Tearsheet

Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $8.86 | Market Cap: $598.8 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $8.86
Market Cap: $598.8 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 27%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 220%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 220%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
Key risks
IVR key risks include [1] heightened vulnerability to margin calls due to its elevated leverage, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Financial Markets & Real Estate. Themes include Mortgage-Backed Securities Investment, Interest Rate & Duration Risk Management, and Real Estate Debt Capital Markets.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 27%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 220%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 220%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Financial Markets & Real Estate. Themes include Mortgage-Backed Securities Investment, Interest Rate & Duration Risk Management, and Real Estate Debt Capital Markets.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30%
8 Key risks
IVR key risks include [1] heightened vulnerability to margin calls due to its elevated leverage, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IVR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR) experienced several notable developments between August 31, 2025, and December 21, 2025, which likely influenced its stock performance.

1. Dividend Increase and Shift to Monthly Payouts: Invesco Mortgage Capital announced on December 18, 2025, an increase in its common stock dividend to $0.36 per share for the fourth quarter of 2025, reflecting the strength of its investment portfolio, liquidity, and capital structure. The company also declared a shift from quarterly to monthly dividend distributions beginning in the first quarter of 2026, a move aimed at providing more consistent income to shareholders and potentially enhancing its appeal to income-focused investors.

2. Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: On October 30, 2025, Invesco Mortgage Capital reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results. The earnings available for distribution per common share were $0.58.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IVR Return-70%-9%-45%-14%9%20%-83%
Peers Return-5%9%-22%8%9%22%16%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IVR Win Rate50%42%42%42%67%75% 
Peers Win Rate63%53%48%48%65%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IVR Max Drawdown-86%-12%-63%-41%-7%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-4%-38%-23%-6%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NLY, AGNC, STWD, ARR, DX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIVRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven572.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-89.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven836.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to DX, TWO, RC, LOAN, NLY


In The Past

Invesco Mortgage Capital's stock fell -85.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/14/2021. A -85.1% loss requires a 572.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR)

Better Bets than Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IVR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Invesco Mortgage Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IVRNLYAGNCSTWDARRDXMedian
NameInvesco .Annaly C.AGNC Inv.Starwood.ARMOUR R.Dynex Ca. 
Mkt Price8.8322.7010.6618.4417.4013.8315.61
Mkt Cap0.614.911.26.61.81.94.3
Rev LTM721,70395676773230499
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM1591,953604714179122392
FCF 3Y Avg1961,26019630319771196
CFO LTM1592,857604785179122392
CFO 3Y Avg1961,97619634419771196

Growth & Margins

IVRNLYAGNCSTWDARRDXMedian
NameInvesco .Annaly C.AGNC Inv.Starwood.ARMOUR R.Dynex Ca. 
Rev Chg LTM-29.9%473.5%-24.1%-27.4%-49.9%87.1%-25.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg241.0%143.3%108.3%-16.5%73.0%63.4%90.6%
Rev Chg Q27.8%637.1%122.3%-13.2%142.2%309.0%132.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM21.1%81.6%92.7%-3.9%442.0%113.8%87.2%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM220.1%167.8%63.2%102.3%245.1%52.8%135.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg790.7%-21.0%41.6%-77.6%59.6%
FCF/Rev LTM220.1%114.7%63.2%93.1%245.1%52.8%103.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg790.7%-21.0%36.8%-77.6%57.2%

Valuation

IVRNLYAGNCSTWDARRDXMedian
NameInvesco .Annaly C.AGNC Inv.Starwood.ARMOUR R.Dynex Ca. 
Mkt Cap0.614.911.26.61.81.94.3
P/S8.38.711.78.724.88.28.7
P/EBIT-------
P/E11.210.013.418.128.110.212.3
P/CFO3.85.218.68.510.115.59.3
Total Yield8.9%10.0%7.5%15.4%16.4%9.8%9.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%9.8%12.9%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg40.1%11.4%1.9%4.3%17.2%6.8%9.1%
D/E0.02.00.01.70.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.12.0-0.01.6-0.0-0.3-0.0

Returns

IVRNLYAGNCSTWDARRDXMedian
NameInvesco .Annaly C.AGNC Inv.Starwood.ARMOUR R.Dynex Ca. 
1M Rtn16.2%5.0%7.1%5.1%8.2%3.2%6.1%
3M Rtn25.8%10.0%10.8%-6.6%24.6%17.3%14.0%
6M Rtn26.7%27.4%24.2%-3.5%15.7%23.1%23.6%
12M Rtn27.0%37.4%31.0%4.9%9.9%28.6%27.8%
3Y Rtn13.9%54.1%57.5%28.9%2.6%60.8%41.5%
1M Excs Rtn13.1%2.2%4.1%2.0%4.4%0.2%3.1%
3M Excs Rtn25.3%10.4%11.6%-7.8%27.3%17.6%14.6%
6M Excs Rtn12.6%13.9%11.3%-17.8%2.5%9.7%10.5%
12M Excs Rtn12.2%21.2%16.4%-10.5%-4.1%15.7%14.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-54.2%-14.9%-6.7%-47.3%-68.8%-11.3%-31.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment4-377-63-1,648408
Total4-377-63-1,648408


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,851,969
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520257.9%
Average Daily Volume1,334,139
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.14
Basic Shares Quantity67,582,202
Short % of Basic Shares10.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20255.0%7.5%13.5%
7/24/20250.9%-1.0%2.2%
5/7/20251.4%3.1%3.0%
2/20/2025-0.9%-1.6%-3.1%
11/5/2024-1.8%1.6%2.8%
8/8/20240.9%-0.7%-0.8%
5/8/20241.2%2.2%0.2%
2/22/20240.0%4.8%9.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141112
# Negative101312
Median Positive1.3%4.7%4.3%
Median Negative-2.3%-4.2%-8.0%
Max Positive8.7%11.8%19.2%
Max Negative-9.1%-20.3%-70.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Fleshman Robert L 11122025Sell24.722,00049,444 Form