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Manhattan Bridge Capital (LOAN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.7 | Market Cap: $53.8 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

Manhattan Bridge Capital (LOAN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.7
Market Cap: $53.8 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 8.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.8x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.2%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 8.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 8.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.8x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LOAN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for Manhattan Bridge Capital (LOAN) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, lies in the future. Therefore, no definitive historical data or news events explaining a -9% stock movement for this specific future period are available. However, based on the information available for the surrounding timeframe in late 2025 and general market conditions projected for 2025, here are some points that could hypothetically contribute to stock movements for a company like Manhattan Bridge Capital, a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in short-term secured loans:

1. Manhattan Bridge Capital announced a share buyback program of up to 100,000 common shares on November 20, 2025. This program was authorized by the Board of Directors, with CEO Assaf Ran stating that the "recent dramatic decline in our stock price creates an opportunity for the Company to purchase the stock." This indicates that there might have been a stock price decline leading up to this announcement, which the company viewed as an undervaluation.

2. Decline in Q3 2025 revenue attributed to slower real estate markets. Manhattan Bridge Capital reported a decline in Q3 2025 revenue to $2.04 million from $2.31 million the previous year. The CEO attributed this decrease to slower real estate markets in their operating areas, which extended redevelopment timelines. Slower real estate markets could negatively impact a company specializing in real estate loans.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LOAN Return-10%14%6%2%22%-12%19%
Peers Return-22%7%-25%2%1%4%-32%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LOAN Win Rate50%67%50%25%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate55%55%48%48%58%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LOAN Max Drawdown-55%-4%-3%-13%-7%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-69%-7%-42%-24%-11%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DX, TWO, IVR, RC, NLY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLOANS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven379 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven337 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-70.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven240.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1756 days1480 days

Compare to DX, TWO, IVR, RC, NLY


In The Past

Manhattan Bridge Capital's stock fell -45.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/6/2021. A -45.6% loss requires a 83.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Manhattan Bridge Capital (LOAN)

Better Bets than Manhattan Bridge Capital (LOAN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LOAN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Manhattan Bridge Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LOANDXTWOIVRRCNLYMedian
NameManhatta.Dynex Ca.Two Harb.Invesco .Ready Ca.Annaly C. 
Mkt Price4.7313.8910.208.192.7822.829.20
Mkt Cap0.11.91.10.60.515.00.8
Rev LTM723039572221,703151
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM5122-1781594721,953140
FCF 3Y Avg571641963291,260133
CFO LTM5122-491594722,857140
CFO 3Y Avg5712511963291,976223

Growth & Margins

LOANDXTWOIVRRCNLYMedian
NameManhatta.Dynex Ca.Two Harb.Invesco .Ready Ca.Annaly C. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.5%87.1%254.9%-29.9%-73.3%473.5%41.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.5%63.4%-11.5%241.0%-52.8%143.3%33.0%
Rev Chg Q-9.2%309.0%144.1%27.8%-29.1%637.1%85.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.2%113.8%329.7%21.1%-45.4%81.6%51.4%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM71.0%52.8%-12.5%220.1%2,181.7%167.8%119.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg70.9%77.6%-790.7%851.6%-434.2%
FCF/Rev LTM71.0%52.8%-45.2%220.1%2,181.7%114.7%92.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg70.8%77.6%-790.7%851.6%-434.2%

Valuation

LOANDXTWOIVRRCNLYMedian
NameManhatta.Dynex Ca.Two Harb.Invesco .Ready Ca.Annaly C. 
Mkt Cap0.11.91.10.60.515.00.8
P/S8.87.32.67.129.37.87.5
P/EBIT-------
P/E11.99.0-5.49.6-2.08.99.0
P/CFO12.413.7-20.93.21.34.63.9
Total Yield16.8%11.1%-0.7%10.4%-27.7%11.3%10.7%
Dividend Yield8.4%0.0%17.7%0.0%21.4%0.0%4.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.5%6.8%3.2%40.1%36.2%11.4%9.9%
D/E0.20.01.30.06.02.20.8
Net D/E0.2-0.30.5-0.15.72.20.4

Returns

LOANDXTWOIVRRCNLYMedian
NameManhatta.Dynex Ca.Two Harb.Invesco .Ready Ca.Annaly C. 
1M Rtn-4.8%5.9%5.8%8.6%-4.1%7.1%5.9%
3M Rtn-10.4%14.6%5.0%8.1%-32.2%9.9%6.6%
6M Rtn-3.4%24.9%3.5%19.5%-29.7%29.0%11.5%
12M Rtn-6.1%30.4%0.1%19.1%-56.6%33.1%9.6%
3Y Rtn5.7%60.5%-5.7%3.7%-68.6%58.4%4.7%
1M Excs Rtn-4.8%6.0%5.8%8.7%-4.1%7.2%5.9%
3M Excs Rtn-15.6%7.8%-3.8%2.0%-38.0%3.0%-0.9%
6M Excs Rtn-18.1%10.1%-11.2%4.8%-44.5%14.3%-3.2%
12M Excs Rtn-17.7%15.8%-13.3%4.5%-70.9%18.2%-4.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-64.9%-8.7%-75.6%-65.4%-141.0%-8.9%-65.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Originating, servicing, and managing short-term secured commercial loans to real estate investors10    
Single Segment 7666
Total107666


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Originating, servicing, and managing short-term secured commercial loans to real estate investors5    
Total5    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,483
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-35.3%
Average Daily Volume30,535
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity11,438,651
Short % of Basic Shares0.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251024202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025722202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024312202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024722202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023311202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231024202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023720202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023419202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221021202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022722202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022414202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021