1%1.4%12.5%1.3%-17.0%3.2%
6M Rtn25.0%-0.3%1.1%-15.3%3.0%-23.1%0.4%
12M Rtn29.6%18.6%21.1%-59.7%-12.2%-49.5%3.2%
3Y Rtn40.2%62.7%22.1%-78.0%17.2%-21.0%19.6%
1M Excs Rtn1.7%4.1%3.5%10.1%10.8%-2.9%3.8%
3M Excs Rtn-0.7%-7.7%-11.0%0.9%-10.9%-31.4%-9.3%
6M Excs Rtn16.7%-6.4%-5.7%-24.6%-4.5%-33.2%-6.0%
12M Excs Rtn9.5%3.3%2.8%-79.6%-28.5%-69.1%-12.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-33.2%-12.1%-53.2%-148.9%-49.0%-93.6%-51.1%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment11551131407255
Total11551131407255


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$12.07 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.3 
First Trading Date10/29/2009 
Distance from 52W High-9.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$11.89$10.34
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA1.5%16.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility22.0%40.6%
Downside Capture-13.1230.82
Upside Capture33.3654.95
Correlation (SPY)2.7%9.0%
TWO Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.060.040.090.140.260.73
Up Beta-0.37-0.760.04-0.62-0.070.56
Down Beta0.02-0.180.200.890.270.80
Up Capture4%53%23%28%34%40%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days12223261117369
Down Capture-4%17%-14%-1%42%98%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days6142456123364

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TWO
TWO30.4%40.5%0.75-
Sector ETF (XLF)6.9%14.7%0.2412.5%
Equity (SPY)21.7%12.5%1.298.9%
Gold (GLD)23.1%27.7%0.732.6%
Commodities (DBC)21.3%18.6%0.90-6.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.6%13.8%0.6817.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-42.0%42.7%-1.15-3.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TWO
TWO-5.0%33.1%-0.10-
Sector ETF (XLF)10.6%18.6%0.4445.3%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.1%0.6044.1%
Gold (GLD)17.9%18.3%0.796.8%
Commodities (DBC)6.9%19.5%0.2510.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.1%18.9%0.0650.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.2%53.8%0.4114.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TWO
TWO-2.8%47.9%0.11-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.7%22.2%0.5636.3%
Equity (SPY)15.4%18.0%0.7332.2%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.1%0.61-0.0%
Commodities (DBC)5.7%18.0%0.2512.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.5%20.7%0.2342.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.0%66.2%0.998.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 53120266.6%
Average Daily Volume1.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity104.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/2/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/28/20265.0%11.4%12.4%
2/2/2026-0.3%-9.1%-16.4%
10/27/20250.0%-1.8%2.3%
7/28/2025-2.3%-3.4%-4.6%
4/28/20253.5%-1.2%-8.7%
1/29/20256.7%9.2%20.5%
10/28/2024-6.6%-11.0%-9.0%
7/30/2024-2.2%-4.3%1.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131111
# Negative111313
Median Positive2.1%4.4%11.3%
Median Negative-2.6%-3.6%-8.3%
Max Positive15.5%30.2%38.0%
Max Negative-12.6%-13.7%-16.4%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/28/20265.0%11.4%12.4%
2/2/2026-0.3%-9.1%-16.4%
10/27/20250.0%-1.8%2.3%
7/28/2025-2.3%-3.4%-4.6%
4/28/20253.5%-1.2%-8.7%
1/29/20256.7%9.2%20.5%
10/28/2024-6.6%-11.0%-9.0%
7/30/2024-2.2%-4.3%1.5%
4/29/20240.3%4.4%-0.9%
1/29/2024-6.4%-9.7%-8.3%
10/30/202315.5%30.2%38.0%
7/31/20232.1%2.2%2.6%
5/1/2023-9.0%-13.7%-9.4%
2/8/2023-2.6%-1.0%-14.6%
11/8/20225.5%14.3%11.3%
8/3/2022-2.1%-3.2%-9.7%
5/4/20221.2%1.9%3.3%
2/9/20220.2%0.6%-2.2%
11/8/2021-0.9%-3.6%-2.5%
8/4/20211.0%3.7%3.8%
5/5/2021-12.6%-12.7%-6.1%
2/9/20214.0%2.8%17.9%
11/4/20200.7%10.9%24.3%
8/5/2020-7.7%-1.3%-3.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131111
# Negative111313
Median Positive2.1%4.4%11.3%
Median Negative-2.6%-3.6%-8.3%
Max Positive15.5%30.2%38.0%
Max Negative-12.6%-13.7%-16.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/17/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202507/29/202510-Q
03/31/202504/29/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/20/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/28/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/17/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202507/29/202510-Q
03/31/202504/29/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/20/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/28/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202103/01/202210-K
09/30/202111/09/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/25/202110-K
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/08/202010-Q
12/31/201902/26/202010-K
09/30/201911/06/201910-Q
06/30/201908/07/201910-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 4/26/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Halm, JillianChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell112202612.251,74421,364235,347Form
2Campbell, James DEVP Servicing Ops RoundPointDirectSell112202612.391,69220,964459,124Form
3Boucher, NathanEVP General Counsel RoundPointDirectSell112202612.256668,158333,800Form
4Boucher, NathanEVP General Counsel RoundPointDirectSell112202612.376017,434345,309Form
5Dellal, WilliamChief Financial OfficerDirectSell1222202511.447,08781,099420,007Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Halm, JillianChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell112202612.251,74421,364235,347Form
2Campbell, James DEVP Servicing Ops RoundPointDirectSell112202612.391,69220,964459,124Form
3Boucher, NathanEVP General Counsel RoundPointDirectSell112202612.256668,158333,800Form
4Boucher, NathanEVP General Counsel RoundPointDirectSell112202612.376017,434345,309Form
5Dellal, WilliamChief Financial OfficerDirectSell1222202511.447,08781,099420,007Form
6Sandberg, Rebecca BChief Legal OfficerDirectSell1219202511.4327,370312,7871,790,989Form
7Rush, RobertChief Risk OfficerDirectSell1219202511.4323,594269,5611,122,015Form
8Letica, NicholasChief Investment OfficerDirectSell1219202511.4255,488633,7231,901,660Form
9Hanson, AleciaChief Administrative OfficerDirectSell1219202511.4110,768122,913516,949Form
10Greenberg, William RossChief Executive OfficerDirectSell1219202511.42103,8931,186,4588,001,983Form
11Letica, NicholasChief Investment OfficerDirectSell818202510.028,65486,7131,606,016Form
12Kasnet, Stephen GDirectSell516202511.9712,129145,1841,233,233Form
13Abraham, SpencerDirectSell516202511.983,64143,619473,941Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/4/2026