Manhattan Bridge Capital (LOAN)
Market Price (12/8/2025): $4.67 | Market Cap: $53.4 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs
Manhattan Bridge Capital (LOAN)
Market Price (12/8/2025): $4.67Market Cap: $53.4 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Mortgage REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 8.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -64% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.8x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.2% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 8.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -64% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.8x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.2% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LOAN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between August 31, 2025, and December 8, 2025, Manhattan Bridge Capital (LOAN) experienced a decline in its stock value, influenced by several key factors related to its financial performance and market conditions.
1. Decreased Net Income in Q3 2025. Manhattan Bridge Capital reported a net income of approximately $1.2 million for the third quarter of 2025, which represents a 14.1% decrease compared to the same period in 2024. This was announced on October 24, 2025.
2. Lower Revenues and Missed EPS Estimates. For Q3 2025, total revenues dropped by 12.0% year-over-year to $2.036 million. Additionally, the reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.11 missed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.12.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LOAN Return | -10% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 22% | -11% | 20% |
| Peers Return | -22% | 7% | -25% | 2% | 1% | 5% | -32% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LOAN Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 55% | 48% | 48% | 58% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LOAN Max Drawdown | -55% | -4% | -3% | -13% | -7% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -69% | -7% | -42% | -24% | -11% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DX, TWO, IVR, RC, NLY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/5/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LOAN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 124.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 379 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -34.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 337 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -70.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 240.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1756 days | 1480 days |
Compare to DX, TWO, IVR, RC, NLY
In The Past
Manhattan Bridge Capital's stock fell -45.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/6/2021. A -45.6% loss requires a 83.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Manhattan Bridge Capital Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LOAN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.4% | 7.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 12.2% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.4% | 0.4% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.8% | -7.8% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.4% | 7.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 12.2% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.4% | 0.4% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.8% | -7.8% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Manhattan Bridge Capital
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.31 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| Rev LTM | 151 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 140 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 133 |
| CFO LTM | 140 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 223 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 41.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 33.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 85.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 51.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 119.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 434.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 92.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 434.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| P/S | 7.5 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 9.0 |
| P/CFO | 3.9 |
| Total Yield | 10.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 11.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -62.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Originating, servicing, and managing short-term secured commercial loans to real estate investors | 10 | ||||
| Single Segment | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |
| Total | 10 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Originating, servicing, and managing short-term secured commercial loans to real estate investors | 5 | ||||
| Total | 5 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10242025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7222025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10232024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7222024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4232024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3112024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10242023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7202023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4192023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10212022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7222022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4142022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |