Taboola.com (TBLA)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $3.91 | Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services
Taboola.com (TBLA)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $3.91Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Media & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 47x |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 14% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, and Creator Economy Monetization. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, and Creator Economy Monetization. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 47x |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
TBLA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Taboola.com (TBLA) stock moved by 22% between approximately July 31, 2025, and November 18, 2025:
1. Taboola reported strong second-quarter 2025 financial results on August 6, 2025, exceeding revenue forecasts and demonstrating significant growth in adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow. The company's revenue reached $465.5 million, surpassing forecasts of $448.7 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased by 21.3%. This performance led to an immediate surge in the stock price.
2. On August 6, 2025, in conjunction with its Q2 earnings, Taboola expanded its share repurchase program, signaling confidence in its future performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders. The company repurchased nearly 12% of its shares in the first half of 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TBLA Return | - | - | -60% | 41% | -16% | 7% | -50% |
| Peers Return | 37% | -10% | -10% | 16% | 6% | -16% | 13% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TBLA Win Rate | - | 17% | 33% | 58% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 15% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TBLA Max Drawdown | - | - | -79% | -29% | -33% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -12% | -12% | 0% | -6% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Z, TTGT, GIBO, NXDR, STUB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TBLA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -84.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 556.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to Z, TTGT, GIBO, NXDR, STUB
In The Past
Taboola.com's stock fell -84.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/1/2021. A -84.8% loss requires a 556.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TBLA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.0% | -22.0% | -22.0% |
| 10032025 | CABO | Cable One | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -40.0% | -40.0% | -40.0% |
| 09122025 | DV | DoubleVerify | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -21.4% | -21.4% | -27.9% |
| 07312025 | CMCSA | Comcast | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -17.2% | -17.2% | -17.9% |
| 05312025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -18.0% | -18.0% | -18.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.0% | -22.0% | -22.0% |
| 10032025 | CABO | Cable One | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -40.0% | -40.0% | -40.0% |
| 09122025 | DV | DoubleVerify | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -21.4% | -21.4% | -27.9% |
| 07312025 | CMCSA | Comcast | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -17.2% | -17.2% | -17.9% |
| 05312025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -18.0% | -18.0% | -18.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Taboola.com
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 4.46 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| Rev LTM | 1,113 |
| Op Inc LTM | -70 |
| FCF LTM | 79 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 111 |
| CFO LTM | 110 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 146 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -10.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -8.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | -4.1 |
| P/E | -5.3 |
| P/CFO | 22.6 |
| Total Yield | -5.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -11.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -18.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -18.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 104.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -21.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -30.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -5.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 35.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 11.4% | 24.3% | |
| 8/6/2025 | 5.3% | 0.6% | 4.7% |
| 5/7/2025 | -1.0% | 10.0% | 15.2% |
| 2/26/2025 | -16.5% | -23.5% | -18.6% |
| 11/7/2024 | -0.6% | -2.4% | 20.7% |
| 8/7/2024 | 7.9% | 12.0% | 11.7% |
| 5/8/2024 | 0.2% | -4.4% | -17.2% |
| 2/28/2024 | -6.9% | -5.6% | -8.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% |
| Median Negative | -6.9% | -5.6% | -17.9% |
| Max Positive | 24.6% | 32.9% | 29.4% |
| Max Negative | -19.1% | -23.5% | -37.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11162022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8192022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5202022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3242022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |