Tearsheet

Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.17 | Market Cap: $552.1 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.17
Market Cap: $552.1 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 31%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 220%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 220%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Financial Markets & Real Estate. Themes include Mortgage-Backed Securities Investment, Interest Rate & Duration Risk Management, and Real Estate Debt Capital Markets.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 31%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 220%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 220%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Financial Markets & Real Estate. Themes include Mortgage-Backed Securities Investment, Interest Rate & Duration Risk Management, and Real Estate Debt Capital Markets.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IVR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the stock movement for Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. The company reported better-than-expected earnings per share. On October 30, 2025, Invesco Mortgage Capital announced earnings per share of $0.58, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.53. However, revenue figures for the quarter were negative, reporting ($22.71) million against analyst estimates of $45.40 million.

2. IVR's share price crossed above its 200-day moving average. This significant technical event occurred on November 25, 2025, often indicating a potential shift to a more bullish trend for investors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IVR Return-70%-9%-45%-14%9%16%-84%
Peers Return-10%12%-15%5%4%-1%-7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IVR Win Rate50%42%42%42%67%70% 
Peers Win Rate55%60%50%45%55%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IVR Max Drawdown-86%-12%-63%-41%-7%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-63%-5%-30%-19%-11%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DX, TWO, RC, LOAN, NLY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIVRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven572.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-89.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven836.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to DX, TWO, RC, LOAN, NLY


In The Past

Invesco Mortgage Capital's stock fell -85.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/14/2021. A -85.1% loss requires a 572.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR)

Better Bets than Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IVR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Invesco Mortgage Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IVRDXTWORCLOANNLYMedian
NameInvesco .Dynex Ca.Two Harb.Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Mkt Price8.1913.8910.202.784.7322.829.20
Mkt Cap0.61.91.10.50.115.00.8
Rev LTM722303952271,703151
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM159122-17847251,953140
FCF 3Y Avg196716432951,260133
CFO LTM159122-4947252,857140
CFO 3Y Avg1967125132951,976223

Growth & Margins

IVRDXTWORCLOANNLYMedian
NameInvesco .Dynex Ca.Two Harb.Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Rev Chg LTM-29.9%87.1%254.9%-73.3%-3.5%473.5%41.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg241.0%63.4%-11.5%-52.8%2.5%143.3%33.0%
Rev Chg Q27.8%309.0%144.1%-29.1%-9.2%637.1%85.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM21.1%113.8%329.7%-45.4%-2.2%81.6%51.4%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM220.1%52.8%-12.5%2,181.7%71.0%167.8%119.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg790.7%77.6%-851.6%70.9%-434.2%
FCF/Rev LTM220.1%52.8%-45.2%2,181.7%71.0%114.7%92.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg790.7%77.6%-851.6%70.8%-434.2%

Valuation

IVRDXTWORCLOANNLYMedian
NameInvesco .Dynex Ca.Two Harb.Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Mkt Cap0.61.91.10.50.115.00.8
P/S7.17.32.629.38.87.87.5
P/EBIT-------
P/E9.69.0-5.4-2.011.98.99.0
P/CFO3.213.7-20.91.312.44.63.9
Total Yield10.4%11.1%-0.7%-27.7%16.8%11.3%10.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%17.7%21.4%8.4%0.0%4.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg40.1%6.8%3.2%36.2%8.5%11.4%9.9%
D/E0.00.01.36.00.22.20.8
Net D/E-0.1-0.30.55.70.22.20.4

Returns

IVRDXTWORCLOANNLYMedian
NameInvesco .Dynex Ca.Two Harb.Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
1M Rtn8.6%5.9%5.8%-4.1%-4.8%7.1%5.9%
3M Rtn8.1%14.6%5.0%-32.2%-10.4%9.9%6.6%
6M Rtn19.5%24.9%3.5%-29.7%-3.4%29.0%11.5%
12M Rtn19.1%30.4%0.1%-56.6%-6.1%33.1%9.6%
3Y Rtn3.7%60.5%-5.7%-68.6%5.7%58.4%4.7%
1M Excs Rtn8.7%6.0%5.8%-4.1%-4.8%7.2%5.9%
3M Excs Rtn2.0%7.8%-3.8%-38.0%-15.6%3.0%-0.9%
6M Excs Rtn4.8%10.1%-11.2%-44.5%-18.1%14.3%-3.2%
12M Excs Rtn4.5%15.8%-13.3%-70.9%-17.7%18.2%-4.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-65.4%-8.7%-75.6%-141.0%-64.9%-8.9%-65.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment4-377-63-1,648408
Total4-377-63-1,648408


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,348,524
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.9%
Average Daily Volume1,340,411
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.74
Basic Shares Quantity67,582,202
Short % of Basic Shares9.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Fleshman Robert L 11122025Sell24.722,00049,444 Form