Tearsheet

Titan International (TWI)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $7.83 | Market Cap: $500.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Titan International (TWI)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $7.83
Market Cap: $500.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, EV Manufacturing, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 100%
1   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.6%
2   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.4%
4   Key risks
TWI key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, EV Manufacturing, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114%
2 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 100%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.6%
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.4%
6 Key risks
TWI key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TWI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for Titan International (TWI) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025:

1. Lower-than-expected Q4 2025 Guidance: Titan International's guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025 included revenue expectations between $385 million and $410 million, and Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $10 million, both of which fell below analysts' consensus estimates. This outlook for an upcoming weaker quarter likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.

2. Missed Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share (EPS) Estimates: For the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, Titan International reported a GAAP loss of $0.04 per share, which missed analysts' consensus estimates of a -$0.03 loss per share. Despite revenues beating expectations, the earnings miss could have put downward pressure on the stock.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TWI Return35%126%40%-3%-54%20%126%
Peers Return18%43%3%18%-1%16%133%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TWI Win Rate42%58%50%67%17%42% 
Peers Win Rate65%63%50%42%52%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TWI Max Drawdown-70%-1%-14%-38%-57%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-3%-24%-12%-19%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GT, CSL, CAT, DE, AGCO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTWIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven107.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-72.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven260.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven179 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-83.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven520.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven890 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-91.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1084.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to DE, AGCO, GENC, WNC, UTX


In The Past

Titan International's stock fell -51.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -51.7% loss requires a 107.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Titan International (TWI)

Better Bets than Titan International (TWI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TWI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Titan International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TWIGTCSLCATDEAGCOMedian
NameTitan In.Goodyear.Carlisle.Caterpil.Deere AGCO  
Mkt Price7.858.87328.74576.22470.57105.79217.27
Mkt Cap0.52.614.0270.0127.27.910.9
Rev LTM1,80218,3105,01564,67144,66410,04914,180
Op Inc LTM156361,03611,4158,415658847
FCF LTM-24-3529587,5603,231749854
FCF 3Y Avg73-3409878,6163,927654820
CFO LTM265731,08611,5417,4591,0221,054
CFO 3Y Avg1327211,12011,9368,4261,0501,085

Growth & Margins

TWIGTCSLCATDEAGCOMedian
NameTitan In.Goodyear.Carlisle.Caterpil.Deere AGCO  
Rev Chg LTM-2.8%-3.9%0.1%-1.5%-11.6%-20.1%-3.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.6%-3.6%-0.7%4.9%-3.4%-3.9%-3.5%
Rev Chg Q4.1%-3.7%1.0%9.5%11.7%-4.7%2.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%-1.0%0.3%2.4%2.9%-1.2%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM0.8%3.5%20.7%17.7%18.8%6.5%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.6%3.7%21.5%18.9%21.9%9.2%14.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-0.6%-0.5%-0.6%-1.1%0.4%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM1.4%3.1%21.7%17.8%16.7%10.2%13.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.0%3.7%23.1%18.2%16.4%8.6%12.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.3%-1.9%19.1%11.7%7.2%7.5%7.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.8%-1.8%20.3%13.1%7.6%5.4%6.5%

Valuation

TWIGTCSLCATDEAGCOMedian
NameTitan In.Goodyear.Carlisle.Caterpil.Deere AGCO  
Mkt Cap0.52.614.0270.0127.27.910.9
P/S0.30.12.84.22.80.81.8
P/EBIT29.28.913.422.113.532.917.8
P/E-82.0-1.518.029.125.321.019.5
P/CFO19.34.512.923.417.17.715.0
Total Yield-1.2%-67.7%6.8%4.4%5.3%5.9%4.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.3%1.0%1.4%1.1%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.7%-13.6%6.6%4.9%3.4%8.0%5.7%
D/E1.43.60.20.20.50.40.4
Net D/E1.03.30.10.10.40.30.3

Returns

TWIGTCSLCATDEAGCOMedian
NameTitan In.Goodyear.Carlisle.Caterpil.Deere AGCO  
1M Rtn9.2%13.4%8.2%4.2%-0.9%4.5%6.4%
3M Rtn-3.8%4.6%-2.4%23.9%0.6%-3.3%-0.9%
6M Rtn-14.8%-13.4%-6.7%60.9%-9.1%4.0%-7.9%
12M Rtn11.7%3.3%-12.0%62.3%11.8%18.1%11.8%
3Y Rtn-47.1%-14.1%43.8%157.9%12.6%-10.5%1.1%
1M Excs Rtn6.3%10.5%5.3%1.3%-3.8%1.6%3.5%
3M Excs Rtn-3.5%3.6%-4.7%20.3%-1.4%-5.2%-2.5%
6M Excs Rtn-25.8%-26.0%-22.6%44.9%-21.3%-7.7%-21.9%
12M Excs Rtn-10.3%-16.9%-30.8%42.7%-5.4%-2.5%-7.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-113.5%-89.5%-34.7%87.6%-59.2%-83.3%-71.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Agricultural560549518421424
Earthmoving/construction498538502474497
Consumer156133134115123
Corporate & Unallocated7765292270
Total1,2891,2851,1831,0321,114


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,019,660
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.9%
Average Daily Volume646,554
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.67
Basic Shares Quantity63,895,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20251.4%0.8%6.0%
7/31/20250.2%1.8%4.3%
2/26/2025-9.3%-5.2%2.6%
10/30/2024-12.5%-0.8%-0.5%
7/31/2024-0.6%-10.8%-2.0%
2/29/2024-9.8%-12.2%-11.9%
11/1/20233.7%10.4%19.5%
8/2/2023-9.4%-4.9%-0.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1099
# Negative899
Median Positive3.0%4.4%19.5%
Median Negative-9.6%-10.8%-8.9%
Max Positive16.3%58.0%105.6%
Max Negative-18.0%-16.1%-30.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021303202210-K 12/31/2021